Market Reports

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— By Wick Udy, Senior Managing Director, JLL — Salt Lake City’s industrial market continued its exceptional performance in 2022. Last year was the third consecutive year of above-average leasing and the second-highest volume of annual absorption on record. The largest volume of completions was recorded in 2022 with 13 million square feet delivered. However, leasing and absorption volumes were both below 2021 levels, which is something industry leaders are watching in 2023. Developers were forced to push pause on new building projects toward the end of 2022 due to rising interest rates and tighter capital markets. Because of this, JLL predicts 2023 could be the year of the sublease. What was a landlord-favorable market for many years is slowly leaning toward a tenant-favorable market.  Based on current activity within the marketplace, absorption should be positive in first-quarter 2023. Companies are signing leases on existing buildings instead of waiting for new builds, which will keep vacancy low for the foreseeable future. The market has remained as robust as it has because companies from California are relocating to Salt Lake City. They want to take advantage of its affordable real estate, quality of the workforce and the market’s proximity to large …

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— By Rawley Nielsen, President of Investment Sales, Colliers — Salt Lake City’s multifamily market will continue to stand out and impress in 2023…even with so much uncertainty, ongoing readjustments within the market and many investors at a stay. That’s because Utah continues to receive outsized investor interest that will maintain stability in pricing. Investors recognize overall performance at property levels remains healthy as the state continues to be a leader in population growth. Utah is also one of the top states for outstanding job creation, increased demand for housing and exponential rent growth. While multifamily investment sales volume was record-setting during the first half of 2022, we have seen volume taper dramatically in recent months. This is due to rising interest rates and a lack of clarity in the debt and equity markets that have impacted pricing. Much of this slowing can be attributed to the rising cost of capital and low leverage caused by debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) requirements. (See Tables 1-3) Overall, 2022 saw an average cap rate of 3.75 percent, decompressing over 20 basis points compared to the first half of the year. Cap rates are expected to expand further through 2023 as uncertainty in …

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Increased activity and record amounts of positive net absorption created a new commercial landscape across the Wasatch Front. The majority of 2016 leasing activity was a result of tenants occupying new space that was pre-leased during 2015. While sublease availability increased over each quarter, overall market indicators like local population growth and continued economic development will remain strong into 2017. The Salt Lake County office market grew by an additional 1.7 million square feet in 2016, primarily in the South submarket. More than 1.5 million square feet of space was under construction at the close of 2016. This product will be introduced to the market by mid-year 2017. Vacancy rates increased slightly from 8.6 percent in 2015 to 8.74 percent at the end of 2016. Notable Salt Lake office projects completed in 2016 include 111 South Main (440,000 square feet); Vista Stations 4 through 8 (655,000 square feet); The Pointe I (77,703 square feet); the Overstock Peace Coliseum (231,000 square feet); and Town Ridge Center I & II (250,000 square feet), to name a few. An additional 1.5 million square feet of space was under construction at the end of the year. Buildings like 53rd Center 1 (200,000 square feet); …

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With nearly 3 million square feet of industrial space under construction, and climbing lease rates averaging $5.64 per square foot, it is safe to say the industrial market along Utah’s Wasatch Front is alive and well. The primary Salt Lake County market reports an overall industrial vacancy level of 5.08 percent. In the fast-growing Utah County submarket that’s just south of Salt Lake City, the vacancy rate is 3.44 percent. This is in line with the pre-recession levels experienced in the mid-2000s. The most noticeable difference in today’s environment is the scale of buildings being built on spec, as well as who is carrying out these projects. We continue to see construction starts and announcements on buildings larger than 300,000 square feet — many of which are speculative — by out-of-state development or investment groups. This includes companies like Clarion Partners, Exeter Property Group and Seefried Industrial Properties. This represents a new resurgence of interest by many of the “brand name,” major-market players who want to be part of the dynamic growth occurring in Utah. This is a growing trend nationally as well, which is interesting to see in the relatively smaller, 170-million-square-foot Wasatch Front market.Activity from the local players …

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The retail market in Utah continues to build steam and has expanded over the past 12 months. With these gains, tenants are in abundance and new construction is on the rise. Vacancy continued to improve through 2014, as the overall vacancy rate declined by 0.7 percentage points on a year-over-year basis to end at 6.2 percent. This represents the lowest vacancy rate of the past decade. With supply constrained and demand improving, average asking lease rates jumped by 9 percent on a year-over-year basis, to $18.98 per square foot. New construction continued across the valley, with 548,577 square feet of space added to the market. The local housing market drives retail development in Utah. About 18,573 building permits have been issued throughout the state in the past two years, including multifamily projects. This construction pushed many retailers into expansion mode, looking to take up shop in locations that cut off the competition. This is particularly true in one segment of the market that now stands supreme in the Utah retail ecosystem: grocery. Grocers have expanded at a breakneck rate. Sprout’s Farmers Market opened new stores in Holladay and South Jordan. A Smith’s Marketplace opened its doors in West Jordan at …

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Retail business continues to be solid in greater Salt Lake City. Total net absorption in all retail categories doubled, when compared to 2012. High-end retail in regional centers saw a 20 percent increase in rents to $24.50 per square foot. Retail inventory increased to a little more than 1 million square feet in 2013 as well. Significant growth areas include new retail in the eclectic Sugarhouse area, the southwest portion of Salt Lake County and the 5600 West corridor. New development also took place in the Central Business District of Salt Lake City. Shadow retail near the new City Creek Mall is fostering some of the Central Business District activity as well. Utah’s excellent light and commuter rails have spurred retail and commercial developments alongside their routes through four counties. Examples include a redevelopment project at Fairbourne Station in West Valley City and the expansion of Vista Station in Salt Lake County. Vista Station is a mixed-use development that is anchored by eBay. Many grocery tenants also have expansion plans for 2014 and 2015. WinCo, Harmon’s, WalMart Neighborhood Grocery, Whole Foods, Sprouts and others all either have plans or are underway with new projects. Large and mid-box retailers are very …

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Momentum in the industrial market has remained strong for the past three years. This momentum should continue through 2014. Total market activity for 2013 generally remained on par with a record-setting year from 2012, but the makeup of that activity changed significantly. On a square footage basis, leasing activity decreased by 25.6 percent, while user-sale activity increased by 117.3 percent. Much of the increase in user-sale activity can be attributed to Boeing’s acquisition of the 850,000-square-foot Kraftmade building. Strong activity in the market led to more than 2.5 million square feet of positive absorption, representing the highest level of annual absorption since 2007 and exceeding the absorption of the past four years combined. This high level of positive absorption pushed overall vacancy rates down by 1.6 percentage points to end the year at 7.4 percent. As vacancy rates have declined, achieved rental rates have increased by 8.1 percent. The greatest increase was seen in spaces with more than f 100,000 square feet where rental rates increased by 14.7 percent. This category accounted for more than 40 percent of total market activity. The expansion of e-commerce continues to leave its mark on the development and functionality of buildings. E-commerce accounted for …

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Technology growth in the southern portion of the Salt Lake Valley is prompting additional development of multifamily properties. A new Adobe campus in Lehi, located between Utah’s major employment areas, has led to further technology sector investment in this region. The company expansions and job creation that is occurring in Lehi is certainly driving the need for new housing. In Bluffdale, located about 20 miles south of Salt Lake City, several hundred acres are being developed into two mixed-use apartment projects. The recently acquired Aclaime at Independence development is expected to include 1,000 residential units and 21 acres designated for mixed-use commercial structures. Adjacent to this development is Independence at the Point, a master-planned community containing 294 acres. This project will include 1,900 single-family homes, townhomes and apartments, as well as 27 acres of commercial development. Overall, steady demand for housing will continue to draw investors and developers to the region as vacancy remains limited and rent growth outpaces the rest of the metro. Metro employers are expected to add 29,900 new jobs by the end of 2013, an annual growth of 4.6 percent, which pushes employment nearly 6 percent above the pre-recession peak. Completions are set to total 2,100 …

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National retailers have slowed their progress into the market now that City Creek and Fashion Place Mall have completed the majority of their renovations. The discount segment continues to expand in infill locations along the Wasatch Front. Ross, TJ Maxx and Marshalls continue to lead the charge in this category, with Rue 21 and Dress Barn as the larger tenants. Rural areas are the new frontier within the State of Utah. Many small communities are riding the wave of the energy boom, from natural gas, oil and wind power. These smaller towns are growing at a rapid pace, and with the influx of expendable income, retailers are flocking to these areas. The challenge that many developers face in these towns, however, is the lower rent numbers that national tenants can afford due to the immediate lack of population within the trade areas. Ross, JoAnn Fabrics, Petco, Sportsman’s Warehouse, Sports Authority, Rue 21 and Dress Barn are the retailers that lead the charge in these areas. The grocery sector continues its movement within the state, with Walmart’s Neighborhood Market, Sprouts and Smith’s being the most active. Smith’s is in the process of remodeling many of its existing locations and is looking …

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Much like the economy in general, commercial real estate has experienced its share of ups and downs over the past 10 years. However, the strength of Utah’s economy, established infrastructure and strategic regional location are sustaining the Salt Lake industrial market and securing its position as one of the most resilient in the nation. For three consecutive years, Utah has been ranked as the “Best State for Business” by Forbes magazine. It was also recently designated as a boom state by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. The strength of the local economy has convinced many national and international companies to relocate to Utah, and new construction has followed close behind. By the end of the first quarter of 2013, there were 1.4 million square feet of industrial space under construction, 70 percent of which was pre-leased. Although overall market activity slowed during that quarter, as compared to 2012, the Salt Lake market continues to experience growth. Consequently, industrial availability remains below the average for the Western region. Another sign of market strength is the improvement in lease rates. Utah’s industrial market experienced increasing lease rates and positive net absorption. In fact, from March 2012 to March 2013, the overall achieved …

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