Activity is picking up in the Indianapolis retail market, buoyed by a strengthening economy that has intensified retail expansion. Positive job growth, escalating new home construction and rising retail sales are attracting new stores and have instigated other retailers to consider additional locations in selective pockets around the metro area. The northern submarkets within Hamilton County are particularly active, especially around Exit 10 of I-69 in Noblesville, where new housing construction has fostered retail growth. In Carmel, the renovation and re-tenanting of The Centre and The Corner are moving forward. The 82nd Street corridor is also lively as the nearly completed expansion of The Fashion Mall has attracted new retailers to the state such as West Elm and Free People. Nearby, last year’s repositioning of Rivers Edge is initiating smaller new developments with Dairy Queen, Wendy’s and Famous Dave’s among the recent openings. The 127,000-square foot project will include an Earth Fare grocery, Walgreens and Panera Bread. Large spaces are being filled across the metro area. Jo-Ann Fabrics is taking 28,000 square feet along Highway 36 and Brickhouse Fitness has penned a lease for 15,000 square feet along Lafayette Road. Although retail construction is at near historic lows, smaller buildings …
Market Reports
Despite the slow economic recovery nationwide, there is life in the commercial real estate investment market in Indianapolis, especially in the office sector. Nearly 900,000 square feet of office properties traded hands in Indianapolis in 2011, for a total of $119 million, which is a 70 percent increase over office sales in 2010, and four times the sales volume in 2009. Major property sales such as Intech I/II/III, 9225 Priority Way Dr. in the Precedent Office Park and Heather Glen II marked a return of stabilized office building sales in Indy last year. The increase in sales velocity is expected to continue with several major office properties currently on the market, including the Capital Center downtown, Pennwood Office Park in Carmel and the Ascension Health Ministry Service Center in the northwest submarket. Cassidy Turley is tracking an additional 3 million square feet of office properties expected to come to market this year, or in 2013. Continued improvement in office fundamentals is an encouraging sign for investors. With 237,000 square feet of positive net absorption in the fourth quarter of 2011, the overall vacancy rate for Indianapolis now stands at 20.3 percent. No new speculative construction, three consecutive quarters of positive …
Although the Indianapolis retail market took a hit during the downturn, it never sunk as deeply into the doldrums as other U.S. cities, and has been relatively quick to rebound from its modest slide. Maintaining an unemployment rate well below the national average (8.7 percent at year-end 2010), with the prediction of 20,000 new jobs for 2011 ensures this market is headed in the right direction. Retail real estate brokers in this statistical region of more than 2 million were actually quite busy in 2008 and 2009 when most other regions were reeling from the economic crunch. Recognizing still-strong market fundamentals, retailers tried to seize on the doom and gloom of the times to lowball local landlords, who for the most part would not yield to unreasonable rent offers that they knew would tie them up for years to come. While retail vacancies remain low in the city’s most robust retail corridors, they are higher than they were before the downturn began in areas where demographics have shifted. We continue to see a flight to quality in this market with the most attractive, well-positioned shopping centers commanding surprisingly strong rents. For instance, Class A big box rents in highly desirable …
In comparison to many other U.S. markets, the Indianapolis bulk warehouse sector has weathered the financial crisis and the downturn fairly well, but in no way is the city immune to the recession. The market’s vacancy rate has crept up from 13.25 percent at the beginning of 2009 to 15.20 percent at the end of the third quarter. Some of this increase in the vacancy rate can be contributed to two new projects coming online — Browning Development’s Axcess70 Buildings 1 and 2, totaling 673,000 square feet, and Browning/Duke Realty’s 533,520-square-foot Allpoints Midwest. In 2008, the modern bulk warehouse market experienced more than 5 million square feet of positive absorption while managing reasonable growth of 3.35 million square feet. The net result was a 7.5 percent increase to the entire Indianapolis modern bulk market. Through the close of third quarter 2009, the market has remained mostly idle, while only recording two new transactions — AEL Span 144,075-square-foot deal and Niagara Water’s 226,900-square-foot deal — and only growing the overall market inventory by 2.5 percent. Only a couple of new projects have come online, but these projects were financed and under way prior to the financial crisis really hitting in the …
The hottest trend is to simply not develop! This holds true for all types of speculative development and is currently the case for build-to-suits. There is just nothing being built. Contemplated projects are more complex than ever. To get a development out of the ground, it now takes a true partnership between the user, developer, broker and lender. Having all the parties at the table to structure the deal is key to success in this environment. Four speculative projects, totaling approximately 1.45 million square feet, have been built since third quarter 2008 — the projects are currently 5.3 percent occupied. Facilities recently built include the 533,520-square-foot Allpoints Midwest Building 2 built by Duke and Browning in Plainfield; two buildings built by Browning in Mt. Comfort — a 423,000-square-foot modern bulk facility and a 250,000-square-foot hybrid-bulk facility; and Precedent’s 245,041-square-foot building, which is also in Mt. Comfort. These projects added 2.5 percent to the vacancy in the modern bulk product type. The above projects are located within the southwest and east submarkets of Indianapolis and situated along the Interstate 70 corridor, which is the jugular vein for commodities flow. Browning is the most active developer and is involved in three of …
While national multi-housing trends have begun to show recessionary weakness, Indianapolis area market fundamentals have held up well over the past 12 months. Indianapolis has long been one of the more affordable single-family markets in the country and until recently had been well-supplied with several very efficient large single-family developers. The deterioration of this industry is the single largest factor responsible for the city’s stable and improving multi-housing performance. The Indianapolis multi-housing market consists of 130,000 units in 683 communities (larger than 20 units). The average community size is 191 units. Market wide occupancies in Indianapolis bottomed out in 2003 at 87.1 percent and have been steadily climbing since to 90.9 percent in 2008. During this same period concessions have declined and 2008 rent growth was 2.2 percent, placing rents at $659 ($.75 per square foot). The city’s top 50 communities, once threatened to a greater degree by single-family housing, have faired well over the past several quarters. As with most seasonal markets, the Indianapolis market shows a very predictable bell shaped occupancy curve with fourth and first quarter occupancy lows and peaks in the second and third quarters. Until first quarter 2009, the impact of the current recessionary environment …
The Indianapolis industrial market posted a strong showing last year despite the economic challenges impacting the nation. More than 4.3 million square feet of space was absorbed in 2008, and the region’s industrial vacancy rate closed at 7.4 percent, a decrease of 1.1 percent from the start of the year. Several factors contributed to the area’s ability to move forward, not the least of which is the area’s long-standing stature as the Midwest’s crossroads for distribution. Construction continued, but on a more restrained level. Approximately 1.9 million square feet of new industrial space was completed last year, which is only a quarter of the volume — 8.8 million square feet — of new space added in 2007. A significant component of this new inventory was build-to-suit or expansions by existing owners or users. Additionally, rental rates for industrial space remained level; rents have not moved in either direction since 2007. The rates have remained low compared to other Midwest cities, which has attracted new regional and national players while encouraging local businesses to maintain and renew their existing leases. As in past years, modern bulk distribution space has led the charge of new activity. Approximately 4.3 million square feet of …
The struggles in the capital markets that began to take hold during the second half of 2008 have put the brakes on much of the investment sales activity across all asset classes, but multifamily sales in Indianapolis have weathered the financial storm better than any other sector. Investment sales of multifamily housing in Indianapolis fared reasonably well when compared to other major Midwest cities. Last year, 19 major properties were sold in the Indianapolis area for just less than $200 million and at an average cap rate of 7.98 percent, according to Real Capital Analytics and Colliers Turley Martin Tucker. While the average U.S. cap rate for multifamily sales stood at 6.2 percent during the first three quarters of 2008, Indianapolis posted an average cap rate of 7.4 percent. The 12-month average price per unit for higher quality assets in Indianapolis is $61,022, compared to $100,792 for similar sales throughout the United States. Sales of properties categorized as Class B to non-performing assets have pushed the average unit price down and cap rates up into the 8.5-to-10 percent range. Multifamily properties that needed a total repositioning were trading in the 10-to-12 percent range based on pro-forma. In 2007, two major …
What area is your expertise? Multi-housing properties (rental only) and Central Midwestern markets. However, my answers here apply only to the Indianapolis area. What trends do you see presently in multifamily development in your area? There has been a shift in development activity from the south side of Indianapolis to the north side. Approximately 3,000 units are slated for completion through 2009 along the 146th Street corridor and surrounding areas in Hamilton County. With the recent extension and opening of 146th Street, development activity has intensified along this critical corridor. Who are the active multifamily developers in your area? Currently active: Flaherty & Collins, Pedcor Investments, J.C. Hart, Welbourne Companies, Herman & Kittle Properties, Edward Rose of Indiana and Sheehan Development. Prepared to resume development activity: Paragus, Gene B. Glick Co., and Hearthview Residential. What trends do you see presently in multifamily development in your area? Roughly two-thirds of our buyer base is coming from the East Coast. We have historically had East Coast capital but not significant levels. The heightened interest from coastal investors is due to a widely recognized rental market recovery and stable employment growth. Please name one or two significant multifamily developments in your area. What …
What area is your expertise? Indianapolis and Central Indiana Industrial buildings sales and leasing and land sales. What trends do you see presently in industrial development in your area? The Indianapolis industrial market got off to a strong start this year with 2.5 million square feet (MSF) of positive net absorption recorded for the first quarter 2008. Completed deals during the quarter included Fastenal Company (435,000-SF purchase), National Distribution Centers (230,000-SF expansion), Firestone Building Products (221,000-SF lease), Adidas (162,000-SF lease) and Remy International (57,000-SF lease) to name a few. This increase in activity from year-end 2007 helped the overall industrial vacancy rate lower from 7.9 percent to 7.7 percent. Several move-ins by companies that signed deals late in 2007, such as CVS Indiana LLC. in Mount Comfort, as well as Gatorade’s occupancy of its mammoth 1.1 MSF build-to-suit (BTS) facility in Ameriplex also contributed to this vacancy reduction. Another factor enabling vacancy to lower was the slowdown of speculative construction, particularly in the bulk market after 7.5 MSF of mostly speculative, bulk construction occurred in 2007. In fact, no new construction of any kind was completed during the 1st quarter as developers took a step back to allow this new …