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Logistics-Commerce-Center-San-Antonio
IndustrialMarket ReportsTexasTexas Market Reports

Population Growth, Industrial Activity Explode Along Central Texas’ I-35 Corridor

by Taylor Williams

By Paige Suvalsky, field research manager — Central Texas, CBRE; Rob Burlingame, senior vice president — Central Texas, CBRE; and Miller Hamrick, Texas industrial & logistics research lead, CBRE CBRE Research recently profiled Austin and San Antonio as an “emerging” industrial market along the Interstate 35 corridor in Central Texas. This region makes up much of the western portion of the “Texas Triangle”, a mega-region on a global scale that had an economic output of $1.5 trillion in 2021 and a population of just over 20 million people. The Texas Triangle represents a top 25 global economy, just ahead of Spain. The northern apex of the Texas Triangle, Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW), is projected to surpass Chicago by 2034-2035 to become the third-most populous urban region in the United States with a population of 9.4 million.  This massive boom in population and business is driving the current rush to Central Texas and pushing regional and national developers to stake their claims in this growing market. Currently, about 5.5 million people live between the stretch of Texas from Laredo to Georgetown, and this area’s population is expected to grow by 10.8 percent over the next five years.  According to data from the …

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Market ReportsMultifamilyTexasTexas Market Reports

Residential Development Nears Cyclical Peak Across RGV Markets

by Taylor Williams

By Brad Frisby, director of land acquisitions, Rhodes Enterprises Demand for housing of all types continues to outpace supply in the Rio Grande Valley (RGV), and developers’ best efforts to add much-needed product throughout the region appear to be reaching a crescendo. Like the rest of the country, residential development in the RGV has been stymied and exacerbated by global supply chain disruption over the last year. Nor have developers in the region been spared from the pricing volatility of key construction materials, from basic building blocks like lumber and steel to more  precise pieces such as air conditioning units and kitchen appliances. These factors, along with rising labor costs generated by the reheating of the regional economy, have negatively impacted conventional multifamily construction timelines and budgets over the past 12 to 18 months. While traditional single-family projects have not been hit nearly as hard as their multifamily counterparts, the net result of all this activity has been a widening of the gap between housing supply and demand. Though the regional vacancy rate for multifamily product is up on a year-over-year basis — about 4.5 percent today versus 3.5 percent at the end of the first quarter of 2021 — …

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La-Plaza-Mall-McAllen
Market ReportsRetailTexasTexas Market Reports

Rio Grande Valley Retail Market Sees No Shortage of Demand from National Brands

by Taylor Williams

By Randy Summers, vice president, CCIM, CPM, Davis Equity Realty “Y’all come” is the message being sent to developers, retailers, franchisees, quick-service restaurants, corporations and manufacturers from the Rio Grande Valley (RGV) region of Texas — and all these users seem to be heeding the call.  The local economy seems to be hitting on all cylinders, albeit with constraints on labor and supplies, as well as rising costs. The four counties that statistically make up the RGV — Hidalgo, Cameron, Starr and Willacy — combine to produce a regional population of over 1.4 million and a workforce population of over 485,000. While COVID-19 continues to have lasting effects on labor, the Small Business Administration reported that the Lower Rio Grande Valley District, which serves 14 counties, had 44,471 Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans approved totaling $2.4 billion.  Of that, 71 percent were loans for the RGV’s four counties representing 59 percent of the dollar amount, or $1.4 billion.  That is a considerable amount of money that was pumped into the local economy and doesn’t include the $64.6 million in grants provided to restaurants through the Restaurant Revitalization Fund out of the American Rescue Plan Act. Year-to-date sales tax revenue provided …

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Block-16-Austin
Market ReportsOfficeTexasTexas Market Reports

Major Texas Office Markets Rebound in Varying Degrees, Exhibit Flight to Quality

by Taylor Williams

Interviews by Taylor Williams The office markets of the major Texas cities have always been birds of different feathers, built to accommodate drastically different types of users and disproportionately subject to broader swings in occupancy and rent growth. Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) remains the king of corporate relocations and regional consolidations, and the metroplex’s office market benefits from the highest degree of diversity among users, an attribute that has ushered it through the darkest days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, the Houston office market, hobbled for years by its reliance on energy users, may finally be poised to see some growth in occupancy as prices of these commodities head for the moon. In Austin, the non-California tech capital of the country, the supply of office space is still playing catch-up to demand, as evidenced by the healthy rents these buildings have achieved during the state capital’s ascendance to major-market status. And San Antonio? Like most commercial asset classes in the Alamo City, the performance of the office sector is steady, offering neither the glamorous appeal of trophy buildings with marquee users that attract institutional investors nor the profound cyclical dips that scare them away. Yet after two years of prolonged disruption …

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Olive-Garden-El-Paso
Market ReportsRetailTexasTexas Market Reports

Developers Find Creative Ways to Meet Demand in Thriving El Paso Retail Market

by Taylor Williams

By Andy Moreno, director of operations, MIMCO; and McGee Sauls, senior vice president, MIMCO Historically, the El Paso market has often been overlooked, primarily due to its distance from other major Texas markets. However, that sentiment is shifting rapidly due to strong economic and population growth. While an accurate figure is difficult to pin down, the number of new entries and expanding franchises within the market has exploded in recent years. “As recently as 2015, national and regional operators were only beginning to recognize the sales potential of the El Paso market and just how underserved the growing population had become,” states Scott Walker, president of MIMCO. “Competition was limited, which led to advantages for existing operators. The landscape shifted dramatically due to the pandemic; since the second quarter of 2020, new retail categories have become active,” he continues. “Marketing quality sites generally leads to multiple offers from competing operators including car washes, lube shops, coffee shops and quick-service restaurants. We love to see this variety move into our market and drive competition for the next great location.” Market competition is advantageous and a key driver of innovation. Retailers use competition to discover and adopt the most efficient processes that …

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Market ReportsMultifamilyTexasTexas Market Reports

Will the Hot Streak Continue for El Paso’s Multifamily Market?

by Taylor Williams

By Jack Stone, senior director of investments, Greysteel It seems like every month there’s a new sales record being broken in the El Paso multifamily market. But with interest rates officially rising, how long will that streak last? El Paso has been on a tear. Greysteel has sold roughly 4,000 units there in the past 36 months. That’s an impressive number, but it’s not a surprising one. Between 2012 and 2014, roughly 20 properties over 25 units traded in El Paso. That number skyrocketed to 69 properties between 2019 and 2021. But why? We’ve followed the El Paso market closely and have brought numerous first-time, out-of-state buyers to the market. The No. 1 reason they’re interested in El Paso is the competitiveness of other markets like Dallas and Austin, where cap rates have just compressed too much. With lower cap rates and cash-on-cash returns, investors started flocking to secondary markets where they can achieve higher yields. But El Paso, while a secondary market, has several factors that help it stand out from the rest: (1) it’s one of the top 20 largest cities in the country, which comes as a surprise to many; (2) it’s well-diversified, having weathered the recession …

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Historic Core Los Angeles
Content PartnerFeaturesIndustrialLeasing ActivityLee & AssociatesMarket ReportsMidwestMultifamilyNortheastOfficeRetailSoutheastTexasWestern

Lee & Associates’ First-Quarter 2022 Economic Rundown by Sector

by Sarah Daniels

Lee & Associates’ newly released Q1 2022 North America Market Report scrutinizes first-quarter 2022 industrial, office, retail and multifamily outlooks throughout the United States. This class-by-class review of commercial real estate trends for the first quarter of the year focuses on how real estate is adjusting to long-term post-COVID attitudes. Lee & Associates has made the full market report available here (with further breakdowns of factors like vacancy rates, market rents, inventory square footage and cap rates by city), but the overviews offered below provide sweeping looks at the overall health and obstacles for four major commercial real estate sectors. Industrial: Rents Pushed on Strong Demand Strong demand for industrial space throughout North America continued in the first quarter as vacancies fell to record lows and rent growth hit double digits. First quarter net absorption in the United States totaled 92.8 million square feet, which was up 25 percent year over year but down 35 percent from the 143-million-square feet average of the last three quarters of 2021. Annualized rents rose 10.1 percent in the U.S. and the average vacancy rate fell to 4.1 percent. Part of this trend was due to a pause in new construction starts early in the pandemic. However, …

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IndustrialMarket ReportsTexasTexas Market Reports

El Paso Industrial Market: The Birth of The ‘Borderplex’

by Taylor Williams

By Josh Meredith, director of development, VanTrust Real Estate Sharing a 2,000-mile border, Mexico and the United States trade over $500 billion worth of goods and services each year, representing our country’s second-largest trade partnership. Impressively, over 20 percent of this exchange travels through the El Paso, Texas, port of entry, according to the Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts. This movement has deemed the El Paso/Ciudad Juarez (Mexico) region as one of the most important industrial centers in North America for years. Although the El Paso/Juarez market has a history of extensive commercial activity, with more than 1,100 manufacturing operations alone, the region has remained under the radar, experiencing traditional, steady industrial growth for the past decade. However, with undeniable strategic advantages and 300-plus Fortune 1000 companies in the El Paso/Juarez region, the past couple of years have attracted an increasing number of developers looking to capitalize on the market’s industrial and distribution needs. Now, with record net absorption and a remarkably low vacancy rate, the “borderplex” is the market to watch, building a reputation as not only a competitive industrial center, but also as a driver of some of the most important global manufacturing trends. Competitive Edge With more …

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JB-Hudco-Plano-Parkway
IndustrialLeasing ActivityMarket ReportsTexasTexas Market Reports

What’s New With Industrial Deals in Texas?

by Taylor Williams

With each year that passes in the current cycle, industrial real estate, along with multifamily, becomes more deeply ingrained as a darling asset class among commercial developers, lenders and investors. For all the talk about Americans being social creatures, there remains a massive contingent of the population that, when it comes to shopping, overwhelmingly prefers the convenience and relative anonymity of e-commerce. What started out as pandemic-related justifications for buying goods online as opposed to in-person has given way to a full-fledged, tacit acknowledgement of a trend that was already in place prior to February 2020.  As such, demand for facilities — not just traditional, pure-play industrial spaces — that can function as e-commerce fulfillment and distribution centers continues to skyrocket. This trend is even more pronounced in markets with surging populations like those of major Texas cities.  Industrial brokers are the ones who see it all. These professionals talk to tenants about acute real estate needs that are critical to serving customers without accruing exorbitant transit costs. Brokers work with developers who must build and price their spaces in accordance with their own escalating cost structures for land and construction.  The deals that industrial brokers execute form the backbone …

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Lenox-Grand-Austin
DevelopmentMarket ReportsMultifamilyTexasTexas Market Reports

Texas Multifamily Developers Carefully Scrutinize Product Types

by Taylor Williams

By Taylor Williams From sprawling garden-style complexes in the suburbs to wrap-style construction and high-rise buildings in the urban core, multifamily properties come in many shapes and sizes. And in Texas, all of these product types are in high demand.  Consequently, developers have generally seen healthy paces of rent growth over the last decade. But with each year of cyclical maturation, land becomes more scarce, construction grows more costly and more communities come on line, making the competition to secure renters increasingly stiff.  On a more granular level, bidding wars for large tracts of land that can support major residential density are becoming increasingly intense with the growth of build-to-rent (BTR) development throughout Texas. Global supply chain disruption is putting relentless pressure on costs of construction materials and timelines for new projects, and leasing initiatives are getting smarter via sophisticated proptech platforms that were developed exclusively with real estate operations in mind.  But these economic and operational constraints exist entirely on the supply side of the market. Simultaneously, demand for housing is accelerating unencumbered throughout Texas, a perennial medalist in population growth among the 50 states.  These market factors are creating an unusual dynamic in which the forces that drive …

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