Orlando’s multifamily market is in the midst of a golden era of sorts, as it sits squarely at the intersection of strong employment growth, an increasing population, a major demographic shift and a variation in lifestyle preferences. Together, these factors provide a tremendous tailwind for future strength in the local apartment market. While the national multifamily market continues to perform at a high level, Orlando is starting to show up on the radar of more institutional investors due to its recent outperformance and tremendous growth prospects. According to recent data from MPF Research, Orlando is on pace to see 5.6 percent rent growth in 2015, followed by 4.7 percent growth in 2016. The strong momentum in the MSA is being driven by a rapidly expanding and increasingly diversified job market. Going forward, the picture looks even brighter. MPF Research ranks Orlando as the No. 1 metro in the nation for job growth through 2020, with a growth rate (2.7 percent), more than twice the national average (1.1 percent). Unlike previous cycles, today’s growth is spread more evenly across employment industries, resulting in a more diverse, dynamic labor market. The highest growth sectors are forecast to be construction, healthcare/bio-tech, business services, …
Market Reports
Underpinned by a $50 billion tourism industry that drew a record-breaking 62.3 million visitors in 2014 in addition to strong job, population and residential growth, there is no question that Orlando’s retail real estate market is stronger than ever. According to 2014 U.S. census data, Orlando outpaced 99 of America’s 100 most populous MSAs in year-over-year population growth. The City Beautiful also recently ranked as the No. 1 U.S. city for job growth by Fortune Magazine following a 3.7 percent increase in its employment base in the same year. The Orlando retail market has also benefited heavily from healthy gains in the housing sector, powered by Central Florida’s tourism and construction industries, which stimulate economic development in the region. Orange County Property Appraiser, Rick Singh, reported that average home sale prices were up more than 10.5 percent in 2014, while residential construction rose 79 percent in the same period. With this type of growth, Orlando is experiencing strong consumer spending and an increase in demand for retail space. The Orlando region’s Index of Retail Activity rose 8.5 percent year-over-year in the second quarter of 2015, while the metro-wide retail vacancy rate decreased to 6.5 percent, down from 8.2 percent at …
Miami’s multifamily market now ranks among the country’s strongest overall performers (if not the strongest). The city attracts, and benefits from, numerous tourists, investors, financial institutions, real estate funds, retailers and tourists from countries around the globe. The demand for condominiums and apartment buildings in Miami seems insatiable with the investors competing for increasingly scant deals. In practical terms, that means hotel and office developers often lose out across asset classes to the “ever-on-fire” multifamily sector. There is every indication in the first quarter of 2015 that Miami’s multifamily market’s upward trend will continue. Debt and equity continue to stream into the Miami-Dade County apartment and condominium sector from both local sources and out-of-area buyers attracted to solid asset performance and robust housing demand generators. Continued employment and population growth have bolstered housing demand as the overall Miami economy strengthened in 2014. The Miami metropolitan area added more than 30,000 jobs last year, and based on figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Miami-Dade County’s unemployment rate continued its downward trend to 5.4 percent in February 2015. According to the Florida Bureau of Economic and Business Research, South Florida’s population is expected to increase by approximately 29 percent between 2013 …
Miami, the “Gateway to Latin America and the Caribbean,” boasts one of the strongest industrial markets in the nation, with over 200 million square feet of industrial space serving one of the fastest-growing metropolitan areas in the United States. Stronger-than-average population and employment growth count among the region’s chief demand drivers, along with robust international trade, a booming housing market and a globally acclaimed tourism industry. South Florida’s population is expected to grow by 100,000 people annually over the next five years, while the region also has the fourth-highest job growth rate in the nation. As a result, demand for housing and consumer goods is rising, creating a very dynamic industrial development, leasing and sales environment. Significant and ongoing investment in South Florida’s seaports, airports and intermodal transportation infrastructure is giving investors and businesses confidence in the long-term growth of the region. On the infrastructure front, there is the highly publicized, $2 billion expansion of PortMiami, one of the busiest ports in the U.S. for container traffic. The project includes a deep dredge, the addition of several post-Panamax gantry cranes, an intermodal/freight rail linkage, and a new truck/freight tunnel. Once completed this year, PortMiami will be the only port south …
Miami is known for its spicy nightlife and beautiful beaches; but those are not the only things the international city has to offer. As the economy continues to surge, many now consider Miami the third major market within the United States following New York City and Los Angeles. Within the city, the retail market has always been attractive to owners and tenants alike, but over the past three years retail has rocketed to the forefront. One of the major factors of this evolution is Miami’s growth, both in population and in tourism. Between being an international vacation destination, a major cruise port, and the gateway to the Caribbean and Latin America, Miami is constantly growing. The weather and city also attracts growth. The population in Miami now is at 2.66 million and Miami Beach’s hotels reported having occupancy levels at or above 94 percent during President’s Day weekend. With this type of growth, Miami is experiencing strong consumer spending and an increase in demand for retail space. Retail vacancies are at an all-time low while rental rates are breaking records. Currently, Miami is considered to be under-supplied per capita in retail. Over the past few years, Miami has been increasing …
The business and employment gains in the Tampa Bay market are helping landlords attract new retail names to the market to fill space and subsequently raise rents. The area shows good signs of a healthy market, with strong leasing activity and a growing need for new development. The retail vacancy rate continues to drop, ending 2014 at 6.3 percent versus 6.9 percent in the first quarter of that year, according to CoStar. Rents are positively going the other way, rising to $13.73 per square foot from $13.57 per square foot over the same time periods. Space is extremely tight in some submarkets, just 2.1 percent in south Tampa and northeast Tampa, and 4.5 percent in the larger I-75 corridor at the end of last year, according to CoStar. The lack of space can be attributed in part to the slow pace of new construction. Developers and their lenders are being more cautious, having learned lessons from the last recession. At the same time, a number of new concepts, all of which are good for the market, are arriving in Tampa Bay. The current situation puts landlords in even more control than they had last year. They’re using this period to …
Downtown Miami is on fire by any measure. The neighborhood is home to more construction cranes than any other place in the U.S., businesses are moving in and expanding on an almost daily basis, hotel room rates and occupancy levels are at all-time highs, and new residents are relocating here from all over the world. A recent study by the Miami Downtown Development Authority found that greater downtown Miami’s residential population has literally doubled in size — from 40,000 people to 80,000 people — since 2000. Another 200,000 people commute to the area each day for business. The area’s commercial real estate market has closely followed this trajectory of growth, with Downtown Miami and the Brickell Financial District welcoming more than 2 million square feet of new Class A office product in the last five years. Strong demand among domestic and multinational companies, along with an improving economy, has resulted in positive absorption and record-setting lease rates in excess of $50 per square foot for premium space. Land values in downtown are also reaching new heights as developers spend as much as $125 million for one acre on the water. All of this is creating a steep barrier to entry …
In a city known for its fast-shifting real estate cycles and ever-changing demographics, it’s becoming clear that change is the only real constant in Miami. Examples are everywhere — from the construction cranes dotting the skyline and trendy neighborhoods emerging throughout the region, to a fresh crop of international investors and the launch of entirely new industries. The makeup of our people is also evolving. A report by the Miami Downtown Development Authority (DDA) found that the city’s urban core has experienced 100 percent population growth since 2000 as its population becomes younger and more educated. Residents ages 25 to 44 make up 46 percent of the population and 58 percent of residents over the age of 25 have a college degree. It’s easy to overlook the impact these trends are having on commercial real estate in favor of Miami’s headline-grabbing residential market, but the demographic shifts taking place are also impacting the office market as employers cultivate a workforce increasingly dominated by Millennials drawn to growth-oriented jobs. This change has been in the making for years as Miami’s public and private sectors invest in creating new business opportunities for young professionals across industries less prone to economic swings, such …
Jacksonville boasts the fourth-largest metro population and the largest city proper population in the state of Florida. It is the 14th most populous city in the United States, and with a breadth of approximately 841 square miles, it is the largest city in the contiguous United States by area. The county seat of Duval County, Jacksonville touts a population of approximately 900,000 people (2012 estimate) with a median household income of $50,701 and a median age of 31.4. The unemployment rate is presently on a downward trend decreasing 80 basis points from August to September 2014 to 5.8 percent, which was significantly lower than the previous year’s rate of 6.6 percent and Florida’s 6.1 percent. Jacksonville’s retail market remains strong despite the lack of available space in the mature Class A submarkets such as Town Center, Rivercity Marketplace, Mandarin, Orange Park, West Beaches and Beaches. National retailers and restaurants remain active seeking deals throughout Duval County, yet are still hesitant to consider Class B and C submarkets given their selective national site strategies. As most of the highly desirable spaces has been absorbed, there is more demand for new space than any time in recent memory. Although several redevelopments and …
Are Hikes in Construction, Rent Around the Corner for Jacksonville Industrial Market?
by John Nelson
Over the last four years, North Florida’s industrial market appears to have stabilized. While rental rates remain flat offering a variety of expansion opportunities for users and tenants, rental increases and new construction opportunities may be right around the corner. Consider the facts: the Jacksonville industrial vacancy rate now hovers around 8.5 percent, the lowest in the last five years and down from a high of 11.4 percent in 2010. Rental rates, now in the $3.98 per square foot range for the last two quarters, have stabilized from a high of $4.38 per square foot reported in the first quarter of 2010, according to CoStar. Because of a finite supply, with an increase in demand for Class B and Class C space, a rent increase may be in the forecast. Add with the lack of choices for large blocks of Class A space, expect more build-to-suit activity, or speculative construction. In 2014, two speculative industrial projects were announced in Jacksonville. In order to meet a contractual construction deadline within the city of Jacksonville’s master developer agreement, Hillwood Investment Properties launched a 510,000-square-foot cross-dock project at Alliance Florida. Hillwood was chosen as the master developer of Alliance Florida, formerly Cecil Commerce …