The Capital Region continues to experience low vacancy rates across the industrial sector. The region’s growth over the last decade has primarily been driven by multibillion-dollar investments by GlobalFoundries, a semiconductor foundry, and State University of New York Polytechnic Institute (known as SUNY Poly). With limited new construction and virtually no spec-built facilities, the rates on existing spaces have finally experienced some rental appreciation after remaining relatively flat over the decade from 2005 to 2015. For the most part, the region has seen existing tenants shifting to new locations within the marketplace as opposed to companies entering to the marketplace for the first time. Generally, new entrants to the market that have some technology component to their business are locating at the SUNY Poly campus or related facilities. One of the most notable recent transactions was the $57 million sale of The Beltrone Portfolio to The Rosenblum Companies. The portfolio totaled 23 buildings made up of a mix of office and industrial properties. The industrial assets included 10 buildings that would be classified as Class A and B product. Historically the entire portfolio maintained a low vacancy status and at the time of sale it was approximately 5 percent vacant. …
Market Reports
New York City’s retail outlook is sunny, as steady labor market expansion — bolstered by substantial Fortune 500 hiring — has spurred retailer demand for existing and new spaces in all five boroughs. Strong retail property performance in the City That Never Sleeps has supported continued rent and price growth, which will result in higher sales velocity over the short- and mid-terms. Employment Gains, Tourism Underlie Performance During the first six months of 2016, New York City employers created 33,600 new jobs. This pronounced job growth, which has been characteristic of the current cycle, reduced the unemployment rate to 5 percent by the end of the first quarter. This is the lowest rate unemployment rate the city has seen since November 2007. By the end of the year, area employers will add 90,000 workers, with the education and health services and professional and business services sectors projected to post the greatest increases. The leisure and hospitality sector will also contribute significantly to employment gains this year, as greater tourism spending prompts organizations in the sector to ramp up hiring. Another important indicator of NYC’s economic health is strong retail sales, which represent one of the best paces of retail spending …
Although it would appear that retail landlords in New York City are reaping the benefit of high rents — and many are, if they bought at the right time — demand has declined and leasing velocity has slowed, mostly due to inflated landlord expectations, tenant hesitancy and increased supply from tenant defaults. Yes, the Manhattan retail leasing market has softened, but not enough to significantly reduce historically high asking rents. For example, the fourth quarter of 2015 saw ground-floor average asking rent decreasing in the majority of the major corridors over the second quarter 2015. Fifth Avenue, from 49th to 59th, saw an 8 percent decrease; Madison, from 57th to 72nd, saw a 5 percent decrease; West 34th Street, from Fifth to Seventh avenues, saw a 16 percent decrease; and Broadway, from Houston to Broome, saw a 15 percent decrease. The corridors which saw rent increases were modest compared to the rises we saw in early 2015 and 2014. While this is in part due to increasing supply, an adjustment in landlord expectations is having the greatest impact. High rates of default and eviction have plagued New York City for years, mostly due to inexperienced tenants relying on unrealistic revenue …
In the Capital Region, an industrial/warehouse market with a little over 63 million square feet of space (spread over a 10-county area), vacancy rates have returned to pre-recession levels. It has been a long and steady climb out of a deep recessionary market, which hit this sector of the market the hardest during 2009. During that time, vacancy rates were hovering around the 11 percent mark. In the second quarter of this year, the regional vacancy rate stood at 7.3 percent. Compare this figure to the fourth quarter of 2014, when the vacancy rate was 8.9 percent. As a region, we are again enjoying the absorption of industrial space, as some regional operators expand and some new faces enter the market. We are constantly examining and reviewing the market to understand the current activity, and to anticipate and prepare for the coming trends and changes. So what has lead to the Capital District’s industrial/warehouse market recovery? Several factors are responsible. First and foremost, the overall recovery of both the national and local economies has played a significant role in our industrial recovery. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the unemployment rate in the United States stood at 5.3 percent …
New York City’s multifamily market in the second quarter of 2015 was able to continue the momentum of 2015’s first quarter and generate an impressive $3.30 billion in gross consideration. The quarter also saw 364 properties trade over 225 transactions, which is a 33 percent increase in transaction volume compared to the same quarter last year. Boosting significant growth, both Brooklyn and Manhattan saw a number of institutional and portfolio deals again this quarter. Of the trades in Manhattan, the top 10 percent made up approximately 73 percent of Manhattans dollar volume and four of the five largest multifamily transactions to occur in NYC happened in Brooklyn, which contributed to both submarkets ending the quarter with dollar volumes above $1 billion for the second time in as many quarters. Pricing throughout the city continues to evolve by most measures. Gross rent multiples have increased by 1.4 year-over-year and the average price per square foot in Manhattan has eclipsed $900. Compared to last year, average capitalization rates were down 60 basis points in The Bronx, and are down in Brooklyn and Northern Manhattan. These are the signs of solid fundamentals in the market. Institutional caliber multifamily deals had a big second …
The total retail inventory in the Rochester market amounts to 62.5 million square feet. Over the past year, the market has seen an overall decrease in the vacancy rate. The vacancy rate went from 8.0 percent in first quarter 2015 to 7.9 percent in the current quarter. Overall net absorption was positive 182,160 square feet. The general retail sector of the market, which includes all freestanding retail buildings except those contained within a center, reported a vacancy of 4.3 percent at the end of the second quarter 2015. The general retail space in Rochester is 34.3 million square feet. Average rental rates are currently at $12.26 per square foot. The shopping center sector — which consists of 19 million square feet and comprises community centers, neighborhood centers and strip centers — posted 10.9 percent total vacancy and average asking rates of $10.28 in second quarter 2015. Power center space is currently reported to be nearly 4 million square feet with a vacancy rate of 7.5 percent, and a slight decrease in rental rates to $13.46 per square foot. Malls in the Rochester market consist of lifestyle centers, regional malls and super-regional malls. The vacancy rate was 21.2 percent at the …
New York City is booming. The local economy is the strongest it has ever been, with total employment numbers reaching all-time highs totaling over 4.2 million jobs through May 2015. This has led to a strong office market performance during the first six months of 2015, as office-using employment continues to grow, up 2.5 percent over the past 12 months. Demand for space continues to keep availability below 10 percent, and at 9.6 percent, Manhattan availability is down 50 basis points from last year. Despite minimal increases in Manhattan overall asking rents, up only 2.9 percent year-over-year through June, some submarkets are exceeding previous record-high asking rents from 2008. The demand from creative and tech tenants looking for space in Midtown South over the past few years has pushed asking rents up 19.1 percent above all-time highs. Downtown overall average asking rents have reached historical highs this year as well, and at $57.78 per square foot, rents are 10.3 percent higher than the previous highs in 2008. Most of this increase can be attributed to new construction at the World Trade Center site. Despite this, Midtown overall asking rents are still 5.3 percent off historical highs from 2008. Throughout Midtown, …
Seven years after the worst recession this country has seen since the Great Depression, New York City is riding high again. Manhattan has emerged as a vital center for global retail activity where we continue to see dynamic growth — driven by its economic fundamentals, urban migration, and its cultural and lifestyle attractions. Gone are the days when suburban expansion sounded the death knell for high street retail. Since 2010, in the near-aftermath of the economic collapse and for the first time in decades, urban cores are growing at a faster rate than their suburban counterparts. Eighty percent of Americans now live in urban areas, and retailers and property owners in New York City and around the world are scrambling to adapt. Millennials represent 24 percent of the overall U.S. population and are leading this urban charge. They want to live close to work. They’re driven by technology — and they demand an omni-channel retail experience that integrates smartphone and tablet use with a personalized, service-oriented, in-store approach. And importantly, it’s estimated they will represent nearly 30 percent of U.S. retail spending — the total of which was $4.6 trillion this year — by 2020. Manhattan also continues to benefit …
Job growth in New York City is expected to reach a new high in 2015 with the addition of 92,500 jobs. This spike in employment will bode well for retail owners. Drawn by the strong economy, several retailers are expanding in the city, including Lowe’s, which already has two locations in Brooklyn and one in Queens. In the second half of 2015, Lowe’s will open its first two stores in Manhattan. Apple plans to open shop in Brooklyn; they’ve signed a long-term lease for a 20,000-square-foot store at 247 Bedford Avenue at the corner of North Third Street in Williamsburg. As retailers ramp up their presence in the five boroughs, the vacancy rate is going to reach a new multi-year low. Vacancy for retail properties in 2015 will fall to 3.9 percent on net absorption in excess of 2.8 million square feet. Tightening vacancy will allow for operators to increase asking rents for the fourth consecutive year and will encourage builders to start new projects. Currently, builders are on track to deliver 2.5 million square feet of retail space in 2015, increasing stock by 1.2 percent. The most notable project scheduled for delivery is the Westfield World Trade Center, a …
New York City multifamily has historically been a darling of the real estate industry — and for good reason. It is arguably the most sought-after investment product type within commercial real estate investment’s most targeted city. It is the perfect demographic storm on the demand side: two-thirds of the population rent versus own; the population is arguably the best educated and includes the highest income generators in the nation; and the market continues to exhibit vast growth in household creation and population. Not to mention, the supply side is both geographically and politically constrained. These limitations are further exacerbated by very high costs to build. However, even with the dual push of supply and demand continuing to be in investors’ favor citywide, there are some areas that are softening. Two areas that seem to be softening are luxury condominiums in Manhattan and rental product in Long Island City (Queens) and the downtown Brooklyn area. Manhattan Luxury Condo Sales Slowing Manhattan is often a trendsetter that is months and years ahead of the rest of the country when it comes to real estate trends, and the return of the luxury condominium market is a prime example of this. Some 2,500 units were …