A newly released report from Axiometrics Inc. shows that during the last three months of 2011, national effective rental rates for the apartment sector declined by 1.05 percent. This compares to a decline of just 0.59 percent over the same period in 2010. However, because effective rents had grown so much during the previous eight months of 2011, and because units at the upper end of the market are nearing capacity, pricing power for apartment owners remains strong. Consequently, rents should continue their upward trajectory nationally in 2012, the Dallas-based apartment data provider predicts. Axiometrics, which measures the performance of the apartment sector every month by surveying more than 18,000 properties and 4.8 million units, projects effective rent growth in 2012 to reach 5.50 percent. “The apartment market’s strength is being driven by demand from modest job growth, strong renter household formation, and low supply,” said Ron Johnsey, president of Axiometrics Inc., in a news release. “These factors will make 2012 a strong year, better than both 2010 and 2011, at least from the owner and landlord perspective,” continued Johnsey. “Residents in most markets will begin to move more to control their housing costs, such that people in Class A …
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Chris Barnet During the last 45 years, there have been a number of regulations and laws that have dramatically affected the commercial real estate industry, and will continue to do so, both nationally and in Texas. With the passage of the Medicare Act on July 1, 1966, which guaranteed government-sponsored healthcare coverage for all citizens age 65 and older, healthcare employment increased 331 percent more than the national employment with an estimated 19 million people becoming Medicare beneficiaries. This significant increase in healthcare employment equated to more than 1 million healthcare jobs in clinics, hospitals, nursing facilities, etc., thereby increasing the demand for medical office space. A game-changer In 1989, as part of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act, the Stark Law was passed. This law has forever altered the relationship between doctors and hospitals by, amongst other things, prohibiting doctors from making referrals to facilities in which the doctors have a financial interest. The Stark Law had a profound impact on the commercial real estate industry since the act made it no longer possible for a doctor to receive a below-market lease rate when occupying hospital-owned space, in return for which the doctor would make service referrals to the hospital. …
Ann Hambly From January 2009 through 2010, the CMBS default curve resembled a steep climb up Mount Everest with an approximate 90-degree incline. The default rate reached a peak of more than 12 percent of all outstanding CMBS debt — or over $80 billion — before starting a slight decline during the middle of 2011. Amid the slight ebb in loan defaults, there was widespread speculation in the industry that maybe all the defaults were behind us and that this was a sign of a gradual recovery. As it turns out, that perception was actually an illusion. Throughout 2009 and 2010, CMBS defaults were increasing at a fast and furious pace with virtually no resolutions or recoveries. The reason there were no resolutions is that no one knew when real estate values would increase again. The majority of people took the wait-and-see approach, including most special servicers. We referred to this hesitation in the CMBS industry as a period of “kicking the can further down the road” or “delay and pray.” When it became clear by early 2011 that valuations were not going to increase significantly anytime in the near future, the approach changed from kicking the can further down …
John Battle The best way to describe the current state of the commercial real estate investment market is bifurcated. At one end of the spectrum are institutional buyers with literally billions of dollars to invest. These buyers are only acquiring Class A properties located in gateway cities such as New York, Washington D.C., San Francisco, Los Angeles and Seattle. When these types of properties become available, they generate 20 to 40 offers or more, resulting in a bidding war among the top three or four bidders at capitalization rates in the low 5 to 6 percent range. At the other end of the spectrum, Class B buildings continue to struggle. So too do Class A assets that are not located in gateway cities. Although some of the bidders that have been unsuccessful in their preferred markets are now considering smaller markets such as Philadelphia, St. Louis and southern Orange County, they expect to get a much better return on their investment, typically a cap rate in the neighborhood of 7 percent. The general feeling around the country from acquisition managers who have been most active is that this trend will continue for at least the next two years while the …
Liz Burlingame For all of his financial success, philanthropist and billionaire grocery magnate Frederik Meijer insisted on simple living. He drove an old car and he and his wife, Lena, lived in the modest Grand Rapids home they built in 1957. “He was down-to-earth and very approachable,” says Earl Clements, a principal at the Grand Rapids office of Colliers International, who first befriended Meijer in the 1980s. “And it was never 'Mr. Meijer.' He said, 'Call me Fred.'” Meijer, the founder and chairman emeritus of Meijer Inc. super center chain, died Nov. 25 in Grand Rapids. He was 91. Meijer's rise in the retail world began simply enough in Greenville, Mich. At 14, Meijer was a grocery bagger for his Dutch immigrant father Hendrik's store. Hendrik was a barber by trade, but opened his first store in 1934 in the grip of the Great Depression. In 1962, the Meijers' opened their first department store called Thrifty Acres. They were pioneers of the one-stop-shopping concept later replicated by Wal-Mart founder Sam Walton. The stores were renamed Meijer in 1984 and the company became one of the largest family-owned retail businesses. Today, Meijer stores have expanded throughout the Midwest, with about 200 …
Ann Hambly When it comes to restructuring a bank or life company loan that is still on a lending institution’s balance sheet, the negotiation really boils down to two individuals — the borrower and the lender — agreeing on a solution that hopefully creates a “win-win” scenario. Negotiating the possible restructuring of a CMBS loan is a completely different story, however. Therefore, it is important to understand the objective and motivations of the party you are negotiating with. The special servicer, who is tasked with making decisions on a defaulted loan, has a number of objectives, and often they are competing objectives. The special servicer’s primary obligation is to make a decision that results in the least amount of loss to all bondholders in the pool, without regard to its own bond position. That is the servicing standard that a special servicer agrees to when it signs a pooling and servicing agreement at the time of securitization. A hypothetical example So, what does all this mean in practical terms? Let’s walk through an example of a loan that is underwater. Let’s assume that the loan balance is $10 million and the value of the real estate today is $7 million. …
Joseph Smith “Challenging” would accurately describe the past few years in the hotel industry, with many owners in underleveraged positions on historically performing assets. For hotel management professionals, the question of how to quickly turn things around for a struggling property is paramount. These days it often is not enough to make gradual changes and long-term investments; many hotel owners need results now as hotels struggle to boost net operating income. It requires competent, bold leadership to immediately impact bottom-line results. A hotel turnaround an all-inclusive solution that covers asset quality, service delivery, revenue generation and capture, accurate and detailed forecasting, margin controls tied to forecast models, and a comprehensive analysis of challenges and opportunities. Leaving one of these elements out of the equation will lead to mixed results. Only management companies with nimble, aggressive and dedicated professionals can drive the necessary change. All too often, the management team of an underperforming asset resorts to a single focus on expense cutting to offset a lack of execution on the revenue side of the business; the result is a downward spiral for the asset. As a wise hotelier once said, “Continue focusing on expenses only and you will get sales down …
Matt Valley Today’s extremely low interest rates pose a danger to commercial real estate investors, particularly those with billions of dollars to deploy such as pension funds and sovereign wealth funds, warns Ethan Penner, founder and president of CBRE Capital Partners. In order to receive a reasonable rate of return, these investors are being “crowded out” of low-risk investments and forced into high-risk investments. The 10-year Treasury yield, a benchmark for commercial real estate finance, currently is hovering around 2 percent, not far from its record low. “There is almost no way to invest large amounts of money in today’s market — specifically in today’s real estate market — and not be set up for a major disappointment sometime soon,” remarked Penner during his keynote address at the Commercial Real Estate Investment & Finance 2012 conference. Law firm Morris, Manning & Martin along with France Media’s InterFace Conference Group hosted the day-long event at the Grand Hyatt in Atlanta. “The major disappointment may take the form of economic non-recovery, it might take the form of very, very high interest rates, which will render your returns very, very inadequate,” explained Penner. “I don’t know what [factor] it is going to be, …
Barry B. LePatner, Esq. With needed construction projects proceeding despite the ongoing slowdown in the economy, negotiating construction that ensures completion on schedule and without avoidable cost overruns can be a considerable task for most owners, developers and lenders. Fortunately, a few carefully considered steps can be taken to ensure the financial health of your projects by following the Four Golden Rules of Construction Cost Certainty. The U.S. population is poised to grow by 100 million through the year 2050. The net result is that we will be embarking on a $25 trillion building spree for new schools, hospitals, roads, offices and residences nationwide to accommodate this growth. But critical to this national endeavor is that we build anew without the recognized inefficiencies of our construction industry, where nearly 50 percent of all labor costs pay for waste and corruption, rather than completing a project. There is simply no reason for new construction projects to begin without cost certainties built into the contract. To address the fact that contractors too often provide bids based on incomplete design documents and low-ball the contract price — only to subsequently seek profits on unwarranted change orders and delay claims — our firm has …
Dan Marcec On September 11, 2001, the confidence inherent in the American spirit was shaken considerably, which without a doubt extended to the economy and the real estate industry. With two of the country’s — and indeed the world’s — iconic office buildings directly destroyed, the Lower Manhattan commercial market not only took a physical hit, but also a psychological one. REBusinessOnline takes a look at Lower Manhattan today and the steps it took to reinvent — and at the same time reestablish — itself as a destination market for growth and development. In The Aftermath As a result of the 9/11 attack and its subsequent fallout, Lower Manhattan lost more than 12 million square feet of space — nearly 26 million square feet was either destroyed or damaged, says Tara Stacom, vice chairman with Cushman & Wakefield, who is also responsible for leasing One World Trade. Because of the immediate flux in space, there was an obvious impact on vacancy and rental rates in the aftermath. Interestingly enough, in mid-2001, the Lower Manhattan market had an unusually low vacancy, hovering around 6.5 percent. According to Stacom, 7 to 9 percent is considered equilibrium, where there is balance on both …