With a preference for low taxes and business-friendly regulation, Texas is America’s proving ground for free market economic theories — a crucible in which the benefits of economic liberty are tested. While the long-term impact of the Lone Star State’s experiment remains an open question, it is hard to gainsay its impressive accomplishments to date. Texas recorded the fastest GDP growth among the 50 states (6.0 percent) in second quarter 2018, and the third-fastest compound annual GDP growth rate since the Great Recession (3.1 percent). By way of population growth, Texas ranked second among states since 2010, trailing only Utah. In terms of the 20- to 34-year-old “renter cohort” Texas was the leader, posting a robust 2.1 percent annual rate growth rate. Powerful economic and population growth go hand in hand with multifamily performance. Indeed, the five Texas markets that we model econometrically — Austin, Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio — posted stronger fundamentals in the current decade than the balance of our RED 50 large market peer group in nearly every category. The “Texas 5” occupancy increased by an average of 564 basis points over the period (Reis), nearly three times as much as the non-Texas component. …
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To underwrite and successfully close a loan, a lender must have an intimate understanding of the principals involved, the collateral and the marketplace specific to the property. Principals play a key role in ensuring an efficient vetting process by providing accurate and in-depth information during the initial financial request — before the due diligence research delves into further detail. Providing lenders with a clear and concise case for a financial package is an easy first step to securing a loan. The more details provided, the better, according to David De Bauche, manager of Commercial Credit Lending Administration at Alliant Credit Union. Ideal Borrower? There is rarely a model borrower or financial package, De Bauche says. Each package and borrower has its own strengths and weaknesses, and it’s up to the lender to decide if the separate pieces join together to create a successful financial package. “What is considered a green-light package with one lender may carry too many risks for another lender,” he says. “At Alliant, we’re open to considering most financial proposals. If we’re presented with a clear, concise proposal with details upfront — it catches our eye.” Borrowers that are transparent with lenders about potential weaknesses — past …
Florida markets typically perform well during flush economic times and the current cycle isn’t an exception. Blessed with the fastest growing population east of the Rockies and a business-friendly tax and operating cost environment, Florida is one of the first alternatives multifamily developers and investors look to when the primary markets begin to feel crowded. True to form, Florida experienced record investment sales volume in each of the past two years, and 2018 is shaping up to meet or exceed last year’s total. Acquisition cap rates continue to track lower, with asset prices reaching new highs. By the same token, the supply pipeline is building and occupancy is beginning to erode at the margin. Nearly 70,000 units in 300 projects are under construction across the state and another 375 or more projects are proposed. At least 40,000 new units will be delivered this year, and vintages of similar magnitude can be expected in 2019 and 2020. Can the Sunshine State property performance and investment returns continue to sizzle under these conditions? Strong Job Growth in Jacksonville and Tampa Keep Apartment Markets on Even Keel To date, Jacksonville and Tampa have exhibited the greatest resiliency among the six Florida markets that …
As the real estate cycle enters the late innings, multifamily investors increasingly are seeking alternatives to high-cost coastal metros but remain unwilling to sacrifice the property market liquidity found in the primary markets. Many are finding the right balance of opportunity and liquidity in the Mid-Atlantic States, where cap rates are often higher than in the “favored five” markets and value-add opportunities in strategically located Class B properties abound. RED Capital Research (RCR) performance models suggest that the Mid-Atlantic’s season in the sun has longer to run. Philadelphia Apartment Market Ranks Second Among the Top 50 U.S Markets for Risk-Adjusted Returns Sales of Philadelphia apartments topped $2 billion during the 12-month period ending in June, a 125 percent increase over the year-earlier period. Fund and trust buyers dominated trade, concentrating on urban mid-rise and suburban garden value-add plays at mid-5 percent to low-6 percent cap rates. Investors penciled IRRs in the mid-6 percent range for Class A assets, and the low-7 percent area for value-adds. The metro economy has performed well since 2015 — and posted accelerating gains in the spring and summer. RED Research models forecast further above-trend payroll job creation through 2019, before higher interest rates curb growth. …
Mastering the puzzle of a successful commercial real estate loan requires more than due diligence on the borrower. To execute a solid loan transaction, shrewd originators make sure all of the existing pieces fit together — and consider how future pieces might fit into the equation. Beyond the Borrower While the history and financial health of a borrower are top concern for originators, there are many more factors at play. “Having a strong borrower is important, but it’s also critical to research the current tenants, the leasibility of the property, the desirability of the location and the long-term activity of the market,” says Peter Margolin, commercial loan originator with Chicago-based Alliant Credit Union. He describes a recently closed loan to show how lenders analyze some of the underlying factors that drive financing packages. In April of this year, Alliant provided a $6.4 million loan to refinance a 64,637-square-foot industrial building located on Statesville Road in Charlotte, North Carolina. The borrower was a REIT that focuses on single-tenant R&D and industrial properties throughout the Southeast. Husqvarna North America, a producer of outdoor power equipment, utilizes the property as a research and development facility. Terms of the 10-year loan include five years …
Providing and securing financing for student housing properties — whether acquisition, refinancing or new development — is a competitive market. “The rewards of working in student housing are numerous. There is a constant supply of tenants, revenue tends to be stable, and the sector is considered recession-resistant,” says Justyna Daniuk, commercial real estate lending analyst with Alliant Credit Union. However, Daniuk notes, student housing financing does have risks, including occupancy stability, changing taste of student residents and market competition. A lender’s familiarity with the nuances of student housing — like yearly turnover and unique leasing cycles — will lead to a better lending experience for both the borrower and lender. For example, Daniuk explains, lenders should understand that sometimes landlords have to offer shorter leases and incentives to win the business of their student-residents and their parents, who often guarantee the leases. While most financing arrangements are a case-by-case situation, there is a particular set of criteria that lenders look for to ensure a successful lending package in the ever-evolving student housing sector. Top Five Considerations for Student Housing Lenders • Proximity — A property’s distance from a university or college campus is often a top concern for lenders. Ideally, …
With a strong commercial real estate market nationwide, many originators are under increased pressure to say “yes” to financing terms and conditions that they would shy away from in a less competitive lending environment. “I don’t see the frenzy dying down anytime soon, with at least one to two more years of fairly intense competition,” says Tim Madigan, a commercial loan originator for Alliant Credit Union. With more than 15 years of experience as an underwriter before moving to loan originations, Madigan has first-hand knowledge of the commercial real estate lending market, as well as its fluctuations. “At Alliant, we’re doing our best to maintain discipline, but we are seeing a lot of aggressive terms, which I’m afraid will have unintended consequences for borrowers who jump at the shiniest offer,” Madigan says. “For example, borrowers may get re-traded, which means the financial package’s initial terms may change after the originator’s due diligence, resulting in borrowers getting burned if they’ve already committed to a transaction based on the initial financing terms.” Watch Out for Terms/Pricing Outliers Terms and pricing for any given financing package should be fairly similar – or at least within a range – for the property type, location …
Advances in artificial intelligence and machine learning are slowly changing the processes of buying and selling commercial real estate. Although widespread adaptation appears to be several years off, the application of new technology within commercial real estate appears inevitable and of enormous value. In particular, the opportunity appears greatest within the realm of property valuations, according to David Mitchell, business intelligence and operational specialist with Chicago-based Alliant Credit Union. “Developing more accurate evaluation techniques will help set healthy interest rates and lower credit costs,” he says. “This points to more efficient loan capital in the market. That’s the ultimate outcome: more efficiency and more liquidity in the market.” Valuing commercial real estate is a tremendous exercise in synthesizing information, Mitchell notes. “Understanding factors such as rental rates, vacancy rates, employment growth, demographics, new construction supply, interest rates and capital availability are not simple propositions. Understanding the interdependence of these variables, as well as accounting for historical data and knowing how to properly weight the variables is more than any one human can synthesize in a rigorous manner.” By contrast, a machine-learning model excels in an environment with massive amounts of interdependent variables. In many cases, the algorithms used in machine …
Credit unions may not be top of mind for commercial real estate investors seeking financing. In fact, many people do not realize that these lending institutions offer commercial financing alongside a variety of consumer and residential loans. These not-for-profit organizations fundamentally operate to serve their members, typically by providing attractive yields on depository accounts and by offering lower interest rates on vehicle loans, mortgages, and yes, commercial loans. As a not-for-profit organization, a credit union essentially returns profits to its membership as opposed to shareholders. Credit unions can widely vary in their ideas about what type of services and offerings best benefit their members, notes Larry Silberman, manager of commercial loan originations with Chicago-based Alliant Credit Union. Some credit unions may focus on serving a local geographic region, while others offer loans nationwide. Some may target niche markets and employers, while others look for a diverse membership base in a local community. Alliant offers nationwide commercial real estate financing from $7.5 million to $35 million with terms up to 15 years. As a credit union with a national membership base, Alliant’s commercial lending platform has no geographical limitations. Silberman notes that for Alliant, the enhanced returns that the national commercial …
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