Market Reports

Speculative Industrial Construction is Making a Comeback in St. Louis Market

by Danielle Everson February 12, 2015

After a recession-induced lull, speculative construction is back in full swing in the St. Louis industrial sector. Record-setting absorption in 2014 drove vacancy rates to near record lows, and spurred speculative construction on both the Missouri and Illinois side of the Mississippi River. With activity on both fronts, it’s clear that the St. Louis industrial market is well past recovery mode and into growth mode. The St. Louis industrial market posted net absorption of 5.2 million square feet in 2014, passing the all-time record for annual absorption set back in 2005 by more than 20 percent. This is more than double the square feet absorbed in 2013, which itself was a banner year. The positive absorption figure has significantly affected the market’s overall industrial vacancy rate, dropping it to 6.3 percent — the lowest rate since 2005. The Class A vacancy dropped to an impressive 4.1 percent and modern bulk vacancy rate stands at 4.6 percent. Just as in 2006-2007 when nearly 5 million square feet of new construction was delivered, St. Louis is seeing a surge of new construction with these historic vacancy rates. The lack of available industrial space has drastically changed the landscape for tenants during the …

February 12, 2015

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E-Commerce, Auto Industries Drive Speculative Development in Kansas City

by Danielle Everson January 7, 2015

The Kansas City industrial market continues to be an incredibly strong performer. At the end of the third quarter of 2014, the industrial vacancy rate stood at a tight 6.1 percent. Absorption totaled more than 2.5 million square feet during the first nine months of the year, while new deliveries were slightly over 2.6 million square feet in the same period. Let’s examine some contributing factors that are encouraging new deliveries while still driving vacancy rates down and absorption up. Spec Is King The biggest story in the Kansas City industrial real estate market during the first three quarters of 2014 was the delivery of over 2.5 million square feet of Class A distribution facilities on a speculative basis. It can be argued that, in the past, many prospective tenants considered locating a distribution center in Kansas City, but they ultimately selected a different market based on a lack of available inventory and the inability of some companies to wait on the extended timetable for a build-to-suit project. Developers that took notice of this trend and reacted by delivering space to the local market are currently being rewarded for their actions. Much of the speculative development in 2014 centered around …

January 7, 2015

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Missouri Multifamily

Shades of 2007? Kansas City Apartment Vital Signs are Remarkably Strong

by Danielle Everson October 8, 2014

Today’s Kansas City apartment fundamentals resemble the height of the 2007 market as jobs, deliveries, building permits, occupancy and rents are up. The availability of financing for developers and investors, along with the temperate economic recovery, portends further operational strength and investment activity in the near term. Job growth in the metro area this year has been positive. The end of the first quarter saw a full rebound of the job losses that occurred in late 2013. Through the first half of 2014, total payroll employment expanded by 5,200 jobs, an increase of 0.5 percent compared with the end of 2013. The local unemployment rate at the end of the second quarter of 2014 was 6.3 percent. Some 4,200 additional new jobs are projected for the second half of 2014, which would bring the area nonfarm job count to only 1,800 under its 2007 high of 1,018,300. Supply and Demand Apartment developers are expected to deliver new product in time to meet the demand created by the new jobs. By year’s end, construction is scheduled to be completed on 3,750 new apartments for multifamily properties of 100 or more units. New construction has been ramping up since the first quarter …

October 8, 2014

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A Rebirth of Kansas City’s Downtown Multifamily, Office Market

by admin September 24, 2014

It’s a trend that’s happening across the country. Millennials are fleeing the suburbs of their childhood and choosing to work and live in the urban areas of every major American city. But there’s a unique twist to this story in Kansas City. While Millennials are moving downtown in droves, many have a reverse commute. Most Fortune 500 companies have remained in the suburbs after their flight from downtown beginning in the 1970s. In addition, several large companies have jumped the state line due to favorable tax incentives. In the second quarter, the downtown office vacancy rate stood at an unhealthy 29.9 percent. Only one office submarket posted a higher vacancy rate. Meanwhile, the leading submarket, South Johnson County, recorded a 12.8 percent vacancy rate. It’s been difficult for older office buildings with smaller floor plates of 10,000 to 15,000 square feet to compete as companies look for larger floor plates of 25,000 to 30,000 square feet. Companies are also finding that surface parking in the suburbs is more economical. Building Conversion Wave The good news is that a slow reversal in both the multifamily and office markets is occurring as older and historic office buildings are adapting to the demands …

September 24, 2014

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Kansas City Industrial Market Rides Development Wave

by admin September 17, 2014

It’s been a remarkable 18-month run in the Kansas City industrial market. Developers are being rewarded for their patience and long-term land positions, and larger tenants finally have several options from which to choose among Class-A distribution facilities. In January 2013, the vacancy rate in the Kansas City industrial market was a tight 6 percent, with barely any product available for users searching for modern distribution space of 200,000 square feet or more. At that time, I made some predictions about new construction, vacancy and absorption. Let’s review what happened. Market Drivers Kansas City recorded more than 3.5 million square feet of positive absorption in 2013 alone, adding another 800,000 square feet during the first two quarters of 2014. This demand was driven in large part by the automobile suppliers, online retailers and by governmental agencies. At mid-year, the vacancy rate for Kansas City warehouse product had fallen to 5.6 percent, well below the national average of 7.3 percent. Average lease rates have moved up to pre-recession levels, as regional distributors and third-party logistics companies attempt to secure large blocks of space for their national footprints. In 2013, the market delivered 2.4 million square feet of new industrial product, with …

September 17, 2014

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Why Real Estate Investors are Increasingly Drawn to St. Louis

by admin August 28, 2014

Momentum continues to build in the St. Louis commercial real estate investment market across all major product sectors. As private and institutional investors search for higher yields, they are drawn to secondary markets like St. Louis. Investors are seeing a yield premium of 100 to 150 basis points as measured by the initial cap rate. Office Market Grows Hotter The suburban office sector has generated the most momentum, building on a strong 2013. Suburban office investment sales activity could exceed $450 million in 2014, which would be a 90 percent increase over 2013. The largest office deal is the sale of Cityplace, an 884,000-square-foot Class A office complex in Creve Coeur that is under contract and expected to close for approximately $141 million. New Boston Fund and the Koman Group are the sellers. The buyer is undisclosed. While the search for higher yields is certainly a factor driving increased suburban office investment activity, another big part of the story is the continued occupancy growth supported by job gains. The St. Louis unemployment rate, which in May 2014 stood at 6.96 percent, is rapidly approaching the pre-recession level of 5.7 percent set in November 2007. Growth in industries such as technology, …

August 28, 2014

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Why Institutional Investors are Bullish on Kansas City Industrial Market

by admin February 27, 2014

After years of trailing cities such as Dallas, Memphis and Indianapolis as major bulk distribution centers, Kansas City has emerged as a significant and large hub for the development of Class A industrial logistics centers whose development is backed by institutional money. The trend is transformational for our market and here to stay for three primary reasons: (1) Institutional money — namely life insurance companies — has always allocated a portion of its funds for real estate. That money has found Kansas City. (2) Local Kansas City developers, brokers and property managers are well-suited and eager to accommodate non-operating entities like life insurance companies to buy land, build projects on a speculative basis, lease up and manage the new developments, and sell them when the financial backers decide to cash in on their investments. Kansas City has traditionally been a family-owned real estate development community comprised of five or six major players. None of these families has sold its portfolios to industrial REITs. Thus, there is a niche for institutional-backed, Class A development that is financed with deep pockets and brought to market by local developers. (3) The biggest reason for large-scale Class A industrial development in Kansas City is …

February 27, 2014

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Kansas City Apartment Market Riding High on the Real Estate Cycle

by admin February 3, 2014

The apartment market in metro Kansas City is in an expansion phase, driven in large part by strong renter demand and an improving economy. Developers are building and opportunistic sellers are bringing properties to market. Meanwhile, the core, growth and value-add investors are gobbling up assets. Lenders are competitively financing both acquisitions and new developments in all classes of properties. Renters can feel the momentum as well, with more product to choose from and higher rents. Employment Summary It all starts with jobs. The Mid-America Regional Council, which serves the nine-county Kansas City metro area, estimates that the local economy added 12,300 jobs in 2013, correlating to annual GDP growth of 2.7 percent. This figure compares favorably with U.S. GDP growth of approximately 2 percent during the same period. The 12-month period from August 2012 to August 2013 provides a window into the rebound in the local employment market. The leisure and hospitality sector created 5,800 net new jobs during that stretch, while the professional and business services sector added 5,700 new jobs. Meanwhile, the mining, logging and construction industries added a total of 2,600 jobs in the metro area (mostly construction), including 1,900 in Kansas and 700 in Missouri. …

February 3, 2014

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Why Institutional Investors are Bullish on Kansas City Industrial Market

by admin January 13, 2014

January 13, 2014

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Retail Market Comes Alive with Expansions and Additions

by admin January 7, 2014

The famous Kansas City song — first recorded by Wilbert Harrison in 1959 — says, “I’m going to Kansas City, Kansas City here I come.” Well, in 2013, the retailers did come to Kansas City, which was beautiful music to the ears of developers and landlords throughout the area. Some of the most notable new additions to the Kansas City retail scene include IKEA, The Container Store, Academy Sports + Outdoors, Scheels Sporting Goods, REI, Fresh Market, Rock & Brews, Cinetopia, Eileen Fisher, Freebirds World Burrito, Chuy’s and Hallmark’s new store concept called “HMK.” Still other retail additions include Pinstripes, an upscale entertainment and dining venue featuring bocce and bowling, as well as Sprouts and Corner Bakery. Geographic proximity to other established markets for these retailers led to a natural migration pattern to Kansas City. However, the following factors created new inventory opportunities and supplied the key ingredients for an active retail climate in 2013 that should continue in 2014: • the metro’s declining unemployment rate to 6.3 percent from a recent high of 8.4 percent in 2010; • the buoyant housing market, with an estimated 5,960 new residential and apartment units added during 2013 versus 2,342 units in 2010; …

January 7, 2014

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