ATLANTA — A lot can happen in a year. This time a year ago, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 1.489 percent, the federal funds rate was at a range of 0 to 0.25 percent and SOFR was at 0.05 percent. As of this writing, those three benchmark interest rates are at 3.527 percent, 3.75 to 4 percent and 3.82 percent, respectively — none of which are within 200 basis points from a year ago. Debt capital has become decisively more expensive, and officials at the Federal Reserve are signaling that more rate hikes are coming. For the U.S. multifamily sector, the result is that investors are increasingly becoming “pencils down” until interest rates find their footing. “We haven’t had much [investment] sales volume, as you can imagine, in the third or fourth quarter,” said Bennett Sands, managing development director at Wood Partners, an Atlanta-based apartment developer. “Looking ahead, our sales volume in 2023 will be down 50 percent [from 2022], if we’re lucky.” “It has been pretty quiet the past few months, and we expect that to continue for the next few months as well,” added Andrew Zelman, vice president of acquisitions at GID, a multifamily and mixed-use developer …
Conference Coverage
By Taylor Williams The multifamily management industry has been beset by labor shortages for years, which has in turn prompted the rise of numerous technological platforms designed to streamline, automate and simplify daily work. But the business of running apartment communities carries an inherent and irrevocable human element, and the cost of acquiring and maintaining that service is about to go up. As an industry, multifamily management is hardly alone on this front. Businesses in countless sectors across the country are deadlocked in labor battles. While overall unemployment remains low at 3.7 percent, at 62.4 percent, the labor force participation rate remains about 100 basis points below its pre-pandemic mark, according to data from the Federal Reserve. In addition, according to the Society for Human Resource Management, resignations hit record highs in 2021, with some 4 million Americans quitting their jobs every month. With much of the labor supply in flux and potentially looking to shift careers, the advantage shifts to deep-pocketed, well-capitalized employers who can not only offer higher salaries, but also greater workplace flexibility. As such, multifamily management firms will likely be competing for talent among one another in 2023, as well as sparring with recruiters from completely …
ATLANTA — Delays in the arrival of building materials — everything from windows and roof trusses to microchips for electrical panels — is one of the biggest hurdles slowing down new seniors housing developments, according to Kristin Kutac Ward, CEO of Solvere Living. Ward’s comments came during the ninth annual InterFace Seniors Housing conference. The event, which took place Aug. 17 at the Westin Buckhead in Atlanta, was hosted by France Media’s InterFace Conference Group and Seniors Housing Business and drew 324 attendees. Joining Ward on the development panel was Tod Petty, vice chairman with Lloyd Jones Senior Living; Matthew Griffin, senior vice president, eastern states, with Griffin Living; and Jim Vogel, president of Solvida Development Group. Rick Shamberg, managing director of Scarp Ridge Capital, served as the moderator. Despite the challenges in today’s building environment, there is pent-up demand and plenty of excitement regarding new seniors housing projects, said Ward. As baby boomers age, there will be a need for seniors housing care for about 50 million more people in the U.S., according to Shamberg. There’s ample opportunity for developers to fill that void in housing. According to Petty, the need for seniors housing units will be most pronounced …
The labor shortage that continues to plague the seniors housing industry is taking a toll on the capital markets side of the business as owner-operators find themselves underwriting sharper costs that are ultimately causing profit margins to shrink and spooking some potential investors. The origin of the dearth of qualified and committed staffers at all levels of seniors housing can largely be attributed to the pandemic. But other macro-level factors — low overall unemployment, stiff competition with hospitality and healthcare users, elevated demand for flexible work routines — are amplifying the problem, even as COVID retreats into the background of everyday life. According to data obtained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve, since January 2020, some 400,000 nursing home and assisted living employees have left the profession. In addition, a 2021 study by the American Healthcare Association and National Center for Assisted Living revealed that across approximately 14,000 surveyed properties, 99 percent of nursing homes and 96 percent of assisted living facilities reported staffing shortages of varying degrees. Higher labor costs put pressure on operating costs, which are further strained amid 40-year inflationary highs and the rising costs of capital that said inflation has subsequently prompted. For many owners and …
Seniors Housing Operators See Rapid Rise in Online Leads and Universal Workers, Say InterFace Panelists
by John Nelson
By John Nelson ATLANTA — Property managers rely on various tools and methods to boost occupancy at their seniors housing facilities. One common avenue is for operators to have reliable online lead generators that connect their sales teams to potential residents and their families. Digital platforms in the seniors housing space like A Place for Mom and Grow Your Occupancy are churning out such leads for sales teams, and operators are saying that it’s a double-edged sword because they are coming in at a rapid clip. “We love the leads but we have one salesperson per community typically,” said Don Bishop, CEO of Tallahassee, Fla.-based SRI Management. “The response time is important. Some leads take a long time to prospect and work through the system. Having too many leads is a good challenge, but it is a challenge.” Bishop’s comments came during the operations panel at the ninth annual InterFace Seniors Housing Southeast, a networking and information conference hosted by France Media’s InterFace Conference Group and Seniors Housing Business. The event was held Wednesday, Aug. 17 at the Westin Buckhead hotel in Atlanta. Pilar Carvajal, founder and CEO of Innovation Senior Living, said that her firm has been discussing creative …
DALLAS — Completing the lease-up and stabilization of new communities in a timely and cost-efficient manner is the most difficult aspect of developing active adult properties in the current environment. Such is the assertion of developers that are immersing themselves more deeply in this fast-growing sector of commercial real estate, which lies somewhere in between traditional multifamily and independent living on the spectrum of residential uses and services provided. The challenges of fast and effective lease-up programs are attributable to several factors that are unique to the emerging asset class, which also tussles with obstacles like rising construction and operating costs that are impacting all product types in all major markets. A panel of industry professionals with experience in developing and operating both traditional multifamily and seniors housing properties spoke to these challenges during the second-annual InterFace Active Adult conference on June 2. Held at the Dallas Downtown Marriott Hotel, the event also featured insight and analysis from lenders, investors and architects that are active in the space, as well as active adult renters themselves. Ryan Maconachy, vice president at Newmark, moderated the development panel, which kicked off the main day of the conference with a discussion of what the …
By Taylor Williams As a subcategory of multifamily that is currently experiencing record rent growth, student housing is increasingly becoming a sought-after commodity in the world of institutional investment, according to a panel of industry experts. More institutional love for student housing is also arriving at a time in which concerns about COVID-19’s impact on enrollment and on-campus learning at the nation’s colleges and universities are largely being laid to rest. The verdict is in on whether students overwhelmingly prefer to live and learn on campus — they do. Capital sources are responding accordingly. At France Media’s 14th annual InterFace Student Housing conference, held May 3-4 at the J.W. Marriott Hotel Austin (Texas) Hotel, a group of industry veterans laid out the drivers behind the sector’s growth on institutional radars. As an affirmation of this trend, the “state of the industry” panel pointed to the $12.8 billion acquisition of Austin-based student housing developer and operator American Campus Communities (NYSE: ACC) by real estate giant Blackstone (NYSE: BX). Panelists implied that that deal, which was announced in April and will take ACC private, serves as a watershed moment for the asset class to institutional investors. As such, the transaction, which is …
Investment in Student Housing Remains Robust Despite Volatility in Debt, Equity Markets, Says InterFace Panel
by Katie Sloan
AUSTIN, TEXAS — As we move toward the start of a new academic year, the outlook in the student housing industry keeps getting brighter, according to experts within the industry. All signs point to further movement out of the COVID-19 pandemic — a testament to which was seen at the 14th annual InterFace Student Housing conference in Austin, where over 1,300 attendees gathered last week at the JW Marriott downtown. The sector’s resilience during the pandemic was once again a major topic at this year’s conference, particularly during the ‘Power Panel,’ which brought together a consortium of high-level executives to discuss industry trends and the outlook for the upcoming academic year. “Evidenced once again by a packed house in this room, the sector is demonstrating continued strength, resilience and sustainability as a niche real estate asset class,” began moderator Peter Katz, executive director with Institutional Property Advisors (IPA), a division of Marcus & Millichap. “While 2021 was a record year for many asset classes, one constant that we can expect in life is change,” he continued. “Over the past 90 days, we’ve seen a huge turn of events in the global economic platform. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has …
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Speed to Market is ‘Almost the Only Priority’ for Multifamily Developers Looking to Avoid Cost Risks, Say InterFace Panelists
by John Nelson
CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Multifamily developers are pushing their chips in and aggressively looking for new development deals, especially for sites in and around high-growth markets in the Southeast. Michael Tubridy, senior managing director of Crescent Communities, said his firm isn’t leaving anything to chance and is looking to move quickly on development opportunities. “We’re trying to get as many units on the ground today as possible, because tomorrow will be more expensive,” said Tubridy. “I like the chances of today’s cost environment a lot better than I like the unknown of where we’ll be a year from now or two years from now. Putting a premium on speed to market is something that we are much more focused on; it’s almost the only priority right now.” Tubridy’s comments came during the development panel at InterFace Carolinas Multifamily 2022. The half-day event was held on April 14 at the Hilton Uptown Charlotte hotel and attracted more than 260 attendees from all facets of the multifamily industry in North Carolina and South Carolina. Michael Saclarides, director of Cushman & Wakefield’s Multifamily Advisory Group, moderated the discussion. Crescent Communities is far from the only multifamily developer pursuing ground-up construction opportunities in earnest. In …
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Multifamily Operators Battle Fraud, Labor Shortages on the Front Lines, Say InterFace Panelists
by John Nelson
CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Property managers are navigating a minefield of issues in today’s apartment market. Analyzing renter applications for fraud, collecting overdue rent and turning over units from freeloading tenants are all in a day’s work for savvy apartment operators. Amanda Kitts, senior vice president of property management at Northwood Ravin, a multifamily owner and operator based in North Carolina, said that part of the role of an operations professional today entails poring over documents like check stubs, IDs and employment records to make sure the prospective resident is creditworthy. She said that fraud is more prevalent in some markets than others, so it’s imperative that property managers are adequately trained. “Charlotte still is a very big market for fraud, but Durham not so much. Chapel Hill is squeaky clean; nobody does anything wrong in Chapel Hill,” joked Kitts. “We have these applications and check stubs, and maybe one could be off, and you have to investigate and Google. We’re almost mini-FBI investigators.” Kitts’ comments came during the leasing and operations panel at France Media’s InterFace Carolinas Multifamily, which took place April 14 at the Hilton Uptown Charlotte. The networking and information conference drew more than 260 attendees from all facets …