Market Reports

Without a doubt, 2016 was a year to remember for the Kansas City apartment market. Employers, builders, operators and investors all had an eye on the flourishing metropolitan area and contributed to its ongoing strength, leading to a 20-year high for apartment occupancy. But in order to assess if 2017 will be as fruitful, a review of how each of these groups fared in 2016 and an analysis of the current economic climate should be taken into account. Employers A healthy economy underscored by an active employment market generates a cyclical effect whereby employers seek talent, talent seeks housing, and developers seek residents. According to Moody’s Analytics, total nonfarm payroll employment in the Kansas City metropolitan area in 2016 expanded by 1.5 percent following a 1.3 percent increase in 2015. Virgin Mobile USA, to name one active area employer, relocated its corporate headquarters from Warren, N.J., to downtown Kansas City as part of the company’s re-launch of its new brand under Sprint. The long-term location for the new headquarters is undetermined, but temporarily at least 50 new employees now work out of the One Kansas City Place building at 12th and Main streets. By year-end 2017, Berkadia Research projects total …

Look no further than Kansas City for one of the most burgeoning apartment rental hotspots in the Heartland. Ever since apartment deliveries reached a trough of 233 units in 2011, developers have ramped up construction activity year after year to meet healthy rental demand, though often still trailing robust leasing activity. This trend continued in the first half of 2016, with 2,170 newly occupied apartments exceeding 1,650 multifamily units added to the metro area inventory. What’s contributing to this demand? And will rapid market growth and expansion continue? Job growth, tech boom Employment gains are a big reason rental market demand continues to outweigh supply. For the last six years, greater Kansas City has experienced annual average employment gains of 1.5 percent to support sustained rental demand. After steady, though moderate gains in the last half of 2015, employers accelerated hiring with 10,500 additions from January to June, a 1 percent expansion over the previous six months. The six-month hires capped an annual increase of 1.5 percent since mid-2015 with 15,900 new personnel. To no surprise, the rise in employment has coincided with the rise in renters, as they’ve been attracted to new inventory around employment hubs. The Downtown/East Kansas …

Strong renter demand in the metro St. Louis apartment market helped boost annual effective rent growth by 3.6 percent in 2015, 200 basis points above the market’s long-term average, according to Axiometrics. An estimated 1,012 apartment units were delivered to the St. Louis market for all of 2015 compared with 2,378 units of absorption during the same period, reports Axiometrics. But with numerous projects in the pipeline, that ratio is likely to change over the next few years, say real estate experts. “We expect supply levels to increase in 2017 and for absorption to begin to struggle to keep up due to slowing job growth,” says Sophie Zatterstrom Gore, analyst with Axiometrics. But 2016 is a different story, she points out. Robust job growth will help absorption outpace new supply by about 600 units in 2016: 1,587 units of absorption versus 990 units of new supply. Such strong demand is giving a strong lift to real estate fundamentals in the local apartment sector. The average effective rent in the third quarter of 2015 was $914, which Axiometrics projects will rise to $948 by the end of 2016. The average vacancy rate is projected to fall from 6.3 percent at the …