ARLINGTON, VA. — Revenue per available room (RevPAR) was revised downward in the final performance projections for the U.S. hospitality sector in 2025, according to the latest forecast from CoStar Group and Tourism Economics, an Oxford Economics company. RevPAR is projected to finish the year at a decline of 0.4 percent (or negative 40 basis points) compared to a year ago. This would result in the first total-year decline since 2020 and only the second since 2009, both of which were years with major macroeconomic disruptions with the COVID-19 pandemic and Great Financial Crisis, respectively. CoStar and Tourism Economics also lowered occupancy projections to end the year at 62.3 percent, a decline from 63.1 percent at year-end 2024, while average daily rate (ADR) was held steady at +0.8 percent for the year. For 2026, occupancy is projected to decline by another 30 basis points, while ADR and RevPAR are projected to trend positive by 90 and 50 basis points, respectively (see chart). “We expect little change in the macroeconomic environment as unemployment and prices continue to rise,” says Amanda Hite, president of STR, a hospitality research firm owned by CoStar. “As a result, our hotel performance outlook for the remainder of …
Features
By Casey Smallwood of SRS Real Estate Partners The quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry is reshaping retail real estate by capitalizing on the “15-minute city” trend — a movement where people can access essentials within a short walk, bike ride or delivery window from home. This shift, fueled by evolving consumer behavior, urban densification and the rise of digital ordering, is pushing QSRs to prioritize hyper-local presence over traditional highway or regional ‘hubs. The result is a transformation in both real estate development and the metrics that define success in the foodservice sector. Embedding into daily life Hyper-localization is about placing restaurants within the flow of everyday life — close to where people live, work and socialize. Rather than clustering around big-box retail or commuter corridors, many brands now target neighborhood locations near apartment clusters, schools and small mixed-use developments. 7 Brew Coffee, a drive-thru-only brand, exemplifies this model. Its small footprint and fast service make it ideal for small lots and secondary intersection spots once overlooked by national tenants. These locations are now thriving due to residential growth and proximity to commuter paths. With minimal barriers to entry and an emphasis on quick-service, 7 Brew is establishing a strong local …
By Greg Hart, partner, Gray Winston & Hart PLLC The property tax system in the United States, which traces its roots to colonial America, has long been the life blood of local government finance. Used to fund schools, infrastructure and vital municipal services, it is also a system fraught with controversy and mounting calls for reform. Over the past decade, as assessments rose and local governments grappled with budgetary needs, a perfect storm has slowly but steadily been brewing. Rising home values, stagnant wages and shifting demographics have combined to disproportionately increase property tax bills for many families and small businesses. In many large metropolitan areas, annual increases have outpaced inflation. For commercial property owners, whose collective burden grows as communities cap valuations or otherwise shield segments of the residential tax base, many assessments still reflect bygone notions of revenue potential from properties that now struggle with obsolescence. As a result, the property tax burden on commercial and residential property owners alike continues to grow. Advocacy groups often decry examples of individuals forced to sell their homes due to unaffordable taxes and are calling for meaningful property tax reform. Taxation is a delicate balancing act, however. Each state is tasked …
— By Sam Meredith of Colliers — After a slow and uncertain start to 2025, the retail market in Reno and Sparks is finally finding its stride. The first half of the year saw many tenants hit pause on leasing decisions as economic jitters made retailers cautious. By the third quarter, however, the mood had shifted. Leasing activity picked up noticeably, and tenants are now back in the market, actively looking for space. That momentum is expected to carry through the fourth quarter and into 2026, with healthy absorption on the horizon. This turnaround is backed by solid market indicators. Net absorption turned positive in the second quarter, while asking rents rose quarter over quarter. Vacancies nudged upward due to big-box closures, including three Big Lots and a Joann store early in the year, but the overall retail vacancy still sits at a manageable 5.4 percent. In fact, several submarkets, including North Valleys, Northwest Reno, South Reno and Southwest Reno, are reporting vacancy rates below 2 percent, showing strong demand in key areas. Retailers are clearly taking notice. Trader Joe’s, which once considered Northern Nevada a one-store market, has now opened two additional locations in Spanish Springs and South Reno. …
By Felicia Santiago, architect, Gensler As artificial intelligence (AI) technologies evolve and scale, digital infrastructure must follow suit. While advocating for historic buildings to find new life via preservation as data centers is understandable, not every structure is well-suited for this type of repurposing. But this shouldn’t stop developers from overlooking two big opportunities for data center construction plays: revitalizing existing vacant properties as data centers and re-tooling legacy data centers for today’s AI needs. The beauty of adaptive reuse is that it theoretically preserves the existing fabric of community while incorporating modern infrastructure where it is needed — within the fabric of the community. Another opportunity to repurpose existing facilities into modern data centers involves potentially bypassing regulatory items that cause challenges and delays, such as rezoning, since these data centers would be grandfathered into that use. Legacy data centers — once the backbone of enterprise computing — are increasingly outdated and unable to support the energy intensity, cooling demands and density required by AI infrastructure. Rather than defaulting to new construction, there’s an urgent opportunity to recycle existing buildings. The sustainability practices of repurposed buildings should not be overlooked as the need for data centers continues to grow. …
By Doug Greenspan, A&G Real Estate Partners The old playbook of waiting to address leases in bankruptcy is over. In today’s environment, where chainwide liquidation is becoming an increasingly common outcome, landlords cannot afford to be passive. It is crucial to proactively engage with tenants, understand their financial health, and be prepared to negotiate and adapt lease terms to help them avoid bankruptcy court. Consider what has happened in American retailing since the pandemic. While some sectors thrived during the initial COVID-19 lockdowns and the subsequent release of pent-up demand, a troubling number of companies experienced a transient spike in sales fueled by government stimulus, only to see those gains evaporate. This left them in a precarious position in which they were unable to find their footing in the changed economic landscape. Conn’s, known for its Conn’s Home Plus banner, is one example. This publicly traded retailer saw an initial boost as temporarily cash-flush consumers invested in home goods and electronics. Sales soared, but then began declining in the fourth quarter of 2022. Management remained optimistic about a recovery of those prior volumes. However, as the stimulus faded and the broader economic environment began to be characterized by rising interest …
Retail spaces have changed dramatically over the past decade. Enclosed environments, once leading the trend in the industry, have been traded for open-air environments. Many properties that were once solely occupied by retail tenants now have multiple uses, including entertainment, office, multifamily and hotel. In a time when it’s tough to develop, smaller, convenience-oriented projects are dominant, with the redevelopment of regional properties a close second. Finding new life in old real estate is the mantra of today. Retail environments have the future in mind when considering design. E-commerce is integrated into all things retail, and technology has to be considered in new designs. Because physical retail is now viewed as an ever-changing environment by tenants and owners, the flexibility of any new space is incredibly important. What’s being designed today may not be the use in a few years. Also of utmost importance to consumers is placemaking — consumers crave a reason to enter a physical space. They need to feel invited, welcome and intrigued at the same time. REBusinessOnline recently spoke to a number of retail architects and designers to understand what creating a successful retail environment looks like in the mid-2020s. Incorporating E-Commerce While e-commerce hasn’t been a threat to …
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Lee & Associates’ Report: Q3 Results Shaped by Market Uncertainty, Questions of Legality, Tariffs, AI Considerations
Lee & Associates’ 2025 Q3 North America Market Report examines a commercial real estate landscape experiencing some pauses as the effects of exogenous forces work their way through the market. Economic and legal questions, the second- and third-order effects of tariffs, persistently high costs, unemployment concerns and the new realities of artificial intelligence (AI) have combined to produce mixed results across all property types. Demand for office and retail has increased (and their respective pipelines remain constrained). Of the four property types covered in the report — industrial, office, retail and multifamily — only retail saw transaction momentum in the previous quarter. Meanwhile, the overbuilt industrial and multifamily sectors have witnessed weakening or negative demand in the third quarter. Lee & Associates’ full, detailed market report is available to read here. The overviews for the sectors below reveal a market that seems to be holding its breath, awaiting new information. Industrial Overview: Markets Await Tariff Clarity Net absorption of industrial space increased in the third quarter across North America, but demand was weak and failed again to keep pace with the supply of new buildings, while tenant growth remained hobbled by tariff concerns and interest rates. In the United States, following 8.1 million square feet …
By Louis Rogers of Capital Square Navigating the complex tax rules of a Section 1031 exchange can be a complicated experience. For many, investing in a Delaware Statutory Trust, or DST replacement property, simplifies and streamlines the process so that more investors can enjoy the benefits of Section 1031. Introduction to Section 1031 Exchanges Section 1031 of the Internal Revenue Code, commonly referred to as a “tax-deferred exchange,” provides for the complete deferral of federal and state taxes on the sale of investment real estate. The seller must reinvest the net sale proceeds into a qualifying replacement property, which can be any type of real property. The gain that would have been recognized in a taxable sale is deferred until the replacement property is sold in a taxable transaction. Section 1031 has been in the tax code since 1921. Historically, most exchangers have acquired a “whole” property, meaning they acquired an entire replacement property. However, starting in 2002, many exchangers have acquired a fractionalized interest in their replacement property, first using the Tenant in Common (TIC) structure and, more recently, the DST structure. Instead of acquiring a whole property, they acquire a fractionalized interest or a percentage of a replacement …
By Hayden Spiess Seniors housing industry players have contended with their fair share of challenges over the past couple of years, along with the commercial real estate sector on the whole. Elevated interest rates have continued to complicate investment activity, and increasing costs have impacted all aspects of the senior living landscape, especially development. Given the robust demographics driving the industry though, some of these same challenges have helped fuel its recovery. For instance, depressed levels of development activity are driving down vacancy and generating interest in existing senior living properties. Brokers active in the seniors housing subsector have observed a strong revival of transaction volume and are optimistic for the coming years. Nine of these brokers weighed in and shared their perspective on today’s landscape. Participants included Allison Irwin, vice president, mergers & acquisitions at Evans Senior Investments; Cindy Hazard, president of JCH Senior Housing Investment Brokerage; Dave Fasano, managing director at Berkadia Seniors Housing & Healthcare; Josh Jandris, vice chair and co-head, national seniors housing capital markets at Cushman & Wakefield; Jay Jordan, co-founder of Continuum Advisors; Rob Reis, senior managing director of investments and director of senior housing at Marcus & Millichap; Ryan Saul, senior managing director of …