With a three-year average occupancy of 96 percent, Omaha’s apartment market has displayed strong fundamentals that we expect to continue this year and beyond. Given the strong tailwinds created by Omaha’s healthy economy — the local unemployment rate stood at 3.6 percent in January compared with 4.9 percent nationally — it is not surprising that occupancy is high, rents and revenues are rising and new developments continue. According to the recently released IREM fall 2015 Omaha Metropolitan Area Apartment Survey, the year-end market occupancy rate was a strong 96 percent, with the lowest submarket at 94 percent and the highest at an outstanding 98 percent. On a 10-year historical basis, the Omaha market’s occupancy rate has ranged from a low of 92 percent in 2008 to a high of 96 percent in both 2013 and 2015. Any owner will tell you a solid two percent gain in occupancy over a multi-year period has a significant impact on net operating income. Both rents and revenues continue to grow within the Omaha market. Most owners have been raising rents between 2 and 4 percent a year, and in some cases 5 percent. The general expectation is that rents and revenues will both …
Market Reports
It is difficult to find one aspect of the Omaha industrial market to highlight when recapping 2015. Quite frankly, about every single facet of the market improved last year: sale prices ticked up, land prices rose, absorption was positive, the vacancy rate was low, asking rental rates climbed, and there was plenty of new construction. There are no signs of this momentum slowing. What is even more telling is the steady trend in the same direction — the market has shown signs of improvement each of the last five years. There have not been one or two transactions skewing the metric. Sales prices of existing industrial property averaged $56 per square foot in 2015, and over 2 million square feet of inventory was sold. This is quite a jump over the average of $47 per square foot in 2014. We believe this uptick in sales prices is due to a number of factors, but most notably a combination of high demand, low inventory of platted industrial lots and high construction costs. Users have been forced to make a choice — build new product or rehab existing buildings. This dilemma has created a bit of an odd and possibly concerning scenario: …
Just like Omaha’s diverse and strong economy — a 3.2 percent unemployment rate as of December 2014 — the local apartment market continues to shine. Occupancy remains high, rents are up significantly over the past year as additional charges continue to be passed through to tenants, and new construction has not yet overtaken demand. In short, 2014 was another golden year for apartments. We expect more of the same in 2015 because the market has not yet peaked. The latest estimate by the Institute of Real Estate Management (IREM) is that there are now 95,128 apartment units in the Omaha metro area, with an overall occupancy level of nearly 96 percent as of fall 2014. This strong occupancy level is virtually unchanged from the fall of 2013 when it stood at 96.17 percent. From a historical perspective, the occupancy level for Omaha’s market over the past decade has remained strong, ranging from a low of 92 percent to a high of 96 percent. We expect Omaha’s occupancy rate in 2015 to remain strong, likely in the 95 to 96 percent range. Rents on the Rise Not surprisingly, the higher occupancy gives landlords greater pricing power. Historically we have observed about …
For years the Omaha industrial market — approximately 68 million square feet strong — seemed to be slow and steady. When the market tightened, developers were still able to meet demand. Over the past 15 years, companies looking to construct new facilities have historically had an ample number of options in which to relocate along I-80 in the southwest part of the metro area. The Great Recession of the late 2000s seemingly halted speculative construction. During the rebound of the early 2010s, the vacancy rate began to steadily decline. Tenants started to absorb excess space at a healthy clip. All of a sudden, the market has begun to face two overwhelming challenges: virtually full occupancy among rental space and few readily available land options to build new product. Space Users Stay Active Industrial vacancy in Omaha has continued to plummet, ending 2014 at a 3 percent vacancy rate. Both large national companies and local businesses have accounted for the healthy absorption of space. Sergeant’s Pet Care Products (which built 349,680 square feet), Airlite Plastics (71,272 square feet), and Election Systems & Software (40,000 square feet) all increased their footprint in 2014. Additionally, several smaller transactions have occurred this year. Companies …
Omaha’s office market finds itself in a favorable position at the start of 2015. Local economic indicators are solid, absorption has been positive year over year, and vacancies across the board are declining. One big reason is that Omaha businesses are growing. The low vacancy rate of Class A space is driving an appropriate amount of new construction, and Omaha’s abundant supply of quality Class B office space is expected to accommodate demand. Class A Advantage As businesses compete for the best and brightest employees, office space becomes an important hiring tool, causing businesses to look for inviting buildings and spaces in locations with enhanced amenities. This trend has increased activity in Omaha’s Class A office market, driving down the vacancy rate and spurring new construction. Omaha’s Class A vacancy rate stood at 5 percent at the end of the third quarter of 2014. The average asking rent was $24.95 per square foot on a gross basis, up 4 percent since the start of 2014. The uptick in Class A rents is likely to continue Corporate headquarters and speculative buildings are spurring the Class A construction boom. Local businesses such as Millard Refrigerated Services, Tenaska, Gavilon, TD Ameritrade, NorthStar Financial …
The coming several quarters may be a great time to be a landlord in Omaha because the market continues to see a steady decline in the overall vacancy rate. As of the fourth quarter of 2013, the industrial vacancy rate registered 4.8 percent. Although the decline has not been rapid, tenant representation specialists and space users alike are starting to observe a scarcity in the market for available industrial space. What is most telling is that new construction is largely at a standstill. Since 2010, the Omaha industrial market has added 16 new buildings to the overall inventory. These new buildings account for slightly more than 387,000 square feet of the entire 67.8 million-square-foot market. In all, 11 of these 16 new buildings were either single-tenant, build-to-suit projects or owner-occupied properties. Speculative construction has totaled only 71,300 square feet since 2010. To put that figure into perspective, the 71,300 square feet accounts for a miniscule 0.1 percent of total inventory. The lack of new product is by far the largest driving force behind today’s tight vacancy rate in greater Omaha. Stringent design requirements, rising construction costs and a shortage of developable industrial land all play a role in the dearth …
It’s an incredible time to be in Lincoln, as the city’s new skyline conveys the momentum and energy Lincoln is experiencing. Four years ago, when many cities were paralyzed by the economic climate, Lincoln voters put the city on a new path by voting “yes” to move forward on the West Haymarket Redevelopment Project. In August 2013, the new 16,000-seat Pinnacle Bank Arena opened its doors. The $344 million West Haymarket project envisioned the redevelopment of 400 acres of blighted and underutilized property bordering the popular Haymarket Landmark District and downtown core. The area we call the “Haymarket” sits along the western edge of the central business district. It was a place for industrial and warehousing uses back in the early 19th and 20th centuries and served the adjacent Burlington and Missouri River Railroad yard. Nearly 100 years after the rise of the Haymarket, many buildings were vacated and boarded up as the last manufacturer, Russell Stover, pulled its operations from Lincoln. This eight-block district, however, was viewed as an important element to Lincoln’s history, and the city designated it as a Landmark District in 1982. A New Beginning In 1985, the Lincoln Haymarket Development Corp. was formed as a …
The Omaha office market is poised for a significant increase in Class A inventory. Currently, there are planned developments in various stages that would add more than 3 million square feet to the marketplace. Slated for development is the Fountain West Office Park at 192nd Street and West Dodge Road. The developer, R&R Realty Group, has publicly committed to building the first of a group of speculative buildings. It will be a Class A, 75,000-square-foot building. Construction will likely begin in the second quarter of this year and be completed in about 18 months. The total inventory of the market today is just shy of 21 million square feet. This figure is comprised of non-owner occupied, non-medical office product. The 3 million square feet of planned development is unprecedented in Omaha, so why is the pipeline expanding now? (To view larger version of chart, click here.) A Historical Perspective For the past three years, the Omaha office market has recorded average annual absorption of 200,000 square feet. Prior to the recession, our pace was nearly 300,000 square feet yearly. While the pace of absorption has been healthy for a mid-market city like Omaha, new development has remained relatively slow. The …
The strong performance of the Omaha apartment market is expected to continue in 2014 and beyond. According to MPF Research, Omaha’s apartment occupancy stood at 95.8 percent in the third quarter of 2013, up from 95.5 percent at the end of 2012 and in line with Omaha’s average occupancy rate of slightly under 96 percent since 2000. On the new construction front, developers continue to bring new projects to the market. During the first 10 months of 2013, multifamily building permits totaled 1,454 units in metro Omaha, which was 47 percent above the 986 multifamily housing units permitted during the same period in 2012 and 19 percent above the 1,225 units permitted during all of 2012. The figure was also slightly above the upper end of my range of expectations of 1,300 to 1,400 units for all of 2013. On a percentage basis, the addition of 1,454 units would increase the apartment housing stock by 1.6 percent based on an overall inventory of approximately 88,000 units. More Shovels in the Ground During 2014, I expect construction activity to continue to be strong. Indeed, we could see multifamily building permit issuance reach 1,300 to 1,400 units. Included in these new development …
The Omaha apartment market remains a strong performer. According to MPF Research, Omaha’s apartment occupancy stood at 95.5 percent at the end of 2012, up a modest 80 basis points from the end of 2011 and in line with Omaha’s average occupancy rate of 95.9 percent since 2000. Coupling the strong occupancy rate with a continued favorable financing environment, it is no surprise that developers are eager to bring new units on line and move quickly to lock in permanent financing. As a result, 2012 saw 1,225 multifamily housing building permits issued, which was very much in line with my predicted total of 1,300 permits for the year, and up 25 percent when compared to 2011. The addition of 1,225 units will increase the apartment housing stock in Omaha by 1.4 percent on an overall inventory of approximately 88,000 units. My expectation is that permit activity will again be around 1,200 units for all of 2013, with a small chance that it could possibly increase to as many as 1,400 units. There are a number of local and regional developers who are actively seeking multifamily land, and the lack of top sites is likely to be the biggest development constraint …