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Commercial property owners in the District of Columbia are crawling out of a post-pandemic fog and into a new, harsh reality where office building values have plummeted, but property tax assessments remain perplexingly high.  Realization comes slowly Immediately following the pandemic, many office property owners adopted a wait-and-see attitude toward the volatility permeating the sector, clinging to hopes that the rising popularity of remote work and similar office worker practices would prove temporary. Once the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates to combat generational inflation in 2022, however, hopes for a “return to normal” vanished and a grim reality set in.  Recent transactions involving office properties in the District clearly indicate that investors recognize the negative impact these market forces have exerted on office building valuations and are now pricing those changes into the amounts they are willing to bid for acquisitions. These recent sales show office building values have declined by more than 50 percent from pre-pandemic levels.  The other shoe began to drop on office market pricing in early 2023 with a rise in distress transactions, in which the office owner sells or forfeits the property to resolve some form of trouble, typically financial. These turnovers in ownership …

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By David DiRienzo, director — business development, at Talonvest Capital, Inc. This is part one of a two-part series discussing the key drivers behind transaction volume and the steps owners can take to ensure they are well-positioned going forward. Much has been written about the decline in transaction volumes over the last 24 months. There is no question that properties are changing hands at a slower pace compared to the activity seen during the low interest rate environment that prevailed during the pandemic. Even so, many investors continue to seek out financing to address a variety of circumstances. In today’s market, beyond simply refinancing due to an upcoming loan maturity, three scenarios have been driving financing activity among owners of self-storage, multifamily and industrial assets: restructuring debt as a project evolves, elective refinancing to improve performance and capitalizing on a new business plan. We will cover the first theme below in part one of this two-part series. Business Plan Progression Offers Opportunities for Owners to Unlock Value As a business plan evolves and the asset matures, it’s beneficial for owners to reassess their capital stack to optimize investment performance and maximize their goals. Completing a refinance at a natural project inflection …

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By Donna Long, managing director, property management, LanCarte Commercial The role of property managers is to safeguard and enhance the value of our clients’ assets. And in today’s evolving landscape, commercial property managers navigate challenges such as extreme weather events, rising insurance costs, regulatory changes and environmental sustainability. Addressing these challenges effectively requires a proactive, quality-focused approach to ensure smooth operations and long-term profitability. Extreme weather events — hurricanes, floods, tornadoes — are more frequent and severe than ever before. They pose increasingly significant risks to commercial properties, requiring greater expertise in risk management strategies. Weather-related or other destructive events can lead to significant business interruptions, so property managers play a vital role in developing and implementing effective emergency response plans that align with insurance requirements and expectations. These plans include: Having a network of trusted contractors, structural engineers and other service providers on standby is essential for rapid repair response and minimized operational interruptions. Strong relationships with local emergency services and disaster response teams allow for quicker deployment of resources and support during a crisis. Effective communication with all stakeholders — tenants, property owners, emergency responders — ensures that everyone is informed, expectations are managed and appropriate actions are being taken. After …

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By Kori Zwaagstra, director of operations, TriCelta Development As the commercial real estate market continues to evolve in unexpected ways, the key to making a project truly impactful lies in strong community involvement from the beginning. With shifting trends and economic ups and downs, developers benefit from listening to the people who will be most affected. By working closely with residents, city officials and underrepresented groups, developers can create projects that feel more connected, sustainable and widely accepted. This approach not only streamlines the development process but also preserves projects’ relevance and adaptability to market changes — all while keeping the community’s needs front and center. Understanding Stakeholders’ Impacts Stakeholders are more than people with financial interests in a project — they also include the end-users who will experience the space firsthand. These are the individuals who will live, work and interact with the development daily, and their perspectives impact the project’s success. Prioritizing community needs and incorporating feedback ensures that the project aligns with expectations. The goal is to create a development that benefits both investors and the community, achieving a balance that enriches the lives of everyone involved. While immediate financial gains and the needs of primary owners …

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By Phil Brusk and Caleb Vahcic of Siegel Jennings Co. L.P.A. The seniors housing sector can’t seem to catch a break. Owners grappling with staffing shortages and other operational hardships lingering from the pandemic are facing new challenges related to debt and spiraling costs. High interest rates and loan maturations loom over the industry, with $19 billion in loans coming due within the next 24 months, according to Cushman & Wakefield’s “H1 2024 Market Trends and Investor Survey” on senior living and care. Factors driving high costs include wage pressures, inflation and — incredibly — rising property taxes. Despite operational challenges and declining occupancy at many facilities during the COVID-19 pandemic, property tax relief for seniors housing was mixed. Many assessors resisted downward adjustments to taxable values, maintaining that recovery was around the corner. Now, seniors housing operators face property tax assessments that equal or exceed pre-pandemic levels. As in the hospitality sector, most seniors housing owners understand that their operating properties include more value components than real property alone. In evaluating whether a tax assessment is reasonable and fair, however, owners need to realize that how an assessor addresses their real estate, personal property and intangible assets can drastically …

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LAS VEGAS — At the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 50 basis points, which is the first easing of monetary policy in four years. This move lowered the short-term interest rate to a target range of 4.75 to 5 percent. Elevated borrowing costs have stifled commercial real estate transaction volumes the past couple years as buyers and sellers found that values were a moving target. Now with a reduction in interest rates, many real estate professionals expect transaction volume to rebound at least moderately. “In 2025, we expect lower interest rates will reduce borrowing costs, aid in price discovery and ultimately encourage an uptick in [commercial real estate] transactions,” said Angela Cain, global CEO of the Urban Land Institute (ULI). Cain’s comments came in a prepared statement to summarize the findings of Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2025, an annual report jointly produced by PwC US and ULI. The report was published in conjunction with ULI’s Fall Meeting, which is taking place this week at Resort World Las Vegas. Cain said that the real estate professionals surveyed for the report relayed that sentiment is improving, though many remain cautious. …

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WASHINGTON, D.C. — All indices in the National Multifamily Housing Council’s (NMHC) October 2024 Quarterly Survey of Apartment Market Conditions showed more favorable conditions this quarter, except for the Market Tightness (37) index. The survey’s Sales Volume (67), Equity Financing (63) and Debt Financing (77) indices all came in above the breakeven level of 50. “The 10-year Treasury yield fell 28 basis points over the past three months as the Federal Reserve enacted its first 50-basis-point cut to short-term rates,” says Chris Bruen, NMHC economist and senior director of research. “Survey respondents, in turn, reported more favorable conditions for debt financing for the third straight quarter and more available equity financing for the first time in two-and-a-half years.” However, elevated levels of multifamily deliveries resulted in the ninth consecutive quarter of “looser” conditions, especially in the South and Sun Belt markets, says Bruen. “Still, strong demand for apartments has meant that much of this new supply is getting absorbed,” he states. While close to half of respondents (46 percent) thought market conditions were unchanged relative to three months ago, 40 percent indicated markets have become looser, up from 27 percent in July. Fifteen percent of respondents reported tighter markets than …

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Pictured is an office interior in New York City.

Perhaps the most salient information within Lee & Associates’ 2024 Q3 North America Market Report pertains to the office market. The third quarter of 2024 ended nine continuous quarters of negative net absorption in the office sector. However, additional occupancy losses may be on the horizon for the office market, even as supply pressures ease for this property type. Positive retail news has led to positive industrial news, as rising demand for retail goods has bolstered tenant demand for industrial space just as additional industrial inventory is coming on line. Steady economic growth and continuing impediments to home ownership have created strong absorption in the multifamily sector. Rent growth and vacancy rates have largely plateaued. Lee & Associates has made their complete third-quarter report available here (with more detailed information broken down according to property type). Below is an overview of the strengths and challenges in the industrial, office, retail and multifamily sectors. Industrial Overview: U.S. Demand Spikes Industrial demand across the United States dramatically improved in the third quarter. There were 52.8 million square feet of positive net absorption in the country in the third quarter, a 76 percent jump from the same period a year ago and more than double the …

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Amid a slump in investment sales volume, investors eagerly welcomed the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut in September. The half-percentage point decrease was more than what many in the industry had anticipated, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell recently indicated that additional rate cuts this year will likely not be as aggressive. The move by the Fed came after a spike in the federal funds rate from near zero in March 2022 to a range of 5.25 to 5.5 percent in July 2023 — a period during which the central bank raised the federal funds rate 11 times.  Ultimately, the higher interest rate environment has led to a major slowdown in the sales volume of net lease properties this year, says Randy Blankstein, president of The Boulder Group based in Wilmette, Illinois. “Transaction volume is down approximately 60 percent from 2022 levels,” he says. In a net lease transaction, the tenant pays a portion or all of the taxes, insurance fees and maintenance costs for a property in addition to rent. For the 12-month period that ended in June, net lease investment volume across property types decreased by 34 percent from the same period a year ago to $35.4 billion, according …

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By Taylor Williams Successfully executing a commercial conversion project is like hitting a six-leg parlay in sports betting: A lot of dominoes have to fall the right way, and without a little luck and outside help, it’s probably not happening.  Take the embattled office sector. Even working professionals from outside the office real estate market who read the plethora of mainstream news articles recognize that it’s no small feat to turn those buildings into apartments. After all, when you’re dealing with thousands of tons of steel, glass and concrete in any capacity, things are bound to get messy. But theoretically, if the demand for more housing is there — and there can be little arguing that it is — and cities recognize that office usage has forever changed, then why aren’t we seeing more of these projects come to fruition in our cities?  Setting aside the fact that office-to-residential conversions are incredibly expensive and fraught with risk even in the absence of a tight and constrained lending market like we currently have, there are still numerous reasons as to why these deals don’t proliferate. Does the city in question have flexible zoning? Does the community have a reputation for NIMBYism? …

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