The Raleigh-Durham commercial real estate market continues to be one of growth and perseverance despite the global pandemic. Its economy is rich with an array of industries, healthcare and university systems that support population growth and expansion. Commercial real estate is experiencing its own challenges and opportunities through this pandemic, including one of the most talked about asset classes, office. The sector is the subject of the big “pause” discussion as there’s uncertainty going forward. Despite the lack of commitment to many significant leases, the office market’s fundamentals have remained stable in Raleigh-Durham. Rates are holding steady with an average Class A rental rate of $29.59 per square foot. Vacancy and absorption are maintaining competitive levels, allowing market rates to hold somewhat steady. Over the last year, activity reflected these trends as many landlords negotiated short-term renewals without rate increases. If the leasing trend continues this year, renewals and space consolidation will possibly lead to a reduction in rental rates. One of the key driving forces of office product in Raleigh-Durham stems from the life sciences industry. The market is currently ranked No. 5 among life sciences markets in the United States, according to CBRE’s annual report. The life sciences …
Market Reports
Northwood Office is Adapting and Expanding 535-Acre Ballantyne Office Campus for a Post-COVID-19 World
by John Nelson
As one of the largest owners and operators of office space in the Charlotte market, Northwood Office is focusing on what office users want — safety, quality, productivity, flexibility and a sense of community. The firm’s largest asset is Ballantyne, a 535-acre campus featuring 4.4 million square feet of Class A office space situated in the heart of a 2,000-acre community. Ballantyne is home to 17,000 employees and 300 companies. While the COVID-19 pandemic has shifted the landscape for office space, Ballantyne is well-positioned to deliver what employers need in the current environment. “The benefit of working close to home is more appealing than ever, and Ballantyne’s location near the Carolinas border and public transportation options make it accessible for everyone,” says John Barton, president of Northwood Office. “However, Ballantyne’s hallmark is its abundant open space. Always our differentiator, its value takes on a whole new level in a post-pandemic world.” Northwood Office’s priority is the safety and well-being of its customers and team members while also maintaining its buildings at the highest level. The company assembled a task force to prepare and adapt for a phased re-entry to office buildings. New operational procedures underway include ample signage instituting social …
The COVID-19 outbreak had a tremendous impact on retail across the country, and Charlotte was no exception. As stores were forced to close, business owners had to devise creative ways to operate during the pandemic. Rent deferral, Paycheck Protection Program funds, layoffs and furloughs were some of the ways owners addressed cash flow. Many restaurants faced questions regarding takeout, delivery service, menu adjustments, table spacing and employee safety. Enhanced cleaning procedures, payment procedures, marketing adjustments and general overall operations were other issues facing many restaurants and retailers. Restaurants with drive-thrus and takeout, as well as ones capable of adding “COVID-19-friendly” delivery options, were able to remain open, albeit with decreased sales volume. Despite all efforts, the trickle-down effect will likely cause several restaurants and retailers to permanently close and not survive this downturn at all. As Phase I and II of North Carolina’s economic reopening went into effect and additional stores began to reopen in some capacity, retailers began to adapt to new ways to operate with safety protocols in place. As a result, more discounts and flash sales were offered, and curbside pick-up became a prevalent way to shop. The next six months should reveal how the COVID-19 pandemic …
Like many Southeastern markets, the Charlotte industrial market largely hit the pause button from mid-March until June due to COVID-19. While the impacts of the health crisis remain fluid, the market is showing some signs of life, and trends that have long been at play are not likely to be reversed. For the past 90 days, the market has seen a significant drop in leasing and sales activity. The market was a bit sluggish in 2019, but experienced good activity in the first quarter prior to area shutdowns. Asking rents rose 5 percent year-over-year to $4.81 per square foot as new space is being added to the market at a higher price point. That rental rate is a record high for the Charlotte warehouse and distribution market. Most of the recent growth has occurred in the Cabarrus County, Stateline and Airport/West submarkets. Developers continue to fill demand for modern e-commerce, third-party logistics and general distribution space. Additional deliveries will keep upward pressure on vacancy in the near-term, but overall conditions should remain healthy thanks to strong economic tailwinds and Charlotte’s proximity to key East Coast transportation corridors and population centers. Absorption declined significantly over the past 12 months, from 5.3 …
The Charlotte industrial market continues to see strong construction activity, as developers look to tap into demand for modern space. Approximately 12.7 million square feet has been delivered in the last two years, most notably in the Cabarrus County, Stateline and Airport/West submarkets. Overall construction in the pipeline jumped by 32 percent from third-quarter 2019 to fourth-quarter 2019, reaching 7.2 million square feet. As the first quarter of 2020 takes shape, this development expansion should continue, with an expected 7 million square feet of additional deliveries by year-end. Overall leasing activity in Cabarrus County was strong in 2019, with vacancy declining from 15 percent to 11 percent, which is notable given the 4 million square feet of construction seen in that submarket in the past two years. The Cabarrus County vacancy rate is set to decline significantly when two large deals, totaling more than 800,000 square feet, are factored into the statistics. Once Pactiv (441,000 square feet) and Reynolds (360,000 square feet) are incorporated into the research, the rate will decline to 5.7 percent, as we expected going into year-end. This activity will quickly tighten up the submarket and will open the door for new development. The recent high vacancy …
In Raleigh-Durham, there is approximately 58 million square feet of retail space with year-end vacancy at 4 percent. The consistently low vacancy has helped drive rental rates up to an average of $22 per square foot. The Raleigh area had approximately 460,000 square feet of retail space constructed in 2019 that was more than 80 percent preleased. The largest projects included the completion of Midtown East in the Wake Forest/Falls of Neuse Road submarket, which heralded the arrival of North Carolina’s first Wegmans store. This also marks Wegmans’ 100th U.S. store and set an opening day record with more than 30,000 shoppers. Wegmans expects to open five additional stores in the Triangle, including locations in Holly Springs, Wake Forest, Chapel Hill and two stores in Cary. Another large project was the new Publix supermarket that opened recently at Leesville Market near Interstate 540. And according to some sources, Hobby Lobby will be moving into the space formerly occupied by Toys ‘R’ Us in the Cary Crossroads Plaza. In Durham, Chapel Hill-based developer Beacon Properties Group is building a project called Oakridge directly off US 15-501. Tentative plans for the 108-acre property include a walkable mixed-use village with residential units, office …
The Raleigh-Durham region’s strong job growth is fueling sustained demand from tenants, keeping the office market firmly in favor of landlords despite a notable increase in construction activity in recent months. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the region added 24,200 nonfarm payroll jobs between October 2018 and October 2019 for a growth rate of 2.5 percent. Unemployment rose slightly from 3 percent to just 3.1 percent during this time as nearly 36,000 people entered the local labor force. Raleigh-Durham continued to witness economic development wins in 2019 as well. Major job announcements came from office-using tenants such as Xerox (600 jobs), Q2 Solutions (700 jobs), Parexel (260 jobs), AmeriHealth Caritas (300 jobs) and HZO (500 jobs). In its recently published Emerging Trends in Real Estate report, the Urban Land Institute and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) named Raleigh-Durham as the No. 2 market in the United States to watch for overall real estate prospects in 2020. The region’s quality of life, robust population and job growth and highly educated workforce are supporting sustained business expansion and healthy leasing fundamentals across all asset classes. Raleigh-Durham’s office market continues to experience the most landlord-favorable conditions since the dot-com boom in the late 1990s. …
Today, the Triangle market is booming. The once sleepy Raleigh and Durham central business districts have been transformed with development pipelines exceeding $2.5 billion. Since 2009, Kane Realty’s North Hills, which has become our standard bearer for suburban mixed-use planning, has delivered an additional 1,100 multifamily units, 120,000 square feet of retail, 501 hotel keys and 1.1 million square feet of office space that is achieving top rental rates for the market. And there are more uses coming. There are 10 exciting mixed-use projects under construction as the Triangle continues to take amenities to the next level and increase its competitiveness. Multiple demand drivers The Triangle still feels like it’s in earlier innings with durable growth potential as evidenced by: • Explosive In-migration: 52 percent population growth since 2001, or 3.7 times the national average. • Balanced, Recession Resistant Factors: The market is a top 10 life sciences clusters and includes the largest research park in the United States with Research Triangle Park (RTP). Raleigh-Durham also has well-regarded university and hospital systems and state capital. • Highly Educated Workforce: There are more than 80,000 students enrolled at University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Duke University and North Carolina State …
The momentum of the Charlotte office market continued in the first quarter of 2019, as office rents rose for an eighth consecutive quarter and the city notched a major economic development win with the announcement that BB&T and SunTrust would merge, creating a new bank that will be headquartered in Charlotte. The news came on the heels of announcements late last year that Honeywell plans to relocate its corporate headquarters to the city and that LendingTree would expand its headquarters, creating 436 jobs over five years. The city’s economic strength has been fueled by a growing labor market that was led by the tech sector in 2018. Last fall, CompTIA’s 2018 Tech Town Index found that Charlotte is the No. 1 city for information technology workers when it comes to job opportunity and cost of living. At the time of the report, more than 44,000 IT jobs had been posted in Charlotte over the previous 12 months. That number is projected to grow by 11 percent over the next five years as Bank of America Corp., Wells Fargo & Co. and Ally Financial look to fill IT jobs at all levels. Office rental rates in Charlotte increased by 6.5 percent …
Charlotte has been in expansion mode for several years, due to population growth, excellent logistics infrastructure, low operating costs and low unionization rates. At the mid-point of 2019, the market continues to expand at a healthy rate and is growing outward into Cabarrus, York and Gaston counties. This expansion follows a strong 12-month period ending first-quarter 2019 when nearly 6 million square feet of new product was delivered. Now encompassing 322 million square feet of space, Charlotte is the second largest industrial market in the Southeast. Charlotte’s accessible location and low cost of doing business is attracting many e-commerce and logistics providers, as well as more traditional industrial businesses looking to expand or realign their space requirements. One common theme is consolidation of business units, which has been a significant benefit to the Charlotte market. Among the examples are J.J. Haines & Co. consolidating its Carolina warehousing operations from several Carolinas locations into a 500,000-square-foot distribution center in Cabarrus County and Staples consolidating from multiple Charlotte facilities into a 600,000-square-foot logistics center in south Charlotte. Driven by available land and access to key transportation routes, a look at the market’s growth patterns shows that development and leasing are extending up …