Fueled by the acceleration of e-commerce amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the Memphis industrial market’s record-setting momentum continued into the first half of the year. Demand fundamentals are the strongest they’ve ever been, with lease transaction volume at mid-year exceeding 12.2 million square feet for the second year in a row and total market direct net absorption reaching an unprecedented 5.3 million square feet. To put these numbers in perspective, lease transaction volume and direct absorption through June of pre-pandemic years averaged 5.8 million square feet and 1.6 million square feet, respectively. The market’s direct vacancy rate has hovered around 6.5 percent since the end of 2019, an impressive feat given the exceptional amount of speculative product that has been added to inventory over the past year and a half. New to the market The region’s central location, complemented by its world-class transportation infrastructure and low rental rates, make Memphis an attractive option for industrial users. Notable deals that have occurred since the beginning of 2020 include Milwaukee Tool’s 1.1 million-square-foot lease at I-269 Industrial Park, as well as two new Amazon leases totaling nearly 2 million square feet, growing the e-commerce giant’s Memphis-area footprint to more than 6.7 million square …
Market Reports
Momentum in the local industrial market has been maintained because of Memphis’ world-class infrastructure offering the “four Rs” of transportation: river, road, rail and runway. Thanks to Memphis’ central location, truck freight can reach 65 percent of the nation’s population in 24 hours. The Port of Memphis is the fifth-largest inland port in the United States and an east-west highway spans the width of the country. As home to FedEx Global Headquarters and a UPS hub, Memphis International Airport surpassed Hong Kong International Airport this year as the busiest cargo airport in the world. The direct vacancy rate of the metro industrial market went from 6.5 percent in 2020 to 4.8 percent by mid-2021. Currently, there is 13.7 million square feet of inventory under construction with over 75 percent of it being speculative. The demand and recent growth continue to improve in 2021. Net absorption is above 5.3 million square feet with tenants like Yeti, Walgreens, Hamilton Beach and Amazon moving into new facilities mid-year. Rents have also continued to rise faster than the national average in many years. The average rent growth over the past 12 months is 6.9 percent, or $4 per square foot. Large preleased facilities are …
Like most markets, regardless of sector, Jackson experienced a moment in time when deals were shelved due to the coronavirus pandemic. However, the industrial market in Jackson tells a different story in the early innings of COVID-19. While most deals were put on hold for several weeks in early April to mid-May, we saw activity pick up with users signing leases, contracting on vacant buildings and resuming due diligence timelines for land purchases, all without any repricing or discount. These trends, while hopefully permanent in nature, are all due to a lack of industrial supply and consistent demand in the Jackson market. If you have quality product in a good area, it will sell or lease, even during a pandemic. The Jackson industrial market spans around 40 million square feet if you include all specialty and manufacturing properties, as well as true warehouse and flex product. According to CoStar Group, the market’s vacancy rate is hovering around 7 percent, but it feels tighter since there’s a bulk of obsolescent product — either low ceiling heights or being in less desirable areas. Jackson is considered a minor industrial market and is well-suited for future growth. As Mississippi’s capital city, Jackson is …
It’s safe to say that the Jackson MSA, as a whole, responds slower to national trends than the vast majority of markets in the United States. In regards to the economic recovery, Jackson is about two years behind the national economy post-recession. The retail market is just now moving from the recovery phase and into the expansion phase of its growth cycle, which is evidenced by decreasing vacancy rates and stabilizing lease rates. A limited amount of new construction has been a main driver for absorption in this area. There is approximately 35 million square feet of retail inventory in the Jackson MSA, with a moderate amount of new construction scheduled to deliver in the next 12 months. The first phase of expansion for the retail market is beginning to occur and is expected to gain in strength over the next 12 to 18 months. From an investment sales standpoint, Jackson has seen continued interest and stable transaction velocity from local and national retail investors in the last 12 to 24 months. As cap rates have compressed nationally, investors have continued to look to tertiary markets like Jackson in search of higher yields. The current going-in cap rate for acquisitions …
The Jackson office market remains strong, with occupancy rates of 81 percent and average rental rates of $19 per square foot. As the state capital, government is the driving force for local real estate, and recently, the public sector has been working with private developers to establish partnerships. With more than $600 million in private and public development during the last couple of years in the CBD, companies are intrigued by downtown’s revitalization. The King Edward restoration by HRI Properties, Watkins Partners and Deuce McAllister is an example of where local government property was transformed into a new 186-room Hilton Garden Inn combined with 64 newly leased apartments. Fondren Place is another public/private partnership where Peters Real Estate and The Mattiace Company partnered with Jackson Public Schools to convert a former school to boutique shops, restaurant space and a new 37,500-square-foot office building with retail space. The construction of the Jackson Convention Complex has spurred hotel development to support Jackson’s first convention center with the nearly completed Sleep Inn and the newly renovated Clarion Hotel Roberts Walthall. Eley Guild Hardy Architects fell in love with a Neo-Classical Revival-style former bank and is transforming it into a LEED-certified building for its …