Several factors have contributed to the softness in the St. Louis apartment market and are expected to continue to present operational challenges in the near term. A spike in construction has been met with the weak demand caused by the slumping labor market. In fact, demand for rental housing contracted 2.2 percent year-over-year in the third quarter — the largest decline in more than 20 years — and will likely fall until payrolls begin to expand. Owners have increased concessions to roughly 26 days of free rent. With vacancy on track to rise further this year, concessions will remain elevated, particularly in the Maryland Heights/Northwest County submarket. Area operators are currently offering renters nearly 40 days of free rent, the most of any submarket in the metro area. Nonetheless, many residents are opting to relocate out of the area and into St. Charles to capture lower rents or into Clayton to be near the metro’s healthiest employment corridors. As such, owners in the Clayton/Mid-County submarket have kept concessions relatively flat during the past 12 months. Turning to investment sales, transaction velocity has slowed in the St. Louis market due primarily to reduced pricing and increased buyer caution regarding weakened fundamentals. …
Market Reports
The old adage that every cloud has a silver lining holds true for the St. Louis industrial market. After posting positive absorption during every quarter of the current recession, the industrial market got cloudier when Chrysler shuttered its St. Louis plants during the early part of the third quarter. That placed more than 5.1 million square feet of space on the market and boosted the vacancy rate a couple points. The auto industry’s woes trickled down to a number of Chrysler’s suppliers as well. Another 2.1 million square feet of auto supplier buildings also became available. So where’s the silver lining? Actually, there are several. For starters, Chrysler’s plants and its suppliers are primarily located in the South County submarket. Historically, South County has been one of the area’s strongholds for industrial, with a vacancy rate of only 4.2 percent at the end of the second quarter. The availability of space now opens opportunities for large and small users. A number of companies have already taken advantage of these opportunities. Colt Industries, the area’s distributor for Corian countertops, purchased a nearly 100,000-square-foot building formerly occupied by Dakkota Integrated Systems, which supplied vehicle interiors. An aerosol can supplier has signed a …
Several factors have contributed to the softness in the St. Louis apartment market and are expected to continue to present operational challenges in the near term. A spike in construction has been met with the weak demand caused by the slumping labor market. In fact, demand for rental housing contracted 2.2 percent year over year in the third quarter — the largest decline in more than 20 years — and will likely fall until payrolls begin to expand. As a result, owners have increased concessions to roughly 26 days of free rent. With vacancy on track to rise further this year, concessions will remain elevated, particularly in the Maryland Heights/Northwest County submarket. Area operators are currently offering renters nearly 40 days of free rent, the most of any submarket in the metro area. Nonetheless, many residents are opting to relocate out of the area and into St. Charles to capture lower rents or into Clayton to be near the metro’s healthiest employment corridors. As such, owners in the Clayton/Mid-County submarket have kept concessions relatively flat during the past 12 months. Turning to investment sales, transaction velocity has slowed in the St. Louis market due primarily to reduced pricing and increased …
The Kansas City apartment market continues to hold its own despite economic challenges and uncertainties. While occupancy and rental rates have remained steady, development has been tempered by a tight lending environment. The pace of planned construction has slowed dramatically as a result of market fundamentals. The first half of 2009 showed the lowest level of permits, a mere 78, in the past 20 years. The lack of liquidity and tougher underwriting standards are halting development. The uncertainty in asset values plays a part in this as well as lenders underwriting deals more conservatively. As a result, banks are requiring developers to contribute a greater amount of equity, thus decreasing project risk for both parties Market fundamentals have remained steady. Rents are averaging $0.79 per square foot, unchanged from the start of the year. Rates vary widely from $1.14 per square foot at the Country Club Plaza, which has 95 percent occupancy, to as low as $0.64 per square foot for Class C apartments in the Northland submarket. These rates, though, are offset by concessions. At the end of June, nearly three-fourths of the area’s multifamily properties offered concessions, up noticeably from the 56 percent that used concessions to attract …
While St. Louis has a diversified economy, it has not been immune from the forces reshaping the retail landscape. As the economy contracts and consumer confidence continues to dip, retailers are reeling from the impact. Circuit City was the latest fatality when its 567 stores went dark in early March, including seven sites in the St. Louis area. Colliers Turley Martin Tucker expects that 2009 will best be remembered as a year of significant closures and consolidations among retailers. Despite the current uncertainty in the marketplace, there were several retail developments completed last year, all of which were primarily committed to well before the economy began taking its toll. St. Louis ended 2008 with more than 1.5 million square feet of new retail space. The majority of these new developments are anchored by retailers selling necessity or discount items such as Costco, Wal-Mart, grocery stores and drug stores. Such a tenant base, combined with consumers now taking a more cost-conscious approach to spending, should allow these developments to do well despite the current economic turmoil. Among these new developments is the new 260,000-square-foot Meadows at Lake Saint Louis in Lake St. Louis, Missouri. Billed as the first lifestyle center in …
Apartment conditions in St. Louis will soften this year due to job losses and localized oversupply; however, some submarkets in the metro area will record a relatively strong performance. The local labor market is projected to be weighed down by the manufacturing sector and the trade, transportation and utilities segment, resulting in approximately 12,000 job cuts in 2009, which will ease apartment demand. Vacancy is projected to climb 100 basis points this year to 8.6 percent, the highest rate since early 2006. As a result, owners will reduce rents in an effort to maintain occupancy levels. The average asking rent is forecast to end the year at $722 per month, a contraction of 1 percent, following a 1.7 percent advance in 2008. In the near term, fundamentals will firm in the Airport/Interstate 70 and Clayton/Mid-County submarkets, as their proximity to arterial routes will continue to generate healthy tenant demand. As such, vacancy is forecast to retreat approximately 60 basis points to 9.5 percent this year in the Airport/I-70 submarket, while vacancy in the Clayton/Mid-County area is expected to fall roughly 30 basis points to 7 percent. Class A properties near interstates 270 and 170 are projected to outperform as a …
What area is your expertise? St. Louis County, Missouri — specifically the Chesterfield submarket. What trends do you see presently in office development in your area? In this submarket, vacancy is declining and new buildings are under construction with more being planned. Who are the active office developers in your area? MPD Development, Duke Realty, OPUS and Sachs Properties. Please name one or two significant office developments in your area. What impact will these projects have on the market? Valley Trails Center at 17401 North Outer 40 Drive, Chesterfield, MO 63005. Three 66,000-square-foot office/medical buildings (planned for near future). Located on Interstate 64/Highway 40 with great access from Boone’s Crossing interchange. Buildings will include balconies and have excellent visibility from the interstate. Adjoins a 26 mile trail system. Developer is MPD Development. Where is the majority of development taking place? Why is this area doing well? West St. Louis County due to access and strong demographics. What area do you expect to be the next big development market? Why? Development will continue in West St. Louis County/ Western Chesterfield area due to available land. What areas are doing well in terms of office leasing? Which areas are struggling with office …
What area is your expertise? Industrial property in the Kansas City metropolitan area. What trends do you see presently in industrial development in your area? The emergence of large, big-box distribution centers (greater than 250,000 square feet) as well as the emergence of inland ports, which are logistic parks in close proximity to intermodal centers. Kansas City has traditionally been a market for users of smaller blocks of space, but this has changed over the past 5 years. Transactions greater than 250,000 square feet new to our market include companies such as Case New Holland, Pac Son, Kimberly Clark, and Musician’s Friend. Additionally, large industrial logistics parks are planned for the property adjacent to a new intermodal facility, which has opened in Southern Kansas City at M-150 and 71 Highway at the old Richards-Gebaur Airport, which is operated by Kansas City Southern Railroad. CenterPoint is the developer of this park. Additionally, other intermodal projects are underway in both Gardner, Kansas, and at the Kansas City Airport. What type of industrial product is doing well in your area? Class A distribution space greater than 50,000 square feet. Who are the active industrial developers in your area? Multiple local developers Please name …
What area is your expertise? The St. Louis Metropolitan Area What trends do you see presently in multifamily development in your area? Many of the St. Louis area developers are including residential components (both rentals and sales) in their developments. The desire to work, live and shop in the same area is desirable in the St. Louis region — from shopping, to office, to education, to entertainment. Who are the active multifamily developers in your area? Local office and retail developers are adding residential components to their developments. Please name one or two significant multifamily developments in your area. What impact will these projects have on the market? Clayton is seeing an increase in condominium construction as well as housing units becoming a part of retail and office developments. For example, Maryland Walk opened with 99 high-end condominiums and has added a retail component. The Crescent development includes 72 luxury condominiums and 26,000 square feet of retail. The $73 million, 390,000-square-foot project was developed by Mark S. Mehlman Realty. Where is the majority of development taking place? Why is this area doing well? Condo and apartment development and redevelopment are on the rise in the Central Business District as a …
What area is your expertise? Office market in the Kansas City metropolitan area. What trends do you see presently in office development in your area? Little new development. Some mixed-use projects in the works. Who are the active office developers in your area? Local developers. Please name one or two significant office developments in your area. What impact will these projects have on the market? Park Place – Mixed-use suburban office project including retail, residential, office and hotels. Located in suburban Kansas City (Leawood, Kan.) Plaza West – mixed-use office, retail, hotel project on Country Club Plaza. Will be corporate headquarters for local advertising firm Bernstein Rein. Where is the majority of development taking place? Why is this area doing well? Suburban Kansas City What area do you expect to be the next big development market? Why? Suburban Kansas City What areas are doing well in terms of office leasing? Which areas are struggling with office leasing? Suburban Kansas City and Country Club Plaza do well. Downtown Kansas City has struggled but with a new entertainment district along with opening of Sprint Center, it is poised to take off. Please give a measure of office vacancy rates. Please give a …