MBA Projects Commercial, Multifamily Mortgage Maturities Held by Non-Bank Lenders to Decline 42 Percent in 2018

WASHINGTON, D.C. — The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) forecasts the volume of commercial and multifamily mortgages maturing in 2018 will decrease by 42 percent.

According to MBA’s 2017 Commercial Real Estate/Multifamily Survey of Loan Maturity Volumes, 6 percent, or $102.2 billion, of the $1.76 trillion in mortgages held by non-bank lenders and investors will mature in 2018, down from the $175.9 billion that matured in 2017.

Jamie Woodwell, MBA

Jamie Woodwell, MBA

“Because many commercial and multifamily mortgages are 10-year loans, and few loans were made in 2008 during the onset of the credit crunch, mortgage maturities will be 42 percent lower in 2018,” says Jamie Woodwell, vice president of commercial real estate research at MBA, a national real estate finance association based in Washington, D.C. “2017 marked the official end of the so called ‘wall of maturities.’”

The loan maturities vary by investor group: 2 percent of mortgages held by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the FHA and Ginnie Mae will mature in 2018; 4 percent of life insurance companies’ outstanding mortgages will mature in 2018; 7 percent of loans held in CMBS will come due this year; and among mortgages held by credit companies and other investors, 22 percent will mature in 2018.

Woodwell points out that many loans that were slotted to mature in coming years have already been refinanced, with maturities pushed further out. Because of this, the MBA predicts commercial and multifamily mortgage maturities will slowly climb over the coming years.

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