The question today for office tenants and investors is not why Raleigh-Durham, but why not. The Raleigh-Durham market is defined by continued job growth and a thriving technology sector. The Triangle is enjoying significant rent growth, strong absorption and major construction that now has a Downtown Raleigh and a Downtown Durham. Raleigh-Durham’s overall growth continues and was recently ranked No. 1 in the Southeast in projected population growth, posting a 10.3 percent growth rate from 2017 to 2022. This figure is nearly double the 5.5 percent average growth rate for Southeastern cities. Job growth is the primary driver of the region’s expanding presence with over 30,000 jobs added in 2018 through the first half of the year, already surpassing the 24,000 jobs added in all of 2017. Over the last year, we have seen Infosys (2,000), Credit Suisse (1,200), LabCorp (400) and Ipreo (250) announce major job additions to the area. Most recently, Amazon announced 1,500 jobs that will be required for its new fulfillment center. The tech sector is a major contributor to those jobs, and there is a lot of talk about a well-known e-commerce giant and a major technology giant bringing a significant presence to our market. …
Market Reports
Companies looking to attract and retain talent are now offering top amenities, a modern office space and a healthy work environment with a sense of community. Employees are a company’s most vital asset, and firms are willing to pay a higher rate for office space if it provides a place that employees want to work. One of the trends this year in commercial office space is enhancing the work environment. According to a recent Pew Research Center analysis, millennials have become the largest generation in the U.S. workforce. To attract today’s workers, office users must offer an overabundance of amenities. Companies are now providing gaming lounges that include video games, foosball, air hockey and darts. They are also offering napping rooms, coffee shops with baristas and even onsite bars with wine and craft beer on tap. This type of atmosphere enhances employee interaction and provides the employee a place to relax while at work. Technology allows employees to be more efficient, but it will never replace the connection that happens with face-to-face conversations. Companies are looking to create an atmosphere where employees can collaborate throughout the workday, which in turn has a positive effect on worker productivity. The key to …
Several Carolinas markets continue to top national lists for job and population growth, particularly Charlotte and the Triangle. The quality of living and strong fundamentals draw both millennial renters and empty nesters, with no slowdown in demand in sight. In turn, capital continues to pour into the region’s multifamily sector as investors chase higher yields and lower supply pressure while cap rates linger near historical lows. Multifamily Momentum With the record-setting pace of single-family pricing in these markets, renting remains a more attractive option. Developers are responding accordingly and now build product squarely aimed at specific renter demographics. Specifically, developers have raised the level of quality and amenities in the suburban product similar to that of the urban infill movement earlier in the cycle. Strong demographics in these locations produce a renter accustomed to a high level of quality in the unit interiors while also placing value on the convenience and quality of onsite amenities. That’s because empty-nesters are challenging a singular focus on millennials. To many developers’ surprise, the active-adult demographic has shown up to rent much of the luxury product in both the urban core and suburban locations. Steady Inventory Most data providers that track new supply do …
As demand for e-commerce and corporate distribution space continues to drive supply chain expansion in the Southeast, many developers are designing facilities to accommodate the truck-dependent, labor-driven operations present today and for the near-term. While robotics and automated vehicles are exciting to dream about, the reality is that these innovations are not expected to impact industrial building design any time soon in the Southeast. Modern industrial buildings that can support heavier than average employee parking needs while also providing abundant trailer storage are the standard for new projects. At the same time, these buildings need to support advanced technology, automation and extensive stacking and sorting operations. By building with an eye toward long-term tenant needs, developers are working to differentiate themselves in this highly competitive environment. These trends are particularly apparent in the Charlotte market, where developers have added 4.5 million square feet of industrial space over the past year. With a 5.3 percent vacancy rate in the first quarter of 2018, the market is well positioned to absorb the additional 4.7 million square feet of projects in the pipeline. Of that total, 62 percent is either preleased or set to be owner-occupied. Modern Design Demands At the core of …
Solid fundamentals in tandem with soaring population growth in the Triangle market continues to drive rents and occupancy to record highs. Raleigh is repeatedly recognized as one of the nation’s best places to live, work and start a business. As a result, the market has a projected population growth of over 73 percent through the year 2044, outpacing cities such as Boston, Atlanta, Nashville and San Francisco, creating a snowball effect of investment and interest. Investors are finding the greatest opportunities in the value-add space in Raleigh for B and C-class product. Significant shortage of single-family home availability in the Triangle region has forced young and new families to turn to multifamily properties as a housing solution. Due to the demand for mid-size accommodation within middle-class budgets, and very few neighborhoods in that criteria, Class B and C apartments have seen a surge in interest, and in turn, attraction of investor attention. Of the 84 multifamily properties sold through Dec. 1 in 2017, 75 were considered Class B or C and totaled over $1.3 billion, or 76 percent of total Raleigh-Durham multifamily market investment in that time frame. Developers have slightly overbuilt Class A property downtown, resulting in a softening …
The Triangle continues to attract national attention due to job growth, relatively low cost of living, economic diversity, a central East Coast location and its access to three world-class universities. Additionally, the Triangle’s unemployment rates are below the state and national averages. These are some of the driving forces that bring nearly 80 residents a day to the metro area, as recently published by U.S. News & World Report. Triangle retailers, developers and investors are taking advantage of this momentum, and the local retail market is thriving as a result. At the conclusion of third-quarter 2017, the Triangle retail vacancy was 6.7 percent. This represents a 60-basis point increase year-over-year. However, there was over 340,000 square feet of positive net absorption during the same quarter. This stat marks the highest quarter of positive absorption for the market since the second quarter of 2014. There were several notable retail deliveries in 2017, such as Carolina Square, containing nearly 50,000 square feet of ground floor retail space. The mixed-use project is located along Franklin Street in Chapel Hill and is a joint venture between Cousins Properties and Northwood Ravin. The retail portion of Carolina Square delivered 84 percent preleased and is anchored …
Eight years into the recovery, Raleigh-Durham’s office market conditions remain decidedly in favor of landlords, but increased construction following years of limited development activity is at last providing much needed new leasing opportunities for tenants. While a combination of factors, including new construction, drove office vacancy higher by the second half of 2017, the market began the year with the tightest Class A leasing market witnessed since the dot-com boom. Class A vacancy bottomed out in the first quarter of 2017 at 9.1 percent, down from a cyclical peak of 17.6 percent in the third quarter of 2009, and the lowest level since fourth-quarter 2000. Class A vacancy rose to 11 percent in the third quarter of 2017 as a wave of new deliveries hit the market. Total vacancy ended the third quarter at 13.5 percent, up 70 basis points year-over-year. It is worth noting that this figure includes a handful of large, formerly corporate-owned facilities in the Interstate 40/Research Triangle Park (RTP) submarket. Originally constructed for single tenants such as GlaxoSmithKline, Dupont and Reichold, these facilities are likely to need substantial retrofitting to achieve lease-up. While they are certainly a factor in the market, they are not an option …
The Raleigh-Durham industrial and flex market, totaling approximately 129 million square feet, continues to be strong with overall positive absorption. Vacancy is trending lower, making the region a landlord and seller’s market. With increasing construction costs, lower vacancy and solid demand, the rental rates and sales prices are now the highest of any city in North Carolina. Available industrial land is diminishing for development in high-demand areas, and that typically signifies a significant barrier to entry for developers helping keep supply in check. The rental rate for new industrial product is currently in the mid-$5.00 per square foot range and trending higher. Some developers and brokers speculate the Triangle may become a $6.00-plus per square foot market for institutional-grade warehouse space. However, when comparing rental rates to markets like Austin and Boston, Raleigh-Durham is still a very competitive option. Ground zero for the region’s warehouse market is in the general vicinity of Raleigh-Durham International Airport. Most of these distributors are delivering to the local market and need the central location and access to Interstate 40. The highest rates and prices can be found in this submarket and then start to decrease further out. Due to the lack of available land …
It’s impossible to ignore the ongoing boom of new commercial real estate development in downtown Charlotte. Get a glimpse of the skyline from the Interstate 277 loop and you can see the already-present structures standing tall among the handful of cranes and half-completed construction filling in the gaps. More than a dozen projects are currently underway in Center City, with more expected during the next 12 to 18 months. New and Improved Recently opened towers, like 300 South Tryon and 615 South College, have attracted major corporate relocations to downtown CBD, including Regions Bank and Sitehands. Ally Bank just announced its 400,000-square foot move to Ally Charlotte Center, and Crescent Communities just kicked off development of a new tower in the burgeoning Stonewall corridor for a 2020 completion date. Companies seeking the top-of-market space in the city’s newest downtown office developments want to have a presence in the heart of Charlotte’s energy. There, they can recruit elite talent and build their brand. Of course, that presence comes with the highest rental rates and parking costs, in addition to elevated tenant-buildout budgets in a market where construction costs continue to rise. At the other end of the spectrum, some are finding …
The housing market remains hot in Charlotte with sustained growth in both sales activity and sales price. Affordable prices, a strong market and robust salaries are driving first-time buyers to take the plunge and purchase their first home and there’s no better place to live in Charlotte than in the 28277 zip code, otherwise known as Ballantyne. The Ballantyne area is nationally known for not only a place to work with more than 5 million square feet of Class A office space, but also a desirable place to live with housing opportunities ranging from $145,000 to over $4 million. The 28277 zip code has top-rated schools, an abundance of restaurant and shopping options, private and public golf courses, and the area’s only Four-Star recognized hotel, spa and restaurant. The office sector remains hot with continued employment growth attributing to falling vacancy rates, new construction and rising rents. Charlotte has an overall vacancy rate of 10.4 percent and the overall weighted average asking rent for Class A space in Charlotte is $25.98 per square foot. There is currently over 2.3 million square feet of office product under construction in Charlotte and close to 7 million square feet planned or proposed. The …