— By Jerry Doty of Colliers — While several other Western markets started to slow down in late 2022 or early 2023, the Southern Nevada industrial market seemed to be relatively unscathed going into 2024. However, the impact was finally felt early in the first quarter of 2024. It lasted through the remainder of the year. Despite this noticeable decline in activity, most remained optimistic that it would be a quick slump. We were hoping 2025 would come out with guns blazing. These prognostications have so far proven to be incorrect. First-quarter 2025 felt very much like the past four quarters. This noticeable slowdown could not have come at a worse time. We are in the midst of a record wave of new completions that will continue to deliver through the third quarter. The Las Vegas industrial market delivered a little less than 16 million square feet of new inventory in 2024, bringing the total market up to 180 million square feet. The Valley is composed of eight different industrial submarkets, with the North being both the largest in total size (75 million square feet) and the largest amount of product under construction (almost 3.6 million square feet). At the …
— By Adam Schmitt of CBRE — The Las Vegas multifamily market is experiencing a significant transformation that’s shaped by new construction trends and evolving market dynamics. As the city continues to expand and adapt, it is essential for current investors, developers and capital allocators to understand the opportunities and barriers for growth. The multifamily market has seen substantial fluctuations since the onset of COVID-19. Rents surged by 24.6 percent in 2021, buoyed by government interventions. However, as these supports diminished, vacancy rates rose sharply, climbing from an average of 3.4 percent in 2021 to 7.35 percent in 2023. Recent trends, however, indicate a recovery. Vacancy rates have decreased to 6.5 percent as of February, which hint that multifamily fundamentals may be regaining stability and moving toward normalized averages. The single-family housing market is another critical element influencing the overall health of Las Vegas’ economy. The market produced 160,092 single-family homes between 2003 and 2008. However, only 142,455 were built between 2009 and 2024. This slowdown has led to soaring home prices, even amid rising mortgage rates approaching 7 percent. Consequently, the growing disparity between renting and owning has created favorable conditions for rental housing demand, further solidifying the multifamily …
— By Giovanna Abraham, Market Intelligence Analyst, Avison Young — The Las Vegas office market continues to defy broader national trends, maintaining resilience and attracting attention for its stability and growth. While many U.S. cities struggle with rising office vacancies, Las Vegas stands out for its comparatively low vacancy rate, steady rent growth and positive return-to-office trends. Despite recent increases in vacancy, Las Vegas remains well below national averages, with a vacancy rate of 15.2 percent in the third quarter — 850 basis points lower than the national availability rate of 23.7 percent. This performance reflects the unique dynamics shaping the Las Vegas office market, including a steadily growing population and the city’s appeal as a business-friendly destination. Low Vacancy Rates and a Stable MarketOffice vacancy has gradually increased over the past six quarters, but Las Vegas has also experienced a much slower rise than many larger metropolitan markets. This measured growth has allowed the city to remain competitive, with vacancies rebounding to pre-pandemic levels by late 2021 and holding steady through first-quarter 2023. After brief upticks in the first half of 2024, the vacancy rate declined again by third-quarter 2024, dropping from 15.9 percent to 15.2 percent. This resilience …
— By Roy Fritz, First Vice President, CBRE Retail Investment Properties – West — Las Vegas’s retail investment market continues to hit the jackpot, mirroring the lucky winners that visit the city every week. The Valley remains a magnet for growth, attracting new investors who would never have considered Las Vegas in the past. High-profile recent additions like the state-of-the-art, 70,000-seat Allegiant Stadium, Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix race, MSG Sphere and the Fontainebleau luxury resort and casino have retailers and investors drawn to the city’s bright lights as they seek out that next big win. Major League Baseball is also making its mark in Las Vegas with the Oakland Athletics’ planned move to the city. The new stadium, set to open in 2028, will feature a 33,000-seat capacity and state-of-the-art amenities. It will also further cement Las Vegas as a premier sports and entertainment destination. This growth is supported by strong underlying fundamentals and economic diversification. The sentiment across the Valley’s business landscape is that the area has clearly transitioned from a tertiary market, which was highly dependent on Southern California capital just a few years ago, to a solid secondary market. This transformation has attracted investments from all …
— By Amy Ogden, Partner, Industrial, LOGIC Commercial Real Estate — With the presidential election barely in our rearview mirror, many are taking a moment to assess how the outcome might impact (positively or negatively) their operations. On the one hand, this has been a resilient year for Las Vegas’ industrial market, which tracked close to 4.5 million square feet of net absorption. On the other hand, we are beginning to see a slowdown in momentum. The uncertainty of potential changes has left decision-makers hesitant, preferring to avoid any premature moves until after the holiday season. Nevertheless, the market is far from idle. The recent rate cut of 50 basis points, along with expectations of an additional reduction at the upcoming November meeting , has set a quiet hum of activity in motion. Investors and key players are discreetly exploring opportunities, positioning themselves strategically for when the time is right to act. Local industrial vacancy rates have also jump to about 7 percent as an influx of new deliveries come online. Vacancy rates are projected to hit double digits, considering an additional 4 million square feet is expected to deliver by year’s end. This is something we haven’t seen within …
— By Patti Dillon, Executive Vice President, Colliers — Las Vegas’ office market is at a critical juncture as shifting dynamics could shape its future for years to come. New developments like the anticipated 30-acre studios development project in discussion with Howard Hughes Corporation present opportunities, though second-generation office space is expected to dominate over the next three to five years. This shift is driven by cost efficiency, evolving tenant demands and the higher expenses tied to new construction. Though new builds offer state-of-the-art facilities, the adaptability and affordability of second-generation spaces make them a practical solution for many businesses. Las Vegas continues to attract high-profile corporate tenants from out of state. These companies are drawn to flexible office spaces that feature modern technology and proximity to mixed-use developments that support the evolving hybrid work model. The increasing demand for live-work-play environments has placed a premium on mixed-use developments that combine residential, office and retail spaces. Despite ongoing demand, the market faces significant challenges. Investor confidence has been impacted by broader economic factors, including the U.S. elections, geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures. Supply chain disruptions, rising construction costs and higher interest rates also create barriers for developers and limit financing options …
— By Shawn Jaenson, executive vice president, Kidder Mathews — Reno’s industrial market has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the face of challenging economic conditions. Despite such uncertainties, the region has maintained a strong industrial presence, showcasing its ability to adapt and thrive. Overall, the market delivered more than 22 million square feet of new construction since the start of 2020 and has experienced more than 50 percent rent growth over the same period, rising from $0.55 (triple net) in fourth-quarter 2019 to $0.84 at mid-year 2024. As the nation grapples with inflation, supply chain disruptions and shifting consumer behaviors, Reno’s industrial sector has managed to effectively weather these challenges. The city’s strategic location and pro-business environment have positioned it as a critical logistics and distribution hub. These factors have allowed local businesses to remain competitive, even as national economic pressures mount. Sales activity has seen a recent uptick with four major sales occurring in the second quarter of this year. Prospect Ridge bought the four-building, 893,632-square-foot Airway Commerce Center from Tolles Development; CapRock bought a 707,010-square-foot building from Manulife; and Pure Development sold two buildings – one with 354,640 square feet and the other with 322,400 square feet – to Exeter …
— By Roxanne Stevenson, senior vice president of Colliers — Reno’s retail market saw a dip in net absorption and a slight uptick in regional vacancy toward the middle of 2024. Tenant demand began to moderate this year after the robust leasing activity of 2022 and 2023. Vacancy reached a record low at the beginning of the year, dipping to 3.8 percent in the first quarter, though it now sits just above 4 percent. When analyzing the state of Reno’s retail market, there are several categories to consider: Tenant Activity Strong tenant demand, particularly in food and beverage, automotive,fitness and experiential concepts, should continue to stabilize the market. Reno has seen a handful of existing tenants expanding, as well as new entrants in recent years. Trader Joe’s opened its second location in South Reno and intends to plant a third flag in northern Sparks. Bob’s Discount Furniture and Twin Peaks are also opening their first locations in Northern Nevada at Redfield Promenade. Other notable and active tenants include Miniso, In-N-Out Burger, Starbucks, Dave’s Hot Chicken, Panera, Ace Hardware and Einstein Bros. Bagels. A few tenants, however, have shuttered their doors. There were three 99 Cents Only locations that filed bankruptcy …
— Jason Hallahan, associate of Colliers Reno — Northern Nevada’s office market has shown continued resilience in 2024 as the region has seen robust tenant demand, fewer sublease availabilities and evolving market trends. Though Northern Nevada experienced an influx of vacant space that hit the market in the middle of the year, year-to-date tenant demand has been largely positive. Robust absorption in the first and third quarters of 2024 has driven annual net absorption to more than 77,500 square feet. While many larger office markets felt an immediate impact at the onset of the pandemic, Reno’s office market began to see the wave of sublease space hit the market at the start of 2022 — nearly two years later. At its peak in the first quarter of 2023, available sublease space accounted for 28.2 percent of all available space on the market. Northern Nevada’s sublease market has continued to shrink over the past two years as the total square footage recently dropped below 90,000 square feet. This is less than one-third of the 2023 peak, which was 303,000 square feet of available sublease space. This loss of sublease space is due to large sublease suites being occupied by new subtenants, …
— By Ben Galles, senior vice president of CBRE — Interest rates have been the biggest factor for Reno’s multifamily market this year, reaching some of the highest levels seen in a long time. The market for multifamily properties in Northern Nevada has been slow to adjust to the new lending environment, with sellers unwilling to price assets at a rate of return that would provide most buyers with positive leverage. In other words, the interest rate on loans used to purchase many of the current listings is higher than said property’s cap rate. Multifamily sales volume in Northern Nevada is down 14 percent compared to the same time last year. One of the major drivers for the drop in sales volume is that only three deals have secured bank debt, with the average loan to value (LTV) of those loans being roughly 48 percent. While cash transactions have represented more than 58 percent of the transactions, a large percentage of deals have involved owner financing. Some owners who needed to move their assets over the past 12 months found that offering below-market interest rate owner financing was a significant selling point. Many of the deals that closed with owner …
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