By Chris Bruzas, Berkadia After a particularly challenging and unpredictable 2024, marked by continued interest rate volatility and a persistent bid-ask spread differential that contributed to low transaction volume, the Indianapolis apartment market is showing promising signs of stabilization as we move into 2025. Yardi Matrix data highlights Indianapolis’ resilience, posting 2.7 percent year-over-year rent growth in November. This performance is especially noteworthy as it surpasses several popular Sun Belt markets, which have experienced declines, dipping into negative territory. The outlook for 2025 appears more balanced, with new supply moderating to approximately 3,500 units from 2024’s record-breaking 6,500+ deliveries. This timing aligns well with the market’s strong population growth, as Indianapolis expects to welcome 22,200 new residents in 2025, significantly exceeding the historical average of 12,800 annual net movers. Key factors of the population’s growth are due to the presence of reputable universities and colleges, such as Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI). Compared with other major metropolitan areas, Indianapolis offers a relatively low cost of living, making it an attractive destination for those looking to maximize their quality of life without the high expenses associated with larger cities. The region’s economic fundamentals remain strong, anchored by transformative projects including Eli …
Market Reports
By Lance Evinger III, Hendricks Commercial Properties In an era where consumers seek more than just products, experience-driven spaces are reshaping the commercial real estate landscape. In Indianapolis, developers and urban planners are increasingly focused on transforming some of the city’s most underutilized yet high-potential areas into dynamic destinations that foster engagement, connection and excitement. Indianapolis boasts a diverse and rapidly evolving commercial real estate market that continues to attract significant investment and development. Key sectors — including office, industrial, retail and mixed-use developments — have experienced steady growth, with a strong focus on adaptive reuse projects and innovative design concepts. The city’s strategic central location, robust infrastructure and thriving convention scene make it a prime destination for businesses and developers alike. Named USA Today’s No. 1 Convention City in the U.S. in 2024, downtown Indianapolis attracts over 10 million visitors annually, a number that continues to grow. In the past year, downtown hotels have set all-time monthly revenue records, fueled by major events like the NFL Combine and NBA All-Star Weekend. At the same time, the Indiana Convention Center has seen a 14.5 percent year-over-year increase in visitors, further cementing the city’s reputation as a top-tier event destination. With …
By Stephen Daum, Colliers The eyes of the sporting world once again focus on downtown Indianapolis as it hosts the 2024 NBA All-Star Game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in mid-February. It is anticipated that the game will have a $320 million economic impact to the city. Indianapolis was set to hold the 2021 NBA All-Star Game, but the COVID-19 shutdown forced a postponement until 2024. Similarly, the pandemic also stunted development efforts in the central business district. But like the return of the All-Star Game, downtown development projects have rebounded, with an estimated $9 billion in projects set to be completed over the next few years. In anticipation of hosting the All-Star Game, Pacers Sports & Entertainment finished an extensive $400 million remodel of Gainbridge Fieldhouse, including new seats, expanded social gathering areas, plus the new outdoor Bicentennial Unity Plaza — offering public basketball courts and an ice skating rink in the winter. Overlooking Bicentennial Plaza is Commission Row, a 30,000-square-foot mixed-use, multi-story development. Basketball isn’t the only sport driving downtown development. Indy Eleven, a United Soccer League (USL) franchise headed by local developer Ersal Ozdemir, has begun construction on its expansive Indy Eleven Park. This will be located just south …
By Jim Pitoukkas, Coldwell Banker Commercial Shook Outside of recognition related to Purdue University, the Greater Lafayette region (consisting of West Lafayette, Lafayette and surrounding towns in Tippecanoe County), has been in the shadows of the Indianapolis MSA to the south and Chicago MSA to the north. This is changing, though. Growth over the last decade has pushed Greater Lafayette into the national spotlight as an emerging hub for innovation in advanced manufacturing in industries including medical, aerospace and defense, agriculture and nanotechnology, and a burgeoning housing market. For three quarters straight, The Wall Street Journal and Realtor.com have ranked Greater Lafayette the No. 1 Emerging Housing Market in America based on comparatively affordable housing, a skilled technology-based workforce, and a strong growing local economy. Additionally, current and to-be residents benefit from consistent public investments in quality-of-life infrastructure that continue to attract new residents across a range of ages and backgrounds. Quality of life Greater Lafayette has invested in excess of $889 million in public investment since 2015. These investments have ranged from new utility infrastructure, a new minor league ball field, parks, county-wide trails, public facilities like the West Lafayette Wellness Center and the Lafayette Public Safety Center, and …
By Ken Martin, JLL The Indianapolis industrial real estate market ended 2022 nearing a record high for a single year with more than 19.6 million square feet of absorption. Much of this was recorded in Hendricks, Johnson and Hancock counties with total year-end net absorption of 7.3, 6.4 and 3.2 million square feet, respectively. These submarkets continue to offer tenants excellent access to both interstate highways to transport goods across the country, as well as strong employment bases. Developers and tenants often cite employment bases as their No. 1 criteria in selecting an optimum site. With vacancy at an all-time low of sub 5 percent for the majority of 2022, developers and owners were able to push rents as demand outstripped supply. As recently as two to three years ago, rents were consistently in the high $3’s per square foot range and now we consistently see rents in the $5 per square foot range or higher. Year-end asking rents averaged $5.54 per square foot overall and $6.48 per square foot for mid-sized warehouse space. In some markets, however, rents for warehouse space were well above the average. In the central business district, for example, asking rates for warehouse …
By Steve LaMotte Jr., CBRE With 2021, a record year for asset appreciation and fundamentals, 2022 marked a turning point in the apartment space across the nation. Multifamily leasing velocity, rent growth and occupancy levels have seemingly reached their current peak levels and begun to cool. Instability in the capital markets throughout much of 2022 encouraged many on both the buy and sell sides to wait it out, looking for signs of stability. However, despite the turbulence and the pause, the multifamily sector has remained resilient and is expected to maintain its claim as the preferred asset classification in 2023. Further, metro Indianapolis has been a standout performer in every meaningful measurement. Now widely regarded as an emerging star of the Midwest, metro Indianapolis has earned its place as the nation’s rent growth leader in the back-to-back months of October and November of 2022, according to Yardi Matrix. The metro has outperformed many major markets while maintaining its characteristic affordability. According to research from CBRE Econometric Advisors, the average metro rent of $1,200 per unit ($1.30 per square foot) shows that metro Indianapolis will deliver outsized rent growth in times of distress while remaining one of the most affordable metro’s …
By Traci Kapsalis, JLL It’s no secret that the COVID-19 pandemic turned every office market across the globe upside down. In the process, quality of life, health and well-being have become top priorities for office workers, as well as a push for hybrid and flexible working models. To understand and support these evolving expectations, local governments, employers and landlords are working together to identify and shape their new future of work. In fact, new research from JLL reports that the next three years will be a critical phase for commercial real estate strategy, representing a crucial window of opportunity that will determine how successful companies (and cities) will be in adapting to rapid changes. At the crossroads of America, the Indianapolis market is well on its way to a reimagined office environment. Here are three demonstrable signs. 1. Flight to quality dominates the office market Leasing activity for Class A office properties is strong in Indianapolis. According to a recent report, activity in this sector is reaching new heights as it achieved 248,000 square feet of occupancy growth in the second quarter — the highest in a single quarter in over four years — and hit record-high rents of almost …
The United States has been experiencing a housing crisis for years, one that is perpetuated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Whether it’s a lack of affordable housing properties for low-income families, a steady increase in housing prices over the years or exponentially high demand for new homes, the U.S. housing market within the past decade has been a wild ride. Indianapolis growth In the heart of Indiana, we’re seeing a hopeful trend. Indianapolis (Indy) was ranked as the fourth best housing market positioned for growth in 2022. A variety of factors could contribute to this distinction. For one, Indy is a thriving city and centrally located — not just within the state, but in the U.S. It’s home to two professional sports teams, and recently named one of the best cities for creating tech jobs by Forbes, with Fortune 500 corporations like Eli Lilly and Salesforce headquartered throughout the vibrant downtown. Marquee universities such as IUPUI, Butler and IU Medical School also bring more jobs into the fold. The 2020 Census found that metropolitan areas like Indianapolis are at the forefront of the state’s growth. Marion County remains the most densely populated county with more than 950,000 residents. Currently, the average …
By Chris Bruzas, Berkadia Like all markets, Indianapolis is hoping for a return to more normal investment activity for commercial real estate in 2021. So far, the signs are positive, especially for the multifamily sector. The end of 2020 saw a pickup in multifamily sales activity nationally, a result of strong appetite from sidelined capital, continued positive collections trends and occupancy trends, and positive signals from the vaccine rollout. Demand forecasts Indianapolis has steadily been gaining favor with investors, given its economic stability, steady population growth and growing renter interest in secondary and tertiary markets. According to Berkadia’s 2021 forecast, Indianapolis continues to set the standard for urban renewal and economic development. Regional job creation, including at Bottleworks District, Indiana University Health and Amazon, continue to attract new residents. More than 13,000 apartment units were delivered in the past five years with demand continuing to rise. At the end of 2020, occupancy in the metro area was at 95.1 percent, reaching a 20-year peak. Underpinning healthy apartment occupancy is housing demand created by a consistent net migration of about 12,000 people annually and rising household formation. Current opportunities Like the rest of the country, Indianapolis continues to feel the impact …
By Chris Bruzas, Berkadia While the COVID-19 pandemic has had a dramatic impact on the commercial real estate industry, bright spots have emerged across the multifamily landscape. Nationally, secondary and tertiary markets demonstrate resilience and strong performance, despite challenging circumstances. One of these bright spots is Indiana. Since the start of the year, Berkadia’s investment sales and mortgage banking teams have closed more than $498 million in combined sales and financing across the state. While Indiana has long been a solid market in the Midwest, in recent years it has emerged as particularly attractive to investors for a few key reasons. Available scale The ability to acquire scale is increasingly important to investors looking to break into new markets and MSAs. Immediate scale is attractive for several reasons. For investors, acquisition at scale enhances geographic and unit diversification at the outset. It also allows investors, specifically those new to the region, to maximize business efficiencies on expenses. If a new buyer can acquire 1,000 units in proximity, they can reduce the burden of staff, construction costs and travel costs, to name a few. Additionally, it helps with leasing. If a prospective tenant tours a property that doesn’t have floor plans …
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