Market Reports

The national love affair with the multifamily sector may be starting to cool, but the Omaha market is just coming of age and heating up. “Overall, it was a strong third quarter, which was a nice surprise,”said Michael Cohen, CoStar Group director of advisory services, during his State of the Multifamily Market Third Quarter Review and Outlook on Nov. 1. “We’re still in the golden age for multifamily, but we’re seeing signs of a gradual slowdown in the apartment market.” Trendy new apartment towers and historic building conversions in downtown Omaha are all the rage — like most markets — but under the radar the entire Omaha metro is experiencing a significant boom in apartment development and sales. And why not? What’s not to like about Omaha? We are the non-threatening little brother of the Midwest that everyone likes, but never thought of in that way. But something has changed and Omaha is catching the attention of players that would have traditionally overlooked our strong fundamentals. Omaha has a diversified and stable economy fortified by nine Fortune 1000 companies, including Berkshire Hathaway, Union Pacific Railroad, Mutual of Omaha and TD Ameritrade, as well as a burgeoning innovation scene and a …

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Similar to the past couple of years, it is difficult to identify one or two items to highlight about the Omaha industrial market. Although the most impressive improvement might be the amount of new construction starts in 2016, factors such as sales prices per square foot, number of overall transactions, average asking rents, vacancy rates, landlord concessions all trended in a favorable direction for owners of industrial properties. This has been a staggering year- over-year trend, which has led many industry professionals to ask the same question: Is the market becoming too hot? User-driven projects over 100,000 square feet were the highlight of 2016, with multiple large projects breaking ground. Those users included Thrasher Inc., a rapidly growing, Omaha-based basement waterproofing and foundation repair company, which broke ground on its 209,000-square-foot office and warehouse facility located near 120th Street and Valley Ridge Drive; and Oxbow Industries, a Murdock, Neb.-based manufacturer, that is working with a developer on a new 140,000-square-foot facility at 150th Street and Schram Road. However, new construction starts for large projects were not the only storyline. Companies including Rotella’s Italian Bakery (6949 S. 108th St.) and State Steel (13413 Centech Road) made notable expansions to their existing …

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With an average occupancy rate of 96 percent at the end of 2016, coupled with a four percent growth in asking rental rates during 2016, Omaha’s apartment market continues to be a strong performer. According to apartment data research firm Reis, Omaha’s average asking rental rate has increased in every quarter for the past 23 quarters, and is expected to increase 3.6 percent in 2017. On the occupancy front, Reis expects the vacancy rate to finish 2017 slightly higher at 4.9 percent, which would still result in a projected healthy 95.1 percent occupancy rate. On a 10-year historical occupancy basis, Reis reports that the average occupancy over the past decade has been 95.3 percent. Meanwhile, the Institute of Real Estate Management (IREM) reports that the occupancy rate during the same period ranged from a low of 92 percent in 2008 to 96 percent in both 2013 and 2015. Since the beginning of 2007, the average annual increase in asking rental rates has been 2.7 percent, according to Reis. Over the past 23 quarters, the cumulative increase in asking rental rates has been 19.3 percent.   Investors take notice While Omaha may not have as robust rent growth as some East …

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With a three-year average occupancy of 96 percent, Omaha’s apartment market has displayed strong fundamentals that we expect to continue this year and beyond. Given the strong tailwinds created by Omaha’s healthy economy — the local unemployment rate stood at 3.6 percent in January compared with 4.9 percent nationally — it is not surprising that occupancy is high, rents and revenues are rising and new developments continue. According to the recently released IREM fall 2015 Omaha Metropolitan Area Apartment Survey, the year-end market occupancy rate was a strong 96 percent, with the lowest submarket at 94 percent and the highest at an outstanding 98 percent. On a 10-year historical basis, the Omaha market’s occupancy rate has ranged from a low of 92 percent in 2008 to a high of 96 percent in both 2013 and 2015. Any owner will tell you a solid two percent gain in occupancy over a multi-year period has a significant impact on net operating income. Both rents and revenues continue to grow within the Omaha market. Most owners have been raising rents between 2 and 4 percent a year, and in some cases 5 percent. The general expectation is that rents and revenues will both …

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It is difficult to find one aspect of the Omaha industrial market to highlight when recapping 2015. Quite frankly, about every single facet of the market improved last year: sale prices ticked up, land prices rose, absorption was positive, the vacancy rate was low, asking rental rates climbed, and there was plenty of new construction. There are no signs of this momentum slowing. What is even more telling is the steady trend in the same direction — the market has shown signs of improvement each of the last five years. There have not been one or two transactions skewing the metric. Sales prices of existing industrial property averaged $56 per square foot in 2015, and over 2 million square feet of inventory was sold. This is quite a jump over the average of $47 per square foot in 2014. We believe this uptick in sales prices is due to a number of factors, but most notably a combination of high demand, low inventory of platted industrial lots and high construction costs. Users have been forced to make a choice — build new product or rehab existing buildings. This dilemma has created a bit of an odd and possibly concerning scenario: …

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Just like Omaha’s diverse and strong economy — a 3.2 percent unemployment rate as of December 2014 — the local apartment market continues to shine. Occupancy remains high, rents are up significantly over the past year as additional charges continue to be passed through to tenants, and new construction has not yet overtaken demand. In short, 2014 was another golden year for apartments. We expect more of the same in 2015 because the market has not yet peaked. The latest estimate by the Institute of Real Estate Management (IREM) is that there are now 95,128 apartment units in the Omaha metro area, with an overall occupancy level of nearly 96 percent as of fall 2014. This strong occupancy level is virtually unchanged from the fall of 2013 when it stood at 96.17 percent. From a historical perspective, the occupancy level for Omaha’s market over the past decade has remained strong, ranging from a low of 92 percent to a high of 96 percent. We expect Omaha’s occupancy rate in 2015 to remain strong, likely in the 95 to 96 percent range. Rents on the Rise Not surprisingly, the higher occupancy gives landlords greater pricing power. Historically we have observed about …

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For years the Omaha industrial market — approximately 68 million square feet strong — seemed to be slow and steady. When the market tightened, developers were still able to meet demand. Over the past 15 years, companies looking to construct new facilities have historically had an ample number of options in which to relocate along I-80 in the southwest part of the metro area. The Great Recession of the late 2000s seemingly halted speculative construction. During the rebound of the early 2010s, the vacancy rate began to steadily decline. Tenants started to absorb excess space at a healthy clip. All of a sudden, the market has begun to face two overwhelming challenges: virtually full occupancy among rental space and few readily available land options to build new product. Space Users Stay Active Industrial vacancy in Omaha has continued to plummet, ending 2014 at a 3 percent vacancy rate. Both large national companies and local businesses have accounted for the healthy absorption of space. Sergeant’s Pet Care Products (which built 349,680 square feet), Airlite Plastics (71,272 square feet), and Election Systems & Software (40,000 square feet) all increased their footprint in 2014. Additionally, several smaller transactions have occurred this year. Companies …

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Omaha’s office market finds itself in a favorable position at the start of 2015. Local economic indicators are solid, absorption has been positive year over year, and vacancies across the board are declining. One big reason is that Omaha businesses are growing. The low vacancy rate of Class A space is driving an appropriate amount of new construction, and Omaha’s abundant supply of quality Class B office space is expected to accommodate demand. Class A Advantage As businesses compete for the best and brightest employees, office space becomes an important hiring tool, causing businesses to look for inviting buildings and spaces in locations with enhanced amenities. This trend has increased activity in Omaha’s Class A office market, driving down the vacancy rate and spurring new construction. Omaha’s Class A vacancy rate stood at 5 percent at the end of the third quarter of 2014. The average asking rent was $24.95 per square foot on a gross basis, up 4 percent since the start of 2014. The uptick in Class A rents is likely to continue Corporate headquarters and speculative buildings are spurring the Class A construction boom. Local businesses such as Millard Refrigerated Services, Tenaska, Gavilon, TD Ameritrade, NorthStar Financial …

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The coming several quarters may be a great time to be a landlord in Omaha because the market continues to see a steady decline in the overall vacancy rate. As of the fourth quarter of 2013, the industrial vacancy rate registered 4.8 percent. Although the decline has not been rapid, tenant representation specialists and space users alike are starting to observe a scarcity in the market for available industrial space. What is most telling is that new construction is largely at a standstill. Since 2010, the Omaha industrial market has added 16 new buildings to the overall inventory. These new buildings account for slightly more than 387,000 square feet of the entire 67.8 million-square-foot market. In all, 11 of these 16 new buildings were either single-tenant, build-to-suit projects or owner-occupied properties. Speculative construction has totaled only 71,300 square feet since 2010. To put that figure into perspective, the 71,300 square feet accounts for a miniscule 0.1 percent of total inventory. The lack of new product is by far the largest driving force behind today’s tight vacancy rate in greater Omaha. Stringent design requirements, rising construction costs and a shortage of developable industrial land all play a role in the dearth …

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It’s an incredible time to be in Lincoln, as the city’s new skyline conveys the momentum and energy Lincoln is experiencing. Four years ago, when many cities were paralyzed by the economic climate, Lincoln voters put the city on a new path by voting “yes” to move forward on the West Haymarket Redevelopment Project. In August 2013, the new 16,000-seat Pinnacle Bank Arena opened its doors. The $344 million West Haymarket project envisioned the redevelopment of 400 acres of blighted and underutilized property bordering the popular Haymarket Landmark District and downtown core. The area we call the “Haymarket” sits along the western edge of the central business district. It was a place for industrial and warehousing uses back in the early 19th and 20th centuries and served the adjacent Burlington and Missouri River Railroad yard. Nearly 100 years after the rise of the Haymarket, many buildings were vacated and boarded up as the last manufacturer, Russell Stover, pulled its operations from Lincoln. This eight-block district, however, was viewed as an important element to Lincoln’s history, and the city designated it as a Landmark District in 1982. A New Beginning In 1985, the Lincoln Haymarket Development Corp. was formed as a …

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