Demand for industrial space is soaring and the growth of e-commerce has opened the doors for more competitors to enter the freight and logistics spaces. In addition, the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) notes that year-to-date, the United States has added 200,000 new positions in the manufacturing sector, greatly increasing the demand for new industrial space. The advent of new technology is changing the face of the sector’s day-to-day operations. The rising influence of cloud computing and other forms of software that track inventories and model ideal production rates allow for more seamless manufacturing. Automated racking and shelving systems have increased the amount of vertical storage space available to operators and helped get product out the door with greater efficiency. These innovations have yet to significantly eat into industrial job growth, but they are already impacting design trends for new projects. “At this point we are only seeing a minor impact from automation, but it’s clearly present,” says Michael Scheurich, CEO of Arch-Con Construction, a general contracting firm with offices in Dallas and Houston. “Developers are figuring on smaller aisles between racking for conveyors and automated pickup equipment. This allows them to squeeze in more racks …
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Retail Insight recently sat down with Hernan Martinez, CEO of Cuestamoras Urbanismo, to discuss the changing landscape of shopping centers as they become more of a community center for the cities they service. Martinez has firsthand experience with this as he and his company develop Oxigeno, a mixed-use project in Costa Rica that offers four unique zones that incorporate entertainment, shopping, dining, green areas, and the local Heredia neighborhood. Do you think today’s convenience-driven, instant-gratification world is one reason we seem to be seeing an uptick in mixed-use projects? The uptick of mixed-use projects is the result of several important urban and consumer trends. The resurgence of mixed-use, town and city centers derives, in big part, from the recognition of the negative impacts of urban sprawl. It is now generally recognized that development of car-centric, low-density, single-use urban areas has detrimental economic, environmental and social consequences. These can include higher infrastructure costs, the loss of natural land to accommodate a limited number of people and the disruption of neighborhoods’ social fabric. Cuestamoras Urbanismo is committed to the development of open (non-gated), dynamic urban communities and projects. We strongly believe that mixed-use projects play an important part in the creation of …
The Counselors of Real Estate: Interest Rates and Economy Are Top Current Issues Affecting Real Estate
by Jeff Shaw
CHICAGO — The top two issues facing both residential and commercial real estate today are rising interest rates and the health of the general U.S. economy. That’s according to The Counselors of Real Estate, a Chicago-based consortium of high-profile property professionals, which has issued its annual list of the “Top Ten Issues Affecting Real Estate” for 2018 and 2019. Joseph Nahas Jr., the 2018 chair of The Counselors of Real Estate, made the announcement during the keynote address of this year’s National Association of Real Estate Editors conference in Las Vegas. The year’s list is broken down into the top five current and top five longer-term issues being seen for commercial and residential real estate today. The commercial and residential real estate markets are experiencing changes, including decreasing demand for commercial property and higher home mortgage rates as a result of rising interest rates. The Counselors also report that these rate increases are limiting value appreciation for commercial real estate, while lack of wage growth for all but the wealthiest population segment is limiting consumer spending, which the economy needs for growth. The group cited a 2017 Brookings Institution study to back up this argument, which showed real wages for …
InterFace Panel: Seniors Housing Lenders’ Scrutiny of Potential Deals Increases As Market Conditions Shift
by Jeff Shaw
Billy Meyer, managing director of Seattle-based Columbia Pacific Advisors, doesn’t mince words when talking about the bridge lender’s cautious approach to financing seniors housing product today. “We don’t underwrite hope as a strategy anymore. It’s just not a good execution strategy, we believe.” Against the backdrop of elevated levels of construction, rising interest rates and operational challenges in seniors housing, Columbia Pacific Advisors is scrutinizing operators heavily before providing funding. “We’re bridge lenders. That is all that we do. Our average loan is 19 months. It’s a short horizon of how far away our exit is, so we need to make sure that [pathway] is very real and clear,” said Meyer. Meyer’s insights on the loan underwriting process came during InterFace Seniors Housing Midwest on Thursday, June 7. The one-day event, which took place at the recently opened four-star Marriott Marquis Chicago at McCormick Place, drew 372 professionals from across the region. Panel discussions focused on everything from design to development to growth strategies for operators, in addition to the state of the capital markets. Moderated by Mike Taylor, senior vice president and group manager for healthcare lending at First Midwest Bank, the capital markets panel also included Ari Adlerstein, …
Lending intermediaries are not seeing any slowdown in the availability of capital for the student housing sector in 2018. Many report that the sector is a favorite and a well-known quantity among lenders, one that they want to count among their specialties. “Historically, student housing was viewed only as a subset of multifamily, but we have seen a distinct departure from that mindset throughout the current cycle,” says Benjamin Roelke, senior vice president, debt and structured finance, CBRE Capital Markets. “Lenders are getting smarter about student housing and are asking the right questions more often than not.” “Our high volume construction lending relationships view student housing as a stand-alone product type and understand that each market should be evaluated on its own merits, but in uncertain times there are macro forces that can alter risk evaluation standards generally, with the effects trickling down to specialized product types,” says Tim Bradley, founder and CEO of TSB Capital Advisors. Student Housing — On Its Own Lenders increasingly view student housing as an attractive stand-alone asset class. Its strong performance during the Great Recession prompted many lenders to closely study and understand the sector, with many growing their lending platforms alongside strong developer …
The industrial market is enjoying a moment in the sun throughout the West. Much of this is due to the retail sector’s continued technological advances, which have placed increasing demand on speedy delivery as manufacturing, distribution and warehousing needs are more important now than ever. “The market fundamentals for industrial properties are the best they have ever been,” says Bob O’Neill, senior vice president of acquisitions at CapRock Partners in Newport Beach, Calif. “Industrial absorption, lease rates and sales prices are at all-time highs, while market vacancies are at historic lows and construction in the Western United States remains in check.” Michael Collins, vice chairman of DAUM Commercial Real Estate Services in Los Angeles, has witnessed a similar trend in his market. He notes industrial assets in LA typically sell for $140 per square foot to $200 per square foot, with a vacancy rate of less than 2 percent in Southern California. “Developable land is becoming more scarce and the Los Angeles County industrial marketplace remains very vibrant,” he notes. “Lease rates throughout Southern California have reached an all-time high and sales values are at unprecedented highs, with actual prices based on building age, location, functionality and amenities.” Those looking …
Margaret Wylde’s Message to Seniors Housing: Do a Better Job of Understanding Customers
by Jeff Shaw
CHICAGO — There is one surefire way to make sales hum in seniors housing, says Margaret Wylde, an industry consultant who has conducted research in this niche property sector for 34 years. Know who your customer is, the product they want and how much they will pay to get what they want. “If you deliver what they actually want, they actually pay more and feel there is value for the dollar spent,” says Wylde, CEO of Oxford, Miss.-based ProMatura Group. The problem is the industry’s knowledge of customers is “not good,” Wylde is quick to add. “We know them in a generic manner. We know their age, we know how many of them there are, and we know how much money [they have]. But we don’t know who they are. And once they get to that golden age, we think they want seniors housing, and that everybody who wants seniors housing is exactly the same because we are giving them a list of stuff.” What’s worse, she believes, is that the industry is by and large chasing the luxury market, which is less than 10 percent of the potential market. “The middle market is 320 percent larger than the market …
WASHINGTON, D.C. — The Federal Reserve opted Wednesday to raise the federal funds rate by a quarter of a percentage point. The overnight rate that banks charge one another for loans now stands at an even 2 percent, with two more rate hikes expected to occur before year’s end. According to one economist, however, the nation’s central bank could abandon its pursuit of a tighter monetary policy if the capital markets experience a major disruption. Rajeev Dhawan, director of the economic forecasting center at Georgia State University in Atlanta, believes there is no more plausible and imminent economic disruptor than President Donald Trump’s trade policies. “The commercial real estate industry shouldn’t be worried about rate hikes, which are happening in baby steps,” says Dhawan. “If the cash flows on your properties are there, who cares about the rate hikes? The real thing to worry about is what happens in the interest rate market as a result of trade developments.” Rate Hikes Foreseen Most borrowers in commercial real estate anticipated an increase in short-term interest rates. After all, these figures had nowhere to go but up after hovering around zero for several years in the post-recession era. Borrowers generally responded by …
LAS VEGAS — Over the past five years, CBL Properties (NYSE: CBL) has been disposing of “lower-productivity properties” and redeveloping several others. These moves reflect efforts to boost performance and upgrade the overall portfolio, which is largely concentrated in the Southeast and Midwest. Since 2013, the Chattanooga, Tenn.-based REIT has disposed of 21 mall assets and a number of other non-mall properties. In 2017 alone, CBL sold an outlet center, three malls, two office buildings and outparcel locations for a total of more than $180 million in proceeds. During the first quarter of 2018, $40 million in disposition activity was either completed or in process, including a binding contract for the sale of Janesville Mall, a tier-three shopping center located in Janesville, Wisconsin. Due to a combination of factors — including the threat of e-commerce and slipping occupancy for a period of time — the company’s stock price has taken a tumble during the past few years. Shares of CBL, which traded at $14.20 per share on Aug. 26, 2016, had fallen to $5.43 per share by the close of business on Wednesday, June 13. The key to righting the ship lies in redeveloping existing properties rather than conducting a …
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Healthcare Systems, Physicians are ‘More Sophisticated’ When it Comes to Real Estate, Says InterFace Healthcare Panel
by John Nelson
CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Healthcare systems and physicians groups once viewed their real estate operations as a line item on a ledger and not as high a priority as staffing, education or equipment. In the years since reimbursements from Medicare began tightening as it went from a fee-for-service model to an outcome-based one, healthcare systems and physicians are getting more savvy when it comes to their real estate strategies. “With respect to real estate, healthcare systems used to be naïve,” said Mark Curtis, director of Greenville Health System, a not-for-profit system serving the Upstate South Carolina area. “Now they’re far more sophisticated than they were five years ago.” Curtis was one of five healthcare real estate experts on stage at a panel entitled “What Do Hospitals & Systems See Coming in 2018?” Rex Noble, senior vice president of asset management at Flagship Healthcare Properties, moderated the discussion. The panel was the closing act at the eighth annual InterFace Healthcare Real Estate Carolinas show, which took place on May 31 at the Hilton City Center hotel in Uptown Charlotte. The event drew 160 attendees in the healthcare real estate space from across North and South Carolina. Operations are Under the Microscope Spurred …