Market Reports

Mixed-use tower, Grand Rapids, Mich.

Many of the national trends unfolding in the multifamily sector are playing out in Grand Rapids, the second largest city in Michigan, with a population estimated at 195,000 and slightly more than 1 million metrowide. A combination of demographic, economic and lifestyle trends are leading to the creation of more renter households. This includes Baby Boomers, Millennials and renters by choice across all income levels. In addition, Grand Rapids is experiencing an urban renaissance that is bringing new commerce, housing and amenities into the downtown area. During the 2016 National Multifamily Housing Council conference in Orlando, Grand Rapids was recognized as one of the top three small to mid-sized markets in the country for multifamily investment. Annualized apartment rent growth in Grand Rapids has been running at a robust 7 to 8 percent for the past two years, but some momentum has been lost in the wake of a large number of units that have come on line. The annual rent growth slipped to 4.6 percent during the four-quarter period that ended Sept. 30. The average occupancy rate remains above 97 percent, but is gradually coming off a peak of 98.6 percent in the third and fourth quarters of 2013. …

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Chances are you have read the stories in the news lately about the challenges facing Michigan, the City of Detroit, or more recently the state’s seventh largest city, Flint. Between the chronicles of a once ailing automotive industry, the Chapter 9 bankruptcy filing by the City of Detroit in 2013 — the largest municipal bankruptcy in history — and most recently lead-tainted city water in Flint, there have been dozens of national headlines, sharp sound bites, and a litany of negative press coverage over the past few years. In short, over the past decade we have witnessed a roller coaster of economic events that have created a rather palpable investor stigma for Detroit and the State of Michigan as a whole. Despite the negative tone surrounding investment opportunities in Michigan, the state’s strong commercial real estate market is creating value for investors acquiring retail assets. Historically, Michigan shopping centers have traded at cap rates 50 to 100 basis below their national peers. Is this discount still warranted? Tide turns in Great Lakes As a brokerage firm dedicated to the sale of investment properties and retail tenant representation, Landmark Investment Sales and its parent company, Landmark Commercial Real Estate Services Inc., …

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Favorable hiring trends in metro Detroit have driven household formation to its highest point since the start of the new millennium. As a result, multifamily asset performance and operations have shown marked improvement with respect to demand, occupancy, rents and prices. In the first quarter of the year, local employers created 14,500 jobs for a year-over-year gain of 2.3 percent, which brought Detroit’s unemployment level to its lowest level since 2001. Employment advances were led by the professional and business services sector as well as the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 16,100 and 6,000 workers, respectively. Total employment at the end of 2016 is projected to be 1.9 percent higher than it was at the end of 2015. The generally higher paying professional and business services jobs will lead to broad-based employment growth through the rest of the year, and gains in this segment are expected to support growing demand for luxury rentals. In any event, rental demand in Detroit is on the rise for the foreseeable future. Construction takes off  Encouraged by positive employment trends, economic indicators and a recovering automotive industry, new construction, renovation and conversion are thriving. Developers have new multifamily projects underway in more than …

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Even as hotel operators continue to report steady gains in revenue per available room (RevPAR) nationally, Wall Street execs have begun to downgrade the lodging outlook, painting an entirely different picture. This disconnect is rooted in fears that the year-over-year growth in RevPAR is not sustainable in the current climate and that a spate of high-profile mergers and acquisitions among national operators must dictate a lower assessment of the industry. In spite of these concerns, demand continues to outpace new supply, both of which are occurring at a strong clip. Though industry observers may point to tepid occupancy as a concern, robust increases in average daily rates are leading to continued growth in RevPAR nationwide. How does Detroit stack up?  Similar to the national hotel industry, Detroit is registering these same trends. On one hand, the market has recorded an increase in supply and a decrease in occupancy. On the other hand, average daily rates are steadily rising and RevPAR is growing overall, a sign of a strong hotel market. STR’s April 2016 report on the U.S. hotel pipeline indicated 1,046 rooms under construction in metro Detroit, or approximately 2 percent of the existing supply. This supply increase is at …

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To get a sense of what is happening in Southeast Michigan retail these days, the place to start looking is the past. It’s interesting and important to recognize that the seeds of many of the retail trends manifesting themselves today were planted years ago. Fortunately, the overall retail marketplace in Southeast Michigan remains generally strong. The marketplace may change over time, but one constant that remains unaltered is that quality rises to the top. Thoughtfully designed and developed retail projects in favorable locations have always done well — and that has remained the case through recessionary ups and downs and the whims of a consumer base that can be quick to change. Rethinking e-commerce  Today, one of the most discussed topics of conversation for any retailer is the competitive pressure of the online and mobile marketplace. The convenience of virtual transactions, the rise of Internet powers like Amazon, and an increasingly tech-savvy population of shoppers who are comfortable and confident shopping online for a wider variety of goods and services has prompted the vast majority of brick-and-mortar retailers to work hard to carve out their own space in the digital marketplace. Online and mobile growth has had less of a …

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Detroit has become a five-sport town: The Pistons, Red Wings, Lions and Tigers have been joined by Dan Gilbert’s Bedrock Real Estate Services LLC, the entity that has made a sport out of assembling a downtown Detroit portfolio of commercial buildings. In the process, Gilbert is becoming the city’s biggest advocate. Talking about Detroit’s office market without including Gilbert’s latest investment is akin to discussing Detroit’s economy and excluding the automotive industry. The Quicken Loans founder and principal shareholder of the Cleveland Cavaliers put himself on the region’s real estate game board when the recession ended and he started buying up properties. To date, Gilbert and his team have amassed a portfolio of more than 85 properties in and around the downtown comprised of more than 13 million square feet and valued in excess of $2.2 billion. The March 2015 acquisition of the 43-story One Detroit Center at 500 Woodward Ave. — which has since been renamed Ally Detroit Center — and attached 2,070-space parking deck for well over $100 million was his biggest deal during the acquisition spree. Ally Financial is completing its relocation to the building this spring from the nearby Renaissance Center, as well as bringing employees …

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The commercial real estate market in West Michigan was quite active in 2015 across all property sectors, including one massive data center deal that is expected to spur billions of dollars in investment. Both new development and transactions involving existing facilities drove deal volume in 2015. Consequently, vacancy rates dropped while leasing rates generally rose. We expect a high level of commercial real estate activity this year as well. A lack of inventory for existing product will continue to drive new development in 2016. Industrial Strength  The industrial market, in particular, has experienced a shortage of quality product to satisfy the demands of distribution companies from across the area. The greater Grand Rapids industrial market consists of approximately 115 million square feet. At the end of 2015, the vacancy rate was 4.1 percent. This marks a significant improvement compared with the depths of the Great Recession when the vacancy rate approached 10 percent. For the first time in years, we are seeing speculative development across all sizes of industrial properties. Lease rates for these speculative buildings are significantly higher than what we have experienced in the recent past due to the relatively high cost of construction. The good news for …

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Traverse City may be known as a small resort town on the shores of Lake Michigan, but each year it grows in popularity. And more commercial real estate players are taking notice. In the past year, Traverse City has been named one of the “Top 20 Best Small Towns in the U.S. to Visit” (Smithsonian); “One of the 50 Best Places to Live in America” (Men’s Journal); “One of the 10 Must See Cities in America” (Horizon Travel Magazine); “One of 10 U.S. Destinations on the Rise” (TripAdvisor); and “One of America’s 20 Most Romantic Towns” (Travel + Leisure). Tourism is on the rise as we become known as a region not only for cherries, but also for great restaurants, wineries, microbreweries, recreational trails for hiking and biking, skiing, festivals and a great place to live. With increasing notoriety comes pressure for development, and Traverse City is no exception. We have seen more development and projects in the pipeline in the past 12 months than we have seen since the height of the real estate boom 10 years ago. Tourists will be happy to note more hotel rooms in the downtown area as the new Hotel Indigo nears completion. The …

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Downtown Grand Rapids is booming with commercial real estate activity, and it’s coming from many directions. The combination of new residential units, restaurants, bars and a variety of entertainment options is leading people to not only live downtown, but also work and play downtown. Activity in the downtown office market — including office leases, new mixed-use construction and new retail — has increased over the last couple of years, and there is no sign of it slowing down. The overall office vacancy rate in the central business district (CBD) decreased from 9.4 percent in the first quarter to 8.25 percent in the second quarter. While Class A office space has performed well in recent quarters, there was a slight increase in the vacancy rate during the second quarter. As for Class B space, we observed a sizable decrease in the vacancy rate, from 10.1 percent in the first quarter to 8.5 percent in the second quarter. As a whole, the CBD office market experienced positive absorption of 74,293 square feet during the second quarter. Rental rates stabilized in the second quarter after increasing for the past several quarters. Meanwhile, some new construction and planned construction is hitting the market at …

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The Albert, Detroit

Detroit is in a state of transition. It’s a process that has been simmering for some time, but really began in earnest about five years ago. This article discusses some of the property types, developments and neighborhoods that continue to reshape downtown Detroit and offers some insight into what the city might look like in five to 10 years. Fueled by a strengthening economy, there is an air of excitement in the Motor City, and the development climate is increasingly vibrant. The nexus of development and redevelopment activity is occurring in the same places — Downtown, Midtown, New Center — that were at the core of the city’s renaissance a century ago. In some respects, today’s Detroit is reinventing itself in the same way. Residential leads the way The foundation of Detroit’s development resurgence is residential growth. People are continuing to move to Detroit to work and to live — a trend that has accelerated dramatically in the last few years with downtown apartment buildings reporting upwards of 98 percent occupancy. It’s a phenomenon that shows no real sign of slowing down. It’s also an important and natural first phase. With residential comes the corresponding demand for dining, retail and …

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