Market Reports

Industrial, R&D Development Returns to San Diego In Full Force

by Camren Skelton March 7, 2017

After a decade of scarce industrial development in San Diego County, 2016 marked its strong return. About 1.3 million square feet of industrial/R&D space was completed, which is more than what was delivered between 2013 and 2015 combined. This year is expected to be an even more active year for industrial/R&D speculative and build-to-suit development with an additional 1.4 million square feet currently under construction. North County San Diego has become the concentrated hotspot for both speculative and build-to-suit industrial development. Nearly two-thirds of all new industrial/R&D development completed in 2016 was in North County, including about 233,227 square feet of speculative construction. This new wave of development was triggered by 16 consecutive quarters of rental rate increases and last year’s record-low vacancy rate of 4.7 percent for combined industrial/R&D properties countywide. Average asking rental rates are increasing quicker in North County than anywhere else in San Diego. North County’s average asking rental rates have increased by 5.9 percent since the end of 2015, whereas the countywide rate increased by only 3 percent in the same period. Vacancy will likely fluctuate between 4 percent and 5 percent throughout 2017 as net absorption keeps pace with new construction. Many organizations are …

March 7, 2017

California Market Reports Multifamily Western Western Market Reports

OC’s Apartment Market Continues Expansion

by Camren Skelton February 28, 2017

Rent an apartment or buy a home? That is the question now posed to many Millennials as they face the facts about the high barriers to homeownership that generations before them, at the same stage of life, could easily overcome. But since the Great Recession and the loose homeownership qualifications that helped spawn it, banks and other home-lending institutions have been under the tight-fisted control of government regulators who have demanded, rightly or wrongly, that prospective homeowners meet strict and often daunting qualifications to buy a house. While that’s bad news for a generation that was raised by families who owned homes and where a home was the primary financial asset for inheritance, it’s good news for multifamily investors, developers and contractors. The demand for apartments has risen to levels eclipsing demand for homeownership in one of the few times in modern history. This is especially true in Orange County where home prices have always been among the highest in the nation. In fact, demand among multifamily investors is so strong that nearly every recent offering for well-located apartment properties has garnered multiple offers, creating a perfect-storm situation for the sellers. One sale that involved an investment portfolio of four …

February 28, 2017

California Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

OC’s Retail Market to Remain Stable With Mild Volatility

by Camren Skelton February 21, 2017

Expect the Orange County retail landscape to be characterized by continued strong fundamentals and high transaction volumes in 2017. The area remains among the most stable markets nationally—attractive to both high-end and affordable retailers thanks to its high median income and population growth. However, a bit of volatility would be welcomed in the coming year to generate leasing opportunities and enhance rental rate growth. Significant store closings, including a selection of Walmarts, Macy’s, Staples and Sears, in addition to Sports Authority and Sports Chalet locations, affected many of our regional malls and shopping centers in 2016. As a result, we will continue to see more space absorbed rather than closed or constructed in the coming year. This type of instability breeds opportunity. From grocers to soft goods to restaurateurs, traditional and non-traditional retailers remain motivated to identify what works best across Southern California. Retailers who have been working to right-size and reconfigure their traditional formats will catch everyone’s attention in 2017. Target recently announced the opening of a flex-format concept with plans for a 41,000-square-foot store in Orange in the fall. Burlington Coat Factory has been evaluating a smaller footprint, while 365 by Whole Foods will soon enter the Orange …

February 21, 2017

California Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

Los Angeles Office Market Points to Steady Demand, Further Growth in 2017

by Camren Skelton February 14, 2017

The Los Angeles office market continues to experience steady demand and accelerated rent growth as we enter 2017. The market is heading into its sixth consecutive year of expansion, after seeing a sharp contraction between 2008 and 2011. The Los Angeles office market has witnessed vacancy rates steadily decline from 16.3 percent to 13.7 percent since 2011, all the while absorbing more than 10.5 million square feet of occupied space. The market only added 4.5 million square feet of new construction during that same period, allowing vacancy to steadily decline back into the low teens, while average full-service gross asking rents have increased from $29.28 per square foot to $35.76 per square foot, up 22.1 percent. More importantly is the accelerated rent growth during this period. Rents increased 1.6 percent in 2012; 2.8 percent in 2013; 3.9 percent in 2014; 5.3 percent in 2015; and 6.8-percent to date in 2016. On the demand side, net absorption growth rates have been trending higher since 2012, averaging 0.8 percent during the past five years. They will finish above 1 percent for the second consecutive year. This remains below the growth rates experienced from 2003 to 2007, which averaged an annual growth of …

February 14, 2017

California Industrial Market Reports Western Western Market Reports

Downtown LA’s Industrial Supply Gives Way to Other Uses

by Camren Skelton February 7, 2017

When you visit Los Angeles, the sight of the cranes looming in the sky in all directions shows a city undergoing significant revitalization and redevelopment. Not so long ago, the Downtown area of Los Angeles went “dark.” This occurred after the hustle and bustle of the normal workday was done and the streets were mostly empty, businesses closed. Fortunately, Los Angeles has seen significant construction and redevelopment over the past few years. According to the Downtown Center Business Improvement District (DCBID), the population of Downtown Los Angeles was 18,000 people in 1999. Today, the population is estimated at 63,208, with a daytime population of 500,000. The residential inventory consists of 36,964 units with 11,868 under construction and 19,054 proposed for a total of 48,832 units as of the third quarter of 2016. There are 8,163 hotel rooms with 2,765 more under construction and 3,636 proposed for a total of 14,564. Retail has 2 million square feet under construction and an additional 1.5 million square feet proposed. Major industrial activity includes the announcement of Warner Music Group relocating from Burbank to the Arts District where it will occupy 257,000 square feet at the former Ford Factory, which was constructed in 1912. …

February 7, 2017

California Market Reports Multifamily Western Western Market Reports

Encouraging Multifamily Market Fundamentals Drive Investors to the Inland Empire

by Camren Skelton January 24, 2017

A steady supply of job opportunities and the growing population in the Inland Empire are supporting household formation, raising demand for housing and bolstering the performance of the area’s multifamily property market. Nearly 22,420 households were formed in the Inland Empire over the past four quarters that ended in September, while 48,500 individuals were added to the local population. By year’s end, area employers will have expanded the workforce by 2.2 percent with the addition of 30,000 positions. Hiring this year was driven by the government sector, which climbed 4 percent, or by more than 9,400 workers during the past 12 months that ended Sept. 30. The trade, transportation and utilities sectors also performed well, contributing 8,950 jobs over the same period. These strong hiring trends resulted in the unemployment rate falling 20 basis points to 6.2 percent — nearing the pre-recession five-year average of 5.7 percent — over the year-long period that ended in the third quarter of 2016. The Inland Empire’s growth and solid economic fundamentals are key factors behind the observable rise in construction activity we’ve witnessed this year. Apartment construction is booming, and builders are expected to more than double the units that were brought into …

January 24, 2017

California Industrial Market Reports Western Western Market Reports

Inland Empire: The Industrial Sector’s Well-Rounded Evolution

by Camren Skelton January 17, 2017

People are aware of the Inland Empire’s rapidly growing market and the fulfillment center trend that’s sweeping Southern California. Amazon, Walmart and many others continue to be pioneers in logistics and door-to-door fulfillment, but the side of the market people are missing is the smaller, more locally sourced user, the groups that service these large international companies. It’s a common theme that when the big guys grow into space there’s normally a contingent of smaller users behind them ready to take down the small- to mid-sized product. This trend has never been more true than it has over the past 12 months. As million-square-foot buildings continue to be leased out by these massive conglomerates, the smaller product has been flying off the shelves. There was a concern in early 2016 that this size range was going to be overbuilt, but due to 8.5 million square feet worth of gross absorption through the first three quarters in the 100,000- to 300,000-square-foot size range, that idea has become a misconception. We’re now sitting with a deficiency of product driving lease rates and sales numbers higher than ever. Lease rates in this size range have jumped about 8 percent over the past year …

January 17, 2017

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Demand Drives Multifamily Development

by Camren Skelton December 20, 2016

The Orange County apartment market is currently enjoying strong fundamentals that comes from several sources. These include robust renter demand, strong local economy and historic low interest rates, all of which make for a perfect storm. As more renters enter the market due to strong employment numbers, it gives way to new household formation. While home prices in the region escalate, more would-be homebuyers are being priced out of the market and forced to remain in the rental pool, further driving competition for suitable housing and pushing rents to new levels. Orange County developers are responding to a growing demand for new multifamily housing developments, many of which are Class A projects targeting high-end tenant bases and price points. Many older properties, such as Class C or C+ buildings, are enjoying the blow back from these new developments when tenants seek out lower rents when compared to top-tier projects, resulting in robust rent increases. Investors looking to place capital in today’s multifamily market are taking advantage of strong fundamentals and cheap debt. Transaction volume has increased more than 10 percent in the past 12 months, with notable sales volume in the northern end of Orange County. Confident that upward rent …

December 20, 2016

California Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

The Office Sector Continues to Perform

by Camren Skelton December 13, 2016

The Orange County office sector continues to see falling vacancy rates, positive net absorption and rising asking rates. Orange County has beaten the U.S. national average for office vacancy since the fourth quarter of 2014. Office vacancy fell to 8.9 percent in the third quarter, down from 9.4 percent in the second quarter and 9.9 percent in the first quarter of 2016. We continue to see positive net absorption to the tune of 626,900 square feet, but that number is down from 730,844 square feet in the second quarter, a difference of 15,044 square feet. Asking rates continue to trend upward from $27.61 per square foot to $27.73 per square foot annually. Class A buildings lead the way, with asking rates averaging $32.89 per square foot. Class B and C buildings come in at $26.28 per square foot and $21.57 per square foot, respectively. These are all good signs for the new development coming to market in 2017. One of the more notable projects to soon come to fruition is 400 Spectrum Center Drive in Irvine. This 466,696-square-foot, Class A office tower is expected to be complete in the third quarter of 2017. This will be the sister tower to …

December 13, 2016

California Market Reports Multifamily Western Western Market Reports

New Jobs Mean More Housing for San Francisco, San Mateo

by Camren Skelton November 22, 2016

San Francisco and San Mateo counties boast above average employment numbers and wages and have been strong all through the current business cycle. Over the past four quarters ending in June, organizations in these counties, along with Marin County, (henceforth referred to as “the metro,”) have created 30,750 new jobs. This expansion of the metro’s labor force by 2.9 percent far exceeds the national average over the same time period. Businesses are expected to create 40,000 new positions this year and employment growth will reach 3.7 percent. Hence, the metro’s economy has created substantial demand for housing and apartments are leading the way, as the high cost of single-family homes, rigorous regulation, and the infill nature within the metro has constrained deliveries during previous years in the cycle. There are multiple major projects that will boost the rate of completions significantly above previous years in the cycle. Builder activity will surge to a multi-decade high with 6,440 apartments slated for delivery, exceeding the 1,488 units brought to market in 2015. The majority of completions will target the South of Market (SoMA) and South San Mateo County submarkets. Vacancy rate in the metro will register a 110-basis-point increase in 2016, rising …

November 22, 2016

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