Market Reports

Miami-Dade County’s Office Market Fueled by Solid Local Economic Fundamentals

by John Nelson June 11, 2018

Driven by population and job growth, Miami-Dade County is one of the strongest and most sought-after commercial real estate markets in the Southeast. As of February 2018, the county’s unemployment rate stood at 4.7 percent, which, while only a 10-basis point decline from the rate in February 2017, represents continued positive movement. The metro’s economic stability and growing employment base are significant factors when analyzing the tightening office market. Miami-Dade County ended the first quarter with an overall office vacancy rate of 9.67 percent, a 106-basis point decline from the previous year. Also, net absorption was positive with suburban areas such as Airport/Doral, Coral Gables and South Gables/South Miami remaining primary contributors to the county’s growing office sector. The trend continued from 2017, as the year ended strong with nearly 1.5 million square feet of total net absorption countywide. As overall vacancy declines and rental rates rise, development in Miami-Dade remains active with 717,000 square feet under construction, 657,000 square feet of which is being developed within the top five most in-demand submarkets for corporate growth. Projects such as Two MiamiCentral, Giralda Place and Mary Street are redefining South Florida’s office landscape as mixed-use environments become more ubiquitous. Record-Low Vacancy …

June 11, 2018

Florida Market Reports Property Type Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Retailers Get Creative as Miami is Hot, But Available Space is Not

by John Nelson June 4, 2018

The Miami retail market is healthy, expanding and not showing signs of a slowdown. At more than 2.8 million people with an average household income of nearly $70,000, demand for more retail continues throughout Miami-Dade County. The submarkets of Aventura, North Miami, Coconut Grove, Kendall and Pinecrest, as well as the urban core submarkets of Brickell, Midtown and Wynwood, reflect this with low vacancy rates and increasing rents. Most of the new construction projects underway or recently delivered are in the form of mixed-use projects, both within Miami’s urban core and in well-established submarkets such as Coral Gables, Doral and the Design District. The bad news? Miami is landlocked between the Atlantic Ocean and the Everglades, limiting space for traditional retail development and retailer footprints. But here’s where it gets interesting, and promising — instead of abandoning the market, developers and retailers in Miami-Dade County are simply getting creative with the limited dirt available. Building Density Because of the scarcity of land and its high price per-acre, density is the top priority, resulting in a surge of vertical, mixed-use developments with structured parking. For instance, Brickell City Centre demonstrates that if developers want critical mass, sometimes the only way to …

June 4, 2018

Florida Market Reports Office Property Type Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Tampa Bay’s Office Market is Evolving with New Spec Construction on the Horizon

by John Nelson May 28, 2018

Economic growth in Tampa Bay continues at an impressive pace, driven by strong population and employment growth over the past several years. The unemployment rate has steadily declined, dropping 110 basis points from December 2016 to a current 3.4 percent, and the strong pace of job growth continues with a rise in non-farm employment of 35,000 new jobs during the trailing 12-month period ending December 2017. As a result, leasing activity has increased, rental rates continue to show incremental growth and there is a strong likelihood of new speculative office construction in the coming year. Major corporations continue to reaffirm their confidence in Tampa with significant announcements of planned corporate expansions by MetLife, Pricewaterhouse Coopers (PwC), AAA and USAA during the second half of 2017. In fact, the Tampa Bay metropolitan area ranked as one of the top 20 “U.S. Markets to Watch” for overall real estate prospects in the Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2018 report published by PricewaterhouseCoopers and the Urban Land Institute. Investment Activity Many investors who in years past were seeking opportunities in gateway markets are now turning their attention to secondary markets like the Tampa Bay area in search of higher yields. There were several …

May 28, 2018

Florida Market Reports Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Seller’s Market for Jacksonville Retail Creates Opportunities for Investors

by John Nelson January 29, 2018

The Jacksonville and North Florida retail markets are seeing an increase and influx in new investment activity. Analysts are watching the volume, vacancy rate and new construction, and all signs point to a seller’s market, but compared with other Florida cities, the cap rate and the opportunities are still attractive to retail investors. What sets Jacksonville apart from other cities in Florida and across the country is the area’s strong employment growth and the amount of developable land still available. The rate of employment in Jacksonville is growing at double the national average. In addition, the city continues to attract back-office facilities for major banks and for Amazon, and its seaport is busier than ever. Housing also continues to boom in areas like Northern St. Johns County. According to third-quarter 2017 analyst reports, Jacksonville’s retail vacancy rate went down slightly from 4.6 percent in the previous quarter to 4.5 percent, or 93.5 million total square feet. Absorption totaled 710,101 square feet through the first three quarters of 2017, with about 590,000 square feet ready for occupancy or delivered, and 700,109 square feet under construction. Retail Tenant Shift Nationally, we saw stalled volume of sales during the downturn along with declining …

January 29, 2018

Florida Industrial Market Reports Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Orlando’s Industrial Market Finally Reaches Maturity as Demand Outstrips Supply

by John Nelson October 2, 2017

Orlando’s industrial market is coming into its own. As high-profile users such as Amazon, Samsung and Best Buy continue to enter the market, major brands are taking a fresh approach to Central Florida’s logistical advantages, and an increased number of national REITs are combing the area for any opportunity they can uncover. Despite an unprecedented boom of speculative industrial building, demand continues to outpace supply. In the industrial sphere, Orlando has become the juggernaut of Florida. This growth has been fueled by a number of overlapping factors. Tourism has always been a huge driver for Orlando’s industrial sector. Disney World remains North America’s most-visited theme park. The convention business is thriving and Port Canaveral is one of the top cruise industry ports in the world, attracting some of the largest ships. Now, the area’s tech industry is taking off as well. The $75 million, 100,000-square-foot manufacturing research center, BRIDG — just delivered in Osceola County — will be a catalyst for further growth in high-tech manufacturing and research. Add to this the second fastest rate of population growth in the nation, and the city once known primarily as Florida’s tourist mecca is primed for commercial expansion. On the national level, …

October 2, 2017

Florida Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Orlando’s Suburban Office Sector is Ready for its Time to Shine

by John Nelson September 25, 2017

The Central Florida market continues to be a bright ray in the Sunshine State with 68 million plus tourists in 2016, and over $10 billion currently invested in major projects either recently completed or underway. Area theme parks, such as Disney World, Universal Studios and Sea World, continue investments in new rides and attractions, drawing even more visitors to Orlando, and setting record attendance numbers on an annual basis. Tourism isn’t the whole story in Central Florida, though. Notable projects in the urban core include the University of Central Florida’s downtown campus at Creative Village for 10,000 students, the 650,000-square foot Orlando Magic mixed-use entertainment complex adjacent to the Amway Center, and the new $450 million second phase expansion to the Dr. Phillips Center for the Performing Arts. All of these new urban core projects are creating a true live-work-play dynamic in downtown Orlando. The suburban market is also seeing significant activity. For example, the Health & Wellness cluster at Lake Nona; the $3.1 billion redevelopment at Orlando International Airport; the $43 million improvement of the Orlando Sanford International Airport; and the $1 billion West Orange County mixed-use community all showcase that new investment is not centered in one part …

September 25, 2017

Florida Market Reports Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Regeneration of Retail Spurring New Development, Investment Activity in Orlando

by John Nelson September 20, 2017

Orlando’s retail market is experiencing renewed vigor. Construction cranes are rising in key areas due to increasingly high demand, and low vacancies are fueling rental rate growth, which has been somewhat stagnant over the last several years. There is also demand for larger vacated boxes as a result of the downsizing and bankruptcies of retailers. Spaces once occupied by Sears, Sports Authority and hhgregg, for example, are being filled by retailers entering or expanding their presence in the market, such as Luckys Market, Earth Fare, Orchard Supply, Ollie’s, 24 Hour Fitness and At Home. The activity is both resulting in and benefitting from exciting new developments and infrastructure improvements in the market. Development, Infrastructure Current development activity in Orlando is in direct response to considerable consumer demand, with many major retail projects recently completed or under construction. Lake Nona Landings, a 53-acre development in Tavistock’s master-planned Lake Nona community, opened in early 2017 with the area’s first Walmart Supercenter and Sam’s Club, and will serve as an anchor for the growing Narcoossee corridor south of State Road 417. Horizons West/Four Corners is a thriving residential area encompassing parts of western Orange and north Osceola counties where retail, restaurant and multifamily …

September 20, 2017

Florida Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Miami Multifamily Market Remains Strong, But Where are the Deals?

by John Nelson August 14, 2017

The multifamily market in South Florida is gaining strength but not sales velocity due to converging market and demographic forces. Sales topped $400 million for the third year in a row in 2016, largely because the average price per unit jumped 13 percent to $185,300 per unit. The vacancy rate fell below 4 percent at the end of last year, and rents climbed almost 4 percent on all types of units to an effective rate of $1,351 per month. It’s clear the current upcycle will continue beyond the usual period as immense demand from investors is causing an incredible scarcity of Class A product, and the lifestyle preferences of millennials are intersecting with the luxury condo boom. Opportunities, Challenges In 2005 and 2006, adequate inventory kept the multifamily market in balance. Today, buyers are plentiful, capital is available and interest rates are affordable. What we don’t have is product, a phenomenon not exclusive to Miami and Fort Lauderdale. Why? Sellers have few options. They’re thinking, “If I sell at a premium and I want to stay in a similar market, I’m going to pay a premium. So, what’s the point of selling?” Therefore, owners are putting properties on the market …

August 14, 2017

Florida Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Miami Office Market Thrives Due to Young Workers Seeking South Florida Lifestyle

by John Nelson August 7, 2017

Looking ahead to the rest of 2017, we can expect to see continued improvement of Miami’s office market based on strong market fundamentals and employment growth. Key trends to watch in 2017 that will help drive and shape the market, include: • Steady, modest growth in office rents • Declining available office supply • New transit-oriented mixed-use developments that include office space in both Miami’s downtown urban core and other connected walkable neighborhoods such as Coconut Grove, Coral Gables and Wynwood • Tenants adopting new office design standards • Increased moves between submarkets and new-to-market companies positively impacting net absorption Office demand will continue to be fueled by vibrant population growth of young professionals and Miami’s appeal as a growing, global and entrepreneurial city. Miami-Dade County’s population has grown 8 percent in the past five years, making it the seventh-largest county in the United States. In 2016, more than 20,000 jobs were added in the county, predominately in the construction, real estate, professional services and financial services industries. This economic growth has fueled expansion activity in the office market and should hold steady in 2017. Miami’s focus on cultivating innovation and entrepreneurship has also positively impacted the office market. In …

August 7, 2017

Florida Market Reports Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Miami Retail Market Faces Obstacles from E-Commerce, Declining Foreign Tourism

by John Nelson July 31, 2017

There are two major trends affecting retailers across South Florida: the reduction of affluent foreign tourists in the market and the internet, which is forcing retailers to shift their concepts at an accelerating pace. Both factors have led to a slight decline in market conditions, specifically a deceleration of growth rates, but not significantly enough to cause great concern or to feel South Florida has become a “falling market.” Instead, much like origami, one must shape retail concepts to adapt to the new online reality. The American dollar is still very strong against Latin American and most foreign currency. This has created a downward spiral for hotel occupancy and retail sales in South Florida’s tourist driven areas such as South Beach and Lincoln Road. Miami-Dade County hotel occupancy was down 0.6 percent year-over-year to 83.5 percent in February/March 2017. This tourism decline has also created a shift in foreign investing. While large foreign investors are still active in the market, there has been a noticeable exit of smaller foreign investors. This has created an unusual twist in the South Florida market as now domestic (primarily from the Northeast) and Canadian investors are actively looking and purchasing retail opportunities given they …

July 31, 2017

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