Portfolio sales occupy their own unique category of commercial real estate transactions. The challenges, complexities and procedural nuances that make portfolio sales so distinctive also limit the number of parties that can make such purchases. In a standard commercial real estate transaction, familiar steps in a fairly standard process give prospective buyers plenty of time and opportunity to conduct their due diligence. From a buyer’s standpoint, there is little to no risk until your due diligence process is complete. You aren’t spending any money until you have the project under contract and, as long as you have the deal in hand, no one else can move on it. From the initial letter of intent through to the purchase agreement, and even up to the eventual closing, buyers can pull out of the deal for any number of reasons. Consequently, the overall obligation and financial exposure for prospective buyers is fairly minimal. Portfolio sales completely reverse the risk equation/analysis. The portfolio is marketed privately and the sale is conducted almost like a managed auction. Prospective buyers will typically submit letters of intent. Once the seller thinks they have a winner on the economics of the deal, they will move forward. Unlike a …
Features
Survey: 95 Percent of Foreign Investors Plan to Maintain or Boost U.S. Investment in 2017
by Jeff Shaw
WASHINGTON, D.C. — The vast majority of foreign investors in U.S. real estate will either maintain or increase their level of investment from 2016 to 2017, according to a newly released survey conducted by the Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate (AFIRE). AFIRE is a Washington, D.C.-based organization assisting and representing foreign investors, with over 200 members from 22 countries. According to the organization’s survey, 95 percent of its members will spend the same or more on U.S. real estate in 2017 as they did in 2016. Members of AFIRE are among the largest international institutional real estate investors in the world and have an estimated $2 trillion in real estate assets under management globally. The survey was conducted in the fourth quarter of 2016 by the James A. Graaskamp Center for Real Estate, Wisconsin School of Business. City-by-City Breakdown For the seventh year in a row, New York City was named the top U.S. investment city by AFIRE’s members, and for the third year in a row was No. 1 globally. The other top five U.S. cities, in order, were Los Angeles, Boston, Seattle and San Francisco. For the first time since the survey began in 1992, Washington, …
Cushman & Wakefield U.S. Macro Forecast: Expect 2017 to be Stronger, Bumpier Than 2016
by John Nelson
NEW YORK — Following a turbulent year in 2016, the U.S. economy and commercial real estate markets are positioned to perform well in 2017, according to Cushman & Wakefield’s latest U.S. Macro Forecast. The report provides Cushman & Wakefield’s forward-looking stance on the U.S. economy, commercial real estate and the risks/assumptions that underlie the forecast. “Even before the election, the U.S. economic fundamentals were showing signs of heating up,” said Kevin Thorpe, Cushman & Wakefield’s global chief economist. “We observed a big GDP number in the third quarter, accelerating wage growth, surging consumer confidence — a string of really robust trends were already forming. Now when you layer in the expected tax cuts and spending multipliers from the new administration, it creates an even stronger economic backdrop for the property markets heading into 2017.” Although it will take time for policy to form, Cushman & Wakefield expects that President-elect Trump, alongside a Republican-controlled House and Senate, will deliver fiscal stimulus measures that will further boost the U.S. economy and property markets. That said, Thorpe notes that some of the expected growth in fiscal policy will be negated by tighter monetary policy, higher interest rates, higher inflation and more global volatility. …
Working with CBRE’s vast clientele of retailers and developers, Melina Cordero, the company’s head of retail research for the Americas, is constantly delving into trends and how they convert to dollars and cents. REBusiness Online’s sister publication Shopping Center Business recently met with Cordero to find out what trends retailers, shopping center owners and developers, and CBRE’s retail brokers are asking her to look into to get a glimpse of some national trends on the horizon. SCB: You spend a lot of time focusing your energy on trends for CBRE’s people in the field — and their clients. What are they asking you to look at today? Cordero: Today, it’s not just retail clients, it’s also clients who are thinking about incorporating retail into projects. They all want to know about placemaking. A lot of people are saying, ‘We know that we need to create these great places.’ To them, that is about curating a special mix of retailers, restaurants, entertainment, open spaces and other uses. There are no guidelines, rules or metrics for that. A lot of it is what is placemaking; how to create a destination; and what has worked for others? They ask us a lot to …
Cap Rates for Net Leased Retail Properties Increase for First Time in Three Years, Says Boulder Group Report
by John Nelson
NORTHBROOK, ILL. — Cap rates in the fourth quarter of 2016 for the single-tenant net lease sector increased or remained the same for office, retail and industrial assets, according to The Boulder Group’s quarterly Net Lease Market Research Report. Retail cap rates experienced their first increase since the third quarter of 2013 to 6.19 percent. The nine-basis-point increase is the largest quarterly increase in retail cap rates since the second quarter of 2011. Cap rates for the office sector remained unchanged at 7.08 percent, while the industrial sector increased by 3 basis points to 7.17 percent. The Boulder Group attributes the increase in cap rates for the retail sector to the rise of treasury rates during the fourth quarter. During the fourth quarter, the 10-year Treasury yield increased significantly to 2.45 percent, up from 1.62 percent at the start of the quarter. During the fourth quarter, the spread between asking and closed cap rates for retail properties increased by five basis points. This was the largest spread between asking and closed cap rates for retail properties since the fourth quarter of 2013. Cap Rates Likely to Rise More in 2017 The net lease market is expected to remain active in …
Streetscapes create a sensation of depth and charm that beckon to passersby. People are drawn to lush landscapes, open green spaces and great tree canopies. They feel welcomed in these spaces and want to share them with others. Many new developments aim to provide streetscapes and open spaces that create holistic connections, enhancing their projects with authenticity and community. Here are some insights into how to create these. Building Community Through Authentic Connections + Open Spaces Strategically integrating retail and open spaces brings benefits beyond the satisfaction of the immediate customers. It contributes to the entire district or neighborhood as these elements are knit into the urban fabric. Thoughtful planning should address more than tenant mix and leasable space; it needs to consider quality of open space and the surrounding environment. Today’s consumer has an appetite for quality. Young professionals are flocking to new developments that support a work-life balance. An individual who lives or works near a new development can bring his or her family and friends to dine, shop, run errands, and play, extending their time spent together and within the development. Retail can benefit from this type of place-making by creating destinations that people want to stop and use …
Following years of frenzied development across the country, the multifamily industry is entering a slowdown period where developers have fewer starts and even fewer completions. As of the end of October, multifamily starts are down 1.8 percent year-to-date compared to this time last year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Year-to-date completions are down 3.1 percent in that same time frame. “We’re entering a more normalized market going forward, as opposed to an aggressive development market of the past few years,” says Steven Shores, president and co-founder of Pollack Shores, an Atlanta-based multifamily developer. “I don’t view it as a negative. In a lot of respects, we were trying to catch up with demand in the years immediately following the recession where there was no new development.” Core submarkets within major metros saw the bulk of new multifamily construction in the years following the downturn as developers were answering renter demand to live within close proximity of employment centers, dining, shopping and entertainment. Construction in those submarkets is now slowing as those sites have become more difficult to come by, in addition to the existing governors of construction such as the industry’s …
IRVINE, CALIF. — The U.S. hotel market faces many long-term challenges, including a slowdown in international travel, an increase in supply and a decrease in demand, according to the most recent Quarterly Hotel Monitor report from Ten-X, an online real estate marketplace. The leading “buy markets” for hotels will be those that most strongly fight against these negative trends, while the top “sell markets” reflect the strongest negative forecast indicators. According to the Ten-X reports, the top buy markets for 2017 are (1) Las Vegas; (2) Jacksonville, Fla.; (3) Sacramento, Calif.; (4) Los Angeles; and (5) Indianapolis. The top sell markets are (1) Houston; (2) New York City; (3) Pittsburgh; (4) San Jose, Calif.; and (5) Northern New Jersey. In Las Vegas, occupancy jumped 110 basis points in the third quarter alone to 73.4 percent and room rates also spiked dramatically, according to Ten-X. Meanwhile, supply has dwindled due to the closing of underperforming hotels, and the new supply pipeline is relatively small. These factors combined to make Las Vegas the top buy market. In Houston, the top sell market, the prolonged oil price slump continues to take its toll. Energy and manufacturing jobs dropped 6.8 percent year-to-date through the …
Pace of Apartment Construction Slows Due to Growing Supply, Cautious Bankers, Say InterFace Panelists
by John Nelson
The multifamily industry has entered a phase in the development cycle where the velocity of starts and completions is decreasing. Through the first 10 months of 2016, multifamily starts nationally are down 1.8 percent year-over-year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Completions are down 3.1 percent during the same period. One of the governors on construction today is the ample supply of existing multifamily product in the top markets nationally, according to the development panel at the seventh-annual InterFace Multifamily Southeast conference. Alan Dean, region president of multifamily development firm Terwilliger Pappas Multifamily Partners, cited Nashville as an example of an overheated market. “Nashville delivered a record 5,300 units in the past 12 months. Next year, they’re going to deliver 10,000 units,” said Dean at the conference, which was held on Thursday, Dec. 1 at the Westin Buckhead in Atlanta. “Nashville in large part has been redlined by the financing community because of those supply numbers. Looking at it, it’s probably a healthy thing that the pipeline is slowing down and banks are pulling back.” Michael Blair, managing director of development at Atlanta-based Pollack Shores Real Estate Group, doesn’t believe overbuilding is …
How are apartment communities adapting to the sharing economy? That’s the central question that multifamily developers need to ask themselves going forward, according to Wes Taubel, co-founder and managing partner of TWO Capital Partners, a private multifamily developer and investor based in Atlanta. The sharing economy is a term given to the online-driven practices of consumers shopping and ordering food online, renting out their apartment or house via AirBNB and uploading their experiences via social media. “From a development perspective, the biggest thing is a holistic assessment of how you design your community to incorporate the renters’ lifestyle. We’re working with hotel and office interior designers to think about how do we authentically design our amenity and community offerings that work with how this group lives their lives,” said Taubel, who spoke at the seventh-annual InterFace Multifamily Southeast conference on Thursday, Dec. 1 at the Westin Buckhead. Taubel served as a speaker on the development panel entitled “Walking the Tightrope: Will New Development Stay in Balance or Is There Too Much Supply Coming? An Overview of Today’s Development Environment,” which was moderated by Ron Cameron, senior vice president and principal of Colliers International. The sharing economy also includes co-working office …