Wednesday, October 30, 2024
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Market ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsNebraska

Real Estate Development Thrives in Omaha, Driven by Strong Demographic Growth

by Kristin Harlow

By Tom D’Arcy and Brad Soderwall, Hines The Omaha market has experienced strong growth in recent years, with $8 billion in commercial real estate development currently underway driven by consistent migration of new residents and professionals to the area.  The city’s attractiveness is attributed in large part to its high quality of life and attractive cost of living, both of which present compelling opportunities for new development that further incentivizes in-migration, and cultivates and enhances the unique lifestyle that makes Omaha a desirable place for families and young professionals to put down roots. Shifting demographics drive growth in Omaha Omaha’s low unemployment rate (at 2.6 percent as of July 2024, per the Nebraska Department of Labor), quality of life, affordable cost of living and expanding cultural opportunities are driving migration into the area. The Omaha-Council Bluffs metropolitan area saw its strongest population growth since pre-pandemic (2019) in 2023, with an increase of 0.8 percent, substantially outpacing the national average of 0.5 percent, per the U.S. Census Bureau. 2023 also saw a net migration of over 3,400 residents to the area. This population growth is fueling demand in the multifamily market, where we saw a record-setting year for development in 2023 …

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KentuckyMarket ReportsMultifamilySoutheastSoutheast Market Reports

Positive Rent Growth Makes Louisville Multifamily Market Stand Out From the Pack

by John Nelson

Amidst economic uncertainty, Louisville stands out for its resilience, establishing itself as a stalwart in today’s market. According to Apartments.com, Louisville ranked No. 1 in the nation for rent growth in the second quarter of 2024. Factors such as Louisville’s non-cyclical job growth, expanding industries including EV production and the burgeoning River Ridge project in Southern Indiana all contribute to its growth.  When we inspect the data, we see a basic yet fundamental market factor at play: supply and demand. Louisville’s supply is low relative to the growth in renters, resulting in upward pressure on rents despite a nationwide market that is largely declining.  Supply dynamics The bulk of Louisville’s development pipeline is concentrated in Southern Indiana, with 1,039 units under construction in the Jeffersonville submarket. The Southern Indiana region has experienced solid growth with over 10,500 incoming jobs due to the economic activity from River Ridge. River Ridge Commerce Center reported an economic impact of $2.93 billion for calendar year 2023, up over $2.7 billion compared with 2022, according to Inside INdiana Business. Notable development projects in Southern Indiana include: • The Flats on 10th, 3300 Schosser Farm Way (300-units by Schuler Bauer Real Estate) • The Warren, 4501 …

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IllinoisMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsOffice

Multi-Tenant Trophy Buildings Shine in Chicago Office Market

by Kristin Harlow

By Adam Johnson, NAI Hiffman For years, you’ve read headlines saying the U.S. office market is struggling with record-high vacancy that threatens to push many owners into default. And that is absolutely true. But there’s another side to the story that isn’t getting as much attention, and is playing out not only in Chicago, but also in metros across the country: that smaller, multi-tenant office properties — particularly in suburban locations closer to where workers live — continue to not only survive but thrive following the pandemic.  Throughout suburban Chicago, office buildings with less than 50,000 square feet have considerably higher occupancy rates than larger ones. For instance, at the smallest buildings — those under 20,000 square feet — vacancy was as low as 3.8 percent as of the second quarter of 2024, whereas for the largest properties over 200,000 square feet, vacancy climbed as high as 38 percent, according to NAI Hiffman research.  By comparison, mid-size, office buildings between 20,000 to 50,000 square feet reported vacancy rates ranging from 14.3 percent in the western suburbs to 23.1 percent north of the city.  Small tenants, big impact We’ve all heard about larger office properties going back to their lenders. Look …

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Conference CoverageMarket ReportsMultifamilyTexasTexas Market Reports

InterFace Panel: Institutional Capital’s Return Signifies Long-Term Strength of Austin Multifamily Market

by Taylor Williams

By Taylor Williams AUSTIN, TEXAS — Sources of institutional capital are slowly trickling back into buyer pools of deals for multifamily properties in Austin, a move that marks an inflection point within the sector as a whole and speaks to investors’ long-term faith in that market’s fundamentals. And faith is perhaps just what the doctor ordered. In some ways, Austin has become a victim of its own success over the past decade, a sort of cautionary tale of growth gone too heavy too fast. The feverish attempts of multifamily developers to keep pace with demand during that time have come to a head, and the market now languishes in a state of oversupply. With rents softening and interest rates only just now showing concrete signs of decreasing, institutional capital has been more than content to sit on the sidelines of this market for the past 18 or so months. Editor’s note: InterFace Conference Group, a division of France Media Inc., produces networking and educational conferences for commercial real estate executives. To sign up for email announcements about specific events, visit www.interfaceconferencegroup.com/subscribe. But that is starting to change, at least according to a panel of multifamily investment sales professionals who spoke …

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KentuckyMarket ReportsOfficeSoutheastSoutheast Market Reports

Louisville’s Office Market Is a Tale of Two Sectors: Suburbs and the CBD

by John Nelson

The Louisville office market is at an interesting crossroads, to say the least. Historically, the sector has always skewed toward the suburban submarkets as east Jefferson County has been the go-to area for companies looking for office space.  Over the past few years, the shift to the suburbs has become more pronounced than ever as Louisville’s office market experiences a dramatic contrast between the current state of the overall office market in the suburbs versus the central business district (CBD). In the suburban markets, the premier office buildings are experiencing low vacancy rates and record-setting growth in rental rates.  On the opposite side, the CBD continues to struggle with increases in vacancy rates, which is expected to increase in the coming months. This trend reflects overall national office trends as companies focus on new, highly amenitized spaces to offer their employees. Suburban Louisville The suburban office market in Louisville has demonstrated reliable stability over the past four years. As of second-quarter 2024, the vacancy rate for Class A spaces stood at 12.7 percent, while Class B spaces recorded a higher rate of 17.2 percent.  The suburban market has seen limited new construction deliveries thus far in 2024. The most notable …

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IdahoIndustrialMarket ReportsWesternWestern Market Reports

Boise’s Industrial Market Boasts Strong Fundamentals, but Challenges Continue

by Jeff Shaw

— By Devin Pierce, industrial specialist, TOK Commercial in Boise — In recent years, Boise’s industrial market has become a focal point for investors and developers drawn to the region’s economic growth and location. With demand for industrial space on the rise, the market has experienced an unprecedented wave of new construction aimed at meeting the needs of both local businesses and national tenants looking to expand their operations.  This surge in development activity reflects Boise’s growing prominence as a logistics and manufacturing hub. However, as new projects come online, the market is also grappling with the challenges of balancing supply and demand, particularly in the wake of fluctuating economic conditions. Speculative Construction Drives Vacancy Surge Boise’s industrial market saw a considerable number of projects completed during the first half of 2024, with more than 2.2 million square feet of new construction delivered. Speculative construction accounted for more than 86 percent of these projects, totaling nearly 2 million square feet and marking a record high for mid-year.  Top spec projects included nearly 1 million square feet at Red River Logistics Center; three new buildings (totaling 292,000 square feet) at Park84 in Nampa; and 396,000 square feet at Sky Ranch Logistics. This …

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DFW-Industrial-Panel
Conference CoverageIndustrialMarket ReportsTexasTexas Market Reports

Tenant Activity Has Slowed in DFW Industrial Market, But That’s Not Necessarily a Bad Thing, Say InterFace Panelists

by Taylor Williams

By Taylor Williams In the eyes of some commercial brokers, especially those who represent tenants, there actually is such a thing as too little vacancy. When markets are running super-hot, meaning demand is far outstripping supply, tenants have minimal options and often end up paying premiums just to be able to secure space. That’s great for landlords — to a point — because markets can only bear so much rent growth in so much time before tenants start looking for workarounds to physical occupancy. Enter the Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) industrial sector, which has been on fire for the past seven-plus years. Explosive volumes of new deliveries, frenetic paces of absorption, stiff competition for space, record levels of rent growth and a national coming-out party as an undeniable Tier 1 market have all been hallmarks of this activity. But such torrid paces of growth were never really sustainable in perpetuity, and although both the supply and demand sides of the market have cooled, the slowdown in some ways reflects a return to healthier dynamics. Editor’s note: InterFace Conference Group, a division of France Media Inc., produces networking and educational conferences for commercial real estate executives. To sign up for email announcements …

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Market ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsMinnesotaOffice

Minneapolis-St. Paul Office Market: It’s a Great Time to Be a Tenant

by Kristin Harlow

By Michael Gelfman, Colliers Like many major cities across the U.S., the Minneapolis-St. Paul office market remains soft while office users continue to adjust to the shifting dynamics of work brought on by the global pandemic. The gap between performing and non-performing buildings, driven by challenging debt markets, evaporation of building owners’ equity and the impact of hybrid work on office space demand, is growing.  Building owners are faced with difficult and often expensive decisions: spend what’s needed to create a highly amenitized environment (necessary to compete) that attracts tenants and draws employees back to the office or face a race to the bottom. For tenants in the market, this perfect storm has created unprecedented opportunity.  Hybrid work is here to stay For the last several years, many have wondered where the office market in Minneapolis-St. Paul was heading. The pandemic fundamentally changed the way companies use office space — was hybrid work a temporary solution to a once-in-a-lifetime event or was it here to stay? Today we know the answer: hybrid work is here to stay.  As a result of this seismic shift, some of which is due in part to artificial intelligence, many tenants over the last few …

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North-Cove
Affordable HousingMarket ReportsMultifamilyNew YorkNortheastNortheast Market Reports

To Increase Affordable Housing, New York State Must Make Changes

by Taylor Williams

By Jason Penighetti, Esq., and Carol Rizzo, Esq. of Forchelli Deegan Terrana Together with high rent and exorbitant property values, the real property taxes that fund necessary services in New York State make housing affordability a significant concern for low- and middle-income residents. To ensure a sufficient supply of affordable housing, the state must address the ad valorem levy, whereby taxes are derived from a property’s market value.  This article examines the critical interplay between New York’s property tax policies and housing affordability. While some taxing mechanisms hinder the development and availability of affordable housing, adjustments and a few additions to those practices have the potential to promote the affordable sector. Exemptions, Incentives New York’s real property tax system supports a complex framework of entities that rely significantly upon property tax levies to generate revenue and fund their budgets. Property taxes, assessed at the local level, support essential services such as public schools, police departments, libraries, highways, fire districts, open space preservation, out-of-county college tuition and the New York State Metropolitan Transportation Authority, among others.  To encourage the development of affordable housing and ease the burden that real property taxes can impose on developers and owners in the sector, New …

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KentuckyMarket ReportsRestaurantRetailSoutheastSoutheast Market Reports

Louisville’s Retail Scene Remains a Bright Spot Despite Economic Headwinds

by John Nelson

Louisville’s economy remains resilient, and regional economic growth is creating a strong foundation for the retail market. Greater Louisville Inc. recently announced that 72 businesses are considering relocating or expanding to the region, with the potential of 8,200 new jobs and $3.8 billion in economic investment. Louisville is well-positioned for growth and the retail outlook remains strong with historically low vacancy rates. The market’s expanding consumer base and resilient economy have mostly overcome headwinds such as interest rate fluctuations, volatility in capital markets and signs of a slowing economy. This resilience has put Louisville in a strong position moving into the last quarter of 2024.  At the end of the second quarter, Louisville’s vacancy rate stood at a strong 3.4 percent, outperforming the national benchmark of 4.1 percent, according to CoStar Group. The limited amount of new retail construction over the past 18 months has played a significant role in keeping the vacancy rate low. In fact, only roughly 322,000 square feet of retail space has been delivered over the past 12 months. Grocers are pushing leasing activity, making up 36 percent of the leasing volume that past 12 months. These retailers are executing most of the activity in spaces …

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