New Jersey

Across the Northeast, the high level of demand from retailers, food companies and transportation/logistics firms is outpacing the level of development and redevelopment in the industrial market, causing a severe shortage of product and skyrocketing rents across the region. At the center of this trend is New Jersey, situated in the heart of the Northeast’s Boston-Washington, D.C. corridor between Philadelphia and New York City. The demand for industrial space in New Jersey is driven by its strategic location and sophisticated infrastructure including air, freight, port and rail options linking it to the rest of the country. Despite the near-record level of development in the industrial sector,  the state faces a product deficit that even the nearly 5.3 million square feet of space currently under construction cannot satisfy. In fact, 93 percent of the more than 21 million square feet that was developed in 2017 and 2018 has already been leased. Demand has pushed the average asking rent across the state to $8.41 per square foot, an all-time high. Moreover, asking rents are often not listed in new buildings or those under construction, many of which have rents as high as the low teens. Not listing the asking rents demonstrates how …

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Demand for industrial space is roaring throughout the submarkets surrounding the Port of New York and New Jersey, propelled by the port’s handling of a record amount of cargo thus far in 2019. As a result of the healthy demand, as well as more product coming in and out of the port, landlords are enjoying positive rent growth accentuated by a limited supply of  quality industrial space. The port experienced record growth in cargo volume handled during the first six months of 2019, according to internal data from the organization. The number of 20-foot equivalent units (TEUs) handled by the port has already exceeded 3 million for the year and surpassed 611,000 in June alone. This figure represents an all-time record for the port during the first half of the year, enabling it to surpass the Port of Long Beach for the first time in 20 years. Increasing amounts of inventory coming in and out of the port translates to greater demand for industrial space to store, process and ship product. But the port submarket has but a meager supply of real estate to meet the demand. Due to a limited space available for lease, the industrial submarket experienced negative …

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New Jersey’s industrial market continues to expand, driven by a plethora of industries, including retail, manufacturing, food companies, transportation and logistics. As the popularity of e-commerce shows no signs of abating, New Jersey has become a key location for distribution centers and last-mile delivery hubs to serve the entire Northeast region. E-retailers are scooping up available industrial space, taking advantage of New Jersey’s excellent air, freight, port, and rail infrastructure that links it to the rest of the region and the country. Increasing Demand After taking a slight breather during the first quarter of 2019, in part due to a lack of available high-quality space, total leasing activity has increased by 20 percent during the past three months, bolstered by more than 20 leases exceeding 100,000 square feet. Absorption was widespread, with occupancy level increases in 16 of 25 submarkets for both the quarter and year over year. In total, 2.4 million square feet of positive net absorption was recorded during the second quarter of 2019, the highest level since the third quarter of 2018. Moreover, occupancy levels increased by 8.6 million square feet during the past 12 months, the eighth consecutive quarter where more than 8 million square feet …

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Dulce-de-Leche-New-Jersey

Shifting consumer preferences for convenience and variety have become key drivers for brick-and-mortar retail. And when it comes to creating co-tenancies that drive traffic to retail properties, dining, personal services and fitness are among today’s most desirable categories. Fortunately, they also are among the sector’s most active space users in today’s market. Strong restaurant demand among brands new to, and expanding in, the regional market continues unabated, and year-to-date activity reflects a new level of diversity. From national brands to regional chains like café and bakery Dulce De Leche to expanding local mom-and-pop businesses, these tenants are serving as “internet-proof” placemakers for the retail properties they occupy. And many tenants are looking to step up the dining experience with outdoor seating, revolving menus and entertainment, among other offerings that spark return visits. The same holds true for personal services, where boutique concepts have become sought-after shopping center additions. Again, diversity is a common theme, with activity involving traditional salons as well as specialized concepts like Sport Clips, which caters to men and boys, and local businesses that offer makeup services, waxing and other niche beauty treatments. We also are watching with interest the emergence of brands offering coworking space for …

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We all know that e-commerce has become a significant driver of the industrial market. It now fuels activity that moves beyond clothes and books to the food supply chain, and the associated complexities of meeting consumer demand for food preparation and delivery. Increasing numbers of consumers have shifted to buying prepackaged meals, shopping for organic foods or ordering groceries and meal kits online. This expansion is translating into significant demand for industrial warehouse and distribution space to accommodate the food industry. One sector of this robust market is facing challenges, however, as demand for cold storage warehouses has skyrocketed in recent years. These facilities are used to store fresh and organic produce and to create and distribute processed foods. Food businesses are typically looking for spaces near large population centers as they seek to tap into demand for last-mile delivery. The cold storage shortage is playing out in many markets across the country, but is particularly problematic in New Jersey due to a low vacancy rate and the construction challenges in this sector. Driving Location Decisions Food businesses are looking for spaces near their customer bases to reduce travel times, so they often choose infill locations. The scarcity of land …

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180-Park-Avenue-Florham-Park-New-Jersey

Despite the heartache from losing the bid for Amazon’s second headquarters, New Jersey is undoubtedly in a more competitive position than it was before the selection process began. The exercise of responding to Amazon’s request for proposals showcased many of New Jersey’s strengths, such as its talented labor pool, access to higher education and vast transportation infrastructure. As we now know, these assets weren’t enough to secure the Amazon campus, leaving state officials and business leaders motivated to work on those areas identified as falling short. But that doesn’t take away from what the state offers both corporate occupiers and institutional investors. To start, building owners are increasingly investing significant capital to improve and expand New Jersey’s aging supply of office properties. This is music to a tenant’s ears and, as a result, the office market continued its streak of growing occupancy with 302,577 square feet of positive absorption in the fourth quarter, according to Transwestern. Where many of the new leases were signed, landlords committed to substantial capital improvement programs. For the past several years, the best lease-up success stories have come from owners that upgraded their properties to current standards and added amenities preferred by today’s dynamic workforce. …

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Strengthening office performance in the northern New Jersey marketplace signals good things to come as 2019 unfolds. The market yielded approximately 292,000 square feet of net occupancy gains in 2018. This was fueled by three straight quarters of more than 1 million square feet in new leasing activity, with annual demand finishing 15.4 percent ahead of 2017. This progress runs parallel to improving employment numbers. At year-end, the Garden State unemployment rate registered at 4 percent, its lowest point since mid-2001. This marks a 70-basis-point decline year-over-year, with private-sector employment increasing by almost 62,000 jobs. Within this context, the diversity of New Jersey’s tenant mix is making itself apparent. No one sector is predominantly making waves. We are seeing healthy Class A leasing activity among life sciences, technology, financial, professional services and a range of other space users that comprise the state’s balanced occupier base. Last year was proof that both urban and suburban submarkets continue to thrive. Where one company prefers the Hudson Waterfront with immediate access to mass transit and ability to draw talent from New York City, another may seek a suburban campus that draws upon a labor force of commuters driving from the state’s western counties …

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Adaptive reuse and redevelopment projects along with a robust job market—particularly in the financial and professional services sectors—are the linchpins driving New Jersey’s office market growth. The availability rate, which is at its lowest point in nine years, has improved thanks to the repurposing of obsolete office product. Last year, 12 properties totaling 2.3 million square feet were marked for redevelopment, taking them out of inventory. Through the first half of 2018, 20 office properties totaling 2.7 million square feet are slated for redevelopment, which will further lower the availability rate. The redevelopment of these spaces has also steadily driven up Class A asking rents over the past three years by 6.1 percent to 29.62 per square foot. The positive momentum in the market can also be attributed to the 4.2 percent unemployment rate, a 10-year low, and incentive programs, like Grow NJ, that have attracted and retained businesses in the Garden State, sustaining demand. The most significant adaptive reuse project currently under way is at 110 Edison Place in Newark. Also known as Ironside, the 22-acre project will transform a historic obsolete building at the corner of Edison Place and McCarter Highway into a 450,000-square-foot state-of-the-art office and retail …

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It’s too early to tell the impact of the new federal tax law on retail here in New Jersey, or how things might change now that we have a new governor. But one can place a sizable bet, literally, on the fact that medical marijuana dispensaries now given the go-ahead here will lead to recreational use, and that sports betting in New Jersey is going to also be a hit. Betting on Jersey’s retail sector is a great wager too. North Jersey’s top markets — Paramus, Wayne, Woodbridge, Bridgewater and Princeton — are all in great shape. Vacancy rates are low and rents are stable. Although the area was hit hard dur- ing the financial crisis and onetime retail juggernauts such as A&P and Sports Authority had to shutter their doors, much of that space was redeveloped. The space vacated by retailers due to the big impact of the Internet — Toys ‘R Us was stung badly by e-commerce, for example — has quickly been absorbed. Opportunity is at such a premium, it’s tough to find a steal at any of the area’s major regional malls or power centers, or the other desirable retail corridors for that matter. North Jersey retail is that …

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A combination of location and demand for e-commerce continues to drive industrial activity across New Jersey, spurring increased activity in the already robust northern and central regions of the state and driving a frenzy of activity in the south. Unlike some of the previous speculative booms, however, this one appears be carefully thought out and is likely to be sustainable. Northern and Central New Jersey We are seeing an enormous increase in the number of tenants interested in the market who face a limited supply. Across Northern and Central New Jersey, a record low vacancy rate of 3.4 percent is pushing rental rates to an all-time high despite a healthy but cautious building cycle. The region is an inherently attractive one, thanks to its proximity to New York City and Port Newark as well as the ability to reach 60-plus million people in the tri-state area in a matter of hours. Speculative development across North and Central New Jersey is ongoing, and we anticipate a number of legacy sites to be redeveloped during the next two- to five-year period. Of course, the 2008 recession remains on everyone’s mind. Accordingly, speculative velocity is not as robust as it was in previous …

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