Market Reports

— By Bryan Ledbetter of Western Retail Advisors — Phoenix’s retail market continues to surge. Vacancies are dipping below 5 percent, gross absorption is exceeding 1.5 million square feet in the third quarter and asking triple-net rates continue to increase, reaching into the mid-$50 to $60 per square foot range for newly constructed space. West Valley Leads the Charge in New Development After decades of limited retail construction, metro Phoenix — and the West Valley, in particular — are flush with new space. Projects like SimonCRE’s Prasada in Surprise and Vestar’s Verrado in Buckeye are among the major new developments providing the high-end availability that tenants and residents have been asking for. Although elevated debt and construction costs have tempered new development, more than 1.2 million square feet is still under construction. The lion’s share of that product is already pre-leased. This keeps developers and investors bullish on Phoenix, and on the lookout for the Valley’s next development frontier. Though the West Valley reigns as Phoenix’s latest retail boom market, outliers in the East Valley are teeing up for their turn in the spotlight. Apache Junction is a great example… Far Southeast Valley Emerges as a Growth EngineA neighbor of …

By Nellie Day Metro Phoenix’s population grew to include more than 5 million people in 2023, per the Census, making it the second fastest-growing large U.S. city that year. This increase in residents and employment opportunities naturally brought new, emerging and different retailers to the area, who quickly occupied both existing centers and new developments.  Phoenix-headquartered Vestar’s activity paints a picture of how this retail market has grown with its population. In the last quarter of 2024 alone, Vestar broke ground on Verrado Marketplace, a 500,000-square-foot shopping center in Buckeye; ushered in a new wave of tenant openings at Las Tiendas Village in Chandler and Queen Creek Marketplace in Queen Creek; and brought back a seasonal pop-up inside a 50-foot spherical dome at the District at Desert Ridge Marketplace in Phoenix. Balancing Tenant Mix, Community Relevance The key to capitalizing on Metro Phoenix’s growth, the firm says, is focusing on tenant diversification and market positioning. Vestar actively seeks out curated tenant mixes that not only attract foot traffic but align with the demographic and economic profiles of each community. Las Tiendas Village, for example, recently welcomed Marshalls, beauty supply store Happy Beauty, luxury lash spa Revelashons and child-focused hair salon …

— Scott Hintze and Marti Weinstein of Diversified Partners Commercial Real Estate — Phoenix’s retail development market is seeing a surge in optimism as the city benefits from a growing economy and a shift in political leadership. With the new administration coming into power, the outlook for the Phoenix retail market has become increasingly positive, promising a wave of new projects and investment opportunities in the coming years. The city’s rapid population growth, expanding infrastructure and bustling job market have positioned Phoenix as one of the most attractive cities in the U.S. for retail development. The new administration has brought a renewed focus on urban development, job creation and business-friendly policies, which is expected to help stimulate both demand for retail spaces and the construction of new commercial properties. Government support, including incentives for developers and tax breaks for businesses, is anticipated to foster a thriving retail sector that will benefit both local residents and national retailers looking to expand into the area. Several projects we have been working on have seen unprecedented demand from tenants. We recently completed a 25,000-square-foot building across from Gilbert Mercy Hospital that includes a two-story Starbucks, the first in the market. In addition to …