The secret to success in any market is diversity. When a city’s economy isn’t wedded to a single industry, there’s more chance that area can survive a downturn. Crews Johnston of Colliers Turley Martin Tucker says Nashville is such a place. The city has a significant healthcare presence and a number of automakers, but Johnston says none of these industries have suffered an outright collapse akin to the downfall of the big financial firms. “Everybody talks about a diversified economy; we actually have one,” he says. This array of companies has left Nashville office brokers with a better outlook on the current crisis than their contemporaries in similar markets. Unemployment is sitting steady, and office vacancy has topped out at around 13 percent, with most of the empty space situated in the downtown and airport markets. The Interstate 65 corridor, which includes the Cool Springs and Brentwood submarkets, is actually doing relatively well. In fact, national tenants looking to move into Nashville often find the market is tight. According to Johnston, four or five national firms are currently circling the city, looking for available space. On the flip side, very little is happening in the sales arena. Sellers are reluctant …
Market Reports
The Memphis industrial market, comprised of 176 million square feet of warehouse space and 7.7 million square feet of flex space, reached a total of just more than 184 million square feet at the end of 2008. Deliveries during that time included just more than 2.8 million square feet in nine new buildings, including the 1.1 million-square-foot Nike Footwear Distribution Center in the Northwest submarket. In the DeSoto County, Mississippi, submarket the 800,000-square-foot Building F in the Crossroads Distribution Center and the 600,000-square-foot Building 3 in the Olive Branch Distribution Center were added as well. Annual deliveries have been in steady decline since hitting a 5-year peak of 6.9 million square feet in 2005. More than 1 million square feet of industrial space is currently under construction in the market, and more than half of the space is pre leased. Virtually all speculative building deliveries in the market have been occurring in DeSoto County, where the business environment is friendly and tax incentives are healthy. During the second quarter of 2008, 16 buildings were delivered in DeSoto County, driving the vacancy rate in the submarket to a high of 23.4 percent, as of the end of the quarter. Three straight …
The Memphis apartment market is expected to record mixed performance this year, due to a spike in new inventory and decelerating employment growth. On the demand side, weakness in the housing market is keeping many individuals within the renter pool, boosting retention rates and supporting a modest uptick in tenant demand. Foreclosure activity rose 15 percent in the first quarter, when compared to the same period one year earlier, and is expected to continue this year as more adjustable-rate mortgages reset. Subsequently, apartment demand for Class B and Class C properties should pick up in this year, causing vacancy for the metro’s affordable rentals to improve. On the supply side, development activity is accelerating after 5 years of below-average additions to stock. By year-end, developers are expected to boost inventory by 1.1 percent, or nearly double the 5-year average, pushing vacancy higher while moderating rent gains. Builders have brought approximately 175 new apartment units to the Memphis market during the past 12 months, representing a modest 0.2 percent increase in inventory. One year ago, deliveries had totaled approximately 210 units. Development activity is picking up, as builders have roughly 1,100 units underway in the metro area. As for significant developments, …
What area is your expertise? • I specialize in commercial sales and leasing in the Cool Springs submarket just south of Nashville. What trends do you see presently in office development in your area? • There continues to be speculative development in and around Cool Springs on the office side. We’re also seeing the emergence of more and more mixed-use development in the area. Specifically Boyle Investment Company’s Meridian development and Southern Land Company’s McEwen Place are creating a new dynamic in Cool Springs. Class A office condo developments are also seeing a resurgence. Caden Holdings, The Stauffer Company and Alliant Commercial each have new buildings underway that will allow smaller prospective office buyers to purchase condos in the 3,000-square-foot range and up. Who are the active office developers in your area? • Crescent Resources, Boyle Investment Co., Duke Realty and Highwoods Properties have the biggest presence in Cool Springs. Please name one or two significant office developments in your area. What impact will these projects have on the market? • The mixed-use developments mentioned earlier will allow for a better commingling of living, working and playing. The new headquarters for Nissan North America and Healthways are well underway. These …
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