Interest in Philadelphia among commercial real estate investors has been on the rise for years. But the Eastern Pennsylvania market managed to maintain a relatively low profile in the public consciousness, overshadowed by its larger East Coast primary market rivals, each with its own clear brand identity. But this is largely a thing of the past. Philadelphia has emerged lately as a leader in cutting-edge biotech and life science innovation. The city is a magnet for gene and cell-level therapy entrepreneurs, a status that is rapidly evolving into a distinct brand. Billions in venture capital and real estate investment have followed, elevating the Athens of America to the top rank of U.S. competitors for global investment cash. The multifamily sector is a chief beneficiary of the trend. Fueled by strong demand for luxury space, builders ratcheted apartment development higher over the past 10 years, raising construction starts from about 4,000 units per year at mid-decade to 6,000 annually since 2017. Currently, there are about 8,000 multifamily units under construction, and the pace isn’t likely to slow much this year. The magnitude of the supply surge is anticipated with a degree of trepidation in some quarters. Philadelphia renters have never absorbed …
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Expanded Rent Stabilization Law Freezes NYC Stabilized Multifamily Property Market, Generates Buying Opportunities for Intrepid Investors
New York state authorities last year passed legislation designed to maintain rental affordability and housing stability in the Empire State. Mandated changes for units not currently subject to stabilization were mostly technical in nature — relating to rent increase notification periods, evictions and security deposits — but the impact on the New York City’s nearly 1 million regulated units was significant. Previously, an owner’s ability to raise stabilized unit rents was limited by a city board, except upon vacancy or after major property or unit improvements were made. These exceptions were curtailed by the legislation, largely negating the appeal of buying, renovating and repositioning older properties. The regulations sent a chill through the recently hot New York City multifamily property market. Sales volume dropped by half last year to about $3.3 billion, with the largest declines coming after the law took effect at mid-year. Indeed, volume in the typically busy fourth quarter plunged to less than $200 million, the lowest single-quarter sales total since recessionary 2010. Although obscured by thin volume, cap rates appeared to rise. After hovering near 4 percent throughout 2018, institutional B/B+ quality asset purchase yields gapped higher, drifting up to about 4.25 percent at mid-year and …
RED Mortgage Capital: Strong Economy Boosts Boston Multifamily Performance, but Looming Supply Likely to Hinder Returns
by Jaime Lackey
The country’s largest commercial real estate services firm recently selected Boston as its choice for strongest U.S. gateway multifamily market performer for 2020, and with good reason. The Eastern Massachusetts economy gained momentum in 2019, propelled by its world class “Eds and Meds” cluster and resurgent high tech, R&D and financial management communities. Income growth and job creation ran ahead of national averages and apartment markets remained tight and rent growth robust regardless of elevated supply. Investor demand for metro apartment properties surged, especially after mid-year, while cap rates remained accessible by primary market standards, especially in the suburban Class B segment. Metro job creation trends fell into a bit of a funk in the fall and winter of 2018-2019 but rebounded vigorously in the second half. Payrolls increased at a brisk 31,200-job, 1.7 percent year-on-year pace after mid-year, representing the fastest growth recorded in three years. Sector leadership was provided by Boston’s top knowledge industry sectors, headed by higher education (8.5 percent), research and development (9.8 percent), software and computer network design (4.9 percent) and financial management (2.6 percent). Only softness in the consumer-driven side of the labor market – construction, retail trade, personal services and government – held …
TEXAS — Red Mortgage Capital, a division of ORIX Real Estate Capital LLC, has arranged a $22 million loan for the rehabilitation of 14 affordable housing properties totaling 556 units located across 12 rural Texas communities. Existing debt on the properties was also restructured as part of the deal. The borrower was a joint venture between Related Affordable, a division of Related Cos., and the Texas Housing Foundation (THF). The United States Dept. of Agriculture (USDA) provided the loan through its rural development program.
UNION CITY, N.J. — RED Mortgage Capital, the lending arm of ORIX Real Estate Capital, has arranged acquisition financing for a $60 million portfolio of apartment properties in Jersey City, located across the Hudson River from lower Manhattan. The portfolio comprises 18 properties and includes 481 units of affordable housing product. John Darrow, Jim Martin and Harris O’Connell of RED, along with Brad Domenico of Progress Capital, arranged the financing through Freddie Mac’s small balance loan program. The loan, the borrower of which was not disclosed, featured a fixed interest rate and a 20-year term.
RED Mortgage Capital: Intermountain Region Generates Strong Apartment Performance and Value Creation
by Jaime Lackey
West Coast markets garner more press clippings and public attention. But the Intermountain States — Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah and Wyoming — are posting impressive numbers that belie their station in the American consciousness. Offering Americans the sunshine and outdoor recreational opportunities they crave and the lower operating costs businesses seek, the region is in the nation’s sweet spot and taking full advantage of its position. Population, income and employment growth lead the nation. Indeed, the region claims the four fastest growing states in America — Nevada, Idaho, Utah and Arizona — and its seventh, Colorado. Meanwhile, Nevada, Utah and Arizona recorded the fastest rates of payroll job creation last year, and Colorado and Idaho figured in the top six nationally. Apartment rents increased accordingly. Late-cycle bloomers Las Vegas and Phoenix posted the fastest rent growth last year among larger markets and Salt Lake wasn’t far behind. Emerging markets like Boise, Bozeman and Reno were in the same league, chalking down high single-digit increases. Investors competed fiercely for opportunities in the region. Apartment sales volume in the five Intermountain metros (the “Intermountain 5”) covered by RED Capital Research (“RCR”) — Colorado Springs, Denver, Las Vegas, Phoenix …
RED: California’s Southland Economy Loses Steam but Apartment Performance and Property Markets Strengthen; Cap Rates Decline
by Jaime Lackey
Since the Baby Boom generation was in its infancy, Southern California has represented the apex of American popular culture, with its freedom, fun and limitless opportunity. But in the last few years the Southland’s place in the American imagination has been superseded to a degree by the digital prowess of its Bay Area and Pacific Northwest neighbors. Recently, the tide has begun to turn. While still wildly successful economically and culturally influential, the Bay Area, Seattle and Portland seem to be bumping into resource constraints that have dimmed their luster. By contrast, the Southland has found its stride, attracting increasing amounts of venture capital, building powerful digital and biotech platforms and proving a bit more adept than the cities to the north at finding space to facilitate economic and population growth. Venture capitalist Peter Thiel hasn’t been the only titan to notice. The impact on multifamily markets is palpable. Property sales volume records were shattered last year and cap rates fell to historic lows. Investors are increasingly embracing the value-add strategies popularized in lower-cost growth markets, driving prices of aging Class B garden properties higher and fueling faster rent growth in submarkets where the renter-by-necessity tenant predominates. Although increased supply …
NEW YORK CITY — RED Mortgage Capital has added a new multifamily affordable lending office in New York. Sean Cullen and Ronnie Gyani will lead the operations of the office. Previously, Cullen and Gyani worked together providing affordable housing services at RBC Capital Markets as well as ACRE Capital. Most recently they served at Barings Multifamily Capital originating affordable housing loan products, including Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHA/HUD and balance sheet executions.
For decades, the Pacific Coast has defined the American avant garde. From the Beats and Hippies of the Fifties and Sixties to today’s coders, gamers, software engineers and social network titans, the West Coast has set the standard for contemporary cutting edge social and life-style evolution. Lately, the region has emerged as a global economic leader as well. The rise of Big Tech operations in the five Pacific Northwest metro areas we cover — the East Bay, Portland, San Francisco, San Jose and Seattle (the “Pacific 5”) — has altered their economic landscapes profoundly. From 2014 to 2017, nominal metropolitan GDP per capita increased more than three times faster than the national average, and personal income per capita — already considerably higher than the U.S. mean — increased at an 80 percent faster rate than the metropolitan norm. Wealth creation and income growth on this scale fueled commensurate demand for rental housing space, especially the luxury infill product favored by investors and developers. Total Pacific 5-occupied apartment stock increased at a 2.4 percent annual rate over the three years ended in 3Q18 (Reis) — 20 percent faster than the balance of the RED 50, RED Capital Research’s large market peer …
With a preference for low taxes and business-friendly regulation, Texas is America’s proving ground for free market economic theories — a crucible in which the benefits of economic liberty are tested. While the long-term impact of the Lone Star State’s experiment remains an open question, it is hard to gainsay its impressive accomplishments to date. Texas recorded the fastest GDP growth among the 50 states (6.0 percent) in second quarter 2018, and the third-fastest compound annual GDP growth rate since the Great Recession (3.1 percent). By way of population growth, Texas ranked second among states since 2010, trailing only Utah. In terms of the 20- to 34-year-old “renter cohort” Texas was the leader, posting a robust 2.1 percent annual rate growth rate. Powerful economic and population growth go hand in hand with multifamily performance. Indeed, the five Texas markets that we model econometrically — Austin, Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio — posted stronger fundamentals in the current decade than the balance of our RED 50 large market peer group in nearly every category. The “Texas 5” occupancy increased by an average of 564 basis points over the period (Reis), nearly three times as much as the non-Texas component. …