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The U.S. economy shed 33,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in September, the first monthly decline in seven years, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Two hurricanes that caused billions of dollars in property damage were the culprits, say real estate economists. Hurricane Harvey slammed into the Texas coast on Aug. 25 with extremely heavy rain and 130 mph winds. Hurricane Irma, a massive tropical cyclone that engulfed the entire Sunshine State, blew onshore in Florida on Sept. 10. It was the first time two Category 4 storms made landfall in the United States in the same year. Two employment sectors — most notably leisure and hospitality and food and drinking services — endured steep job losses in September, contracting by 111,000 and 105,000 jobs, respectively, for the month. To gain a better insight into the short- and long-term impact of the hurricanes on the U.S. economy and the employment market in particular, REBusinessOnline reached out to three economists: JLL’s chief economist Ryan Severino, Cushman & Wakefield’s principal economist Ken McCarthy and HomeUnion’s director of research Steve Hovland. Their edited responses to a series of questions sent via e-mail appear below. REBusinessOnline: The BLS offered a somewhat complicated explanation on its …

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ATLANTA — Pressures for seniors housing owners come from many sources, but the top two are labor issues and increasing numbers of communities in a market, according to panelists at InterFace Seniors Housing Southeast. The comments were made during the “State of the Industry” panel at the event, which was held in late summer at the Westin Buckhead in Atlanta and drew more than 400 industry professionals. Katie Davis, chief strategy officer for Sherpa, moderated the panel, which included Doug Schiffer, president and COO of Allegro Senior Living; Scott Stewart, managing partner of Capitol Seniors Housing; Joe Weisenburger, vice president of seniors housing for Welltower; Andy Isakson, managing partner at Isakson Living; and Alan Plush, president and senior partner at HealthTrust. Schiffer cited a recent time when a competing property opened near an Allegro community and immediately offered pay raises to any employee who would switch communities. “People want to mine our fort and take our staff,” said Schiffer. “Everyone was offered a $2 per hour raise, which is a 20 percent increase for some. No matter how much you like us, that’s hard to turn down.” Allegro kept most of its employees by matching the offers, but this significantly …

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Without a shot fired, the Mobility Revolution has begun. Big Data, smart transportation and new mobility technology are affecting property owners and communities in myriad ways. Projecting the effects of these changes on future property values is difficult, but a look at recent innovations suggests where we are headed. Many property investors associate the Mobility Revolution strictly with driverless, interconnected autonomous cars. This view misses the larger, unfolding disruption story. Indeed, the shift is transforming the transportation of goods and people. Paraphrasing former U.S. Transportation Secretary Anthony Foxx, “smart transportation” is not about concrete and steel alone; it’s about how people want to live. Mobility is more than a transportation issue. It involves the digital marketplace that now competes with retail real estate, with growing implications for retail property values. Offices offering shorter and alternative commuting options to workers are more valuable than those that don’t. Mobility also involves ride-sharing services and the personal choices we make to get from one place to another. Deloitte researchers wrote in 2015 that change is coming to transportation whether we’re ready for it or not. “You can see it in public-sector investment, intelligent streets and digital railways, automakers’ focus on next-generation vehicles and …

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TAMPA, FLA. — The National Multifamily Housing Council (NMHC) Student Housing Conference wrapped up Sept. 27 at the Marriott Waterside hotel, highlighting the industry’s productivity and progress in the second and third quarters, and providing a forecast for a strong fourth quarter. The tone of the conference was bolstered by Monday’s news that American Campus Communities (ACC), the industry’s largest owner, had purchased a 3,776-bed portfolio from Core Spaces and DRW Real Estate for $590.6 million, the largest transaction to date in 2017 in the sector. Also setting a strong tone was attendance of this year’s conference; more than 850 industry professionals, according to NMHC. The conference kicked off its educational sessions Monday afternoon with a panel featuring five industry leaders — Randy Churchey, CEO of EdR;  Bill Bayless, CEO of ACC; Donna Preiss, CEO of The Preiss Company; Brian Dinerstein, CEO of The Dinerstein Company; and Wes Rogers, CEO of Landmark Properties. The panel, moderated by Peter Katz, executive managing director of Institutional Property Advisors, was very bullish on the sector as a whole. They emphasized that the increased sophistication of the sector is gaining the attention of the investment community. What’s more, the growth of the sector is …

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BETHESDA, MD. — Seniors housing executives have a generally optimistic view for mergers and acquisitions activity heading into the fourth quarter of 2017, according to a survey by Capital One. Approximately 89 percent of respondents believe M&A activity will maintain its current pace over the next year, with about half of those believing the pace will increase. Bethesda-based lender Capital One conducted the survey in early September 2017. It asked professionals to provide their 12-month outlook on a number of issues in the seniors housing and skilled nursing space. Respondents included 157 senior executives from healthcare companies, including pharmaceutical and medical technology companies, hospitals, healthcare service providers and health systems, as well as other industry participants. In another survey question, respondents were asked to name the greatest financial challenge facing the industry. Labor cost pressure was the top concern at 33 percent, with supply and demand imbalances following close behind at 32 percent. The regulatory and reimbursement environment was the next largest concern at 21 percent. Further fueling the sentiment that M&A activity will be a focal point for the industry, just four percent cited availability or cost of capital as their top financial challenge. “The uptick in acquisition interest …

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DALLAS — With roughly 10,000 new residents moving into the metro area every month and more than 100,000 jobs already created in 2017, the Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex appears poised to handle any challenges thrown at its multifamily sector. These obstacles include absorbing the 35,000 or so multifamily units expected to come on line in 2018, maintaining positive rent growth of 3 to 4 percent and navigating a constricting labor market to ensure new projects stay on schedule. For the real estate professionals who spoke on these issues at the InterFace Multifamily Texas conference on Sept. 13 at the Westin Galleria hotel in Dallas, there wasn’t much dissension as to whether the market can handle these tasks. The bigger question among the panelists was what, if anything, could crash the party. Moderator Rob Key, senior vice president at HFF, invited the four panelists — all of whom work for DFW-based firms that offer investment platforms — to share their insights on what they believe is the single-biggest threat to the continued growth and prosperity of DFW’s multifamily market. Kim Radaker, managing principal of The Exponential Property Group of Cos., identified rising property taxes stemming from higher sales prices as her biggest …

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Although autonomous vehicles are not yet a common sight on today’s roadways, land-use planners, developers and other real estate professionals are already preparing for its potentially vast impact on the real estate environment, according to BBG, a Dallas-based commercial real estate valuation, advisory and assessment firm. Recent announcements have put autonomous vehicles on the radar. On Monday, Sept. 18, Intel announced it is working with Waymo, the Alphabet-owned self-driving car company, to help its vehicles reach levels four and five autonomy, or high automation and full automation, respectively. And the technology is progressing rapidly. “Given the pace at which autonomous driving is coming to life, I fully expect my children’s children will never have to drive a car,” wrote Intel Corp. CEO Brian Krzanich in a blog post announcing the news. “That’s an astounding thought. Something almost 90 percent of Americans do every day will end within a generation.” His insights come in the wake of other major events, including General Motors’ announcement that it can begin manufacturing autonomous vehicles for mass production pending regulatory approvals. Following the likes of companies like Tesla and Google, the company is working to turn self-driving vehicles from something out of a movie into …

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DALLAS — Investor demand for healthcare properties throughout the country is soaring, driven by the recession-resistant nature of the asset class and its ability to consistently generate strong returns. Confidence in the property type also stems from the prevailing realization that legislation opposing the Affordable Care Act (ACA) has thus far been unsuccessful. After multiple failed attempts to repeal and revise the law, the Republican Party introduced a bill today that aims to cut overall funding for healthcare and give states more control over their individual healthcare budgets. Other demand drivers for the healthcare sector include a growing number of aging Americans, the tendency of healthcare tenants to sign long-term leases and an expectation that government spending on healthcare, as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP), is set to rise above its current level of 15 percent. It all adds up to a remarkably healthy flow of capital into the healthcare sector from institutional, private and foreign investors alike. Five healthcare real estate panelists at last week’s InterFace Healthcare Real Estate conference discussed a variety of topics within the healthcare investment market, including the profiles of the investors, the pressures they face to deploy their capital in a timely …

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DALLAS — Say the words “mixed-use” in commercial real estate circles today and generally the first thought that comes to mind is a property featuring a combination of multifamily and retail space. But there’s no written rule that says what property classes can or can’t be included in mixed-use. As such, a number of multifamily developers in Texas are redefining the term’s scope and application by bringing together apartment living and an office component in newer projects. As part of the InterFace Multifamily Texas conference, a panel of real estate experts convened Sept. 13 at the Westin Galleria in Dallas to address this topic and other emerging trends in the apartment sector, most of which center on ways of improving amenity packages for tenants. Approximately 200 real estate professionals attended the event. The move toward developing apartment communities with office space — not business centers — stems from landlords’ need to differentiate their amenity packages from the competition. These new office elements within multifamily properties are taking a variety of forms in their infancy, ranging from large co-working spaces and conference rooms to individualized desks and cubicles. “Having amenities like a knockout pool and an awesome fitness center doesn’t really …

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Hurricane Irma made landfall in Florida on Sunday afternoon, tearing through The Keys and heading up the western portion of the state through the Tampa area. For a time, it appeared the hurricane was heading straight for Miami before it ultimately changed course. “A few days ago when we are all staring down the barrel of a Category 4 storm that was heading straight for us, it was concerning,” says Ken Krasnow, executive managing director of Colliers International’s South Florida division. “We ended up having some Category 2 force winds, but we feel fortunate that the storm changed course.” Despite being out of Irma’s direct path, parts of Miami were flooded and most of the region experienced power outages, with many residences remaining without power as of this writing. Irma was the worst storm to hit South Florida since Hurricane Andrew in 1992, but the destruction caused by the storm 25 years ago was much worse, specifically for the industrial sector. “Hurricane Andrew was the worst this market experienced,” says Walter Byrd, senior managing director of Transwestern’s industrial team. “It blew through entire floors on projects in the southern part of Miami-Dade County.” Byrd says that the difference this go-around …

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