Midwest Market Reports

By Cody Foster, Advisors Excel Topeka, the capital city of Kansas, has a population of approximately 125,000 people, located in a 12-county region with over 531,000 residents. The region’s population has grown over the past five years and is expected to increase by another 2.1 percent between 2023 and 2028. With an unemployment rate of around 3.5 percent as of mid-2024, the city’s economic outlook remains stable, providing a solid foundation for redeveloping key commercial properties — including the West Ridge Mall, the third-largest indoor shopping center in Kansas at 992,000 square feet. Since it opened in 1988, the West Ridge Mall has been a significant part of the city’s commercial landscape. The site features ample parking and anchors the Wanamaker Road commercial corridor, the region’s most significant retail hub, which garnered $1 billion in retail, grocery and dining spending during the past 12 months.  However, like many malls nationwide, it faces challenges in a rapidly evolving retail environment. Retail trends: following consumer behavior The West Ridge Mall has seen a steady decline in business and occupancy over the last decade. Anchor stores Macy’s and Sears closed in 2012 and 2018, respectively.  Various management companies tried to keep the retail …

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By Russ Sagmoen, Isaac Berg and James McKenna, Colliers The greater Milwaukee retail landscape continues to thrive, with notable activity in regions such as Oconomowoc, Grafton, Franklin, Oak Creek and the Racine metro area. Franklin and Oak Creek have experienced steady growth over the past decade and are well-positioned to maintain this momentum.  Meanwhile, Racine County has seen a surge of recent activity, largely fueled by Microsoft’s announcement of a $3.3 billion state-of-the-art data center in Mount Pleasant. The Racine/Kenosha I-94 corridor serves as a vital connector between the Milwaukee and Chicago MSAs, enhancing its attractiveness for economic expansion. Market-wide, we are seeing a great amount of activity from local and regional retailers/franchisees and a slowdown from national brands. While there is some activity from national retailers, they tend to be selective about their site choices, highlighting the importance of prime locations and price sensitivity. Because of this, the majority of retail activity is driven by local and regional enterprises.  New retail product is scarce, with a lack of new construction due to rising interest rates and increasing land and construction costs. This has resulted in a decline in multi-tenant strip centers, with the bulk of new construction coming in …

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By Matt Hunter, Hunter Real Estate Over the past few years, we have seen a noticeable trend in office tenants relocating to new office buildings, particularly in downtown Milwaukee. Notable companies such as Baker Tilly (~40,000 square feet), Old National Bank (~20,000 square feet), CBRE (~15,000 square feet) and Silvercrest Asset Management (~11,000 square feet) have all moved into new office buildings, which are classified as being constructed within the past five years. While these relocations highlight a shift in tenant preferences toward newer buildings, most leasing activity has been observed in recently renovated office buildings. One prime example of this is Baird, which expanded and renewed over 450,000 square feet at 777 E. Wisconsin Ave., reinforcing the demand for renovated office buildings. Other significant leasing transactions include Fiserv, which leased ~160,000 square feet at HUB640; Enerpac’s ~50,000-square-foot lease and Veolia’s ~30,000-square-foot lease at 648 N. Plankinton; Marcus Corp.’s ~50,000-square-foot lease at The Associated Bank River Center; and Allspring Global Investments leasing ~40,000 square feet at 417 E. Chicago St. These transactions further demonstrate the attractiveness of renovated spaces for businesses looking to enhance their operations. This trend reflects a broader “flight to quality” in the office market. Tenants are …

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By James Young, JLL Through 2023 and 2024, JLL industrial has seen a historically high number of new leases signed. JLL research saw positive absorption in the third quarter of 2024 at 48,200 square feet, primarily driven by the completion of owner-built projects. This activity, combined with existing occupier commitment to the region and record-high asking rents, points to a thriving market.  As the Milwaukee industrial market continues to grow its regional presence, there are a few factors that set it apart from its larger peer cities like Indianapolis or Minneapolis. In this article, we will discuss what is driving regional industrial activity and the market’s strong growth trajectory. Industrial evolution We continue to see wide expansion into the suburban market, though this has not always been the case. Relocating a tenant from an established urban industrial area to a suburban location was often challenging 15 years ago. Such a move could entail workforce relocation, warehouse closures and complex logistical changes that potentially risked business disruption. Today, JLL research shows other large occupiers are not only retaining their spaces in the Milwaukee market but are also actively expanding into suburbs like Waukesha and Menomonee Falls. JLL is tracking 11 build-to-suit …

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By Mike Homa, R&R Realty Group Five years later and businesses are still adjusting to the new work environment brought on by the COVID pandemic. Omaha’s office space market is seeing a shift in how companies attract employees back into the office. With remote and hybrid work now widely accepted, developers and employers have realized that providing traditional office spaces is no longer enough to entice workers. Instead, they are focusing on creating environments that offer a blend of professional, personal and recreational amenities, transforming office spaces into lifestyle destinations.  To make coming to the office more attractive, developers are offering amenities that cater to employees’ holistic needs. In some office parks, facilities such as onsite daycare centers are becoming a reality. These allow working parents the convenience of dropping off their children close to where they work, reducing commute time and providing peace of mind. It’s an amenity that goes beyond the typical office needs, addressing a significant aspect of employees’ personal lives. Green spaces are another amenity we see being increasingly incorporated into the surroundings of new buildings and broader development areas. We see outdoor spaces in office parks like Fountain Ridge Office Park, which offers amphitheater-style seating …

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By John Dickerson, OMNE Partners Omaha continues to be strong economically. The Omaha-area population is nearing the 1 million mark, and Omaha has been rated in the top 10 of cities to move to. Unemployment is less than 3 percent compared with about 4 percent nationally, and employment growth is about 2 percent per year.  In commercial real estate, business news generally says that Omaha is doing better than larger cities in the U.S. Of the key sectors, industrial has performed very well. Leasing pace Per CoStar information, Omaha’s vacancy rate is 3 percent. The total industrial square footage is 108 million square feet, and there is approximately 4 million square feet under construction. A large share of construction is due to Google, Facebook and other large users adding facilities. About 1.7 million square feet has been absorbed in the last year. Currently, per market information gathered from Crexi listings, there is approximately 2.6 million square feet available for lease in Douglas and Sarpy counties. (See chart for a breakdown by property types.) One other thing to note is that in the 139 properties with space for lease, there appears to be only 20 spaces for lease with 2,000 square …

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By Tom D’Arcy and Brad Soderwall, Hines The Omaha market has experienced strong growth in recent years, with $8 billion in commercial real estate development currently underway driven by consistent migration of new residents and professionals to the area.  The city’s attractiveness is attributed in large part to its high quality of life and attractive cost of living, both of which present compelling opportunities for new development that further incentivizes in-migration, and cultivates and enhances the unique lifestyle that makes Omaha a desirable place for families and young professionals to put down roots. Shifting demographics drive growth in Omaha Omaha’s low unemployment rate (at 2.6 percent as of July 2024, per the Nebraska Department of Labor), quality of life, affordable cost of living and expanding cultural opportunities are driving migration into the area. The Omaha-Council Bluffs metropolitan area saw its strongest population growth since pre-pandemic (2019) in 2023, with an increase of 0.8 percent, substantially outpacing the national average of 0.5 percent, per the U.S. Census Bureau. 2023 also saw a net migration of over 3,400 residents to the area. This population growth is fueling demand in the multifamily market, where we saw a record-setting year for development in 2023 …

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By Adam Johnson, NAI Hiffman For years, you’ve read headlines saying the U.S. office market is struggling with record-high vacancy that threatens to push many owners into default. And that is absolutely true. But there’s another side to the story that isn’t getting as much attention, and is playing out not only in Chicago, but also in metros across the country: that smaller, multi-tenant office properties — particularly in suburban locations closer to where workers live — continue to not only survive but thrive following the pandemic.  Throughout suburban Chicago, office buildings with less than 50,000 square feet have considerably higher occupancy rates than larger ones. For instance, at the smallest buildings — those under 20,000 square feet — vacancy was as low as 3.8 percent as of the second quarter of 2024, whereas for the largest properties over 200,000 square feet, vacancy climbed as high as 38 percent, according to NAI Hiffman research.  By comparison, mid-size, office buildings between 20,000 to 50,000 square feet reported vacancy rates ranging from 14.3 percent in the western suburbs to 23.1 percent north of the city.  Small tenants, big impact We’ve all heard about larger office properties going back to their lenders. Look …

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By Michael Gelfman, Colliers Like many major cities across the U.S., the Minneapolis-St. Paul office market remains soft while office users continue to adjust to the shifting dynamics of work brought on by the global pandemic. The gap between performing and non-performing buildings, driven by challenging debt markets, evaporation of building owners’ equity and the impact of hybrid work on office space demand, is growing.  Building owners are faced with difficult and often expensive decisions: spend what’s needed to create a highly amenitized environment (necessary to compete) that attracts tenants and draws employees back to the office or face a race to the bottom. For tenants in the market, this perfect storm has created unprecedented opportunity.  Hybrid work is here to stay For the last several years, many have wondered where the office market in Minneapolis-St. Paul was heading. The pandemic fundamentally changed the way companies use office space — was hybrid work a temporary solution to a once-in-a-lifetime event or was it here to stay? Today we know the answer: hybrid work is here to stay.  As a result of this seismic shift, some of which is due in part to artificial intelligence, many tenants over the last few …

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By Grant Mechlin, Sansone Group The St. Louis retail market showed impressive resilience in the second quarter of 2024, thanks to strong consumer spending and growing demand across various sectors. Despite challenges such as higher borrowing costs and persistent inflation, the market tightened considerably, with availability dropping to a record low 4.8 percent and well below the five-year average, according to CoStar. This strong absorption has persisted for nine consecutive quarters, highlighting the market’s ongoing strength. A major factor behind this is the limited new supply — only 770,000 square feet of retail space was added in the past year, with nearly all of it quickly absorbed, according to CoStar.  This scarcity has fueled development, especially in areas like quick-service restaurants, banks and discount retailers, as tenants are forced to explore new construction as the only viable option to combat a lack of supply in the market. Meanwhile, the overall prices of goods and services in the St. Louis area saw a 3.4 percent rise over the past year, according to the Consumer Price Index.  While food costs came down slightly, there was a 5.4 percent increase in energy costs and 4.3 percent for all other consumer expenditures.   Despite …

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