Features

Demand for top-notch logistics space remains strong across the country, so strong in fact that six of the top 10 markets with the fastest growing logistics rents globally are located in the United States, according to CBRE’s “Global Prime Logistics Rents” report released this week. The global prime industrial rent survey provides a snapshot of achievable net rental rates for high-quality, Class A logistics space in traditional and emerging global hubs. With a nearly 30 percent increase in rents during 2015, Oakland, Calif., posted the largest gain. To determine the percentage increase, researchers gathered information based on industrial distribution space of the highest quality and specification, and in the best location, within each industrial hub. In North and South America, rents for prime logistics space increased 5.6 percent during 2015, largely due to massive growth in U.S. coastal markets where strong occupier demand drove up pricing. In Oakland, which also recorded the largest annual increase in prime rents globally, flight-to-quality is common for inner-bay logistics users despite the high cost. New development in some markets, like the Inland Empire, is also commanding premium rates. In addition to Oakland, U.S. cities in the top 10 for fastest growing prime logistics rents …

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NEW YORK — Chinese direct investment in U.S. real estate has grown dramatically since 2010, according to a new report compiled by Rosen Consulting Group (RCG) and New York-based Asia Society, a nonprofit education organization. The report, titled “Breaking Ground: Chinese Investment in U.S. Real Estate,” provides a comprehensive analysis of Chinese inbound investment in all areas of U.S. real estate. “This wave of investment is coming from diverse sources in China,” says Arthur Margon, a partner at RCG and one of the authors of the report. “But that’s really a small piece of the potential investor universe.” More than any foreign investor other than Canada, China stands out for the breadth, depth and speed of its participation in the U.S. real estate market. Following negligible investment activity from 2005 to 2009, in 2010 Chinese acquisitions of existing U.S. commercial real estate assets surged to $585 million and has increased exponentially since then. Chinese investors acquired over $17.1 billion of existing commercial property between 2010 and 2015, representing an annual growth rate of 70 percent, according to the report. Half of that investment came in 2015 alone. Penchant for Office Space, Hotels  While the majority of commercial real estate transaction volume between …

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highland-group-extended-stay-hotel-revpar 11.21.01 AM

Extended-stay hotels had a very good start to 2016 as they maintained higher growth in revenue per available room (RevPAR) than the overall hotel industry, according to the Highland Group’s First Quarter U.S. Extended Stay Lodging report. Extended-stay demand continues to increase at about 5 percent quarterly, and there appears to be no significant change to that trend on the horizon, according to the report. Occupancy also remains high compared with historic averages and there is more than enough supply growth to accommodate increasing demand, the researchers conclude. However, the accelerating increase in supply is reducing occupancy, and for the first time in more than five years all three extended-stay segments reported a quarterly decline in occupancy. Overall extended-stay occupancy has now declined slightly for four consecutive quarters and is likely to continue declining throughout 2016. At the same time, room revenues are up more than 10 percent and gains in average daily rate (ADR) are strong enough to continue positively impacting RevPAR, which is up 3.5 percent year over year in the extended-stay sector. RevPAR grew at 2.7 percent for the hotel industry overall. There were 397,003 extended-stay hotel rooms open at the end of first quarter 2016, which is an increase of …

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ten-x

IRVINE, CALIF. — Commercial real estate values in the United States increased by 7 percent from April 2015 to April 2016, according to Ten-X, an online real estate marketplace. The company has released its latest Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Nowcast. The pricing index, which combines Google Trends data, Ten-X’s proprietary transaction data and investor surveys to forecast CRE pricing trends in real time, reveals that commercial valuations increased by 0.6 percent month-over-month in April and are back above their year-end 2015 level. The Ten-X CRE Nowcast (formerly the Auction.com CRE Nowcast) is a price index covering the entire U.S. commercial market, including individual price trends for the office, apartments, retail, industrial and hotel sectors. “Even though the April all-sector increase is significantly stronger than the prior month’s slight gain of 0.2 percent, this still is the slowest annual growth rate from pricing for the cycle,” says Ten-X chief economist Peter Muoio. “April’s uptick in growth was seen across all major CRE sectors except hotel, where that segment’s fundamentals, as well as its pricing, continue dwindling. Meanwhile, the multifamily sector displayed the strongest pricing trends with a 1.8 percent gain in April.” The Ten-X Hotel Nowcast dipped 1 percent from March …

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A modest pullback by U.S employers in April doesn’t signal an end to the recent trend of strong job creation, but it adds to a string of subpar economic reports, says Robert Bach, director of research for the Americas at brokerage firm Newmark Grubb Knight Frank. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported a net gain of 160,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in April, well below the 200,000 jobs projected in Bloomberg’s survey of economists. What’s more, the increase in total nonfarm payroll employment for February was revised from 245,000 to 233,000, and from 215,000 to 208,000 in March. That means the U.S economy added 19,000 fewer jobs in February and March than first believed. The nation’s real gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an annualized rate of only 0.5 percent during the first three months of 2016, Bach points out, the weakest quarterly pace in two years. Weaker than expected retail sales, softness in business capital expenditures and a pullback in corporate earnings also have raised some red flags. “Taken together, these data points confirm the economy is navigating a soft patch that merits close observation in the months ahead, particularly with the added uncertainty created by the November …

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The battle between physical stores and online retail rages on, but the recent explosion in smartphone usage is blurring the battle lines. Using smartphones, consumers in a store now can simultaneously shop and compare pricing and product availability at competing stores or online. The practice is sometimes referred to as “showrooming.” Increasingly, retailers must simultaneously invest in a combination of brick-and-mortar stores, websites, digital marketing and merchandise delivery to sell goods. Only the real estate component of that infrastructure is subject to property tax. If property owners identify the portion of store sales attributable at least partially to online shopping, they can argue for taxable property values more accurately based on the remaining sales volume attributable to a store’s physical location and condition. Retailers that think mobile is a channel use the wrong metrics to measure the smartphone’s impact on retail. Smart retailers focus on the impact on overall business rather than trying to measure only app downloads or channel sales. Extrapolating a retail property’s value from base rent is relatively easy, but what happens when rent is based on sales? How do sales that take place in the store via smartphone, or online transactions that stem from a store …

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Dodge Data New Construction Starts Index

NEW YORK CITY — After a 13 percent jump in February, the pace of new construction starts in March across all real estate sectors fell by 1 percent, according to New York-based data firm Dodge Data & Analytics. The data is based on groundbreakings nationwide and uses the estimated construction costs of each project. Construction starts in March totaled a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $660.5 billion, down from $667.6 billion in February. The lift in February was largely fueled by utilities and public works, according to Dodge. While that construction activity pulled back in March, other commercial real estate sectors filled the bulk of the gap. If electric and gas plants are excluded, the total for March actually rose 4 percent versus February. The report also notes that March was well above the previous seven months, when new construction hit a temporary slump. “While March construction activity was down slightly from February, it stayed above the lackluster performance witnessed during the second half of last year that continued through January,” says Robert Murray, chief economist for Dodge. Big Lift in Certain Sectors Some sectors even saw a massive spike in new construction starts. Transit buildings, for example, shot up …

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Almost daily the media is reporting on another data/security breach, and today’s cyber criminals are becoming increasingly sophisticated while the technology needed to combat them lags behind. To date, more than $75.5 million has been spent on cyber claims losses, according to the most recent Cyber Claims Study published by NetDiligence, a cyber risk assessment and data breach services company. The study noted personally identifiable information was the most frequently exposed data at 94 percent, followed by payment card information at 27 percent. Analysts predict that cyber risk protection will be the top growing type of insurance for commercial real estate owners and operators. Without coverage, any business using a point of sale (POS) system or that stores data is at risk, especially those that store consumer data that can be used for criminal gain such as credit card information. This puts property managers of retail and apartment properties and retail tenants in a direct line of vulnerability for cyber criminals. Cyber criminals seek out information like rental applications, credit reports, leases and rental agreements, which contain personal information of applicants and tenants. Companies are required to dispose of these materials under the Fair and Accurate Credit Transactions Act federal …

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NEW YORK — The U.S. industrial market absorbed 57.8 million square feet of space in the first quarter of 2016, up 9.3 percent from the first quarter a year ago, according to Cushman & Wakefield’s first-quarter industrial report. This marked 24 consecutive quarters of positive net occupancy gains for the sector, placing the current expansion among the longest on record, as well as among the strongest. The U.S. industrial market shed more than 182 million square feet of occupancy during the economic downturn, but it has absorbed more than 990 million square feet in the expansion. The national industrial vacancy rate continued to decline in the first quarter, falling by 20 basis points from the prior quarter and 70 basis points from the prior year to 6.1 percent. Industrial vacancy is currently tracking at the lowest level of the past 30 years and is now a full 240 basis points below the 10-year historical average. Kevin Thorpe, chief economist of Cushman & Wakefield, says the outlook for the industrial sector remains promising, and he expects 2016 to be another year of strong growth. “Going forward, the demand drivers for industrial remain firmly intact,” says Thorpe. “Much of what drives demand …

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Desert Ridge, Phoenix

Recently, I had the opportunity to attend the Entertainment Experience Evolution conference in Los Angeles. This is a relatively new event, focusing on retail and mixed-use destinations with entertainment components as an amenity for retail developments. What was truly interesting is that this conference was not just about adding something fun for guests; it was a profound discussion about the future of retail centers — repositioning existing facilities that are struggling, and finding the “it” factor for new projects. Many industry leaders, including my colleagues from FRCH, presented innovative ideas and perspectives at the event. As retail experts, designers and architects, we spend a great deal of effort taking the pulse of retail in the U.S. and across the globe, evaluating the needs of our guests, macro trends and the overall state of the industry. The general consensus for the future combats old formulas from the past. We know that a development anchored by a grocery or department store simply doesn’t translate positively with consumers in the age of e-commerce. The focus of discussion was on new ways of drawing guests, and on the need for every development to be local, unique and adapted to its immediate environment. While this …

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