ATLANTA — With the full effect of the tax cuts yet to be felt, any talk of a recession is ultimately premature, according to Rajeev Dhawan, director of the Economic Forecasting Center at Georgia State University’s (GSU) J. Mack Robinson College of Business. Speaking at his quarterly economic forecast, which was held on Wednesday, May 23 at GSU’s Centennial Hall Auditorium, Dhawan said the impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act signed into law by President Trump last December should take hold by the middle of this year. In addition, he expects the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to raise the federal funds rate, the overnight interbank lending rate, twice more in 2018: once in June then again in December. The current federal funds rate is 1.75 percent. In the interim period between those two hikes, the forecaster expects the Fed to keep a close eye on two key trends: consumer spending and long-bond yields. “First, evidence has to emerge that tax cut-induced consumer spending is finally taking hold as weak retail sales numbers in the first quarter were a snapback from a hurricane rebuilding spending surge in the last quarter of 2017,” Dhawan wrote in his quarterly Forecast …
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CBRE: U.S. Apartment Sector Gets Boost from Comprehensive Tax Reform
by David Cohen
LOS ANGELES — The sweeping tax reform bill signed into law in late 2017 by President Donald Trump is expected to benefit the U.S. multifamily investment market, according to a new report from CBRE. The report states that under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the tax benefits of renting over buying a home will increase in 29 of the 35 largest U.S. markets. That number is up from 15 markets before the tax reform. The new tax law increases the standard deduction from $12,700 to $24,000 for a married couple. This means more people will take the standard deduction rather than itemize items such as mortgage interest, which CBRE said will significantly benefit renters in most of the country’s largest markets and encourage renting over homeownership. Additionally, limitations on state and local tax deductions, as well as the loss of the mortgage interest deduction on home purchases of $750,000 or more, will marginally impact the cost of housing in high-cost markets. “The new tax policy’s raising of the standard deduction, combined with limitations on mortgage interest and state and local tax deductions, will significantly increase the attraction of renting versus buying housing,” said Spencer Levy, CBRE’s senior economic advisor and …
ATLANTA — The world’s largest hotel company, Wyndham Hotel Group, made a splash in January when parent company Wyndham Worldwide Corp. purchased La Quinta’s franchise and management business for nearly $2 billion. Speaking at the 30th annual Hunter Hotel Conference in Atlanta Wednesday, Geoff Ballotti, president and CEO of Wyndham Hotel Group, spoke about how the acquisition has helped expand the company’s platform. “It is our 21st brand. We’re the company that operates more hotels than any other company today at 9,100 hotels,” says Ballotti at the three-day conference, which is drawing 1,700 attendees. “La Quinta is a brand that franchises well — 85 percent of La Quinta’s franchisees score four stars or above on TripAdvisor. It’s a great value for our shareholders.” The past few years have seen mega transactions like this, none bigger than Marriott International’s $13 billion acquisition of Starwood Hotels & Resorts in 2016. Joining Ballotti on the stage during the President’s Panel, held at the Atlanta Marriott Marquis in downtown Atlanta, was Patrick Pacious, president and CEO of Choice Hotels International Inc. The Rockville, Maryland-based company is the second-largest hotel group by property count at 6,800 hotels in 40 countries. Similar to Wyndham, Choice Hotels …
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Multifamily Firms Targeting Charlotte, Raleigh Suburbs, Says InterFace Carolinas Panel
by John Nelson
ATLANTA — Executives from some of the most active multifamily firms in the Southeast are honing in on the suburbs of Charlotte and Raleigh as they map out their long-term investment and development strategies. During the Carolinas panel at the eighth annual InterFace Multifamily Southeast conference, the panelists stated they’re preparing for a suburban shift as a large swath of the millennial renting cohort and downsizing baby boomers will be priced out of core submarkets. “There’s a confluence of different demand drivers that will persist in earnest for the next five to 10 years as we see the millennial migration happening and affordability constraints start to enter the picture more,” said Eddy O’Brien, managing partner and co-founder of Blaze Partners, a boutique multifamily investment firm based in Charleston, S.C. Ben Yorker, vice president of development at Northwood Ravin, said his firm is also interested in Charlotte and the Triangle area for new development opportunities in 2018. “Within those markets we’re edging away from infill and exploring more suburban opportunities,” said Yorker. “We’re targeting renters by choice like empty nesters or urban professionals. In 2018, we’ll shift significantly to target millennials looking to the suburbs.” New development is already trickling its …
ATLANTA — A surge in population and job growth in the Atlanta metropolitan area over the next two decades will bode well for the multifamily sector, according to panelists at the eighth annual InterFace Multifamily Southeast. Among the 12 largest metropolitan areas in the county, Atlanta ranked second in the rate of job growth and third in the number of jobs added, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Total nonfarm employment for the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell Metropolitan Statistical Area stood at 2.75 million in September 2017, up 2.5 percent year-over-year. In addition, the Atlanta Regional Commission forecasts the 20-county Atlanta region will add 2.5 million people and 1.5 million jobs by 2040. Multifamily demand is reaping the benefits of this growth. The job growth multiplier for the demand for new apartments used to be a factor of 5 to 1, meaning for every five jobs created, you could take one unit of inventory out of the equation, according to Mike Kemether, vice chair of the multifamily advisory group at Cushman & Wakefield. This year and next in Atlanta, that ratio sits around 7 to 1. “A lot of the renters are coming because of job relocations,” said Christie Hawver Jordan, …
ATLANTA — Tim Keane, City of Atlanta’s planning commissioner, is tasked with a monumental challenge facing many planners: how to practically design the future for a city on the cusp of a population boom. Citing the Atlanta Regional Commission, Keane said that the Atlanta metro area is on track to add 2.5 million people over the next 25 years, the equivalent of adding the entire metro Charlotte population. The city’s in-town population is also expected to grow from less than 500,000 today to 1.2 million in that same time frame. Adding to the challenge are city departments and communities that are unwilling to change because of a mindset that is resistant to growth. “Everyone thinks that more people is bad,” said Keane, who previously worked in the city planning departments in Davidson, N.C., and Charleston. “They don’t work on the assumption that a clear future for themselves is better with more people. We have to break out of that mentality because the change is happening.” Keane was the keynote speaker at the eighth annual InterFace Multifamily Southeast conference, held on Tuesday, Nov. 28 at the Westin Buckhead in Atlanta. Hosted by InterFace Conference Group and Southeast Real Estate Business, the …
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Forecast Survey: What’s Your Take on Real Estate in 2018?
by John Nelson
France Media, Inc. is conducting a brief online survey to gauge market conditions, and we welcome your participation. This survey should only take a few minutes to complete. Questions range from property sectors that your firm is most bullish on heading into 2018 to trends in deal volume to the outlook for interest rates. The results will be collated and published in the January 2018 issue of our regional magazines. Conducting these surveys is part of our mission at France Media to provide readers with indispensable information. To participate in our broker/agent survey, click here. For developers/owners/managers, click here. For lenders and financial intermediaries, click here. (Note: Please remember to click on “done” to properly submit the survey.) Sincerely, Matt Valley Editorial Director, Real Estate Regionals France Media, Inc.
TAMPA, FLA. — The National Multifamily Housing Council (NMHC) Student Housing Conference wrapped up Sept. 27 at the Marriott Waterside hotel, highlighting the industry’s productivity and progress in the second and third quarters, and providing a forecast for a strong fourth quarter. The tone of the conference was bolstered by Monday’s news that American Campus Communities (ACC), the industry’s largest owner, had purchased a 3,776-bed portfolio from Core Spaces and DRW Real Estate for $590.6 million, the largest transaction to date in 2017 in the sector. Also setting a strong tone was attendance of this year’s conference; more than 850 industry professionals, according to NMHC. The conference kicked off its educational sessions Monday afternoon with a panel featuring five industry leaders — Randy Churchey, CEO of EdR; Bill Bayless, CEO of ACC; Donna Preiss, CEO of The Preiss Company; Brian Dinerstein, CEO of The Dinerstein Company; and Wes Rogers, CEO of Landmark Properties. The panel, moderated by Peter Katz, executive managing director of Institutional Property Advisors, was very bullish on the sector as a whole. They emphasized that the increased sophistication of the sector is gaining the attention of the investment community. What’s more, the growth of the sector is …
ATLANTA — By offering paid internships, educational programs, community events and flexible hours, seniors housing leaders hope to combat the well-documented labor shortage and entice younger workers. There simply aren’t enough employees to keep up with the pace of development, and the industry is plagued by high turnover rates as well. That’s according to speakers during an operations update at InterFace Seniors Housing Southeast on Aug. 23 in Atlanta. The conference, held at the Westin Buckhead in Atlanta, attracted over 400 industry professionals. Lisa Welshhons, senior vice president of human resources company Aureon, noted the distinct gap between the number of workers needed and actual employees working. As moderator, she asked the panel of operators how the labor shortage is changing the way they are staffing their communities, as well as recruiting and retention strategies. “We’re often asked by our peers and partners what number of communities is our goal, but it’s not about a number of communities. It’s really about continuing to develop as long as we’re able to attract the best-in-class employees,” said Sarabeth Hanson, COO at Harbor Retirement Associates, a regional senior living development and management company in Vero Beach, Fla. Already a concern, the demand for new …
With construction costs rising and the supply of talented staff diminishing, doing business has never been more expensive for seniors housing developers. As such, both developers and operators are seeking new ways to save money. Increasingly, these groups are considering the role design plays in their projects, with a particular emphasis on identifying design concepts and elements that save on the bottom line without compromising the property’s sense of livability. A panel of seniors housing developers and operators gathered at the Westin Buckhead Atlanta on Wednesday, Aug. 23 as part of InterFace Seniors Housing Southeast to discuss development trends in today’s market. More than 400 industry professionals attended the conference. Moderator Will Childs, executive vice president of seniors housing for Oracle Healthcare Advisors and based in the firm’s Atlanta office, led the analysis of how construction and labor issues alike are driving developers to think outside the lines. At the most fundamental level, many new designs for seniors housing properties share the goal of repurposing common and outdoor spaces, according to panelist Alan Moise, chief investment officer for Atlanta-based Thrive Development Partners. “Overall pricing for development projects in the Southeast and mid-Atlantic is probably up about 6 percent this year,” …