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Market ReportsNew YorkNortheastNortheast Market Reports

Pandemic Changes Still Haunt New York City Property Tax Assessment Process

by Taylor Williams

By Joel Marcus, senior partner, Marcus & Pollack LLP COVID-19 and the government-ordered shutdown had immediate negative consequences for all types of real estate, and New York City’s tax valuations took this into account. Damage from the pandemic still weighs down property values today, compounded by cultural shifts that sapped demand for commercial properties. Fair market values have evolved to reflect pervasive vacancy, building obsolescence and the heightened cost of serving tenants that have abundant alternatives to choose from. At the same time, work-from-home practices reduce space requirements. Retailers, restaurants and hotels see half the foot traffic they once had from nearby office buildings, adding to ongoing pressure from e-commerce and other challenges to create excess vacancy, constrained rental streams and declining market values. Valuation for property taxation has not evolved, however, judging by the revaluation tax assessments the city’s Department of Finance is issuing.  Revaluations ostensibly update taxable property values to current fair market value. Yet New York’s assessors habitually inflate valuations by applying pre-pandemic rental rates and vacancy assumptions, ignoring the rents landlords are actually collecting today and turning a blind eye to fundamental changes in demand for commercial space. Old thinking persists among these assessors, and it …

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GeorgiaMarket ReportsMultifamilySoutheastSoutheast Market Reports

Atlanta Multifamily Market: Signs of a Recovery After a Sharp Downturn

by John Nelson

Atlanta’s multifamily market has been in a slump that would even make Braves fans wince. After peaking with record-breaking sales in 2021, volumes slid as borrowing costs climbed and supply piled up. But just like any good ballclub, the fundamentals matter, and the data suggests momentum is quietly building for a 2026 comeback season. Sales volume trends According to research from CoStar Group, institutional multifamily sales in Atlanta (transactions of $50 million or more) peaked in 2021 at $12.8 billion, driven by record pricing, historically low borrowing costs and robust rent growth. Since then, record supply, rising expenses and a sharp increase in borrowing costs have pushed sales volumes down by more than 70 percent, averaging just $3.5 billion annually over the past three years. While the broader U.S. economy has surged since 2022 — the S&P 500 has climbed 45 percent since fourth-quarter 2022 — commercial real estate has been searching for its bottom. Data now suggests that Atlanta has reached this inflection point, and history indicates increased activity and rising values in the years ahead. Parallels to the GFC Looking back at the global financial crisis (GFC) provides valuable context. The chart above (inflation-adjusted using Real Capital Analytics’ …

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IowaMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsMinnesotaMissouriOfficeOhioWisconsin

Midwest Office Markets Face Mounting Pressure

by Kristin Harlow

By David Goldfisher, The Henley Group Secondary and tertiary office markets across the Midwest, including Chicago, Minneapolis, Madison, Milwaukee, Cleveland, Cincinnati, Columbus and St. Louis, are facing mounting pressure. While each city has its own challenges, a common theme is clear — vacancies remain high and liquidity is thin. Tenant shuffling One of the defining dynamics today is tenant reshuffling rather than net growth. As leases expire, employers frequently move from one building to another, seeking modernized space and stronger amenities. Renovating in place is disruptive and costly, while relocating allows businesses to upgrade with minimal operational downtime. This “musical chairs” effect highlights a deeper structural issue. There are only so many large anchor tenants in Midwest cities and few new entrants are seeking major blocks of space. There is more repositioning for existing tenants than attracting new ones. Flight to quality Landlords and developers are competing to deliver amenities that encourage office attendance and support talent retention. Modernized lobbies, tenant lounges and flexible collaboration areas have become standard expectations. Hines’ upgrades at Chicago’s 333 West Wacker Drive and 601W Cos.’ reinvestment in the Old Post Office demonstrate the scale of investment required. But not all landlords can compete. With …

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Conference CoverageIndustrialMarket ReportsTexasTexas Market Reports

InterFace Panel: Manufacturing Represents Bright Spot in Overbuilt DFW Industrial Market

by Taylor Williams

By Taylor Williams Although the Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) industrial market is, objectively speaking, currently overbuilt, the recovery and return to healthy dynamics is already taking shape. As that unfolds, manufacturing facilities are having a moment. According to CBRE’s third-quarter data, between 2021 and 2023 — the height of the post-COVID e-commerce craze that coincided with the last days of historically low interest rates — developers in DFW added nearly 130 million square feet of new industrial product. The supply boom mostly involved warehouse and distribution facilities, and absorption of new deliveries was coming along until this spring, when Liberation Day injected a staggering dose of economic uncertainty into the market. In recent weeks, leasing activity has begun to pick back up. But investors looking to deploy capital into industrial assets see more upside on deals for manufacturing facilities at the moment, whether that means buying existing plants with heavy built-in power sources or targeting distribution buildings that can support manufacturing through light conversions. Editor’s note: InterFace Conference Group, a division of France Media Inc., produces networking and educational conferences for commercial real estate executives. To sign up for email announcements about specific events, visit www.interfaceconferencegroup.com/subscribe. At the annual DFW/North Central Industrial Texas conference …

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GeorgiaMarket ReportsRestaurantRetailSoutheastSoutheast Market Reports

Exhibit on Atlanta Retail: Observations from Intown to the ‘Burbs

by John Nelson

If you’ve spent any time driving around Atlanta recently, you’ve probably noticed something. More development sites are returning with bulldozers and developers are taking down land parcels in the suburbs the size of small European countries. But this time, the approach is more strategic than ever.  Gone are the days when a developer would carve out a shopping center for base rents less than $40 per square foot and call it a day. Today, some metro Atlanta developers are assembling larger tracts and creating hybrid projects that include multifamily housing, storage and even industrial uses in the back of the parcel, saving the front-facing road frontage for ground leases, build-to-suits and limited shop space. Automotive and restaurants concepts are clamoring for pads.  The result? Those once-overlooked “front and center” pad sites and strip centers are suddenly the belle of the ball. The downside is paying too much on the buy side for the dirt for aggressively low caps rates. But all I can say for the rental rates that I’m seeing is “Wow.”  Restaurants still lead In Atlanta’s retail market, restaurants continue to be the leading driver of leasing activity. According to observations, excluding junior box space, food-and-beverage deals made …

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Market ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsNebraskaRetail

Omaha Population Growth Fuels Retail Market Interest

by Kristin Harlow

By Sam Rolfe, The Lerner Company It seems Omaha’s retail market shows no signs of slowing down from a position of strength, which received a tangible boost when the metro-area population hit the magic 1 million mark. It’s funny that this population hurdle opens the eyes of retailers so much more than 970,000 would, but there’s no doubt that it does, and the market has reacted accordingly, with year-over-year asking rents up 5.4 percent.  The seemingly rapid growth and development have not vastly affected the city’s historically strong fundamentals and high occupancy rates however, with the vacancy rate in the metro at 4.4 percent. This low vacancy is partially a byproduct of the historically low supply that has plagued the market in recent years.  Over the last decade, we have seen vast westward growth and somewhat stagnant activity in the urban core and central region. Although the westward march continues, it is now coupled with large amounts of urban development, making the city’s retail market strong within eastern submarkets.  The old adage “retail follows rooftops” has held true throughout this growth cycle, as retail developments follow the suburban growth of both homes and apartments. One example of this is at …

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IndustrialMarket ReportsNortheastNortheast Market Reports

New Opportunities Arise for Industrial Investors in the Northeast

by Taylor Williams

By Taylor Williams What do the phrases “owner-occupier,” “small-bay” and “mid-range WALT” have in common?  They could potentially be obscure references to real-life inspirations behind songs on the new Taylor Swift album. But just in case that’s not the case, these terms also represent types of industrial investment plays that have become increasingly favorable among owners and prospective buyers in Northeast markets. The rising popularity of these deals attests to shifts in the broader landscape, i.e. — large-scale e-commerce and logistics facilities have been either overbuilt or priced to perfection in many areas.  But the past 12 months have seen industrial deal volume in major Northeast markets regain traction. Although some — if not most — of that activity is tied to interest rates and geopolitics, the emergence of different deal types is nonetheless a positive indicator because it speaks to the creative approach that the investment community has taken in its return to the market.  Unlike a few years ago, industrial real estate today is not a mindless beneficiary of both institutional and private debt and equity — a bottomless pit of capital flows. Tenants are no longer forced to write quasi-blank checks to owners just to secure crucial …

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Affordable HousingMarket ReportsMultifamilyTexasTexas Market Reports

How New Texas Laws Aim to Tackle Housing Shortage, Affordability Crisis Through Public-Private Partnerships

by Taylor Williams

By Jamee Jolly, president and CEO, The Real Estate Council With record population growth and a $2.7 trillion economy, Texas faces mounting pressure to expand its housing supply and affordability. New legislation from the 89th legislative session gives developers, cities and investors new tools to build sustainable communities through stronger collaboration between the public and private sectors. From established patterns of corporate relocations, job creation and direct foreign investment to fostering emerging industries like renewable energy, semiconductor manufacturing, aerospace and financial services, Texas has a long history of economic strength, industry diversification and innovation. That track record makes it one of the nation’s premier destinations for both businesses and residents. Last year, according to U.S. Census Bureau data, Texas led the nation in population growth for the 14th consecutive year, adding more than 560,000 people to reach over 31 million statewide. In North Texas, the population in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) alone is expected to grow from 8 million to 12 million residents by 2050. While this growth fuels one of the world’s largest economies, it has also created a shortage of more than 320,000 homes and a rising challenge of housing affordability statewide, particularly at the entry-level price point, where …

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GeorgiaIndustrialMarket ReportsSoutheastSoutheast Market Reports

Atlanta Industrial Is Cooling and Consolidating, But Is Still Strategically Strong

by John Nelson

After several years of breakneck growth, Atlanta’s industrial sector has clearly shifted into a mid-cycle recalibration. Vacancy has climbed to 8.4 percent, well above the 10-year average of 5.8 percent, as a record wave of big-box deliveries collides with softer demand.  Twelve-month net absorption turned negative for the first time since 2011, dropping 453,000 square feet despite 14.9 million square feet of new deliveries over the past year. Developers and tenants alike are adjusting, but the region’s logistics advantages and diverse economy keep long-term fundamentals intact. Supply and demand The pandemic-era surge of speculative construction has decisively slowed. Construction starts have fallen roughly 70 percent from the five-year average, leaving 16.3 million square feet under construction, with just 25 percent available — down from 60 percent a year ago. Most large projects are now data centers, such as a 1.5 million-square-foot QTS facility in Fayette/Coweta County and a 1.2 million-square-foot Microsoft data center near Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport. Vacancy is rising fastest in submarkets that saw heavy new supply. Kennesaw/Acworth, for example, has added over 9 million square feet since 2023 and now posts about 13 percent availability for buildings sized 200,000 square feet and larger. Sublease availability has grown …

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IllinoisIndustrialMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market Reports

Fiscal Challenges Weigh on Near-Term Outlook of Chicago Industrial Market

by Kristin Harlow

By Marc Hale, DarwinPW Realty/CORFAC International The Chicagoland industrial market continues to stand out as one of the most important in the country. Its location at the center of the U.S. transportation network gives companies the ability to reach nearly one-third of the nation’s population within a single day’s drive.  Six Class I railroads, an abundance of intermodal facilities and seven major interstate highways all converge here, making it one of the most efficient distribution platforms in North America. Chicago O’Hare International Airport also ranks among the top cargo airports in the world, adding critical global connectivity.  These advantages are reinforced by a large and diverse labor pool, which has long supported the region’s position as a major hub for manufacturers, distributors and logistics providers. The area’s role as a manufacturing hub is further reinforced by its proximity to major steel mills and primary metal production facilities, the depth of its skilled workforce and plentiful access to water from Lake Michigan, which has long supported heavy industry and advanced manufacturing across the region. The market’s vacancy rate has been trending higher, moving from 5.2 percent in the third quarter of 2024 to 5.9 percent in the third quarter of 2025. …

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