Market Reports

Skypointe Office Project, Reno, Nevada

By Scott Shanks, principal, Dickson Commercial Group The Reno/Sparks office market is in a unique position: caught in the throes of a rapidly expanding commercial marketplace and aided by an ever-increasing population base. The most vibrant commercial real estate sectors in our area are industrial and multifamily, and they have been for decades. The office market is also seeing new companies, new developers and new buildings. For the first time in many years, we will see a true speculative office development begin construction this summer. McKenzie Properties will be going vertical with its Skypointe development. Tolles Development Company is in the middle of completing its Rancharrah project, which contains 64,000 square feet of retail space and 36,000 square feet of office space. Last, but certainly not least, Reno Land Inc. and its partner Lyon Living have started the first phase of their Park Lane development, a 46-acre, master-planned development that will include office, retail and multifamily. This new development shows the Reno/Sparks area is on the move, and fast. The area provides for a quality of life that is difficult to find when combining Lake Tahoe, the Sierra Nevada mountains and the Truckee River, which bifurcates the city. In comparison …

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Reno’s industrial real estate market has kept a jaw-dropping pace over the winter months. The fourth quarter of 2019 saw record-setting gross absorption numbers for any quarter at 3.34 million square feet with 10 transactions above 100,000 square feet. This amount of activity so late in 2019 typically suggests a slow start to the new year. However, activity seems to have picked up steam, as many users are considering new growth in Reno/Sparks. As a whole, 2019 was a fruitful year for industrial real estate. The market continues to draw attention for its West Coast distribution fundamentals and pro-business environment from tenants, developers and investors. Developers constructed 3.5 million square feet of industrial product, split almost equally between speculative and build-to-suit construction. About 17 million square feet of our 90-million-square-foot market changed hands at market-low cap rates to industrial investment groups. This included many groups that were new to the market, as well as several existing groups doubling down in Northern Nevada. Inventory remains the primary concern for tenants and developers as we come into 2020. With some minor caveats, new construction is getting absorbed as quickly as it is brought to the market. Given the strong start to 2020, …

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From 2009 through 2015, Las Vegas renters were afforded the luxury of renting many of the high-rise condominiums around the Strip and Downtown Las Vegas. This was due to the massive amount of short sales and foreclosures during that time. There were about 7,876 condo units completed between 2006 and 2009. Shortly after the crash, these developments shifted to luxury rentals. During 2011, we tracked 785 condos that were rented with an average of $1.31 per square foot, or $1,838 per month. During that same time, we tracked sales prices of these high condos at an average of $154 per square foot, or $239,411 per unit. We also tracked 904 sales during 2011 that typically involved investors putting their inventory back into the “shadow inventory.” Fast forward to 2015, and resales of this same inventory were trading at an average of $238 per square foot. Rents of this inventory were at $1.45 per square foot, or $2,000 per month. The higher-end buildings like Mandarin Oriental (now Waldorf Astoria) were at $2.70 per square foot. The trend continues to today as sales prices continue to rise. Rents continue to go up and no new for-sale inventory is being delivered. Most of …

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There are no guarantees in commercial real estate. For commercial real estate owners, developers and investors, however, betting on the continued strength of the Las Vegas marketplace has been as close to a sure thing as it gets in recent years. The Vegas commercial market is as strong as it’s ever been as we head into 2020. Delivery on new projects is up 800,000 square feet over 2018. About 1.2 million square feet of retail space will have been added to the market by year’s end, while retail rental rates are up 4.6 percent in 2019. What’s really exciting isn’t just the top-line numbers, but the evolving nature of a market that is becoming more diverse. Las Vegas is preserving its gaming and entertainment dynamism while introducing more robust retail and mixed-use elements that expand well beyond the iconic Strip. Consequently, Vegas market performance isn’t just strong, it’s sustainable. A market overview reveals some of those reasons for optimism, as well as a deeper understanding of what’s driving that commercial real estate evolution. It never hurts to be the entertainment capital of the world, and there’s no doubt that gaming, hospitality and entertainment remain the foundation of the city’s appeal. …

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Once a bedroom community largely overshadowed by its Las Vegas neighbor, the City of Henderson is thriving. With a population of more than 300,000, Henderson recently surpassed Reno to become the second-largest city in Nevada. Henderson’s employment rates have been steadily rising, according to the city’s latest economic update. The city’s employment was at 144,000 last year and has risen to 153,800 in 2019. Henderson accounted for about 11 percent of all jobs in the Las Vegas Valley in 2018, according to labor market analytics company Emsi. Company leaders are also seeing the competitive advantage of growing a presence in Henderson. This has spurred relocations and start-ups in the area. Vinotemp, a leading wine storage solutions and appliance provider, recently relocated its Southern California headquarters to Henderson. The company’s new headquarters is more than 118,000 square feet, making Vinotemp the largest wine cabinet and cooling solutions provider in the nation. A major element in the high cost of doing business in California is the cost of operating in an office space. There is a stark contrast in the price per square foot for office spaces when comparing Southern California and Henderson. For example, the average per square foot for office …

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Northern Nevada’s industrial market remains strong with more than 3.2 million square feet of new speculative space under construction and slated for delivery in 2020. These new projects will push the market well above the 90-million-square-footmark. The vacancy rate is a low 5.56 percent and continues to trend slightly upward. There have been some significant lease transactions in the market. Prologis is building a 598,901-square-foot facility for Makita Tools; Scannell just finished a 200,200-square-foot built-to-suit facility for OnTrac; and 1A Auto recently leased 149,196 square feet at 9175 Moya Blvd. All of these transactions occurred in the North Valleys submarket. The new 270,975-square-foot Longley Commerce Center by Panattoni leased up a majority of its space in the third quarter. This project is a mix of flex and bulk spaces, and is the last viable industrial development in the South Meadows submarket. Polaris completed its 514,555-square-foot BTS in Fernley in the second quarter, while a confidential user just leased 266,000 square feet in the I-80 East submarket. There have also been some significant portfolio sales to institutional buyers. The 1.4-million-square-foot Lear Industrial Center is slated to trade hands in the fourth quarter. Northwestern Mutual sold its 1,776,805-square-foot portfolio to Link Industrial …

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If you try to find an apartment in Reno you’ll quickly realize this isn’t necessarily an easy task. Reno has experienced more than 8 percent rent growth year over year for the past four years. Average rents in the third quarter were $1,174 per month with vacancy at 4.5 percent, according to CoStar. These escalating numbers are due to employment. The Reno-Sparks MSA has grown by 59,700 jobs in the past 10 years, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Tesla Gigafactory was just the beginning. Google, Apple and Switch are among others that have moved in, bringing thousands of jobs with them. Businesses still like the friendly tax environment, clean air and high quality of life. But while we were adding all those jobs, the number of apartment units added during that time was just 3,802, CoStar notes. Look around and you will see apartment construction everywhere in Reno. Most is on the outskirts of town where larger land parcels are still available. This includes Sparks, Lemmon Valley, Spanish Springs and South Reno. A few more central infill sites are making headlines. Park Lane by Reno Land Inc. is in the process of adding 1,700 units in the …

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The industrial market’s direct vacancy in greater Reno increased by 80 basis points to 4.53 percent at the end of the third quarter of 2018. It was carried by 715,821 square feet of positive net absorption, a relatively below average figure, as well as by an increase in new deliveries. Notwithstanding, pending transactions currently underway in the fourth quarter should mitigate the increase in the market’s overall vacancy. Tenant demand in the third quarter was robust for spaces with less than 50,000 square feet. Transactions that involved Class A space accounted for 84 percent of the total gross absorption. The North Valley was the best performer of all the submarkets, resulting in a 35 percent decrease in availability. The I-80/East submarket, however, recorded a substantially negative quarter due to deliveries/new availability pushing the vacancy to 12 percent. Sublease availability was static for yet another quarter, which demonstrates stability in the market. The average transaction size in Reno decreased slightly to 53,195 square feet. Heading into the fourth quarter, the market witnessed an increase in inquiries and tours involving more than 200,000 square feet. This gave existing landlords confidence that vacancies and new deliveries will be leased in the short term. …

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It’s starting to feel like the 1970s all over again in Reno’s multifamily market. This is particularly true in terms of occupancy. A recent report from RealPage noted the current market’s eye-popping 97.3 percent multifamily occupancy level. This figure was only eclipsed once, nearly four decades ago, at a double eye-popping 97.9 percent when the region experienced a spike in new jobs. Reno’s total job count continues to grow at a record pace, fueling a nearly full apartment market. But, of course, the housing and job markets in Reno are both much larger than they were in the ‘70s, though there are similarities. In fact, current market conditions bring to mind the ages-old adage, “Those who fail to heed the lessons of the past are condemned to repeat them.” Developers cannot build multifamily units fast enough to sate demand. New residents arriving for new jobs cannot easily find an apartment, and those who do may have to pay a higher-than-expected rental rate. Consider this from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Reno’s economy expanded during the four years ending in May 2018 (the latest statistics available from the Bureau) by a steady 4.2 percent. This was an enviable gain for …

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The northern Nevada office market is picking up steam, despite still lagging behind the robust growth taking place in the industrial and multifamily sectors. Year-to-date net absorption of 136,607 square feet has brought overall market vacancy rates down to 10.1 percent. Rates are well below that in the more desirable office submarkets. South Reno, once plagued with vacancy rates exceeding 30 percent during the downturn, now hovers at a rate of 6.3 percent. Downtown vacancy rates currently sit at 7.9 percent with no new supply on the horizon. In fact, no significant office property has been built in downtown Reno since 1981. Reno is a market in need of new office supply; however, new office construction is challenging to build on a speculative basis except in the most amenity-rich locations that offer visibility and accessibility. The lack of incoming supply and rising demand has caused office lease rates to increase. Rates have generally remained stable over the past few years with the exception of Class A office lease rates, which have climbed steadily over the past 12 months. There is a gap between existing Class A office lease rates, which range from $2 per square foot to $2.50 per square …

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