The Tampa Bay multifamily market is a tale of “have” and “have not.” The market has plenty of buyers and tremendous amounts of capital, and it has seen huge moves in valuation over the last 24 months. However, the market does not a large supply of available inventory or a steady supply of REO assets from lenders or special servicers. Let’s look at the amount of increased deal volume in the last 24 months, according to several sources such as LoopNet, CoStar and Real Capital Analytics. According to compiled sales comps, more than 250 multifamily properties ranging from 20 to more than 600 units have sold in the last 24 months. Compared to the prior two years, this number demonstrates an increase in sales volume of more than 200 percent. Sales prices range from $9,000 per unit on the low end of the scale for Class D fully vacant, REO, boarded-up properties to more than $150,000 per unit for several Class A fractured condo complexes that were 100 percent occupied at the time of sale. Lenders and REO special servicers have taken notice of this trend and have started pricing assets accordingly when they are brought to market through REO …
Market Reports
The Orlando office market continued to inch forward during the third quarter of 2012 with modest net absorption of 74,851 square feet. This marks the ninth straight quarter of positive net absorption for the Orlando office market, which includes more than 38 million square feet of Class A and B office space. Overall vacancy, however, rose 28 basis points quarter over quarter to 17.89 percent due largely to negative absorption in the Maitland Center submarket and due to an increase in available sublease space. The uncertainty created by the presidential election and the pending “fiscal cliff” were likely a factor in these modest third quarter results. Otherwise, office demand fundamentals continue to steadily improve. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, unemployment levels dropped to 8.4 percent in September, down from 8.7 percent in August. The office market will ultimately benefit from a multiplier effect as increases in construction and trade today should lead to increased demand for professional services and therefore increases in office using employment in the near future. Positive absorption in the third quarter was mostly due to growth within the Downtown/CBD submarket where 76,287 square feet of space was absorbed. The remaining non-CBD submarkets had mixed …
The sun shines once again on Tampa’s office sector — especially for the Westshore submarket, the largest in the Tampa Bay area. Job growth and a lack of new development have led to strong net absorption and declining vacancy in 2012. All those factors create the very real possibility for speculative office development in 2013, especially given the region’s lack of large blocks of contiguous Class A space. Overall vacancy for Tampa’s 32 million-square-foot office market was 16.7 percent through the third quarter, a full percentage point lower than vacancy at the beginning of 2012. Westshore captured 250,000 square feet of the area’s 350,000 square feet of net absorption, but even the Downtown submarket totaled 100,000 square feet of net absorption through the third quarter — not bad for a section of the market that’s struggled disproportionately over the past few years and has 6.5 million square feet of office space. Conversely, Tampa’s I-75 submarket struggled, with negative 40,000 square feet of net absorption through the first three quarters of 2012, but it has a strong track record over the past 15 years and brighter prospects ahead. Net absorption could’ve been greater, too, but potential tenants waited out election results. …
After five years of economic challenges, the Orlando industrial market — hit harder than any other industrial region in Florida — is rebounding. During the recession, central Florida experienced what amounted to a full stop in home construction, the failure of dozens of banks and almost no foreign investment. Vacancy rates for Orlando’s industrial warehouse market peaked in 2010 at nearly 15 percent and remained high until 2011. But now the economy is picking up. Payrolls expanded by 4,400 jobs year-over-year for the period ending in May and construction of multifamily residential has grown consistently. The improvements are part of a trend that could extend for years. Today, the industrial market that had the highest vacancy rates in the state is now experiencing the greatest absorption, with 1.1 million square feet leased in the second quarter of this year, for a six-month total of 2.4 million feet. That’s a 19.3 percent gain over the same period in 2011 and the third consecutive quarter of positive absorption. The overall vacancy rate has fallen to 10.7 percent, and that doesn’t tell the whole story. Outlying areas and Class C properties are lagging. In Class A and Class B properties in southwest Orlando …
The dust seems to be settling in northeast Florida’s industrial market after the recession. Sales are still down and asking prices continue to decline for traditional industrial properties, but institutional investors throughout the state seem to be in acquisition mode. While investors are looking, there are not many properties for sale. Despite the fact that Jacksonville is the third largest industrial market in Florida, not many institutional-quality industrial properties come onto the market frequently. Rental rates seem to have stabilized for quality properties and landlords are beginning to reduce the value of concessions offered to tenants. The current overall industrial vacancy rate for northeast Florida is about 9.6 percent compared to 9.7 percent this time last year. Although this is still on the high side for our market, it is still much more favorable than Savannah, Georgia, where the reported vacancy rate is close to 16 percent. Savannah is one of the more competitive markets with Jacksonville, due to its vibrant port traffic. Recent transactions that have helped northeast Florida maintain single- digit vacancy rates include Saddle Creek Corp.’s 213,000-square-foot lease in the former General Motors parts distribution center, which is owned by Cabot Properties and located in the Flagler …
South Florida, the densely packed grid squeezed between the Atlantic Ocean and the Everglades, is back on the priority list of retailers that, until recently, were content to hang out on the beach and wait for more inviting waters, so to speak. Over the past few months, the list of the most active newcomers has included Toys “R” Us, Babies “R” Us, Ross Dress for Less, Sports Authority and Dick’s Sporting Goods, just to name a few. And while the region is still a long way from the blistering pace of activity that was evident during the housing boom, there are other positive signs of life. A year and a half ago, similar to most major cities across the U.S., shopping center landlords in Miami and South Florida were fending off an overabundance of aggressive rent requests from retailers. All too often, in an effort to grasp some security for the future, many had to give in to retailers’ insistent demands for relief. In fact, many chains managed to lock into long-term leases at low- to mid-double-digit rent amounts in class “A” centers that used to command $25- or even $30-per-square-foot. During the past few months, however, the flood of …
Like most cities, Miami’s class A office market suffered during the depth of the recession: vacancy rates doubled, tenants gave back space, and many landlords offered significant incentives to close leases. Interestingly, the market bounced back sooner than many projected with leasing activity accelerating. New to market tenants began filling and backfilling space, foreign investment dollars began pouring in, and the market has benefitted from a flight to quality. There has been a real gravitation toward urban submarkets. Business hubs with residential and retail amenities such as Coral Gables, Doral and the Brickell Financial District have fared well despite the arrival of new product. We’re seeing an overall shift from suburban markets back to urban ones, which is consistent with what’s happening in cities across the U.S. The downtown Miami/Brickell market in particular is seeing high demand as the area comes to life as a 24/7 urban district with lively retail, available housing product at all points of the price spectrum, and many of Miami’s cultural and entertainment amenities. Planned upgrades to the nearby Port of Miami will stimulate further activity. 1450 Brickell office tower is now 80 percent leased just 18 months after delivery. The building has attracted many …
Most Tampa Bay-area businesses look forward to 2012 with more cause for optimism than they had heading into 2011. In prior quarters, the positive direction of the market was largely anecdotal. Over the last few months, though, tangible signs of broad-based improvement have emerged, suggesting that the obstacles to a stronger recovery may be weakening. Hiring activity has spread from a narrow set of countercyclical sectors such as healthcare and education to a broader group of industries such as hospitality and tourism, as well as professional/business services. Housing sales have started to pick up and hotel occupancy rates have increased as business travel and tourism rebound. The rate of growth still falls well short of its heady pace during the 1990s and the post-dot.com years between 2003 and 2007, yet 2011 brought clear signs of forward movement. The resurgence of cost-driven relocations of major businesses to Tampa Bay, combined with significant expansions by locally based firms, has been particularly encouraging. The headlines have been dominated not only by news of firms that are deciding to move to Tampa Bay from other cities, but also of existing companies that weathered the storm of the Great Recession and are moving forward with …
The Orlando office market has been recovering during the past 90 days in all aspects and classes. The vacancy rate has been improving. During the third quarter of 2011, it was between 16 percent and 18 percent, which is in line with the national average. According to REIS, the Sanford and Maitland submarkets have the lowest vacancy at 12 percent and 14 percent, respectively. Sales have been steady, especially bank-owned office buildings, which are trading around 20 to 30 percent below cost. One of the most noticeable sale transactions was $60.8 million sale of the 476,000-square-foot Bank of America Center in downtown Orlando, which Eola Capital sold to Parkway Properties Office Fund II LP in May of last year. Additionally, in October of 2011, Blackstone purchased Duke Realty’s office portfolio, totaling 10.1 million square feet for $1.08 billion. Included in that portfolio were a few assets in Orlando. There are also a few bank-owned office buildings that are under contract and expected close early next year. The Interstate 4 corridor from Disney to Sanford seems to be a hot spot for development as many companies are looking for more exposure and better access. Duke Realty is building the 133,000-square-foot Kirkman …
I am pleased with this quarter’s findings, not ecstatic, but pleased. After adding more than 200,000 square feet of office space to the market in the last two quarters, I am happy to announce that we have absorbed nearly 60,000 square feet this quarter. This is the first decrease in the amount of office space since the fourth quarter of 2010. This was due in large part to the sale of the CH2M Hill building along Williston Road, which accounted for 31,000 square feet of the 60,000 square feet in this report. Nationally, we saw the largest absorption of office space since third quarter 2007 (12 million square feet). Office fundamentals have improved locally. Vacancies are decreasing, there are fewer concessions, rates are stable, and lease terms are increasing. Regarding concessions, for those being asked for by tenants, landlords are replying with a demand for longer-term leases. The good news is that tenants are agreeing to them, hopefully because they see a brighter future in their own business. In terms of vacancies, there is a notable difference in showing and lease activity, perhaps because there is less uncertainty in the business world. This is further evidenced by the longer-term deals …