Each week seems to bring news of yet another record-selling price for a commercial property in Seattle, including assets ranging from office and retail to apartments and even development sites. Increasing occupancy rates for industrial and retail properties also suggest that property values are headed up. The King County assessor has undoubtedly tracked these price trends, too. In 2012, the assessor’s office reported overall increases in taxable values for major office buildings, major retail properties, hotels and apartments. As a result, many commercial property owners in the Puget Sound region saw increases on their 2012 assessed value notices. In March, King County’s chief economist projected that total assessed values in the county would reach nearly $327 billion in 2013 (for taxes payable in 2014), up nearly 4 percent from $315 billion in 2012. For many taxpayers, notices in 2013 will reflect assessment increases even greater than 4 percent. The general recovery in the Seattle market should not trigger increased assessments for all properties. For example, some suburban areas have missed out on the trend toward increasing property values. And there are always individual properties that do not experience the same increases as their neighbors. Accordingly, owners should be attentive to …
Market Reports
Amazon, Zulily, Real Networks, Intel, eBay, Attachmate, PATH, Omeros, F5 Networks, Microsoft. Collectively, these technology companies have dominated Seattle’s office leasing landscape over the past 12 months. This period has seen an eye-popping absorption of more than 1.9 million square feet. That would be astonishing growth in nearly any city, but with a Class A and B base of 63 million square feet, this number is even more impressive. The vacancy rate has dropped and now stands at 11.5 percent, while correspondingly rental rates rose more than $4 per square foot, cresting above the $30 per square foot, full service, for the first time in more than a decade. In addition, both rental abatement and discretionary tenant improvement allowances have diminished. What’s noteworthy is that none of these companies made commitments in the Central Business District. Instead, each opted for an urban campus style as opposed to a traditional stacked, high-rise presence. These companies either backfilled Class A properties immediately south of Downtown in Pioneer Square or relocated into first-generation space just north of the core in the South Lake Union submarket. Despite this current trend, Seattle’s core is very healthy. It’s even listed as a top-three investment market on …
Strong job growth characterized the Puget Sound economy throughout 2011, with the region closing the year with a 1.7 percent gain that equated to the addition of more than 28,000 positions. Home to Fortune 100 companies Costco, Microsoft, and Amazon.com, as well as large-scale operations of The Boeing Company, Seattle’s economic prospects are assured. The region will remain a leading employment generator over the next several years, with job growth trending up to 2.6 percent in 2012 and to more than 3 percent in 2013 as the metro area realizes the addition of 50,000 new jobs on average each year. For its part, Boeing now employs more than 81,000 Washington residents, having added nearly 8,000 local jobs in 2011 alone. The Seattle multifamily market deal activity has been good this year, and the market should expect to close more than $800 million in transitions. Current cap rates in the market are in the low 4 percent range and up to $500 per unit in core locations with secondary markets averaging 5.5 percent to 6 percent capitalization rates. One great thing about Seattle is that it has always skewed toward rental housing. In the three-county area alone, the population is 3.4 …
We saw plenty of activity in 2011 in both office leasing and the sale of office buildings in the Greater Seattle area, particularly in the Downtown core markets of Seattle and Bellevue. Amazon alone has leased 460,000 square feet at 1918 8th Ave.; 281,000 square feet at West 8th Avenue; and 106,000 square feet at the 1260 Mercer Building. KPMG has also leased 50,000 square feet at 1918 8th Ave. Other notable leases include Boeing’s 45,000 square feet at the Russell Investments Center; Allrecipes.com’s expansion to more than 55,000 square feet at the 5th & Pine Building; Facebook occupying 27,000 square feet at Met Park; Getty Images agreeing to nearly 60,000 square feet at 605 Union Station; and Brooks Sports inking a pre-lease agreement for 80,000 square feet for a yet-to-be-built office in the north Lake Union submarket. There have also been some major sales in the Greater Seattle market. These include the sale of 1918 8th Ave. and 818 Stewart by Schnitzer West to JPMorgan; Westlake Center Office Tower to TIAA by GGP; 505 1st Ave. and 83 King to Spear Street by Starbucks; Seattle Tower by LaeRoc Partners to the Teachers Retirement System of Illinois. As of December …
Our recent market activity spotlights the differential between the Haves and Have-Nots. Third quarter 2011 was exceptional for large, Class A facilities in Kent Valley. Thanks mostly to international corporations, direct vacancy rates dropped about 1 percent point and now hovers at 7.89 percent. We have also experienced net absorption of 348,358 square feet. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of positive net absorption, bringing the annual total to 968,784 square feet. After experiencing record corporate earnings and large cash reserves, companies like Brooks Sports, Amazon, Sealed Air, Graybar, Electrolux, Bunzl, Pacer, International Paper, Sealy and more have expanded or looked to expand their presence in our market. Seeking state of the art, 30’ clearance, ESFR distribution facilities, these corporations have caused a shortage of Class ‘A’ space and a rent hike of 5 percent to 10 percent. However, regional and local companies are still struggling, while the mid-size market that services those spaces has not significantly recovered. On average, spaces available in that size range (over 66 spaces at press time) have been on the market for about 18 months. Unlike the otherWest Coast ports, container traffic in this Pacific Northwest region hasn’tt increased dramatically. To date, the Port …
Emboldened by renewed job growth and improving sales, retailers will push forward with new store openings in Puget Sound, which will ease the use of concessions. Leasing velocity in the Seattle-Tacoma retail market has built momentum through 2011, led by regional and national chains occupying vacant sites in high-traffic corridors. King County trade areas such as the Northgate/Central and Eastside/Bellevue submarkets have been the primary beneficiaries of resumed tenant expansions, but most suburban areas also recorded a modest upturn in leasing volume this year. The broadening recovery enabled landlords to hold the line on concessions. While the rate of recovery will remain strongest in King County heading into 2012—aided by move-ins from Ross Dress for Less, Big Lots and several grocery chains—tenant demand for established centers in Pierce and Snohomish counties will build. In addition to a collection of smaller lease transactions, nearly a dozen regional and independent retailers have secured junior-anchor and big-box sites this year, with many of the leases set to commence over the next nine months. Seattle retail developers completed about 695,000 square feet of space during the 12 months ending in the third quarter, an increase from the delivery of 250,000 square feet one year …
Business headlines over the past few months have been full of sunny reports from Seattle: Boeing, for example, is in full swing thanks to the production ramp up of the 787 and the backlog of orders for both the 787 and 737, representing a workload of more than 5 years. The tech sector is hopping here as well, with Google adding up to 840 jobs, Amazon doubling the positions available from a year ago to 1,900, and solid growth at Facebook. This all takes place, of course, in a market that happens to include big-name employers like Microsoft and the increasingly active Gates Foundation, and strong sectors such as Biotech and Pacific Rim trading. Given this strong and diverse economic base, then, it is perhaps no surprise that Seattle is robust compared with many other U.S. markets. This is not to say the recession had no effect — a year ago, rents in empty boxes were leasing at discounts of up to 40 percent of what had been paid by previous tenants. However, the market here has gradually stabilized, and those discounts have shrunk to 15 to 20 percent of previous rental rates. Today, in fact, retailers like HomeGoods, Sports …
Small box retail is the new Seattle trend, and small-shop local retailers are rising to the top. Investor groups are primed, seeing this market as a cherry-picking field of opportunities. Strong big box retailers are shopping a surplus of space that has gone dark. The vacancy rate in the Puget Sound area is 7 to 8 percent, with 4 percent being the norm in prior recessions. Retailers that have vacated without immediate replacement include Circuit City, Linens 'n Things and Joe's Sports & Outdoor. Developers and landlords have struggled to crunch numbers that mid-box retailers can digest. Retailers still seek “Main & Main” locations. Small shop space now commands 25 percent lower rents, but remains competitive due to lack of new construction. From small to large space, tenants should expect to see rates in the low teens, even the single digits in one-off markets. After many peaked at more than current market rates, renewal rates have now dropped in order for landlords to retain tenants. Often space that would have commanded $36 per square foot to $40 per square foot 2 years ago, now goes for around $30 per square foot. Both the upper-income suburban locations and the inner-city mixed-use …
The Seattle market is currently experiencing the lowest tenant demand in 30 years. Both early stage companies and strong credit corporations are tightening their belts and are reluctant to commit capital. Large companies with strong credit usually look for cost saving consolidation opportunities, but unfortunately, this requires some up-front capital, which is being frozen by financially savvy executives. Many new developments commenced 2 to 3 years ago as Seattle was rated one of the top five real estate markets in the nation. Those projects broke ground without the foresight of the recession that followed. There are currently four new vacant office buildings complete or close to completion. Those buildings include West 8th, 1918 Stewart, 2201 Westlake and 1100 Eastlake. All of their anxious landlords and investors are competing for a small pool tenants. Additionally, the downfall of Washington Mutual has brought thousands of additional square feet onto market. JP Morgan Chase refuted most leases through its bankruptcy acquisition of Washington Mutual. This perfect storm of over supply totals more than 6,500,000 square feet of class A and B office space available for lease. The Eastside markets have been saved from excessive vacancy owing to Microsoft’s expansion last year. However, overall …
What area is your expertise? Multifamily Investments — Greater Seattle Area What trends do you see presently in multifamily development in your area? With vacancy rates below 5 percent in the greater Seattle area, we see continued rental rate growth, and continued demand for apartment rental units. In general, the number of apartment units is down, and more units in development for 2009 – 2011 will increase the unit count in the downtown areas. Who are the active multifamily developers in your area? Avalon, Lorig, SRM Development and SP Real Estate are some of the active multifamily developers with new projects underway. Please name one or two significant multifamily developments in your area. What impact will these projects have on the market? Avalon’s new Avalon at Meydenbauer recently opened in downtown Bellevue adding over 350 units within walking distance to Bellevue Square and the new Lincoln Center. SRM Development is underway with 130 units being developed in Seattle in South Lake Union nearby Vulcan’s new developments, Amazon’s new Headquarters and the new Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. Where is the majority of development taking place? Why is this area doing well? The majority of new development is occurring in and …