The industrial market in Los Angeles County is extremely tight and shows no signs of letting up as the trend for conversion of industrial property to creative office space by tech and media industries is very prevalent. Many industrial property owners either sell their assets and realize major equity gains with the new buyer planning a conversion, or choose to convert it to creative office themselves, garnering two to four times the rental rate for creative space. The vacancy rate of 3.2 percent in the first quarter of 2015 was parallel to that of the last quarter of 2014. To give some perspective, the downward trend of industrial vacancy has continued since the second quarter of 2013 when vacancy posted at a 5 percent rate. Additionally, the majority of larger industrial development in the region is build-to-suit product, which has virtually no impact on vacancy. The Downtown Los Angeles industrial market continues this trend of industrial property conversion to creative office. The Arts District is ground zero for this. While the rejuvenation and gentrification of Downtown is a welcome sight, the industrial users are now having to relocate, seeking other spaces throughout the LA basin. Many of these users are …
Market Reports
Improvement in apartment fundamentals has remained strong and is expected to continue over the next two quarters. The unemployment rate in Los Angeles County was 7.6 percent in March 2015, which represents a 100 basis point decrease from the same period last year. Supported by steady job growth, more than 108,000 new jobs are forecast for Los Angeles County in 2015, representing a 2.6 percent improvement over last year’s performance. A significant amount of units are currently under development and more are expected to come on line later this year. Issuance for about 7,446 multifamily units is forecast for 2015, and issuance is expected to rise to more than 17,000 units in 2016 and 2017 with the anticipated absorption of about 11,800 units over that same period. That said, developers are likely to relax their efforts to obtain new permits into the latter half of 2015 based on an expected modest uptick in vacancy. Currently standing at 3.2 percent, the overall vacancy rate will likely increase to 3.5 percent by year-end. The average year-over-year rent increased about 2.5 percent depending on the individual submarket. The greatest level of appreciation was represented in the South Glendale/Highland Park submarket where asking rents …
San Diego’s core commercial office markets continue to tighten. Less than 1 million square feet was added last year, while more than 1.2 million square feet was absorbed. In 2014, construction commenced on the first speculative high-rise office project since Hines’ La Jolla Commons I in 2008. The Irvine Company plans to deliver a 306,000-square-foot, Class A development called One La Jolla Center in UTC this year. This project follows on the heels of the adjacent 415,000-square-foot, build-to-suit for LPL. This activity points to a strengthening market as developers, equity partners and lenders believe the benefit outweighs the risk of speculative development. Sorrento Mesa also received 410,000 square feet of new office space at 10001 Pacific Heights Blvd. last year that was pre-committed by owner-user Qualcomm. The overall vacancy rate for the core markets in three San Diego regions (Downtown, Central and North County) was reduced to 11.5 percent by year’s end, indicating a tight market for users. Rent spikes can be anticipated when vacancy rates shrink to single digits. This should occur this year in submarkets like the Uptown area (5.5 percent), Poway (5.4 percent), Rancho Bernardo (6.8 percent), North Beach Cities (5.7 percent), Torrey Pines (8.0 percent), Sorrento …
The San Diego multi-housing market is poised for significant growth in 2015. The third quarter of last year recorded 4.5 percent annual rent growth countywide, the highest rent growth numbers seen in more than a decade, according to CBRE Econometric Advisors (CBRE EA). Vacancy, meanthile, remained at 2.7 percent, the lowest level seen since 2007. Countywide average rents are at $1,548, an 8 percent premium over the 2008 peak levels. CBRE EA found that UTC/La Jolla remains the top rental market in the county, with overall rents averaging $1,958. UTC also witnessed the second-highest rent growth in the county last year, at 7.3 percent. UTC/La Jolla solidifies its position as the county’s top rental market due to strong resident demographics, planned infrastructure improvements and the trolley addition, Westfield’s expansion, and the presence of several major employers, as well as the University of San Diego and the biotech cluster of Torrey Pines. Downtown has emerged as San Diego’s hottest development market, with Class A projects now commanding rents of $2,652, or $2.98 per square foot. There were 929 units in four projects added last year, bringing the total inventory in Downtown to 4,840 units in 23 buildings (100-plus+ units, market-rate only). …
Construction on the 73-story Wilshire Grand Hotel, office and retail complex in Downtown Los Angeles’ Financial District, coupled with Google’s recent purchase of 12 acres for development in Playa Vista prove the region’s office market is alive and well. It may even be enjoying a bit of a rebirth in this post-recovery period. Los Angeles, unlike many other comparable U.S. metropolitans, is composed of several distinct business centers that make it difficult to generalize about the overall market. Separated by only a few miles, there are nonetheless very distinct markets that comprise LA, due, in no small part, to the lack of a fully integrated public transportation system and long-standing traffic that remain a barrier to full connectivity between the various areas. With that in mind, there are some very evident trends emerging out of Downtown and the Westside, which includes Century City, Westwood, Santa Monica, Playa Vista and adjacent cities. Downtown is enjoying a resurgence. It now has a real live-work vibe due, in large part, to the highly successful LA Live mixed-use hotel, retail and entertainment development adjacent to Staples Center. A variety of high-rise condominiums and apartments now make it possible to actually live Downtown. With new …
The multifamily market in Los Angeles continues to be a hot property sector as the economy improves and jobs are added throughout the region. I believe we’ll hear much of the same buzz about the market in 2015 that we’ve heard for the past few years. This includes statements like vacancy rates are very low and demand outweighs supply. This results in rising rents, strong demand for multifamily investment property, climbing prices climbing and cap rates that continue to compress. Los Angeles County ended the third quarter of 2014 with a vacancy rate of just 3.2 percent. Asking rents continued to increase, with third-quarter rents coming in at an average rate of $1,521 per month. This is up 0.9 percent from the second quarter of this year, according to Reis. On the investment side, properties are trading at sub-4 percent cap rates. There were 80 apartment sales totaling $693 million in the third quarter, with an average per-unit price of $300,000. Some of LA’s hottest multifamily submarkets include the Westside, Beverly Hills, West Hollywood, Hollywood, Echo Park, Silverlake and Downtown LA. The most in-demand and promising submarket for multifamily is likely Playa Vista, however. Google recently announced it purchased 12 …
There are many opportunities for Orange County tenants and landlords in this ever-evolving region of more than 3 million residents. The county’s unemployment rate was 6.2 percent in 2013, compared to the nationwide rate of 7.3 percent. Homeowners have also prospered over the past two years as Orange County home values rose a whopping 25.8 percent on average in 2013. The median home price is a stout $560,000 and climbing. What does this spell? Opportunity – for businesses, jobs and investors. Tenants are back full throttle with expansion plans for the Southern California basin. The big issue tenants and developers will have to face is a lack of available entitled land where they can construct and occupy a retail strip center or single-tenant restaurant. Tight governmental regulation and healthy city development fee structures can drive the costs of development too high, thereby stunting development growth. Conversely, if you currently own property, the prospects for continued yield growth are promising due to the lack of supply and a global “uber appetite” to own California commercial real estate. We will see a tremendous transition of generational wealth over the next five years, the magnitude of which we have not seen before. This …
The Southern California Leading Economic Indicator is continuing its upward trend. It has been on the incline for more than four years, since the last decrease in 2009. This suggests a rise in economic activity over the next six months that will continue the solid fundamentals for the Orange County industrial market well into 2015. A near record low industrial vacancy rate of 3.5 percent, along with an unemployment rate of less than 6 percent, has caused an aggressive search for viable land amongst developers. Numerous cities in Orange County have modified their industrial zoning regulations this year to permit a variety of additional uses that encourage new development. As a result, residential and retail property developers have been removing existing industrial buildings from current inventory. Growing companies in Orange County are starting to feel the inventory squeeze. The lack of available space is making it difficult to meet a client’s needs. This is causing landlords, buyers and tenants to make extensive renovations to the few buildings left available to them. The limited supply has been a major factor in the increase in value for larger assets, as clients are willing to pay more for properties. Sale prices are up …
The Orange County office market continues to experience steady growth as it moves into 2015, with three straight years of positive net absorption under its belt. The county’s unemployment rate has dropped to 5.4 percent over the past 12 months, while the job growth rate has averaged 1.8 percent over the same period. The overall signs for the office market are very positive as we head into the growth phase of this real estate cycle. Orange County’s office market has experienced almost 1.7 million square feet of net absorption in the past 12 months, according to CoStar. This net absorption has been spread out evenly over Class A and B properties. The current vacancy rate of 11.4 percent has steadily declined on an average of 1 percent per year for the past four years. Based on current absorption trends, the office vacancy could dip below 10 percent in 2016, which may usher in significant speculative development. The majority of the tenant activity is home grown, with limited growth from companies outside of Orange County. Net absorption is mainly due to recent larger space transactions. These occupiers include Pacific Investment Management absorbing 380,000 square feet, Belkin International (128,000 square feet), Yokohama …
It’s no secret that with the abundance of developable land, affordable housing, and close proximity to the ports and major freeways, the Inland Empire has a tremendous advantage in relation to other Western markets. The Inland Empire industrial market has experienced a transactional volume of 120 deals for 100,000 square feet or more, as of this past November. There are also more than 30 buildings under construction, which total more than 15 million square feet. Developers have been quick to respond to demand, with about 15.5 million square feet of construction completed in the Inland Empire to date, thanks to Fortune 500 retailers and third-party logistics (3PL) firms nabbing large space within the market due to an improving economy. With another 15 million square feet currently under construction, the Inland Empire’s industrial base will foreseeably increase by 10 percent by the end of 2016. Assuming the current state of economic growth continues, the Inland Empire industrial market is expected to finish 2014 strong, with positive market activity poised to continue well into 2015 and 2016. The industrial demand in the Inland Empire is closely associated to international trade and continues to attract large distributors, warehouses, e-commerce companies and logistics firms …