Market Reports

By George Pofok, Cushman & Wakefield | CRESCO Real Estate The Northeast Ohio market has consistently been a stable industrial hub, and over the last couple years, has been attracting the interest of investors and developers from other regions. Spanning approximately 527 million square feet, this market stretches from Cleveland down I-77 to include Akron-Canton.  In the second quarter of 2024, the overall vacancy rate decreased to 2.8 percent, driven by 1.1 million square feet of positive direct absorption, a strong recovery from the negative absorption in the first quarter. Over the past few years, the vacancy rate has remained between 2.4 and 3 percent.  Leasing activity kicked off the year robustly, with 4 million square feet of leases in the first quarter. However, it normalized in the second quarter, with 1.6 million square feet leased, which was slightly below the usual pace. The market is expected to remain stagnant due to limited inventory and a lack of new speculative construction starts, which continue to hinder demand from local and regional tenants seeking to expand and backfill spaces.  Leasing deals are trending longer, between five to 10 years, with annual rental rate increases averaging 3 to 4 percent. Meanwhile, the …

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By Donald Lydon, Avison Young Cleveland offers a mix of hurdles and opportunities across its industrial, office and multifamily sectors. With limited speculative construction, landlords are poised to leverage rental increases. Meanwhile, developers eyeing Cleveland should anticipate longer lead times for new projects, navigating through municipal regulations and land availability challenges.  This nuanced landscape presents openings for savvy investors, developers and occupiers looking to capitalize on Cleveland’s evolving real estate dynamics.  Resilient and mature, yet relatively untapped industrial market presents opportunities to national developers. Cleveland’s industrial sector is in a strong position relative to similar Midwest markets. With vacancy rates comfortably low at around 4 percent, rents are edging upward as developers struggle to find capital outlay nationally and spec development has all but stopped in most markets. The current landscape features a mix of large distribution hubs and older, yet prime, manufacturing facilities in key locations across Cleveland and Akron. Many facilities leased to third-party logistics companies seem to be stockpiling goods where others sit nearly empty, reflecting evolving needs in logistics and storage amid ongoing supply chain adjustments. This dynamic is leading to diverse demands: from small to mid-sized multi-tenant flex spaces (10,000 to 30,000 square feet) to …

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By Jeff Bender, Thomas McCormick and Seattle Stein, Cushman & Wakefield We’ve been doing this for a while. Every cycle with gang-busters demand and absorption comes to an end, as does every downturn. So, with the Cincinnati industrial market, we find ourselves in the doldrums since mid-2023, and we may not fully turn the corner until next year.  Perspective and context matter, though. We’re coming off record absorption and demand at the end of 2020 and through 2022, when we also closed the year with an unsustainable 1.7 percent vacancy rate. Before the entire world paused for COVID in early and mid-2020, we had a record year in 2019 as well.  While vacancy hovers around 6 percent at mid-year, that is basically the Cincinnati industrial market’s historical average. Four consecutive quarters of negative net absorption certainly defines “doldrums,” but that must be weighed against the previous 48 consecutive quarters of positive net absorption through mid-2023. We’ve also seen a slight increase in asking rental rates, up to $6.25 per square foot, despite negative absorption. So, despite a lackluster past 12 months, we have positive momentum, and that’s bolstered by many of the factors that have always made Cincinnati one of …

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By Todd Pease, Michelle Klingenberg and Britney Aviles, JLL Since the Cincinnati office landscape upended during the pandemic, area businesses, building owners and broader leaders sought opportunities to help entice employees to return to the office, reclaim the area’s vibrancy and spur economic growth. These stakeholders realized that to entice employees back into the office, they would need to make it worth the commute.  Throughout this evolution, one thing continues to drive tenants into office buildings: high-quality amenities. Amenity demands have changed over the last few years and there are new ways for building owners to create spaces that engage employees. Amenities of the past Up until 2020, the standard “five days in the office” model meant that office buildings strived to accommodate as many professionals as possible while maintaining efficiency. The space planner was the lead consultant on planning offices, and they would work with tenants to design spaces in a way that most efficiently accounted for their company headcount.  Regarding office amenities, tenants most valued high parking ratios, conference facilities, gyms and locker rooms, and onsite food options. It was all about productivity and it didn’t matter if productivity took place in a gray cubical under florescent lighting.  …

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By Dan Wendorf, JLL The industrial landscape in Columbus is not just thriving — it’s breaking records. As highlighted in JLL’s fourth-quarter 2023 Columbus Industrial Insights Report, 2023 marked another milestone year for the market. With over 19 million square feet under construction and surpassing 2022’s nearly 7 million-square-foot total, Columbus has solidified its position as a national industrial hub.  The report also showed total vacancy increased 3.8 percent year over year due to 15.7 million square feet of speculative completions, which finished the year at 30 percent leased. Although a modest uptick, Columbus continues to diversify its industrial scene from exclusively being known as once a “logistics and parcel delivery hub” to now being recognized for its growth in advanced manufacturing and data centers.  As exemplified by investments from Facebook, Google and Meta, the market has evolved into a multifaceted industrial powerhouse. In particular, investments in microchip factories have stimulated the need for additional warehousing from suppliers, and this trend is expected to continue in the coming year. This article explores how Columbus has become a key player in industrial development, factors motivating businesses to move their operations to central Ohio and what’s in the pipeline to keep an …

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By Spencer Jordan, Steiner + Associates The retail environment in Columbus, Ohio, is not just among the most unique and diverse in the Midwest, but in the nation. Columbus currently enjoys the fourth highest concentration of retail headquarters of any American city. Familiar names like Bath & Body Works, Victoria’s Secret, Express, Big Lots! and Chipotle all call Columbus home, and brands like Lululemon have significant logistics and distribution infrastructure in the city. But why is Columbus such a popular retail hub? What is the state of Columbus retail today? What sectors and neighborhoods are performing, and what are the trends to monitor when it comes to the future of retail in the Columbus market? Why Columbus? Among the many factors driving Columbus’s sustained retail success, the most important piece of the puzzle is the big picture: the city is thriving — and not just economically. Columbus placed eighth nationally in WalletHub’s recent rankings of all 50 state capitals, coming in ahead of popular high-profile markets like Denver, Nashville and Boston. The rankings are based on affordability, economic well being, quality of health and education, and quality of life. Columbus is one of the strongest Midwest markets in GDP per …

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By Jamie Dunford, CBRE Outside of office product, Cleveland and Northeast Ohio haven’t historically been of interest for most out-of-town multifamily developers and investors. They viewed the region as a tertiary or secondary market with a declining population and a lackluster economy.  Until recently, urban living in the central business district (CBD) and surrounding neighborhoods was rare — Cleveland was a commuter city with a strong office market from the 90s until the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2008. At one point in time, Northeast Ohio boasted one of the highest concentrations of Fortune 500 companies with headquarters or other office space in the region, and the CBD had the largest job hub in the state of Ohio.  Most office buildings in the CBD were owned by institutional capital or national developers. However, the GFC vastly altered this landscape as unemployment rose, companies left or downsized, and many office assets went back to the lender.  This left an oversupply of office product in the market, and the older buildings suffered the most. However, this created a market opportunity that Cleveland developers seized, and the city eventually became a national leader in converting historic office assets to multifamily while taking advantage …

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By Anthony Armbruster, Colliers Although converting former office buildings to multifamily properties is by no means a new practice, conversions have been on the rise in recent years due to the changing work environment and office landscape. While the COVID-19 pandemic has started to fade away in many peoples’ minds, several of the changes in the work environment during that time have not.  Many formerly in-office employees continue to work from home or have hybrid schedules post-pandemic. Additionally, tenants who are moving into new office spaces have shown a preference for smaller, more efficiently laid out, amenity-rich and suburban Class A office spaces.  These changing consumer preferences have resulted in higher vacancies and fewer new tenants for older downtown office buildings than before the pandemic. Consequently, many of these older buildings are being converted into residential spaces, exemplifying the trend. An office building may be considered for a residential conversion when it is no longer economically feasible to continue running the building as such. However, not every office building at the end of its economically useful life is a suitable candidate for a residential conversion. Factors such as a building’s layout, location, age and cost of conversion play the most …

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By Aaron Duncan, CBRE Describing Central Ohio’s current office market conditions is like a kid making the “little bit of everything” drink at the self-serve soda fountain: a lot of ingredients go in and the result is, surprisingly, okay. The office market is filled with polarizing headlines — from the growth and success of suburban Class A+ product versus newly vacated assets, to sublease space swarming the stat line, and everything in between.  Moreover, the sector continues to provide pools of negative and positive market conditions. One’s perspective on the market largely depends on which way they’re standing in that month but overall, much like that childhood concoction, it’s okay. The good and the bad For nearly three years, tenants leaned on ownership groups to let them put temporary solutions in place while they fully vetted their return-to-work strategies. Today, the good news is that tenants have finally figured it out and are confident about what their current and future footprints will look like. A strong indicator of this is the volume of headquarters transactions in the market, five of which were completed by our team: • Vertiv: 75,000-square-foot, suburban headquarters lease at 505 N. Cleveland Ave. • Surge Staffing: …

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By Beau Taggart, Cushman & Wakefield Historically, Columbus was a steady-performing, secondary industrial market that saw minimal rent increases. Often, it was overshadowed by “big brother” cities such as Indianapolis and Chicago that were perceived as more appealing to institutional investors. After the great recession of 2008, though, Columbus began to mature economically, and the region began its meteoric rise as a leading big-box industrial market in the U.S. Located at the intersection of Interstates 70 and 71, within a day’s drive of 46 percent of the U.S. population and containing one of the only freight-only airports in the country, Rickenbacker Airport, Columbus began to attract more and more major retailers such as Zulily, Lululemon, Macy’s and Sam’s Club as well as e-commerce giant Amazon, which has opened several bulk facilities throughout the region. Additionally, three major intermodal terminals and major UPS and FedEx hubs strategically located throughout the area boosted Columbus from its secondary status to a primary inland hub on every major distributor’s radar.  Like many markets, 2021 was Columbus’s most prolific year. Interest rates were at an all-time low, and users were compensating for COVID-fueled consumer demand. Asking rates grew by 14 percent and vacancy shot down …

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