Robert Niedzwiecki, an acquisition officer at JP Morgan Chase in New York City, offers a tip for investing in real estate in 2014. “Go where the puck is going, not where it’s been.” According to a panel of real estate experts that convened during a commercial real estate finance and investment conference on Tuesday, Oct. 8, the metaphorical puck is heading into value-add properties and/or in secondary markets. Robert Fransen, executive vice president and chief investment officer at Coro Realty Advisers, an Atlanta-based retail and apartment developer, noted that investors are seeing upside in value-add properties. “Value-add has become much more attractive to capital than just two years ago,” says Fransen. “It's shifting away from the distressed and core ends of the spectrum.” Fransen and Niedzwiecki’s commentary came during the conference held at the Westin Buckhead Hotel in Atlanta. The law firm of Morris, Manning & Martin LLP and France Media’s InterFace Conference Group jointly produced the daylong event, titled “How Can You Take Advantage of the Recovering Market?” The event attracted hundreds of investors, developers, lenders and financial intermediaries from across the Southeast. Fransen and Niedzwiecki participated in a panel discussion titled, “The Outlook for Investment in 2014.” Michael …
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CHICAGO —The most expensive street for office space in the U.S. is in a San Francisco suburb, according to a Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) research study. JLL researched 40 markets across the country and pared down the top 10 streets in terms of their average rental rates for office space. Sand Hill Road in Menlo Park, Calif., part of the San Francisco Peninsula market, is No. 1 on the list with average rents reaching almost $111 per square foot. New York City’s Fifth Avenue holds the No. 2 spot at $102 per square foot. Northern California’s University Avenue in Silicon Valley comes in at No. 3 spot with average rents of about $95 per square foot. Nationally, rental rates on the most expensive streets increased 10.9 percent on average since 2011 due to the recovery from the downturn and the lack of new construction leading to supply constraints. Reflecting the tech industry’s growth, the San Francisco Bay area holds three spots in the top 10 rankings — more than any other office market. California Street in the city of San Francisco moves up several notches to No. 6 with a 45.3 percent increase to $62 per square foot, placing it …
As one of the hardest hit asset classes during the recession, the U.S. resort sector has dramatically improved this year accounting for 18.4 percent of total investment transaction volume in the hospitality sector. The $2.46 billion of transactions through August marks the highest volume in the segment since 2007 and more than triple the prior-year period. The U.S. resort sector represents 13 percent of the total hotel room supply, including more than 3,900 hotels with 608,000 rooms. The resort market’s revenue per available room (RevPAR) and average daily rate (ADR) have surpassed the previous 2007 peak with average RevPAR of $102.99 and average ADR of $153.81 through August. Source: Jones Lang LaSalle The resort market has room to grow with occupancy nearing the prior peak, and a constricted new supply pipeline. Additionally, resorts in the U.S. often have net operating income per available room that is 1.5 to 2 times the income that a standard full-service hotel brings to the bottom line, and investors are taking note. “Given the intense capital requirement of building a new and competitive resort, as well as the lack of financing for such developments, there are few new four-and-five star resorts under construction,” says Art …
By Michael Shadeed On Oct. 1, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) implemented steep rate increases to the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) as a result of lowering government subsidies within the program due to the catastrophic losses incurred with Hurricane Katrina and Super Storm Sandy. Now real estate owners and operators will have to pay for flood coverage without subsidies, making rates skyrocket for certain geographic locations. The Biggert-Waters Act The change is a result of the Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012, which was signed last year to extend the NFIP for five years. The act requires changes to all major components of the program, including flood insurance, flood hazard mapping, grants and the management of floodplains. The changes are an attempt to raise NFIP premiums to more accurately reflect the “true cost” of flood insurance. The impact on flood maps and real estate owners The largest impact of the act will be the new flood maps and re-rating of current policies, which may cause substantial increases in premiums for both commercial and residential assets. Approximately 20 percent of NFIP policyholders pay subsidized rates and will be affected immediately, regardless of changes in the flood mapping. The …
LOS ANGELES — Office vacancy rates continued to decline in most major U.S. markets during the third quarter, based on preliminary data from CBRE Group Inc. Eight of the 13 largest markets showed lower office vacancy. Dallas, which led all markets, experienced a decline of 100 basis points to 18.1 percent. The U.S. industrial market also continued to show improvement during the third quarter, according to CBRE, with most of the demand coming from third-party logistics companies, the food service sector, home construction, automotive and automotive suppliers. Miami maintained its third place position among the top U.S. industrial markets, with an 8.1 percent vacancy rate in the third quarter, down 10 basis points from the previous quarter. “Despite rising interest rates and continued weak growth overseas, the U.S. office market continued to benefit from slow but steady job growth and limited new office development, which has allowed moderate leasing demand to cut the supply of excess space,” says Brook Scott, interim head of research for the Americas with CBRE. “Meanwhile the U.S. industrial market benefited from consumer and business spending, a recovering housing market and increased demand for logistics space tied to the growth of e-commerce during the third quarter …
SAN DIEGO — September was not only the time for industry experts to gather for the annual ICSC Western Division Conference, held last week in San Diego, but also a time to reflect on the five-year anniversary of what was deemed the start of the Great Recession. The collision of these two events was not lost on panelists and attendees. Many were happy to see deal volumes returning to healthy levels, but worried some might once again throw caution to the wind in pursuit of a perceived bargain. “There are lots of opportunities out there, but you have to be careful about what you’re seeing,” said Mark A. Schurgin, president of Los Angeles-based The Festival Companies and an ICSC trustee. “Don’t be lulled by interest rates, we don’t know where interest rates are going three years out. Assess all costs up front. There’s nothing worse than forgetting those fees.” Despite these worries, Schurgin, like his fellow Director’s Cut panelists, was quick to point out that a little unpredictability wasn’t keeping his firm on the sidelines. Festival has nine new projects under development, including four ground-up neighborhood shopping centers, as well as a Hispanic grocer with sub-anchors. It is also acquiring …
By John Garippa and Brian Fowler For the first time in many years, the city of Philadelphia has undertaken a comprehensive reassessment of all 579,382 parcels of property within its jurisdiction. Previously, the city had employed a haphazard approach to the assessment of real estate; the last partial reassessment in the city occurred in 2004, while many other properties were last reassessed in the 1980s. As a result of this disparate treatment, similarly situated properties often had very different assessments and tax burdens. For the current reassessment, the city has employed a traditional definition of market value as developed by the International Association of Assessing Officers, but will primarily rely on the sales approach to value. This may prove to be problematic. In the sales approach to value, an appraiser or assessor compares a taxpayer’s property directly with other recently sold properties in the marketplace using units of comparison, typically price per square foot. The appraiser adjusts these units of comparison for differences between the taxpayer’s property and the comparable sales. The sales approach is most reliable when the comparison data closely matches the taxpayer’s property, and works well for valuing homes, where there may be minor differences in size …
CHICAGO — Rising interest rates and the potential tapering of quantitative easing may have given investors momentary pause about committing to commercial real estate, but those two factors ultimately don’t appear to be dampening the enthusiasm that investors of all stripes have for the sector. According to Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL), investment sales in the first half of 2013 increased 18 percent compared to the same period last year. Transactions may slow in the early part of the second half of 2013 given the timing of interest rate increases and quantitative easing discussions, but activity is expected to bounce back strongly later in the third and fourth quarters. In the end, full-year sales volume should increase between 10 to 15 percent when compared to 2012, say the experts at JLL Capital Markets. “With institutions, private equity, high-net-worth individuals and foreign investors all in aggressive pursuit of commercial real estate, transaction activity in the United States should remain brisk and continue to grow,” says Jay Koster, Americas president for JLL Capital Markets. “In particular, we expect office sales transactions to significantly boost volume in the second half of the year, with activity propelled by improving employment growth within the technology, healthcare …
Jerry Nelson and Dolores Kelley Many shopping center owners, developers and others have cut costs, increased income and received other rewards from refinancing. Some borrowers are rushing to refinance now before interest rates jump up more than they already have. If you are nearing the end of your term loan, have an adjustable rate or have established equity in your property and desire to lower your monthly payments or cash out some of your equity, you should evaluate whether refinancing would benefit your bottom line. Should You Refinance Now? In March, we warned on our New Jersey law blog that interest rates could climb and asked readers to consider refinancing to cut costs and increase income before losing the opportunity to lock in a lower rate. In May, we advised on our New Jersey Law Blog that landlords were buying, financing, improving and selling properties to take advantage of low interest rates, available financing and rising values. As predicted, rates have started to tick upward, resulting in increased borrowing costs, which will continue to climb along with rates. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped to 2.93 percent on Sept. 12, up from 1.71 percent at the same last year. The good …
When Charles Dickens wrote his famous opening line, “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times,” he couldn’t have realized how apt it would be for the retail real estate market more than 150 years later. According to Jones Lang LaSalle’s U.S. Summer Retail Outlook, varying population growth and purchasing power across U.S. markets will widen the performance gap of centers creating a different outlook for owners and occupiers of these assets. “Competitive centers that are well-tenanted and ideally located are seeing vacancy rates near four percent, and we expect them to see further improvements,” says Greg Maloney, president and CEO of Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) Retail. “However, underperforming centers that can’t sustain the needed sales volumes to remain competitive due to their surrounding demographic may continue to trend downward, and require eventual demolition, rebranding or a conversion.” During the last year, consumer confidence took a deep dive, but rallied this summer as consumers benefited from higher stock and housing values, falling gasoline prices and lower debt levels, according to JLL’s retail report. The improvement is expected to be tempered by high unemployment and slow income growth. “Consumer confidence remains volatile, as shoppers adjust to changes …