Market Reports

Union Wharf Apartments Baltimore

The transformation of downtown Baltimore into a contemporary world-class city began nearly two decades ago, but over the past few years it has irrefutably evolved into a true 24/7 city and a top-tier housing market that is nationally recognized by the investment community. An influx of commercial investment drove job growth, which inevitably boosted downtown Baltimore’s daytime population. But what is remarkable is how many of these individuals also decided to become city residents. The number of degree-holding young people living in downtown Baltimore increased by 92 percent between 2000 and 2010, exceeding the pace of 20-something magnet cities like New York and Boston. Whether it was the chicken or the egg, this new group of residents favored a rental urban lifestyle, and downtown Baltimore delivered nearly 4,700 new apartments between 2000 and 2010. Ambitious developers John Paterakis and Michael S. Beatty paved the way in the late 1990s with the development of Harbor East, which congregates upscale retailers, Class A office space and luxury rental apartments. Its immediate success filled a niche in the market and spurred growth in other communities around the Inner Harbor, including the Ritz-Carlton. As this wave of development continued throughout the 2000s, slowly but …

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The center cores of Baltimore and Washington, D.C., are located approximately 40 miles apart, and talk has renewed about the possibility of connecting the two metropolises by a Maglev rail system. The Baltimore/Washington region is generally considered the fourth largest in the country, boasting nearly 9 million people in the common area. But, when it comes time to rate the demographics, quality of life and overall attributes between the two, Baltimore assumes its secondary status in most comparisons, especially among some professionals in the retail real estate industry. Yet, given the recent successes of retail ventures that have opened in Baltimore City within the past year, prospects for future developments that promise to reinvigorate oft-neglected sections of the city and planned expansions of other mixed-use projects, Baltimore is currently enjoying a “charmed” life. The iconic advertising campaign for National Bohemian beer, which referred to Maryland as “The Land of Pleasant Living,” seems like an appropriate descriptor these days. The project that still has Baltimoreans buzzing is The Shops at Canton Crossing, the 330,000-square-foot retail shopping center situated within the city’s east side that opened last fall, and could easily serve as a national model for successful brownsfield development. Abandoned warehouse …

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Comprising approximately 155 million square feet of industrial space, the Baltimore industrial market continues to recover, albeit gradually, from the recession. Key drivers for the Baltimore metropolitan area include the Port of Baltimore, proximity to Washington, D.C., and direct accessibility to Interstate 95 and the major population centers along the Eastern seaboard. As of the end of the first quarter, the vacancy rate for the Baltimore industrial market was 9 percent, which is down from 13.3 percent at the depth of the recession. Vacant inventory has been gradually absorbed since the recession and market fundamentals continue to improve. Industrial product continues to be a favored asset class, and Baltimore is deemed to be a “core” market among private and public institutional investors. Rental Rates Warehouse rental rates throughout the Baltimore metropolitan market have increased from 2010 to 2014 as the local and national economy continues its slow recovery. Overall asking rates on a triple-net basis have increased approximately $1 per square foot since 2010 as the average asking rate for bulk industrial product was at $5.22 per square foot as of the first quarter of this year. As the vacancy rate has dropped in recent years, landlords have held firmer …

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Baltimore, long known as a city that wore its grit as a badge of honor, is now shining with high-end multifamily developments and new in-town retail destinations. This city of neighborhoods has hit Forbes’ “hipster” list thanks to a vibrant arts scene, established and trendy restaurants, vital retail destinations and world-class attractions and events. These quality amenities make it possible for residents to work, shop, play and stay in the city, appealing to a growing young professional population. Baltimore’s strong economic base of higher education and health, coupled with the unwavering trend for convenient, quality city living, is driving a strong multifamily market. Delta Associates reports that the Baltimore area economy is experiencing above average growth. Despite losses in the state and local government sector, the unemployment rate remained steady at 6.9 percent in October 2013 compared to the national rate at 7.3 percent in the same period. The region is poised to experience long-term growth as a result of growth in sectors based in the Baltimore area, namely cyber-security, education and health. From December 2012 to December 2013, Delta notes that Baltimore’s Class A rents increased an average of 6 percent and stabilized occupancy is at 95 percent. Baltimore …

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When it comes to national economic cycles, Baltimore has always led a charmed existence. Its proximity to our nation’s capital, sustained strong consumer demographics and the presence of diversified industries have contributed to Baltimore entering recessionary times late and emerging early. New Centers Underway Five significant retail sites are either recently opened, under construction or nearing approval to initiate development. McHenry Row, positioned adjacent to the headquarters of the rapidly expanding Under Armour, is open and features a Harris Teeter grocery store. Baltimore City will also welcome a premier power center in 2013, as well as Canton Crossing, a 320,000-square-foot Harris Teeter- and Target-anchored center. This project is located east of the Inner Harbor on Boston Street and will be home to fast-casual restaurants and soft good retailers such as DSW, Michaels, Loft, Five Below, Ulta, Red Robin, Jimmy John’s and Chick-fil-A. In 2015, Baltimoreans on the north side of the city will begin shopping in the redeveloped Rotunda; D.C.-based Mom’s Organic Market is rumored to be the lead anchor. This renovation was spurred by the relocation of Giant Food to a larger footprint in the former Super Fresh at Green Spring Tower Square. Whole Foods is making whispers about …

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Over the past decade, Baltimore City has seen a gradual shift in office market activity. Demand for office space has become increasingly focused on the waterfront properties of the Pratt Street Corridor and Harbor East. Many older buildings in the traditional Central Business District (CBD) with smaller footprints have become less attractive for office use. The CBD has also experienced a surge in both population and apartment demand that has pushed the residential supply to its occupancy limit. This balance between vacant office space and demand for residential space in the CBD has created a prime opportunity for redevelopment. The CBD has struggled to recover from the economic recession, when office vacancy rates spiked to almost 23 percent. It has, however, experienced small amounts of positive absorption over the past few years. Demand for space has been focused on Class A inventory as a “flight to quality” trend has emerged in the CBD. Net absorption for Class A inventory in the CBD has increased each year since 2008 and has been a primary factor in stabilizing the overall Baltimore City vacancy rate. Mid-year 2013 numbers suggest that this trend of increasing demand for Class A office space will continue for …

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While out national and local news outlets inundate us with what is going on in Washington, D.C., these days, word may not be on the street yet that the industrial real estate market just north of D.C. has begun to see significant improvement, something that has been slow in the making. This market has always been on the radar of the top real estate investors and remains a sought-after destination for industrial investment. The Baltimore-Washington (BW) Corridor industrial real estate market, historically one of the strongest in the country, received a gut punch in 2008 much like the rest of the real estate markets throughout the country. Defined as mostly Howard and Anne Arundel counties, this 46 million-square-foot market is essentially the area between the Baltimore Beltway and the Washington Beltway, a distance of 25 miles along Interstate 95. This market acts as the “last mile” of distribution to the affluent suburbs of the Capital Region. Prior to the fourth quarter of 2012, most leasing activity in this market consisted of tenants downsizing or shopping their renewals to anxious owners looking to fill recent holes in their portfolios. The results were lower rental rates, more concessions and generally lower investment …

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Baltimore's government- and defense­-driven neighbor, Washington, D.C, has historically overshadowed the city’s apartment market. Yet setbacks caused by sequestration and concerns of oversupply across the Washington metropolitan area have recently unveiled a new light on Baltimore. After six decades of continuous population decline, the city has finally turned the corner, registering positive growth for the first time since the city’s peak in 1950. Strong market fundamentals driven by improving economic trends and favorable demographic shifts have begun to attract a new cast of institutional investors and top-level developers, establishing Baltimore as a top-tier investment market. The city’s new attraction has resulted in a significant increase in both ground-up apartment developments and residential conversion projects that continue to reshape the character of the downtown area. Predominantly driven by education and life sciences, the Baltimore economy maintains a significant employment base of 1.3 million payroll jobs. Following a loss of 100,000 jobs during the downturn, the metro has rebounded to pre-recession levels registering positive year-over-year employment growth for the past 37 consecutive months. Additionally, the region is expected to add 70,000 new jobs by year-end 2015, according to Moody’s Analytics, helping to further decrease the current unemployment rate of 6.7 percent. The …

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The office market in the Baltimore metropolitan statistical area — which encompasses the counties of Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, Howard, and the eastern portion of Carroll County, as well as Baltimore City — experienced a slight uptick in activity in the fourth quarter of 2012. The market saw a 0.49 percent decrease in direct vacancy, dropping from 15.77 percent in the third quarter of 2012 to 15.28 percent in the fourth quarter. This dip is attributed to nearly 100,000 square feet of positive absorption within the overall market. As with any statistical number, a closer look at these numbers reveals several patterns that may or may not be indicative of larger economic trends within the market. The northern part of the market, consisting of Baltimore and Harford counties, saw negative absorption of 100,531 square feet. The 0.44 percent increase is directly attributed to office properties in Harford County entering the market at various levels of occupancy, including a 75,493-square-foot building outside the U.S. Army’s Aberdeen Proving Ground that entered the market completely vacant. Further inspection of activity throughout the north part of the market indicates that small and medium size tenants — firms under 20,000 square feet — are still …

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The major headlines dominating the greater Baltimore region this summer involved the unexpected resurgence of our beloved professional baseball team following nearly two decades of performing at a level below .500, and the logistical challenges facing the organizers of the second annual Grand Prix racing event scheduled for the Labor Day weekend. Connecting this news to the regional retail environment, we see a tremendous amount of winning and successful projects emerging throughout the area, combined with a great deal of noise and fast-moving activity. Fasten your seatbelts for a quick lap around the Charm City marketplace. Downtown CBD As General Growth Properties slowly emerged from bankruptcy, the company renewed its focus on re-energizing its retail assets lining the retail magnet known as the Inner Harbor by attracting new merchants and restaurants and upgrading the physical plant. The arrival of Bubba Gump Shrimp Co. and Ripley’s Believe It or Not Museum were among the notable adds. There is still some work to do with regard to reinvigorating The Gallery at Harborplace, which has lost some luster due to the emergence of Harbor East, but the improvements have been noticeable and well received. In Baltimore, the waterfront rules. The Cordish Company rebounded …

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