Midwest Market Reports

By Emily Ackley, NAI DESCO The St. Louis retail market could be perceived as a contrasting story — national headlines continue to spotlight store closures and shifting consumer habits, and yet on the ground, St. Louis is working to write a quite different narrative.  Vacancy rates remain tight, redevelopment projects are reshaping corridors and both suburban and urban districts are evolving to meet the demands of today’s consumers. It is not a market without its challenges, but St. Louis retail is far from stagnant.  Market conditions As of the second quarter of 2025, the St. Louis retail market experienced a dynamic shift as a result of low vacancy rates, evolving consumer behavior and significant redevelopment projects across the St. Louis MSA.  The overall retail vacancy rate stands at 4.7 percent, reflecting a 40-basis-point decrease quarter over quarter and an 80-basis-point decrease year over year, indicating a tightening market.  Leasing activity remains robust, particularly in suburban areas of St. Louis, such as West County and St. Charles County, where vacancy rates have decreased by up to 140 basis points in the past year.  This is being supported by a combination of steady population growth in the suburbs, shifting migration patterns and …

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By Lindy Beyer and Matt Rau, CBRE Kansas City is a special place. We have long been known for our renowned barbecue, jazz and most recently, as the city where Taylor Swift’s fiancé works. Retail is at the core of our city, attracting visitors from all over the world to experience our city’s welcoming and rich culture.  As the metro area has grown, so has the retail market. We are currently experiencing a period of robust growth, fueled by a combination of strong suburban demand, exciting new mixed-use developments and the appeal of big box vacancies. Sports have been an additional driver as the city continues to invest in its athletic and entertainment offerings. These venues attract large crowds — generating foot traffic and boosting sales for nearby retailers.  Retail occupancy rates in Kansas City have increased from 93 percent to 95.1 percent in the last five years, showing the strong overall demand in the market. This is especially notable as there have been over 2.6 million square feet of new retail space delivered over that same time frame, with a large portion contained in mixed-use developments.  Overall growth in the Kansas City submarkets has triggered a higher demand for …

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By Anné Erickson, JLL Kansas City’s appeal is catching the attention of companies looking for more than just square footage. From corporate relocations like Fiserv and expansions by Propio Language Services, to a deep talent pool, business-friendly environment and central location, the metro is emerging as a strategic choice for growth. These factors are fueling activity in a market already defined by stable fundamentals, headline lease transactions and a strong flight-to-quality trend. While the overall vacancy rate remained at 20.2 percent according to JLL’s Q2 2025 Kansas City Office Market Dynamics report, the quarter delivered 192,000 square feet of positive net absorption, reversing early-year declines. Average asking rents held steady at $22.98 per square foot, signaling stability despite the competitive environment. For tenants seeking to secure best-in-class space, and investors targeting properties with long-term upside, Kansas City is increasingly worth a closer look. Flight to quality One of the clearest shifts in recent quarters has been the move toward high-quality, well-located buildings that can support hybrid work, collaboration and tenant amenities. After several years of shorter lease terms and cautious decision-making, companies are now committing to space that reflects their long-term workplace strategies. This was evident in several major second-quarter …

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By Chris Collins, Marcus & Millichap The Minneapolis–St. Paul apartment market is currently experiencing a transformation, shaped by shifting economic conditions, changing demographics and evolving public policy. Having strong fundamentals in past multifamily housing development, the Twin Cities have entered a period of recalibration.  After years of record-breaking development numbers, the construction pipeline has slowed dramatically, while demand remains across the metro. Like many markets, the Twin Cities face affordability challenges, aging populations and regulatory uncertainty. A major factor of the current market is the sharp decrease in new apartment construction. Following a peak in multifamily housing permits of more than 15,000 in 2022, the Twin Cities saw a sharp decline to just 7,400 from April 2024 to March 2025. This steep reduction is largely driven by public policy such as rent control, operating costs and rising construction costs, which now average in the low to mid-$300,000 per unit, while the market value of newly built apartments hovers near $250,000.  As a result, many developers find it financially unfeasible to break ground on new projects without substantial public subsidies. The construction pipeline has declined by more than 50 percent from its peak, and the number of units under construction will …

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By Joe Mahoney, Opus In today’s industrial landscape, where some U.S. metros are grappling with double-digit vacancies and an oversupply of speculative product, the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area continues to stand apart. With consistently strong fundamentals, measured development, disciplined absorption and diverse demand, the Twin Cities have historically avoided the peaks and valleys of fluctuating supply and demand that plague other cities. Looking at current data, during the first two quarters of 2025, industrial vacancies here hovered around 4 percent while the national average was 9.3 percent, according to CBRE. In fact, the Twin Cities have the fifth lowest industrial vacancy rate in the country.  Steadfast economics This stability is no accident. The Twin Cities of Minneapolis and St. Paul rank as the 13th largest industrial market in the country due to a number of factors. Among the most impactful, they have a robust corporate base that includes 17 Fortune 500 companies in industries ranging from manufacturing, technology, agriculture and healthcare to medtech, energy, retail and financial services. This diversity helps drive consistent demand. In addition, above-average wages that outpace inflation, below-average unemployment rates and above-average job growth, household resiliency and demographic stability together help make Minnesota a good place …

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By Yanitza Brongers-Marrero, Moody Nolan Rent growth in cities across the Midwest is booming, encouraging developers and municipalities alike to ramp up investment in the region. As interest shifts away from coastal markets that became overbuilt during the pandemic, the Midwest’s stability and growth potential are coming into sharper focus.  Columbus, Ohio, is leading the charge with adding 30,348 new residents in the past year, a 1.4 percent growth rate that outpaces both the national (1 percent) and Midwest (0.6 percent) averages, according to the latest U.S. Census estimates. Projections suggest the region could gain another million residents by 2050, underscoring its long-term demand for housing.  Chicago, meanwhile, remains the Midwest’s economic engine. The metro area ranks third in the U.S. by GDP at $860 billion and saw a 4.6 percent year-over-year rent growth in June, according to CoStar. The city also added 22,164 residents from mid-2023 to mid-2024, marking the seventh-largest population gain in the U.S.  Together, these cities, along with Minneapolis, are shaping the next chapter of multifamily investment and housing innovation in the Midwest.  What are the major influences you’re seeing fuel the growth in demand for multifamily projects in the Midwest?  Being five years out from …

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By Scott Olson, Skogman Commercial Each year when I update exciting growth in Iowa’s second largest city, it is hard to imagine the pace can continue despite what we hear nationally about high interest rates, tariffs and inflation. Plus, this great city adapts after natural disasters to quickly recover and create a better place to work and call home. Our latest national rankings reflect this effort, skill and dedication: • No. 1 city for affordable housing in America (WalletHub, 2025) • No. 3 best place to live in the Midwest (Spacewise, 2025) • No. 12 best city for economic opportunity (U.S. News & World Report, 2025) • No. 4 city with most affordable rent (WalletHub, 2025) • No. 17 best city to buy a house in America (Niche.com, 2025) • A top 100 best city for jobs in America (WalletHub, 2025) • A top 100 best place to retire in America (Niche.com, 2025) • No. 7 safest city in America (WalletHub, 2025) • No. 33 best run city in America (WalletHub 2024, top 40 ranking since 2017) In fall 2024, the City of Cedar Rapids was selected to participate in the Bloomberg Harvard Innovation Track as a continuation of the …

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By Chris Beason, NAI Ruhl Commercial Co. As we move through 2025, the commercial real estate market in the Quad Cities region continues to adjust to tighter capital markets, rising costs and evolving consumer and business preferences. The bi-state region of the Quad Cities includes Moline, East Moline and Rock Island, Illinois; and Davenport and Bettendorf, Iowa, as the main core cities. The Quad Cities is the largest metro area between St. Louis and Minneapolis on the Mississippi River. When you look at the fundamentals like industrial absorption, land sales and retail demand, the Quad Cities continues to outperform expectations. The level of investment we’re seeing from both global tech companies and regional developers shows long-term confidence in the strength and potential of our market. Pivotal year for industrial The Quad Cities market mirrored the national trends with increased development of industrial buildings and rising rental rates. While the new industrial development we have seen locally over the past three years is to be celebrated, there is still a shortage of smaller 10,000- to 50,000-square-foot buildings. This is especially true for companies that desire to purchase real estate. There is significantly more inventory for lease of smaller product available than …

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By David Stecker, JLL As advanced manufacturing reshapes industrial real estate across the Midwest, Cleveland is emerging as a quietly powerful hub — offering scalable space, a strategic location and infrastructure ideal for high-growth sectors. While other Midwest metros have gained national attention for headline-grabbing investments, Cleveland is carving out its own unique path to growth, supported by advanced industries, a skilled workforce and a strong real estate foundation. The region’s industrial market remains competitive and resilient, even amid broader economic headwinds. Despite the recent move-out of Joann Fabric’s 1.4 million-square-foot facility in Summit County, overall fundamentals remain healthy, and Class A space is in especially high demand.  For high-tech and manufacturing users seeking logistics-ready facilities in a cost-effective market, Cleveland delivers — offering the right mix of space, speed and strategic location that today’s industrial users are actively pursuing. A market of opportunity According to JLL’s second-quarter 2025 Cleveland Industrial Insights Report, total vacancy in the market sat at 3.8 percent. While this represents a slight uptick following Joann’s exit, it still signals robust market health. Class A availability is especially tight, driven by a wave of large leases signed in newly developed properties. That momentum is putting upward …

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By Andrew Jacob, Colliers The Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky industrial market demonstrated notable resilience in the second quarter of 2025, balancing strong long-term fundamentals with cautious short-term sentiment. Amid national headlines of slowing industrial demand and heightened uncertainty, the region continues to distinguish itself with a combination of strategic location, steady demand and disciplined development. Market fundamentals At the close of the second quarter, the market’s total inventory stood at approximately 293.6 million square feet, supported by a healthy vacancy rate of 5.2 percent, which remains below the national average of 7.1 percent. Bulk warehouse asking rates have remained relatively steady at $5.95 per square foot, reflecting a market rebalancing after several years of oversupply from robust development activity.  In contrast, flex space asking rates continue to climb, now averaging $8.11 per square foot. This upward pressure is fueled by a scarcity of new supply — driven by land constraints and elevated construction costs. The market recorded 539,000 square feet of positive net absorption in the second quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to over 1 million square feet. This consistent absorption highlights enduring occupier demand despite broader caution in the national market. New construction activity continued at a measured pace, with 2 …

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