NEWARK, N.J. — Prudential Mortgage Capital Co. (PMCC) provided $15.2 billion in financing to the commercial real estate industry globally in 2014, exceeding expectations but down slightly from $15.8 billion in 2013. Despite the slight pullback overall, the company provided more than $3 billion in conventional agency loans in 2014, the highest production volume in the firm’s history. PMCC — the commercial mortgage lending arm of Newark-based Prudential Financial Inc. (NYSE: PRU) — unveiled the results Tuesday during the Mortgage Bankers Association’s 2015 Commercial Real Estate Finance (CREF)/Multifamily Housing Convention & Expo at the Manchester Grand Hyatt in San Diego. In addition to achieving a record year for agency lending in 2014, PMCC reported strong production in general account volume and CMBS transactions. The company — which exceeded its projected goal of $14 billion for 2014 — has as much as $15 billion available for financing in 2015. Among the highlights for PMCC in 2014: Portfolio lending in the U.S. totaled $7.9 billion, while portfolio lending internationally (Japan, the United Kingdom and the rest of Europe) totaled $700 million. CMBS originations on behalf of PMCC’s Liberty Island conduit program reached nearly $900 million. International assets under management grew to more …
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SAN DIEGO — The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) projects that originations of commercial/multifamily mortgages will grow to $414 billion in 2015, an increase of 7 percent over the prior year. Furthermore, MBA expects total loan originations will rise to $430 billion in 2016. The loan originations outlook was released Monday during MBA’s Commercial Real Estate Finance (CREF)/Multifamily Housing & Convention Expo 2015, which runs from Feb. 1-4. There are 3,100 attendees at this year’s conference at the Manchester Grand Hyatt in San Diego, up from 2,800 in 2014 and the highest attendance figure since 2008 when the conference drew 3,900 attendees. The MBA forecast is based on the expected level of deal volume among mortgage banking firms. “Commercial and multifamily real estate finance markets are strong,” says Jamie Woodwell, vice president of commercial real estate research for the MBA. “Rising property values, improving property fundamentals, lower interest rates and higher loan maturity volumes should all help boost mortgage borrowing and lending in the coming year.” Multifamily mortgages originated by mortgage bankers are forecast to total $152 billon in 2015. The commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding is expected to continue growing in 2015, ending the year at $2.7 trillion, up more than …
Business Tycoon Ted Turner Reflects on His Successes, Sacrifices at Annual Buckhead Coalition Luncheon
by John Nelson
ATLANTA — Billionaire entrepreneur and legendary media mogul Ted Turner, who along with Coca-Cola and Delta Air Lines helped put Atlanta on the map, captivated a packed house at restaurant 103 West on Wednesday afternoon during the annual luncheon of the Buckhead Coalition. Business and political leaders from across Atlanta and Fulton County gathered to hear the 76-year-old, straight-talking Turner reflect on his life and career during a one-on-one interview with Sam Massell, president of the Buckhead Coalition and former mayor of Atlanta from 1970-74. Turner didn’t disappoint. He and Massell bantered back and forth for 20 minutes, leaving the audience hungry for more. The Background Turner began his career as an account executive with the Turner Advertising Co., which made a substantial profit selling billboard ads. In 1970, he entered the television business when he acquired an independent UHF station. In 1976, Turner purchased Major League Baseball’s Atlanta Braves and launched the TBS Superstation, originating the “superstation” concept. The following year, Turner Broadcasting System Inc. acquired the National Basketball Association’s Atlanta Hawks and in 1980 Turner launched CNN, the world’s first live, 24-hour global news network. Over the next two decades, the company built a portfolio of cable television …
CHICAGO — The U.S. industrial vacancy rate dropped to its lowest level in nearly 14 years during the last months of 2014, according to Cushman & Wakefield. The overall industrial vacancy rate ended 2014 at 6.8 percent — the lowest level since the first quarter of 2001. Vacancies dropped 70 basis points year-over-year and 400 basis points from the recent peak of 10.8 percent in early 2010, according to the commercial real estate services firm. Today, four markets boast vacancy rates below 4 percent: the San Francisco Peninsula (3 percent); Greater Los Angeles (3.4 percent); Lakeland, Fla (3.7 percent); and Orange County, Calif. (3.7 percent). To view the rest of the top 10 with lowest fourth-quarter vacancy rates, view the chart above. “The industrial real estate market expansion has been driven, in part, by the ongoing evolution of demand-driven and information-enabled supply chains,” says John Morris, leader of Cushman & Wakefield’s Industrial Services for the Americas. “Responding to dynamic changes to how people shop, where they work, and how and where they live, new models and new requirements continue to emerge. An improving economy, the expansion of e-commerce and the growth of domestic manufacturing further fueled the rapid advancement we …
The U.S. office sector, already on an upward trend for several years, saw even more gains in absorption during the fourth quarter of 2014, according to a report from DTZ, a global commercial real estate service provider. The country saw a net absorption of 22.4 million square feet of office space, a 48 percent increase from the same time a year prior. Meanwhile vacancy fell 30 basis points to 14.5 percent since last quarter. New construction skyrocketed, with 103.8 million square feet under construction — a 74 percent increase over the same time last year. New York City leads the way, with a net absorption of 9.3 million square feet for 2014, more than 3.5 million of that in the fourth quarter alone. It was the metropolis’ third consecutive year of multi-million-square-foot growth. Houston and San Jose saw the next biggest numbers for 2014, with 6.6 million square feet and 4.4 million square feet, respectively. The report suggests that the positive trends will continue into 2015 as a strong economy and low gas prices stoke the fire. Although the report notes that there are some weak economies globally that could have a slowing effect on the U.S., the country has …
What five office markets nationally are the next hidden gems? The answer is Nashville; East Bay, Calif.; Raleigh-Durham; Denver; and Salt Lake City, according to a newly released report from global brokerage services giant JLL titled “Office Perspective: The NERDS.” Those five markets stand out as having rents and vacancy levels below the national average, absorption rates above the national average, and employment and demographic movement growing or forecast to grow at 1.5 to two times the national rate. Affordable homes, affordable office space, and a high quality of life are drawing more people, more specifically Millennials, to these markets. Since 2010, these markets have grown by 5.1 percent. That’s nearly double the national average. In addition, a recent survey conducted by the Demand Institute, a non-profit organization, reported that 48 percent of Millennials prefer the suburbs for their next home. The survey was based on 1,000 respondents. Another major draw to moving to these markets is the relatively low cost of living compared to some of the big cities. For example, the cost of living in these five markets is on average 36 percent less than San Francisco, 41 percent less than Brooklyn and 16 percent less than Austin, …
CHICAGO — The industrial sector is heating up and it has grocers, e-commerce companies and retailers to thank, according to a new JLL report. The global brokerage services giant anticipates a year of rising rents and growing demand for big-box distribution centers from retailers and grocers. Sixty tenants are currently seeking big-box warehouses of 1 million square feet or more nationwide, says JLL, with demand outweighing immediate, available sites by nearly three to one. “Every retailer is asking, ‘How close can I put my distribution center to the customer?’” says Craig Meyer, president of JLL’s Industrial Brokerage group. “Proximity is the key to profitability in this era of same- and next-day delivery. To out-deliver the competition, we are seeing rapid growth from retailers on the East Coast, in major cities across the country, and even in secondary logistics corridors.” Rising Rents Competition for space near East Coast seaports — New York/New Jersey, Savannah and Charleston — is strong and will continue to drive rent increases in 2015. JLL predicts this trend will continue as supply chain executives seek to avoid delivery interruptions from congested West Coast seaports and truck driver shortages. For example, warehouses at the Port of Savannah saw …
Owners of big box retail buildings can take lessons from Michigan on the proper way to value these large, free-standing stores for property tax purposes. The state’s well-developed tax law offers a clear model that is applicable in any state that bases its property tax valuation assessments on the fee simple, value-in-exchange standard. Many states, including Michigan, base real estate taxation on the market value of a property’s fee simple interest using value-in-exchange principles. In other words, a property’s taxable value is its market value, and market value is commonly considered the property’s probable selling price in a cash-equivalent, arms-length transaction involving willing, knowledgeable parties, neither of whom is under duress. In recent years, the Michigan Tax Tribunal has decided with remarkable consistency a dozen cases involving big box stores. In 2014, the Michigan Court of Appeals affirmed two of these Tax Tribunal decisions, recognizing that the Tribunal’s key rulings in this area rested on established law. Probably the most important concept affirmed in these Michigan decisions is that assessors must value big box properties based on their value-in-exchange and not their value- in-use. Assessors and appraisers hired by local Michigan governments repeatedly – and improperly – reached value conclusions …
Lenders Will Be ‘More Aggressive’ in 2015, Commercial Real Estate Finance Council Survey Shows
by John Nelson
WASHINGTON, D.C. — Leading commercial real estate lenders see a strong year ahead with ample credit and capital available to meet borrower demand, according to a newly released survey of Commercial Real Estate Finance Council (CREFC) members. Survey participants expect loan volume in 2015 to top 2014 levels as loan maturities rise and property fundamentals improve. The CRE Finance Council 2015 Market Outlook Survey was released on Monday, Jan. 5, in advance of CREFC’s Annual January Conference, which is Jan. 7-9. More than 1,600 industry participants are slated to attend the event at the Fontainebleau Hotel in Miami Beach. Survey respondents expect the U.S. commercial real estate finance market in 2015 to be quite healthy, buoyed by strong investor demand, rising loan maturities, relatively low levels of new construction and improving property fundamentals. While 74 percent of survey respondents expect benchmark interest rates to rise in 2015, in contrast to last year market participants are not as worried about interest rate increases as they are confident in the Federal Reserve’s ability to manage any increases in a thoughtful manner. Overall commercial real estate market liquidity is expected to stay the same or expand in 2015. Some 47 percent of respondents …
Architecture Billings Index’s Seven Consecutive Positive Months Suggests More Construction Around the Corner
by John Nelson
WASHINGTON, D.C. — Making it seven consecutive months of positive momentum, the Architecture Billings Index (ABI) posted a score of 50.9, down from 53.7 in October. The score reflects an increase in design activity, with any score above 50 indicating an increase in billings. A barometer of future non-residential construction activity, the ABI reflects the roughly nine- to 12-month lead time between architecture billings and construction spending. The index is produced by The American Institute of Architects (AIA) Economics & Market Research Group. The score is tabulated based on a monthly survey sent to a panel of AIA member-owned architecture firms. “Demand for design services has slowed somewhat from the torrid pace of the summer, but all project sectors are seeing at least modest growth,” says Kermit Baker, AIA’s chief economist. “Architecture firms are expecting solid mid-single digit gains in revenue for 2014, but heading into 2015, they are concerned with finding quality contractors for projects, coping with volatile construction materials costs and with finding qualified architecture staff for their firms.” The South region posted the highest three-month average ABI score (57.9) nationally, followed by the West (52.7), Midwest (49.8) and Northeast (46.7). Among property types, multifamily posted the highest …