Market Reports

— By Giovanna Abraham, Market Intelligence Analyst, Avison Young — The Las Vegas office market continues to defy broader national trends, maintaining resilience and attracting attention for its stability and growth. While many U.S. cities struggle with rising office vacancies, Las Vegas stands out for its comparatively low vacancy rate, steady rent growth and positive return-to-office trends. Despite recent increases in vacancy, Las Vegas remains well below national averages, with a vacancy rate of 15.2 percent in the third quarter — 850 basis points lower than the national availability rate of 23.7 percent. This performance reflects the unique dynamics shaping the Las Vegas office market, including a steadily growing population and the city’s appeal as a business-friendly destination. Low Vacancy Rates and a Stable MarketOffice vacancy has gradually increased over the past six quarters, but Las Vegas has also experienced a much slower rise than many larger metropolitan markets. This measured growth has allowed the city to remain competitive, with vacancies rebounding to pre-pandemic levels by late 2021 and holding steady through first-quarter 2023. After brief upticks in the first half of 2024, the vacancy rate declined again by third-quarter 2024, dropping from 15.9 percent to 15.2 percent. This resilience …

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— By Roy Fritz, First Vice President, CBRE Retail Investment Properties – West — Las Vegas’s retail investment market continues to hit the jackpot, mirroring the lucky winners that visit the city every week. The Valley remains a magnet for growth, attracting new investors who would never have considered Las Vegas in the past.  High-profile recent additions like the state-of-the-art, 70,000-seat Allegiant Stadium, Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix race, MSG Sphere and the Fontainebleau luxury resort and casino have retailers and investors drawn to the city’s bright lights as they seek out that next big win.  Major League Baseball is also making its mark in Las Vegas with the Oakland Athletics’ planned move to the city. The new stadium, set to open in 2028, will feature a 33,000-seat capacity and state-of-the-art amenities. It will also further cement Las Vegas as a premier sports and entertainment destination. This growth is supported by strong underlying fundamentals and economic diversification. The sentiment across the Valley’s business landscape is that the area has clearly transitioned from a tertiary market, which was highly dependent on Southern California capital just a few years ago, to a solid secondary market. This transformation has attracted investments from all …

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— By Amy Ogden, Partner, Industrial, LOGIC Commercial Real Estate — With the presidential election barely in our rearview mirror, many are taking a moment to assess how the outcome might impact (positively or negatively) their operations. On the one hand, this has been a resilient year for Las Vegas’ industrial market, which tracked close to 4.5 million square feet of net absorption. On the other hand, we are beginning to see a slowdown in momentum. The uncertainty of potential changes has left decision-makers hesitant, preferring to avoid any premature moves until after the holiday season.  Nevertheless, the market is far from idle. The recent rate cut of 50 basis points, along with expectations of an additional reduction at the upcoming November meeting , has set a quiet hum of activity in motion. Investors and key players are discreetly exploring opportunities, positioning themselves strategically for when the time is right to act.  Local industrial vacancy rates have also jump to about 7 percent as an influx of new deliveries come online. Vacancy rates are projected to hit double digits, considering an additional 4 million square feet is expected to deliver by year’s end. This is something we haven’t seen within …

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— By Patti Dillon, Executive Vice President, Colliers — Las Vegas’ office market is at a critical juncture as shifting dynamics could shape its future for years to come. New developments like the anticipated 30-acre studios development project in discussion with Howard Hughes Corporation present opportunities, though second-generation office space is expected to dominate over the next three to five years. This shift is driven by cost efficiency, evolving tenant demands and the higher expenses tied to new construction. Though new builds offer state-of-the-art facilities, the adaptability and affordability of second-generation spaces make them a practical solution for many businesses. Las Vegas continues to attract high-profile corporate tenants from out of state. These companies are drawn to flexible office spaces that feature modern technology and proximity to mixed-use developments that support the evolving hybrid work model. The increasing demand for live-work-play environments has placed a premium on mixed-use developments that combine residential, office and retail spaces. Despite ongoing demand, the market faces significant challenges. Investor confidence has been impacted by broader economic factors, including the U.S. elections, geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures. Supply chain disruptions, rising construction costs and higher interest rates also create barriers for developers and limit financing options …

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— By Shawn Jaenson, executive vice president, Kidder Mathews —  Reno’s industrial market has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the face of challenging economic conditions. Despite such uncertainties, the region has maintained a strong industrial presence, showcasing its ability to adapt and thrive. Overall, the market delivered more than 22 million square feet of new construction since the start of 2020 and has experienced more than 50 percent rent growth over the same period, rising from $0.55 (triple net) in fourth-quarter 2019 to $0.84 at mid-year 2024. As the nation grapples with inflation, supply chain disruptions and shifting consumer behaviors, Reno’s industrial sector has managed to effectively weather these challenges. The city’s strategic location and pro-business environment have positioned it as a critical logistics and distribution hub. These factors have allowed local businesses to remain competitive, even as national economic pressures mount. Sales activity has seen a recent uptick with four major sales occurring in the second quarter of this year. Prospect Ridge bought the four-building, 893,632-square-foot Airway Commerce Center from Tolles Development; CapRock bought a 707,010-square-foot building from Manulife; and Pure Development sold two buildings – one with 354,640 square feet and the other with 322,400 square feet – to Exeter …

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— By Roxanne Stevenson, senior vice president of Colliers — Reno’s retail market saw a dip in net absorption and a slight uptick in regional vacancy toward the middle of 2024. Tenant demand began to moderate this year after the robust leasing activity of 2022 and 2023. Vacancy reached a record low at the beginning of the year, dipping to 3.8 percent in the first quarter, though it now sits just above 4 percent.  When analyzing the state of Reno’s retail market, there are several categories to consider: Tenant Activity Strong tenant demand, particularly in food and beverage, automotive,fitness and experiential concepts, should continue to stabilize the market. Reno has seen a handful of existing tenants expanding, as well as new entrants in recent years. Trader Joe’s opened its second location in South Reno and intends to plant a third flag in northern Sparks. Bob’s Discount Furniture and Twin Peaks are also opening their first locations in Northern Nevada at Redfield Promenade.  Other notable and active tenants include Miniso, In-N-Out Burger, Starbucks, Dave’s Hot Chicken, Panera, Ace Hardware and Einstein Bros. Bagels. A few tenants, however, have shuttered their doors. There were three 99 Cents Only locations that filed bankruptcy …

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— Jason Hallahan, associate of Colliers Reno — Northern Nevada’s office market has shown continued resilience in 2024 as the region has seen robust tenant demand, fewer sublease availabilities and evolving market trends. Though Northern Nevada experienced an influx of vacant space that hit the market in the middle of the year, year-to-date tenant demand has been largely positive. Robust absorption in the first and third quarters of 2024 has driven annual net absorption to more than 77,500 square feet. While many larger office markets felt an immediate impact at the onset of the pandemic, Reno’s office market began to see the wave of sublease space hit the market at the start of 2022 — nearly two years later. At its peak in the first quarter of 2023, available sublease space accounted for 28.2 percent of all available space on the market. Northern Nevada’s sublease market has continued to shrink over the past two years as the total square footage recently dropped below 90,000 square feet. This is less than one-third of the 2023 peak, which was 303,000 square feet of available sublease space. This loss of sublease space is due to large sublease suites being occupied by new subtenants, …

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— By Ben Galles, senior vice president of CBRE — Interest rates have been the biggest factor for Reno’s multifamily market this year, reaching some of the highest levels seen in a long time. The market for multifamily properties in Northern Nevada has been slow to adjust to the new lending environment, with sellers unwilling to price assets at a rate of return that would provide most buyers with positive leverage. In other words, the interest rate on loans used to purchase many of the current listings is higher than said property’s cap rate. Multifamily sales volume in Northern Nevada is down 14 percent compared to the same time last year. One of the major drivers for the drop in sales volume is that only three deals have secured bank debt, with the average loan to value (LTV) of those loans being roughly 48 percent. While cash transactions have represented more than 58 percent of the transactions, a large percentage of deals have involved owner financing. Some owners who needed to move their assets over the past 12 months found that offering below-market interest rate owner financing was a significant selling point. Many of the deals that closed with owner …

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— By Travis Marc, vice president, and Landes Magliarditi, first vice president, CBRE — The post-pandemic world has reshaped office space needs, and Southern Nevada is no exception. Economic uncertainty and evolving return-to-work policies are driving a market transformation that will define 2024 activity. Fueled by flexible work schedules, the digital age has fundamentally transformed how office tenants work and remain efficient.  This shift in work styles is impacting the office market, and we are closely monitoring these trends to determine if pandemic-era changes will remain the future of office, or if new shifts arise to further define the future of office space.  Nevada’s Enduring Strengths, Challenges Nevada’s strong economy continues to attract businesses, with sports and entertainment options fueling the growth. Live-work-play office concepts attract high-quality tenants as they, in turn, look to recruit high-quality talent. This development philosophy in Southern Nevada aims to create vibrant communities with seamless transitions between work, life and leisure activities, resulting in record rental rates.  At the same time, rising interest rates and construction costs are slowing the overall development of new office. As a result, tenants have limited options to secure quality office space in newly constructed buildings.  Well-located, second-generation suburban office space …

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Origin-at-Symphony-Park_Las-Vegas

— By Megan Husic — For a long time, Las Vegas could not seem to attract major sports venues due to fear of sports gambling. But perceptions changed and opportunity skyrocketed when the supreme court struck down the federal law that prohibited sports gambling outside of Nevada in 2018, allowing other states to open sports books. Perception about major sports in Las Vegas seemed to change almost overnight.  Since 2017, Las Vegas has attracted successful NHL and WNBA franchises, lured the Raiders from Oakland, Calif., and hosted high-profile events like the NFL draft, Super Bowl, the NCAA men’s Final Four and a Formula 1 Grand Prix. Now, Major League Baseball is on deck as Vegas is currently making plans to develop a $1.5 billion stadium at a site that included the former Tropicana hotel, which is due to be demolished later this year in anticipation of the stadium.  Identifying Property with Potential Many sites along the Las Vegas Strip have been developed since the early 1960s. In some instances, these sites have been redeveloped several times over. In the environmental world, redevelopment sites typically occur on brownfields, defined by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) as a property, expansion, redevelopment or …

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