Over the last year, metropolitan Washington, D.C.’s multifamily market has seen staggering amounts of new construction deliver, with net absorption levels that have surpassed all expectations. This is likely a result of similarly unexpected rates of job growth in the area and the remarkable resiliency of the metro D.C. economy as a whole. Among the major metropolitan markets around the country, metro D.C. — with the sense of permanence lent by the presence of the federal government — has historically been the most stable year to year, making it one of the safest bets for investors. Yet, given the massive amount of supply in the pipeline in recent years, the multifamily market has suffered a degree of hesitancy from investors fearing supply would outpace demand. However, this trend has reversed in the last 12 months, during which a record-setting 13,800 Class A multifamily units were absorbed. That figure jumps to 16,484 with Class B product in the mix. For all investment-grade apartments, stabilized vacancy has dropped 50 basis points to 3.7 percent. Class B units in particular have experienced excellent rent growth, rising 3 percent annually, while Class A maintains a growth rate of between 1 and 2 percent. Although …
Market Reports
New industrial demand in the Washington, D.C., metropolitan region has come not only from its strong service economy, but also a rapidly growing consumer goods supply chain, e-commerce distribution seeking speed of delivery, data centers and even government contractors. Both occupiers and investors seek modern, state-of-the-art building design and features. The Washington metro industrial market (185 million square feet inclusive of flex space) was well into the single digits with a sub-9 percent vacancy rate as of the third quarter of 2015. New construction has returned with 2.7 million square feet poised for delivery. The overall market is fairly balanced between suburban Maryland and Northern Virginia comprising 88.3 million square feet and 87.3 million square feet, respectively. The remaining 9.3 million square feet is located in the District of Columbia. Vacancy has been on a downward trajectory for the region as a whole. The current 8.8 percent rate represents a drop of 100 basis points compared with the third quarter of 2014. The largest industrial market is found in Prince George’s County, Md., and totals 52 million square feet of industrial and flex space. Prince George’s County also anchors the south end of the Baltimore-Washington I-95 Corridor. If the adjacent …
There was a time when retail in the District of Columbia was tired and unimaginative, but today things are changing. Today, D.C. competes with some of this country’s greatest retail cities. No longer do “food by the pound” cafes dominate fast casual lunch options, or tired steak houses fill the nights. A young generation of award winning chefs — the likes of Mike Isabella, Cedric Maupillier and Aaron Silverman — are driving a new culinary scene, which in turn is helping to boost retail growth across our city. Silverman’s Rose’s Luxury across from the Marine Barracks on Capitol Hill was just named 2014 best new restaurant in the country by Bon Appetit. With a population of less than 700,000, D.C. is still a relatively small city, but it doesn’t act like it. It is the focus of the nation’s — and the world’s — political eye. It is also blessed with a stable economy and the recent influx of a younger generation who seek to put their stamp on it. We are no longer just a government town. International corporations like Hilton, Marriott, Choice, and Host Hotels have chosen this market for their headquarters. Discovery and Travel channels have staked …
The government shutdown impacted local economies and real estate dynamics in many U.S. markets, but none moreso than the Washington, D.C., region. With anywhere from a quarter to over a third of metro D.C.’s privately owned office leasing tied to the federal government, the inability of the federal government to engage in long-term real estate planning has serious implications for the office sector. Non-federal tenants in the region are impacted as well in that a significant portion of the region’s occupiers are reliant, at least in part, on government contracts and spending. In fiscal 2012 alone, more than $72.6 billion of federal contracting dollars were procured in Washington, D.C., and its suburbs. Possible repercussions in the contracting arena from the shutdown and continued budgetary uncertainty from the federal sector could include contract cancellations, delays in payments and scope reductions. With ongoing questions about government funding and spending, these companies, like the government itself, cannot plan for the future and make decisions in areas that affect their businesses such as staffing, office and facility needs and support infrastructure. The inevitable uncertainty due to the current stop-gap fiscal environment creates questions about where funding for fit out, technology and equipment will come …
The tide is changing for subcontracting in the Washington, D.C., multifamily market. In the past year, while much of the country has been in recovery, Washington construction managers experienced a white-hot market in wood-frame, market-rate apartments. Along with multiple building opportunities, there was an abundance of qualified subcontractors offering extremely competitive pricing. Currently, new properties continue to be developed, but reductions in the subcontracting pool and changes in building codes are creating a climate of increased pressure for construction managers. Subcontractor Capacity Recently, our industry has seen unprecedented subcontractor failures, workforce leaving the area and some company owners leaving the business altogether because they are not willing to risk their livelihoods anymore. Profits and cash flow were just too tight. At the same time, more than 20,000 units will be added to the D.C. market during the next two years. Affordable and tax credit markets have come back strong as well, and rent increases in the new ground-up apartments have created a booming submarket in Class B renovations. For example, Snell Construction Corp. of Arlington, Va., is repositioning two major properties: Southern Towers, a 2,500-unit, 1960s era high-rise community in Alexandria, and Monticello Gardens, with 794 apartments in Falls Church, …
The government shutdown impacted local economies and real estate dynamics in many U.S. markets, but none moreso than the Washington, D.C., region. With anywhere from a quarter to over a third of metro D.C.’s privately owned office leasing tied to the federal government, the inability of the federal government to engage in long-term real estate planning has serious implications for the office sector. Non-federal tenants in the region are impacted as well in that a significant portion of the region’s occupiers are reliant, at least in part, on government contracts and spending. In fiscal 2012 alone, more than $72.6 billion of federal contracting dollars were procured in Washington, D.C., and its suburbs. Possible repercussions in the contracting arena from the shutdown and continued budgetary uncertainty from the federal sector could include contract cancellations, delays in payments and scope reductions. With ongoing questions about government funding and spending, these companies, like the government itself, cannot plan for the future and make decisions in areas that affect their businesses such as staffing, office and facility needs and support infrastructure. The inevitable uncertainty due to the current stop-gap fiscal environment creates questions about where funding for fit out, technology and equipment will come …
In 2013, Washington’s office market has been characterized by tenant-favorable conditions, lower-than-average deal volume and absorption reliant on a handful of major transactions. The metropolitan area has recovered its pre-recession employment levels; however, with the federal government being the region’s major economic driver, there has been considerable impact on the office market from BRAC (Base Realignment and Closure), sequestration, the recent government shutdown and the failure of Congress and the President to permanently resolve budget and debt-ceiling issues. And while sequestration technically took effect in 2013, many major tenants, in anticipation of cutbacks, began right-sizing their occupancy well in advance. Obviously any tenant whose revenues depend on government contracts led the charge in this proactive right-sizing movement. At the same time, federal tenants face a mandated reduction in their utilization rate, and private-sector tenants are looking for more densely packed, open-workspace floor plans as demonstrated by tenants leasing less space as they relocate. Notwithstanding the apparent economic headwinds, it is a remarkable time for confident tenants to lock in favorable terms. Concession packages, which comprise improvement allowances and rent abatement periods, are at all-time market highs, and landlords have demonstrated a willingness to restructure leases considerably in advance of expirations. …
The Washington, D.C., area boasts the lowest unemployment rate among major metros, at 5.5 percent as of February 2013, which is about two percentage points below the total U.S. unemployment rate of 7.6 percent. In the 12 months prior to February 2013, the area fell only behind New York, Los Angeles Basin and Houston in terms of job growth, with 39,700 new jobs created. At the same time in 2012, retailers shed approximately 1,100 jobs. While the effects of sequestration legislation are still unknown, the projected job growth from 2013 to 2017 is estimated to average 48,100 per annum. Two rapidly growing industry sectors are cybersecurity and healthcare. The Washington area also has an average household income of $108,400, making it an impressive 59 percent higher than the U.S. average. Incomes grew by 43 percent from 2000 to 2012, compared to 20 percent nationally. By 2017, the area’s average income is estimated to rise 14 percent, still higher than 13 percent nationally. Retail inventory (all types) for the Washington metro area totals approximately 220 million square feet. As of March 2013, the overall vacancy rate was 4.8 percent — the lowest in the nation. The market has seen no overall …
Washington, D.C. continues to grow and thrive but in a very different manner than it did in the past. While the national debt surpassed $16 trillion, the local economy has benefited from the government spending — which has resulted in the metro area having the lowest unemployment rate in the country. Additionally, D.C. continues to reap the benefits of having seven out of the top 10 wealthiest counties in the United States located within the metropolitan trade area. Furthermore, Generations X and Y are changing the real estate landscape by rejecting the baby boomer suburban ideology and opting to migrate to the city for non-committal rental housing, public transit, and a closer proximity to work and shopping. As many retailers will attest, if you are not growing, you are dying. The District has always been a vital market for retailer expansion. Today, with a floundering American economy and fewer opportunities for growth in the middle of the country, Washington has become a focal point for retailer expansion. For example, YO! Sushi, the British conveyor belt sushi concept, elected to open its first North American unit at D.C.’s Union Station. In addition, Walmart spent significant time and money creating unique store …
The uncertainty created by the nation’s current economic and fiscal conditions continues to dampen confidence for both government and private sector tenants resulting in increasing vacancy rates and declining net absorption in the D.C. market. In anticipation of the looming possibility that the government will fail to resolve its budget impasse, and so enforce mandated federal budget cuts (i.e., “sequestration”), companies that rely on federal spending are consolidating operations, discarding excess space and deferring leasing decisions. As a result, the Washington, D.C., vacancy rate, which has been in the mid-single digits for at least the last decade, has steadily increased since 2010 to over 12.5 percent as of the second quarter of 2012. The D.C. market’s leasing activity has been dominated by lease renewals, totaling 87 percent of all leasing activity in 2011 and 70 percent for the first half of 2012. Despite the economic uncertainty, the D.C. market continues to see new development activity, with nearly 2 million square feet currently under construction, and more than 70 percent of this space pre-leased. The 10-acre, mixed-use CityCenterDC project on the former Convention Center site has approximately 500,000 square feet of office space currently under construction, 77 percent of which has …