By Karena Gilbert, Office & Investment Associate, Colliers With a population of a little more than 795,000, the Boise metro area has consistently ranked as one of the fastest-growing places in the nation. Ada and Canyon counties saw a population increase of 7.8 percent from 2020 to 2022. This growth has brought both business and talent to the Boise area and around the state. In a city already ripe with highly skilled, educated and community-minded people, the influx of more talent helped stimulate the growth of local and newly planted companies. Unemployment was 2.4 percent in June 2022, its lowest since May 2018. We are once again seeing companies that have to work to attract and retain employees in this growing market. Boise office tenants have returned to work. There is a degree of remote work, along with the adoption of hybrid work, as many employers and employees are unsure how many days per week anyone will be required in the office. There is a strong desire to have employees back to work as it fuels collaboration, mentorship and training. Companies that had thought about reducing their footprint are now reconsidering and finding value in having a collaborative environment. Boise has smaller office users …
Market Reports
By Tim Reid, First Vice President, CBRE Boise’s retail market continues to show signs of resiliency in the wake of a global downturn caused by the pandemic. Though retail companies pivoted their business models to accommodate social distancing policies and provide contactless options last year, many were still forced to close their doors. The retail outlook is now much brighter after the industry experienced an incredibly turbulent year. Beginning in April, Idaho’s year-over-year retail sales rebounded 56.3 percent after dropping to 22.7 percent in 2020. Much of that progress can be attributed to Idaho’s strong fundamentals, including the state’s robust population growth. Idaho led the nation as the second-fastest growing state in the past decade, adding 17.3 percent to the population from 2010 to 2020. This state also houses several of the fastest-growing cities in the nation. While much of the migration to Boise City came from within the state, relocations from the West Coast — namely, California, Washington and Oregon — surged, accounting for 17.5 percent of last year’s growth. Those moving tend to be young, affluent, childless professionals seeking urban locations. While this migration pattern is not new, relocations to the Treasure Valley were amplified by the pandemic. These dynamics …
By Patrick Shalz, Partner, TOK Commercial Net absorption in Boise’s office market through August is nearly 806,000 square feet. This has already outpaced the amount seen in 2020 by more than 40 percent. Meridian and Downtown Boise have had the most net absorption, with 232,000 square feet and 191,000 square feet, respectively. Overall vacancy has declined a full percentage point in 2021, from 7.3 percent to 6.2 percent. Multi-tenant vacancy has also declined from 11.2 percent to 10.7 percent. Many of the largest transactions of 2021 involved companies that are new to the Boise MSA. Kiln, a co-working company with offices in Utah and Colorado, leased nearly 50,000 square feet of newly constructed space in the Eagle View Landing project near Eagle Road and I-84. U.S. Investment Corp. and AMS Sensors, both of which are new to the market, leased 13,100 and 10,900 square feet, respectively, at the 11th & Idaho Building in downtown Boise. Overall asking rates have increased in the past year, rising $0.50 per square foot to $18.50 per square foot (full-service lease/FLSV, annually). Class A space in newly constructed office buildings have asking rates ranging between $26 and $30 per square foot. Landlords have been offering $60 to $65 …
By Devin Ogden, Partner, Colliers Idaho has been overlooked by investors and developers in the past due to its smaller size and geographic isolation. This is not the narrative anymore. Tenants and users are currently looking to expand their operations into Idaho to serve the surging population and take advantage of a business-friendly environment with minimal regulation. Expensive land costs and significant cap rate compression in primary markets are causing developers and investors to shift their focus to secondary and tertiary markets to chase yield and opportunity. With the positive trend of people and businesses moving or expanding to Idaho, Boise is now near the top of the list for many national and regional investors and developers. The Boise industrial market has been underdeveloped in the past with only a handful of local developers that never got out ahead of themselves. The population of the Boise MSA is more than 750,000. Total industrial inventory is more than 42 million square feet with an additional 5 million-plus square feet being flex product. The market has had nearly 3 million square feet of positive absorption over the past two years and, as such, the current vacancy rate is 1.9 percent. Most new warehouse being constructed …
The Idaho retail market is showing signs of growth. Boise and Twin Falls are experiencing new developments breaking ground and national retailers are expanding or moving into the area. Much of this new development is coming in from California, Utah, Colorado and Arizona. Tenants are making deals again. Anchor tenants in second-generation space are looking in that $8-per-square-foot to $11-per-square-foot range for larger spaces. Shop spaces in A+ locations are still demanding high $20 per square foot lease rates and even into the low $30 per square foot for the higher-end projects like Meridian Town Center and the Whole Foods/Walgreens developments in Boise. Local and regional retailers are making a strong push to secure prime space as they are seeing lease rates start to rise. Many tenants are more willing to lock into longer lease terms if they can keep a lower rate. Landlords are beginning to provide tenant improvement allowances so long as the lessees can prove financial stability. Idaho is also experiencing retail market trends that are similar to the rest of the country. Larger healthcare facilities are driving the expansion of surrounding retail developments in Nampa and Twin Falls. Additionally, a few of the big box retailers …
The end of last year ushered in an increase of activity, a higher absorption of existing space and lower overall vacancy rates for Boise’s office market. In 2008, the economy went into a tailspin. It led to an increased supply of vacant commercial space in Boise as companies retrenched and downsized. Jobs and customers were also lost throughout the region. Unfortunately, there were a few submarkets that were dramatically affected. In fact, the Boise CBD (central business district), or downtown core, was the only local market that didn't experience a significant increase in vacancies or a huge drop in rents. Other areas listed below were negatively affected: The area near the intersection Cloverdale and Chinden, adjacent to the Boise HP campus that is known as the Boise Research Center, was hit particularly hard. HP downsized, re-trenched it operations and its sub-contract suppliers cut back. This created a vacancy rate of almost 30 percent. The Boise Research Center region was also hit by the bankruptcy of DBSI, a large real estate investment firm that put about 75,000 vacant square feet back into the local market. The area known as Eagle River, between the new Eagle bypass and the Boise River, experienced …
There is a visible upside to the Boise retail market as we begin 2011. Major employers such as Micron Technology, Hewlett-Packard and Albertsons seem to be holding their own after some layoffs in recent years. A number of national retailers are considering smaller store footprints, which has led them to consider smaller markets like Boise. And pedestrian friendly downtown Boise endured the economic downturn reasonably well, remaining an employment and cultural center that’s home to dozens of local shops and other small businesses. In addition to art galleries, restaurants, coffeehouses, jewelers, wineries, salons, apparel shops and gift shops, national tenants such as The North Face, Anthropologie, Urban Outfitters and Office Depot are well located in the city. After a brutal 2009 and soft 2010, the Boise retail leasing market is showing signs of recovery, despite that the greater Boise area posted negative absorption of about 100,000 square feet last year due to a few large move outs. One long-delayed major lifestyle retail project is moving ahead and is a positive sign that confidence is returning to the market. After a 3-year delay, CenterCal Properties is breaking ground later this year on the 90-acre mixed-use Meridian Town Center in the growing …
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