LOS ANGELES — A recent CBRE report found that online sales during the course of the Thanksgiving weekend grew 17 percent over 2013, with an average order size of $124. Similarly, on Cyber Monday, sales grew 8.5 percent year-over-year. (Cyber Monday fell on Dec. 1 this year.) “Cyber Monday is no longer a one-day event,” says Spencer Levy, head of research for CBRE Americas. “Consumers are now spreading their holiday shopping over ‘Cyber Week’, taking advantage of online sales that began before Black Friday. Continued strength in online shopping is a trend which bodes well for the U.S. industrial real estate market, as e-commerce companies and omnichannel retailers will need more space to warehouse and process online shipments.” During the five-day “Cyber Week” period, online sales were up 12.6 percent nationwide, indicating that consumers are spreading their shopping activity over the course of the holiday season rather than just focusing on a single day. Traditional brick-and-mortar retailers seemed to reap the benefits of adopting omnichannel strategies, the report points out. On Cyber Monday, department stores recorded 17.9 percent year-over-year growth in online sales nationwide, while the biggest retailer in the U.S., Walmart, reported its best Cyber Monday ever. In response …
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REBusinessOnline.com is conducting a brief online survey of brokers, lenders and the owner/developer/manager community to gauge market expectations for 2015, and we welcome your participation. This survey should only take a few minutes to complete. The results will appear as a news feature story in the January issues of our print magazines and we will excerpt findings for an article in this space in as well. Questions cover a variety of topics, ranging from the outlook for investment sales and leasing activity in 2015 to development and lending opportunities to interest rates. Note: We prefer to attribute comments we quote from open-ended responses, however you may respond anonymously if you prefer. SOUTHEAST REAL ESTATE BUSINESS For professionals located in Arkansas; Alabama; Florida; Georgia; Kentucky; Louisiana; Maryland; Mississippi; North Carolina; South Carolina; Tennessee; Virginia; Washington, D.C.; and West Virginia. Southeast brokers survey: click here Southeast developer/owner/manager survey: click here Southeast lender survey: click here NORTHEAST REAL ESTATE BUSINESS For professionals located in Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and Vermont. Northeast brokers survey: click here Northeast developer/owner/manager survey: click here Northeast lender survey: click here TEXAS REAL ESTATE BUSINESS For professionals located in Texas …
Nearly half of multifamily housing commercial real estate professionals plan to expand their portfolios in 2015, according to a recent survey conducted by Capital One Multifamily Finance. Forty-three percent of respondents plan to be net buyers in 2015, while just 14 percent plan to be net sellers. The survey examined industry sentiment among West Coast-based professionals and was a follow-up to a similar East Coast survey in January. Asked which type of financing will be most important to their business in 2015, 52 percent of the 200 respondents who visited Capital One’s booth at an industry trade show pointed to acquisition financing. Financing for construction (21 percent) and refinance (20 percent) were also identified as important needs for businesses next year. Only 7 percent of respondents said that financing for lines of credit is a priority. According to the survey, seventy-four percent of respondents expect to approach banks and agency lenders for financing in the coming year. Fewer respondents will engage other capital sources (18 percent) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (8 percent). “Our survey reinforces that it’s truly a great time to be in the multifamily space,” says Grace Huebscher, president of Bethesda, Md.-based Capital One Multifamily Finance. “The industry’s …
Taxpayers and tax professionals researching market conditions to determine fair market value should consider any impending government actions. Even a rumor of a government project that would require acquisition of a property through eminent domain, or would impose restrictions on future use, can reduce the property’s market value and taxable value. Property values begin to suffer even before community leaders approve final plans or begin work on such a project. That’s because the belief that the project will occur places a cloud on the property owner’s ability to sell and on the price attainable in a sale. A potential buyer would be reluctant to acquire a property that will be involved in future condemnation litigation, with its inherent costs and delays, nor would a buyer welcome the uncertainty that those plans place on the property’s future use. The government taking may not involve acquisition of the property as a whole. Rather, it may remove some rights of use through restrictive zoning, creation of conservation corridors or the diversion or rerouting of traffic, for example. The property value declines because the wheels are turning to take away some of the rights of ownership, perhaps as much as 100 percent of those …
BOSTON — Two icons of the commercial real estate industry continue to be optimistic about the U.S. economy, telling their fellow industry leaders that even secondary and tertiary markets have reason to view the future with confidence. Ray Torto, Ph.D., CRE, the Harvard University lecturer who recently retired as global chief economist of CBRE, and Doug Poutasse, CRE, EVP, head of strategy and research at Bentall Kennedy, made the remarks to the audience of Counselors of Real Estate at the organization’s annual convention in Boston. Torto said that while there is chatter about overpricing, that should not be an issue because the U.S. is experiencing a stable, growing economy. He also noted that foreign investors continue to look favorably at the U.S. “They are taking a longer view, a more than the traditional five-to-seven year outlook,” said Torto. “When looking at major markets, I don’t worry so much about price, either – New York is not going to overbuild its apartment market any time soon,” said Poutasse. He cautioned, however, about potential overbuilding in the luxury housing market – at price points of three to $20 million. “Workforce housing” continues to be both a need and a driver in many …
The combination of continued solid employment growth and low inflation/interest rates has created a “sweet spot” for commercial real estate, concludes Robert Bach, director of research for the Americas at brokerage firm Newmark Grubb Knight Frank (NGKF). “The economy is strong enough to generate sustained leasing activity for all property types, but still has enough slack to permit the Federal Reserve to maintain low interest rates — a key factor supporting the surge of investor demand for commercial real estate assets,” according to Bach. The veteran economist’s insights were outlined in a research note following last Friday’s news that employers added 214,000 net new payroll jobs in October, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The increase, which marked the ninth consecutive monthly gain above 200,000 new jobs, was in line with economists’ expectations. Additionally, the BLS revised the August and September totals higher by a combined 31,000 jobs. The average monthly increase year-to-date through October is 229,000, up from 194,000 in 2013. The unemployment rate fell one-tenth of a point to 5.8 percent, its lowest level since July 2008, but the tightening is not translating into higher wages, according to Bach. “Wage growth remains slow — a negative …
WASHINGTON, D.C. — Third-quarter 2014 commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations were 16 percent higher than during the same period last year and 18 percent higher than the second quarter of 2014, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations. “Commercial real estate borrowing and lending continued at a strong clip in the third quarter,” says Jamie Woodwell, MBA’s vice president of commercial real estate research. “Low [interest] rates coupled with growth in property incomes, property values and sales transactions have pushed year-to-date commercial and multifamily mortgage originations five percent above last year’s pace.” Industrial, Multifamily Sectors Lead the Way The 16 percent overall increase in commercial/multifamily lending volumes, when compared to the third quarter of 2013, was driven by an increase in originations for industrial and multifamily properties. The increase included a 41 percent increase in the dollar volume of loans for multifamily properties, a 22 percent increase for industrial properties, an 11 percent increase for office properties, an 11 percent increase for retail properties, a 4 percent increase in hotel property loans, and a 43 percent decrease in healthcare property loans. Among investor types, the dollar volume of loans originated for government-sponsored …
WASHINGTON — An Energy Star score for multifamily properties is now available to enable owners and operators of multifamily properties — with 20 or more units — to quantify energy performance. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) Energy Star score gives property owners and managers the ability to quantify and compare the energy performance of their multifamily housing properties against similar properties, and provides information to help prioritize energy efficiency efforts to ultimately save money. Energy performance has a major impact on the quality and affordability of multifamily housing, according to Chrissa Pagitsas, director of Fannie Mae Multifamily Green Initiative. “Rising utility rates create financial risk for owners of multifamily properties and reduce affordability for tenants,” notes Pagitsas. “Unfortunately, there has been very little information and key metrics available to the multifamily industry regarding the energy performance of multifamily properties, until now.” Since 2011, Washington-based Fannie Mae has been the primary sponsor of EPA’s development of this score by sharing expertise and collecting the data necessary to develop the score with its Multifamily Energy and Water Market Research Survey. Numerous multifamily owners, property managers, and consultants provided data for the survey. “Fannie Mae and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency are working …
ROSEMONT, ILL. — U.S. industrial vacancy rates are at their lowest in more than a decade, according to third-quarter research findings from Rosemont, Ill.-based Cushman & Wakefield. The commercial real estate services firm’s latest report shows that significant space absorption and historically low supply is driving strong rent growth in most major industrial hubs. “Continued economic recovery, the evolution of e-commerce and a resurgence in domestic manufacturing have infused resiliency into the market for industrial space,” says John Morris, leader of Industrial Services for the Americas at Cushman & Wakefield. “Our sector continues to expand faster than other property classes, fueled by shifting consumer demand and retail service paradigms, and global growth dynamics.” During the third quarter, the overall national industrial vacancy rate dropped to 7 percent, 80 basis points lower than one year ago. Three of the 38 markets tracked by Cushman & Wakefield recorded vacancy rates under 4 percent, including California’s San Francisco Peninsula (3.5 percent), Greater Los Angeles (3.8 percent) and Orange County (3.8 percent). The full report can be found by clicking here. “Robust demand has led to 255.2 million square feet of leasing activity year-to-date, which is about the same level as a year ago …
A strengthening national economy and housing market are benefiting all segments of seniors housing, according to Marcus & Millichap’s National Seniors Housing Research Report for the second half of 2014. In some segments, such as independent living and continuing care retirement communities, occupancies and rents are expected to grow strongly through the end of the year. In the newly improving economy, retirees are using equity —which was previously tied up in their homes due to the soft housing market following the recession — toward entrance-fee continuing care retirement communities or other seniors housing options, the report says. The improving economy has been enormously beneficial to baby boomers, according to Marcus & Millichap. Boomers’ parents are the primary users of assisted living facilities. “Equipped with refilled retirement accounts, this group will feel more comfortable with the expenditure for seniors housing when the need arises,” the M&M research team wrote. This increased demand is spurring development activity. In states where barriers to entry are reduced, construction is underway, whereas states with tougher permitting and entitlement processes lag. Investment Sales Trends Smaller owners of seniors housing properties are being priced out of the market, according to Marcus & Millichap. Simultaneously, the strong demand …