(Panelists, clockwise from top left) Adam Tiktin, Tiktin Real Estate Investment Services; Rod Castan, Courtelis Company; Lyle Stern, Koniver Stern Group; Philip Rosen, Becker (moderator); Duane Stiller, Woolbright Development. Last week, Shopping Center Business and Southeast Real Estate Business hosted “South Florida Retail Outlook: What is the Impact of COVID-19 on South Florida’s Retail Sector?” Listen as a panel of retail experts discusses their gameplans: working with tenants and their employees as the industry seeks to adapt. Hear about attitudes towards loans, rent reductions, property value, next steps and more. See a list of some topics covered and their timestamps below: (07:00): How are restaurants and experiential tenants faring? (09:29) Adapting for the challenges of COVID-19 (17:28) South Florida retail rent trends over the next 180 days? (24:32) What can owners do today to position themselves to succeed? (36:00) When might we start to see real loan defaults and real distressed assets? (42:55) Lessons learned from 2007-2008 financial crisis (53:56) Decisions made in the pre-COVID-19 world that have carried over well into our current environment Hear how South Florida retail professionals are approaching industry challenges and evolving to meet the needs of retailers. Panelists: Philip Rosen, Becker (moderator) Adam Tiktin, …
The outbreak of COVID-19 has had an outsized impact on South Florida. According to Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, the region’s three primary counties rank in the top 20 of confirmed COVID-19 cases as of Wednesday, July 22. At 92,345 cases, Miami-Dade County is No. 4 on the list. Broward County comes in at No. 9 with 43,747 cases, and Palm Beach County is No. 20 with 27,506 cases. The surge in cases has had a pronounced effect on the area’s retailers as citizens have resumed their caution in public settings for fear of contracting the virus. “There is a tremendous amount of distress across South Florida’s economy, and especially in retail,” said Philip Rosen, shareholder and real estate chair of law firm Becker. Rosen’s comments came during South Florida Retail Outlook, a webinar hosted by Shopping Center Business that discussed the impact of COVID-19 on South Florida’s retail sector. Rosen moderated the panel discussion, which had 337 registrants. The pandemic’s effect is not all negative as grocers, drugstores and hardware stores have enjoyed increased sales activity amid the crisis. However, the bulk of retail categories are suffering from extended closures and operating at limited capacities. Restaurants in particular …
NEW YORK CITY — The industrial sector has emerged as the strongest commercial real estate sector during the COVID-19 pandemic, according to a June LightBox report that updated information from the annual RCM/Lightbox — SIOR report. The surge in consumers buying goods and groceries online has fueled the demand nationwide. “Clearly, no commercial real estate asset class is immune to the immediate and long-term impact of COVID-19, a black swan event unlike anything anyone has experienced,” says Tina Lichens, senior vice president of broker operations at LightBox. “Industrial real estate, however, is in the best position to return to a place of strength once we get past the short-term pain and uncertainty.” New York City-based LightBox laid out five trends to watch in the industrial sector as the pandemic continues to grow in the country: 1. Investors return to core markets: Erik Foster, principal and head of industrial capital markets for Avison Young, expects the money to flow into stable core markets such as Chicago, the Inland Empire, New York/New Jersey and Dallas. Foster points to a May review by Avison Young showing rent demand surrounding last-mile facilities in city cores was 20 to 40 percent higher in markets like …
In the realm of apartment market research, Seattle represents a bellwether of sorts these days, where broader trends and themes can be parsed. Seattle’s economy, population and real estate landscape have grown at rates previously considered impossible in a primary market. The city stands at the veritable intersection of technological and generational change — the corner of Large Cap Tech Boulevard and Millennial Street — and it has developed into the avatar of the infill, wood-frame mid-rise design touchpoint that defines so much of today’s urban apartment architecture. What happens here will reveal some of the trends likely to follow in similar markets — from Raleigh to Portland. Seattle was also the first major U.S. metropolitan market to grapple with the novel coronavirus, so the path that it follows will provide some insight into how the American multifamily market will mutate as we adjust to “life in the time of COVID,” to borrow a note from Garcia Marquez. By the same token, the Jet City faces the prospect of digesting an enormous multifamily supply pipeline that was, for the most part, conceived for the pre-COVID-19 world. The manner in which this supply is absorbed will speak volumes about how the …
Despite the ongoing struggles faced by the student housing sector, lenders are still active, according to a recent survey by Student Housing Business. The coronavirus pandemic has had a major impact on all aspects of on- and off-campus student housing. In an attempt to better assess that impact and the sector’s outlook for the future, Student Housing Business, sister publication of REBusinessOnline, conducted a survey of industry professionals over the course of several weeks in May. The survey was segmented by industry function for specific elements of the business, allowing SHB to better understand the pandemic’s distinct influence on each segment of the industry. Of the survey’s 569 respondents, 19 defined their company’s role in the industry as that of a lender, debt capital source, mortgage banker or broker. In this segment of the industry, 15 percent of companies laid off or furloughed employees at the corporate level and 8 percent instituted pay cuts. When asked whether their companies are still financing, lending or facilitating any investment and development transactions, 77 percent indicated yes. Forty-six percent of respondents noted that they are currently most inclined to lend on investment deals with 38 percent noting they are equally interested in both development and …
During the great multifamily bull market of this passing decade, investors became increasingly comfortable with exposure to highly volatile metropolitan markets. In an era when it was difficult to make a bad investment decision, the most lucrative were, in most cases, located in areas of the country known for their roller-coaster real estate cycles. Indeed, it seemed as though a purchase capitalization rate could never be too low if an asset was located in one of the primary markets. Volatility was an ally, not a foe — an investment feature, not a bug. With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and its attendant recession, however, volatility appears to have switched allegiances. The winds now favor, perhaps, the stable, predictable tortoises over the high-flying hares. In high-cost markets, the number of renters considering relocating to more affordable area codes has skyrocketed, and in the work-from-home era, this has become more of an achievable goal than an inchoate urge. For example, the San Francisco Apartment Association reported that 7.5 percent of tenants in the city — where rents increased at a 6.1 percent compound annual rate since 2010 — simply broke their leases in the three months that ended in May, moving …
In June, Student Housing Business, sister publication to REBusinessOnline, reached out to Timothy Bradley, founder of TSB Capital Advisors, for an update on the market for financing in the student housing sector and the outlook for the year ahead. SHB: How would you describe the market for financing student housing at present? Tim Bradley: The market is challenging but not impossible for the right deal with strong sponsorship. For cash-flowing student housing assets, there is still an element of “wait and see until fall” for refinancings and acquisitions in the debt markets. We are still receiving quotes from agencies on student housing transactions, but they include conditions such as heads in beds, school starting and upfront interest reserves. It’s also important to note that agencies are focused on best-in-class owners and operators and sound real estate at this time. All-in rates are still in the low- to mid-3 percent range for fixed-rate quotes. National banks are being very selective on new originations for existing clients and we have found regional banks to be more active in the current market. Life companies are mostly on the sidelines for student housing until the fall semester plays out. For construction, we’ve been able to secure …
“After COVID-19, nothing ever will be the same,” has become a common refrain these days. Perhaps for the next decade or so, every important life choice will be made with public health and safety concerns in mind — and the most commonly chosen solutions will be meaningfully different than before. Among the most fundamental life choices subject to this new scrutiny will be where to live, how to make a living and how to safely move about. Many Americans will opt for less densely populated neighborhoods, increased work-from-home opportunities and private transportation options. When the time arrives to put plans into action, however, most will elect to take small steps rather than a giant leap. Perhaps the high-rise apartment and subway ride to a co-working space can be sacrificed, but not at the expense of convenience, access to nightlife and entertainment and career prospects. Urbanity isn’t out of style, but its form will mutate. Some U.S. metros will struggle to adapt, including a few primary markets. Others seem to be attuned to the times, blessed with all of the now prized attributes already in place. None is more perfectly positioned than Austin. Austin checks all the boxes. It is less …
A “black swan” event, the COVID-19 pandemic has had a devastating impact on the hospitality sector, affecting everything from revenue to operating models and the ability for hotel owners to pay debt service, says Brian Waldman, executive vice president of investments for Peachtree Hotel Group. The insights from Waldman came last Wednesday, July 1, during a webinar he moderated on the current state of the hospitality sector. The session was titled “Distressed Hotels: Sourcing Debt and Equity, Acquisitions and Value-Add Strategies.” A group of panelists not only discussed the epic challenges currently facing the industry, but also the road ahead. IMN hosted the event, and panel participants included David Parsky, managing principal of Arris Investments; Krystal England, senior director of Canyon Partners Real Estate; Rani Gharbie, head of acquisitions and development for The Pod Hotels; and Andrew Gindy, principal of Walton Street Capital. “Fundamentals are very depressed, and as a result the industry is in a cash-preservation mode,” began Gindy. “Recovery in terms of demand will remain unclear until there is some sort of vaccine or therapeutic measure to be taken against COVID-19. Without a visible end in sight, those of us in the industry need to preserve cash. Folks …
By Evan Wyner, Senior Director of Commissioning and Energy Services, Colliers Project Leaders Designing a building can be a busy, chaotic and somewhat messy process. It is a complicated negotiation between theory and practice in which architects create the vision and the aesthetic of the building and its related spaces, structural engineers develop the bones that ensure the building is sound. Mechanical, electrical and plumbing engineers develop the systems that help create the experience of the space and keep people comfortable, productive, healthy and safe in the most energy-efficient manner possible. And then there are the owners, who are praying that all this can be done within their budget so they can deliver a building they are proud of to their stakeholders. The design team brings order to this chaos by following a program, developed closely with the owner, to ensure that spaces meet the needs of the occupants. Whether a project is a residential high rise with one-, two- and three-bedroom apartment units or a mix of different office types with open spaces, private offices and a multitude of conference rooms, the design team delivers guidance to achieve a functional space that meets the vision of the owner and …