Features

There were food courts, then there were food trucks. Now, the latest trend to fill the needs of today’s fast-paced culinary crowd is the food hall. Though the Todd English Food Hall at The Plaza hotel in Manhattan is generally credited with starting this latest development trend, the idea of creating a large space with multiple vendors offering fresh, locally sourced fare, is nothing new to California. Pair that with a little natural sunlight and communal seating, and you have the recipe for success in the sun-worshiping state. “California has long suffered a dearth of quality fast-casual dining,” says Anthony Deen, creative director of branded environments for CBX, a New York-based creative marketing service that specializes in food halls, among other things. “Pretty much every neighborhood in California has one great cheap place to eat, but to get variety, customers have to follow food trucks around. Food halls will solve these problems.” Though the food hall scene has not yet penetrated every region of California, its presence is definitely felt up and down the coast. It started with classics like the Ferry Building Marketplace in San Francisco, Grand Central Market in Downtown Los Angeles and the Original Farmer’s Market, which …

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CHICAGO — What are the best buying opportunities today for investors in the seniors housing space? The answer begins with an understanding of the deals that are among the least attractive, according to veteran broker Ryan Saul. A property that is 99 percent full that trades at a 6.5 percent cap rate could hardly be called opportunistic because there is no upside, points out Saul, managing director of Chicago-based Senior Living Investment Brokerage. Instead, buying a property that is 75 percent occupied for $100,000 a unit with a broken management team in place presents real opportunity, he believes. “You can go in, turn it around and really add value so that you can sell it stabilized for a much larger premium.” Saul’s insights came during a panel discussion on the state of the investment market at InterFace Seniors Housing Midwest, which took place Tuesday at the Westin Chicago River North Hotel.  The conference attracted 265 attendees from a cross-section of the seniors housing industry. Moderated by Ben Firestone, managing director of Blueprint Healthcare Real Estate Advisors, the investment panel discussed who’s buying, who’s selling and what’s driving deal velocity. In addition to Firestone, the panelists included Talya Nevo-Hacohen, chief investment …

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The recent move by several national retail chains to close hundreds of their stores across the country creates a tremendous opportunity for shopping center owners, developers, communities and design professionals. This is a nationwide trend that reflects a shift in how we are shopping and living today. Property owners around the country are evaluating what to do with these empty big boxes. In years past, if a large retailer couldn’t be found, the space would be divided into two or three smaller retail spaces. This remains a viable option today in some cases. Expanding retailers with a store footprint of 10,000 to 20,000 square feet are also attracted to these locations. Breaking down the large boxes to mid-size footprints creates an opportunity for expanding retailers to open a new store in an established, mature location. However, with more cities encouraging mixed-use and vertical developments, owners are studying options to break out of the confines of the enclosed mall to create a multi-use environment. Such developments might include residential, hotel, shopping, dining and office uses, much like what is found on the vibrant streets of the world’s greatest cities. This forward thinking is redefining shopping centers and big-box retail spaces across …

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There are a lot of ways to increase and unlock value in lower-quality seniors housing, according to the June 2016 Seniors Housing Market Trend Report from Greystone Real Estate Advisors. According to Senior Care Investor’s annual report, Class A properties reaped $248,500 per unit for assisted living and $243,300 per unit for independent living communities in 2015. Class B properties, comparatively, earned only $138,300 per unit for assisted living and $72,900 per unit for independent living. In 2015, approximately 60 percent of assisted living properties sold were Class B, while 40 percent were Class A. In independent living, approximately one-third of the properties sold were Class A, while two-thirds were Class B. In Greystone’s report, the writers distinguish three different factors — physical location, asset quality and operational performance — that set Class A and Class B properties apart. The report outlines five ways to boost value if a property is lacking in one of those measures. 1. Add amenities — Location is extremely important when it comes to the value of an asset, the report suggests. Since this factor is out of the owner’s control when disposing of a property, owners should focus on increasing the quality of the …

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A new research report from CBRE says that despite the global collapse of commodity prices — including many key inputs to construction — overall construction costs continue to rise nationwide. This is largely because of worker shortages that have driven up labor costs, offsetting any savings on materials. In January, average total construction costs in the United States registered a year-over-year increase of 1.8 percent, according to the RSMeans Construction Cost Index (CCI). Since January 2011, the national CCI has increased by an annual average of 2.3 percent, resulting in a cumulative 11.8 percent increase during that period. “The price of materials is just one driver of overall construction costs,” says Andrea Cross, head of research for the Americas at CBRE and co-author of the report. “The cost of construction labor tends to be much more variable across geographies and over time, so it typically has a larger impact on overall cost trends.” Cross also notes that the collapse of the housing market and subsequent recession affected supply-side dynamics for new construction throughout the country, as a substantial number of construction workers left the industry during the downturn and never returned. Nationally, the number of workers employed in construction-related occupations …

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A new report from George Washington University finds that metropolitan areas in the United States are shifting toward developing more walkable areas, reversing a trend that dates back more than half a century. Christopher Leinberger and Michael Rodriguez of The George Washington University School of Business wrote the report, titled “Foot Traffic Ahead, Ranking Walkable Urbanism in America’s Largest Metros.” “The end of sprawl is in sight,” the authors write. “The nation’s largest metropolitan areas are focusing on building walkable urban development.” For what may be the first time in 60 years, the report finds that walkable urban places (WalkUPs) in all 30 of the largest metros are gaining market share over their drivable suburban competition, which is often accessible only by car. This has been coupled in recent years by substantially higher rental premiums in the office and retail sectors. The 30 metro areas measured include 46 percent of the nation’s population (145 million of 314 million) and 54 percent of the national GDP. They were measured based on the current percentage of occupied walkable urban office, retail and multifamily rental square feet in their WalkUPs. The top walkable metro areas are as follows: The study found that walkable …

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May 2016 Monthly U.S. Payroll Changes

Weak job growth in May has dealt an “employment curveball” to the U.S. economy, says Robert Bach, director of research for the Americas at Newmark Grubb Knight Frank. But the longtime economist is quick to add that the latest report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is an “outlier among a recent string of positive economic news,” including an uptick in both consumer spending and housing prices and a drop in weekly jobless claims. Employers added a meager 38,000 net new payroll jobs last month, according to the BLS, far below the 160,000 jobs forecasted in Bloomberg’s survey of economists. Revisions to March and April data subtracted a combined 59,000 jobs, revealing a three-month trend of slowing job growth. Over the past three months, job gains have averaged 116,000 per month. “If the report is not a quirk, then it suggests the economy, specifically the labor market, may be losing momentum,” says Bach. Employers could be reacting to falling profits and labor productivity, which have been under pressure for some time. It’s also possible that recent hikes in the minimum wage are restraining job formation — although restaurants would be among the first employers to feel the pinch, …

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Charlotte Skyline

CHARLOTTE, N.C. — House Bill 2 (HB2), the recently passed North Carolina bill that requires transgender individuals to use public bathrooms corresponding to the sex on their birth certificate, has rocked the state since its passing on March 23. Tech giant PayPal has scrapped its previously announced plans to bring 400 jobs to Charlotte; artists such as Bruce Springsteen, Pearl Jam, Maroon 5 and Nick Jonas canceled planned concerts in North Carolina; and the NBA is considering moving its 2017 All Star Weekend away from Charlotte. In addition to these headlines, corporate relocation inquiries to North Carolina have essentially “gone away,” according to Chris Schaaf, executive vice president of JLL. “If you look at JLL’s core business and offerings, one of those services relates to major relocations. The easiest thing for me to do would be to sit up here and say how busy we are for that aspect of our business, but the reality is that it’s come absolutely to a screeching halt,” says Schaaf, speaking at the seventh-annual InterFace Carolinas conference held on June 1 at the Hilton Charlotte Center City. The conference drew 249 brokers, developers, contractors, financial intermediaries, owners and managers who do business in North …

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Hotel Industry Performance

Occupancy rates for U.S. hotels declined 0.5 percent during the first quarter of 2016, causing the first year-over-year decline since the fourth quarter of 2009, according to hotel data research firm STR. The Hendersonville, Tenn.-based company suggests that the industry has passed the inflection and is forecasting hotel occupancy declines in both 2016 and 2017. The national occupancy rate dropped from 61 percent in first-quarter 2015 to 60.7 percent in first-quarter 2016. The information was included in CBRE’s annual Hotel Horizons report, which suggests that new supply is outpacing hotel demand nationwide. Supply increased by 1.5 percent from first-quarter 2015 to first-quarter 2016, but demand only increased by 1 percent over the same time period. The report is not all bad news, however. CBRE predicts the average daily room rate (ADR) will increase by 4.3 percent in 2016, and another 4.9 percent in 2017. This increase in rates will offset the projected decline in occupancy, and result in an increase in revenue per available room (RevPAR) of 4.2 percent and 4.7 percent in 2016 and 2017, respectively. The numbers are modest compared with the 6 to 8 percent RevPAR increases of recent years, but positive nonetheless. “The first-quarter decline in occupancy …

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ABI Chart

WASHINGTON, D.C. — After beginning the year with a decline, the Architecture Billings Index (ABI) has posted three consecutive months of increasing demand for design activity at architecture firms. The American Institute of Architects (AIA) reported the April ABI score was 50.6, down from the mark of 51.9 in March but still in the positive territory. The score reflects an increase in design activity, with any score above 50 indicating an increase in billings. A barometer of future non-residential construction activity, the ABI reflects the roughly nine- to 12-month lead time between architecture billings and construction spending. The index is produced by The American Institute of Architects (AIA) Economics & Market Research Group. The score is tabulated based on a monthly survey sent to a panel of AIA member-owned architecture firms. The design contracts index jumped from 51.8 in March to 54.3 in April. The metric tracks trends in the dollar volume of signed design contracts, with any score above 50 reflecting a growing value of the design contracts signed by AIA member-owned firms. Because the design contracts index functions as an early indicator of construction contract awards, Kermit Baker, AIA’s chief economist, is confident that the growth in the …

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