Market Reports

— By Rick Nelson of Mark IV Capital —  The Northern Nevada industrial market continues to stabilize following several years of rapid expansion and then a recalibration driven by broader economic uncertainty. Current conditions have presented challenges, particularly in the logistics and distribution sectors where tariffs and shifting trade policies have created a more cautious investment climate. Fortunately, there are signs of resilience and forward momentum. The region’s vacancy rate stands at 11.7 percent, down from its peak in fourth-quarter 2024, per CBRE. The market also recorded its third consecutive quarter of positive net absorption, with 130,433 square feet absorbed that quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to 1.9 million square feet. Although current construction activity has moderated to 1.6 million square feet currently underway, the development pipeline remains robust, with an additional 15.8 million square feet in planning stages. This underscores sustained investor interest despite elevated vacancy and measured tenant activity. Advanced manufacturing and data centers are poised to be the vanguard of industrial development in the greater Reno area going forward. Cushman & Wakefield recently named Reno No. 5 among emerging data center markets worldwide in its 2025 Global Data Center Market Comparison Report. This recognition reflects the growing …

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— By Ben Galles of CBRE — The Reno multifamily market started 2025 with a large supply of new Class A units that was delivered in the fourth quarter of last year. Despite some market challenges, leasing activity of the new supply has gone well, given the limited construction pipeline. There are currently fewer than 700 market-rate units under construction, with very few projects moving forward and starting construction. The constrained development pipeline will likely lead to a significant decrease in vacancy in the second half of 2026 and beyond. This should also start to push rental rates higher, which have been static or slightly down for most of the year, as many owners have offered rent concessions to lock in new tenants.  While future market fundamentals are promising, many buyers remained on the sidelines because most deals have been presented at negative leverage. The average price per unit in 2025 (year to date) is down about 22 percent, while the price per square foot is down about 16 percent (year to date) from the previous year.  This is due to a few things. First, there was an increase in the number of Class B and C assets that traded …

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— By Sam Meredith of Colliers —  After a slow and uncertain start to 2025, the retail market in Reno and Sparks is finally finding its stride. The first half of the year saw many tenants hit pause on leasing decisions as economic jitters made retailers cautious. By the third quarter, however, the mood had shifted. Leasing activity picked up noticeably, and tenants are now back in the market, actively looking for space. That momentum is expected to carry through the fourth quarter and into 2026, with healthy absorption on the horizon. This turnaround is backed by solid market indicators. Net absorption turned positive in the second quarter, while asking rents rose quarter over quarter. Vacancies nudged upward due to big-box closures, including three Big Lots and a Joann store early in the year, but the overall retail vacancy still sits at a manageable 5.4 percent. In fact, several submarkets, including North Valleys, Northwest Reno, South Reno and Southwest Reno, are reporting vacancy rates below 2 percent, showing strong demand in key areas. Retailers are clearly taking notice. Trader Joe’s, which once considered Northern Nevada a one-store market, has now opened two additional locations in Spanish Springs and South Reno. …

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— By Liz Claire of Avison Young —  The Las Vegas retail market continued its strong performance in fourth-quarter 2024. Vacancy rates declined to 5.3 percent, marking a 200-basis-point drop from the fourth quarter of 2020. Strong absorption rates and healthy rent increases highlight the market’s resilience, even as growth has moderated since its peak in first-quarter 2021. Vacancy Declines and Strong Absorption Las Vegas experienced a significant increase in positive retail space absorption in fourth-quarter 2024, following eight quarters of minimal movement, with a total of 619,000 square feet absorbed. This surge was primarily driven by major developments, including the completion of the 500,000-square-foot BLVD retail project, which saw strong pre-leasing activity from prominent tenants like Adidas, H&M, Lululemon and In-N-Out Burger. Sustained high demand lowered the vacancy rate by 40 basis points from the previous quarter, further solidifying Las Vegas as a leading retail market. Retail Rents and Growth Trends Market-wide retail asking rents averaged $35.20 per square foot, with rents outside the high-priced resort corridor averaging $29.08 per square foot. Year over year, rents increased by 5.8 percent, significantly outpacing the national average rent growth of 3 percent. This steady rent appreciation demonstrates continued demand for retail space in …

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— By Charles Van Geel of Cushman & Wakefield — Despite broader economic headwinds, Southern Nevada’s commercial real estate market continues to showcase remarkable resilience – especially in the office sector. The demand for high-quality office space remains strong in the Southwest and Summerlin submarkets, underpinned by a flight to quality and shifting corporate priorities toward top-tier environments. The bulk of today’s office activity is concentrated along the critical Interstate 215 corridor, stretching from Green Valley to Summerlin parkways. This corridor has become the heartbeat of the region’s office market. However, within this high-demand stretch, the availability of true Class A product (particularly in the Southwest submarket) is diminishing. Small blocks of space are becoming increasingly rare, while sublease opportunities along this corridor are practically nonexistent. Adding pressure to this is the fact that new construction is largely stalled. Speculative development is not economically feasible with the current market dynamics. Lenders are unwilling to fund projects unless developers can demonstrate significant preleasing commitments, often north of 50 percent. This has been a challenge, as preleasing activity in the broader market remains minimal.  Still, the area has received a few recent high-profile deliveries. These include Downtown Summerlin’s 1700 Pavilion, Phase II of …

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— By Jerry Doty of Colliers — While several other Western markets started to slow down in late 2022 or early 2023, the Southern Nevada industrial market seemed to be relatively unscathed going into 2024. However, the impact was finally felt early in the first quarter of 2024. It lasted through the remainder of the year.  Despite this noticeable decline in activity, most remained optimistic that it would be a quick slump. We were hoping 2025 would come out with guns blazing. These prognostications have so far proven to be incorrect. First-quarter 2025 felt very much like the past four quarters. This noticeable slowdown could not have come at a worse time. We are in the midst of a record wave of new completions that will continue to deliver through the third quarter. The Las Vegas industrial market delivered a little less than 16 million square feet of new inventory in 2024, bringing the total market up to 180 million square feet. The Valley is composed of eight different industrial submarkets, with the North being both the largest in total size (75 million square feet) and the largest amount of product under construction (almost 3.6 million square feet). At the …

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— By Adam Schmitt of CBRE — The Las Vegas multifamily market is experiencing a significant transformation that’s shaped by new construction trends and evolving market dynamics. As the city continues to expand and adapt, it is essential for current investors, developers and capital allocators to understand the opportunities and barriers for growth. The multifamily market has seen substantial fluctuations since the onset of COVID-19. Rents surged by 24.6 percent in 2021, buoyed by government interventions. However, as these supports diminished, vacancy rates rose sharply, climbing from an average of 3.4 percent in 2021 to 7.35 percent in 2023. Recent trends, however, indicate a recovery. Vacancy rates have decreased to 6.5 percent as of February, which hint that multifamily fundamentals may be regaining stability and moving toward normalized averages. The single-family housing market is another critical element influencing the overall health of Las Vegas’ economy. The market produced 160,092 single-family homes between 2003 and 2008. However, only 142,455 were built between 2009 and 2024. This slowdown has led to soaring home prices, even amid rising mortgage rates approaching 7 percent. Consequently, the growing disparity between renting and owning has created favorable conditions for rental housing demand, further solidifying the multifamily …

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— By Giovanna Abraham, Market Intelligence Analyst, Avison Young — The Las Vegas office market continues to defy broader national trends, maintaining resilience and attracting attention for its stability and growth. While many U.S. cities struggle with rising office vacancies, Las Vegas stands out for its comparatively low vacancy rate, steady rent growth and positive return-to-office trends. Despite recent increases in vacancy, Las Vegas remains well below national averages, with a vacancy rate of 15.2 percent in the third quarter — 850 basis points lower than the national availability rate of 23.7 percent. This performance reflects the unique dynamics shaping the Las Vegas office market, including a steadily growing population and the city’s appeal as a business-friendly destination. Low Vacancy Rates and a Stable MarketOffice vacancy has gradually increased over the past six quarters, but Las Vegas has also experienced a much slower rise than many larger metropolitan markets. This measured growth has allowed the city to remain competitive, with vacancies rebounding to pre-pandemic levels by late 2021 and holding steady through first-quarter 2023. After brief upticks in the first half of 2024, the vacancy rate declined again by third-quarter 2024, dropping from 15.9 percent to 15.2 percent. This resilience …

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— By Roy Fritz, First Vice President, CBRE Retail Investment Properties – West — Las Vegas’s retail investment market continues to hit the jackpot, mirroring the lucky winners that visit the city every week. The Valley remains a magnet for growth, attracting new investors who would never have considered Las Vegas in the past.  High-profile recent additions like the state-of-the-art, 70,000-seat Allegiant Stadium, Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix race, MSG Sphere and the Fontainebleau luxury resort and casino have retailers and investors drawn to the city’s bright lights as they seek out that next big win.  Major League Baseball is also making its mark in Las Vegas with the Oakland Athletics’ planned move to the city. The new stadium, set to open in 2028, will feature a 33,000-seat capacity and state-of-the-art amenities. It will also further cement Las Vegas as a premier sports and entertainment destination. This growth is supported by strong underlying fundamentals and economic diversification. The sentiment across the Valley’s business landscape is that the area has clearly transitioned from a tertiary market, which was highly dependent on Southern California capital just a few years ago, to a solid secondary market. This transformation has attracted investments from all …

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— By Amy Ogden, Partner, Industrial, LOGIC Commercial Real Estate — With the presidential election barely in our rearview mirror, many are taking a moment to assess how the outcome might impact (positively or negatively) their operations. On the one hand, this has been a resilient year for Las Vegas’ industrial market, which tracked close to 4.5 million square feet of net absorption. On the other hand, we are beginning to see a slowdown in momentum. The uncertainty of potential changes has left decision-makers hesitant, preferring to avoid any premature moves until after the holiday season.  Nevertheless, the market is far from idle. The recent rate cut of 50 basis points, along with expectations of an additional reduction at the upcoming November meeting , has set a quiet hum of activity in motion. Investors and key players are discreetly exploring opportunities, positioning themselves strategically for when the time is right to act.  Local industrial vacancy rates have also jump to about 7 percent as an influx of new deliveries come online. Vacancy rates are projected to hit double digits, considering an additional 4 million square feet is expected to deliver by year’s end. This is something we haven’t seen within …

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