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Midwest Market Reports

IllinoisMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsOffice

Strong Tenant Demand Continues to Propel Chicago’s Office Market

by Kristin Harlow

In spite of the ongoing fiscal woes of the State of Illinois and City of Chicago, the downtown office market in the Windy City continues to experience solid growth in demand for quality office space. The first quarter of 2017 saw net absorption of 374,000 square feet, a 54 percent increase from the 243,000 square feet of net absorption recorded during the first quarter of 2016. This comes on the heels of a spike in supply in the central business district (CBD) of Chicago, with the opening of two new Class A office towers during the past two quarters: 150 North Riverside Plaza and 444 West Lake Street, developed by Riverside Investment & Development Co. and Hines Interests, respectively. These trophy assets added 2.4 million square feet of office space to the CBD. With these additions, Chicago’s office inventory in the CBD expanded from 132.6 million square feet in the first quarter of 2016 to 135 million square feet in the first quarter of 2017. Two additional towers under construction now at 151 N. Franklin Street and 625 W. Adams Street will open in the next 12 months, adding an additional 1.3 million square feet to the supply and bringing …

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Market ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsMultifamilyWisconsin

Wisconsin Supreme Court Reaffirms Subsidized Housing Valuation Methods

by Kristin Harlow

In a major victory for subsidized housing developers and investors, the Wisconsin Supreme Court has reaffirmed longstanding principles governing the assessment of these properties. The Dec. 22, 2016 decision in Regency West Apartments LLC v. City of Racine confirms that the assessment of a subsidized housing project is a property-specific exercise that must take into account the type of federal program involved, specific restrictions on the property, and actual property income and expenses. The decision also affirms that the value of a subsidized property cannot be determined by comparison to conventional apartment properties that have no restrictions and can charge full market rents. Historical context The Wisconsin Supreme Court first upheld these principles in a 1993 case involving a Milwaukee apartment project subject to rental and other restrictions imposed by the U. S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). The assessor had valued the property based on market rents at conventional apartments, ignoring the property owner’s inability to legally charge market rents. The Supreme Court nullified the assessment, stating that the assessor had illegally assessed the property by “pretend[ing]” that the HUD restrictions did not apply. The new decision In the December 2016 decision, the Supreme Court reaffirmed the …

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KansasMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsRetail

A Growing Number of National Retailers Have Wichita on Their Radar Screen

by Kristin Harlow

The pace of retail construction remains brisk in Wichita with national retailers showing an increased interest in the market. In the first quarter, developers started construction on nine buildings totaling 112,961 square feet, reports brokerage firm NAI Martens. Completions during the first quarter totaled 117,300 square feet. Notable store openings included Sprouts Farmers Market at Central Avenue and Rock Road; Save-A-Lot grocery store at 1640 S. Broadway; Cavender’s western wear store in Greenwich Place at K-96 and Greenwich Road; Andy’s Frozen Custard at NewMarket Square along 21st Street; and a freestanding Starbucks at Wichita State University on the school’s innovation campus. In short, developers in Wichita appear to be making up for lost time. As a result of the Great Recession, the local economy shed 30,000 jobs between 2009 and 2011, many of them related to the aviation industry, according to the Wichita Metro Chamber of Commerce. Commercial real estate activity ground to a halt at that point. “Between 2008 and 2012 and maybe into 2014, we just didn’t have much development at all. There were some plans on the drawing boards, but nothing really reached fruition,” recalls Thomas Johnson, president of NAI Martens. But consumer confidence gradually began to …

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IndustrialMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsOhio

Toledo’s Industrial Market Is in Need of Large-Format Speculative Construction

by Kristin Harlow

A snapshot of Toledo’s industrial real estate market at the end of 2016 reveals a well-performing sector, maintaining the steady improvement recorded during the prior year. In fact, the vital signs of the property sector hit some of their best levels in a decade last year. By the end of the year, every key metric was up from midyear 2016 and year-end 2015. One bit of cloudiness trying to sneak in on the otherwise very sunny picture, however, is the limited supply of available space options. Demand clearly exists for additional space, but users are unable to find options that fit their needs. The dearth of adequate space alternatives is restraining potential transaction volume and, by extension, probable job growth. By Toledo standards, the market has been absorbing an impressive amount of space over the past several years. Overall, the 85 million-square-foot market absorbed 763,065 square feet in the second half of 2016. However, as strong as the absorption numbers have been, it is easy to speculate they would be much higher if more of the right kind and sizes of space existed in the market. There is a shortage among all building sizes, but the need is most acute …

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IndianaMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsOffice

Tech Jobs, Population Surge Give Indianapolis Office Market a Big Lift

by Kristin Harlow

No matter where you turn in the Indianapolis metro area, there is one common thread — change. From Mile Square to Downtown Fishers to Main Street in Speedway to Fletcher Place, all are nearly unrecognizable from a few years ago, and they are just a sampling of central Indiana commercial districts that are transforming at a rapid pace. Restaurants, retail and mixed-use developments are a big part of this rapid evolution, but the ripple effects on office real estate are taking hold. Tech jobs are catalyst Downtown Indy Inc. estimates the population in the central business district (CBD) will double from 2010 to 2020. According to the Indy Partnership, approximately 60 percent of the market’s 11,100 new jobs in 2016 came from the information technology and logistics fields. The downtown office market, where a majority of these jobs are landing, is evolving as a result of this technology job growth. In the past few years, large blocks of vacancy have plagued the Indianapolis CBD, specifically in high-rise office towers. In mid-2016, the largest of those availabilities became an asset. San Francisco-based Salesforce.com signed a new lease to consolidate operations into nearly 250,000 square feet on 11 floors in the tallest …

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IndianaMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsMultifamily

Healthy Apartment Renter Demand in Indianapolis Eclipses Robust Supply Growth

by Kristin Harlow

Strong job growth in the second half of 2016, robust tenant absorption of new apartment supply and falling vacancies throughout the Indianapolis metro area supported a markedly improved multifamily marketplace by the end of the year. This year, steady employment gains and rising home prices will continue to bolster apartment property performance metrowide. In the first half of 2016, hiring was sluggish due to a lack of available workers, but ramped up at midyear. By year’s end, area employers increased employee headcounts by 25,300, a 2.5 percent increase overall. Although employment gains were widespread, the education and health services sector led job creation followed by construction. With the opening of Cummins Inc.’s new distribution headquarters and tech sector growth most notably Salesforce’s significant expansion in the area hiring this year is expected to remain stable. The forecast calls for employers to add 20,000 new workers to payrolls this year, which will further elevate demand for multifamily rentals. Construction ramps up Developers delivered 2,500 rental units to the marketplace last year, the second largest annual supply increase in nine years, but tenants readily absorbed the new supply. Nearly half of the submarkets in the metro area received new supply in 2016, …

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IndustrialMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsNebraska

New Construction Starts, Low Vacancies Further Omaha’s Industrial Success

by Kristin Harlow

Similar to the past couple of years, it is difficult to identify one or two items to highlight about the Omaha industrial market. Although the most impressive improvement might be the amount of new construction starts in 2016, factors such as sales prices per square foot, number of overall transactions, average asking rents, vacancy rates, landlord concessions all trended in a favorable direction for owners of industrial properties. This has been a staggering year- over-year trend, which has led many industry professionals to ask the same question: Is the market becoming too hot? User-driven projects over 100,000 square feet were the highlight of 2016, with multiple large projects breaking ground. Those users included Thrasher Inc., a rapidly growing, Omaha-based basement waterproofing and foundation repair company, which broke ground on its 209,000-square-foot office and warehouse facility located near 120th Street and Valley Ridge Drive; and Oxbow Industries, a Murdock, Neb.-based manufacturer, that is working with a developer on a new 140,000-square-foot facility at 150th Street and Schram Road. However, new construction starts for large projects were not the only storyline. Companies including Rotella’s Italian Bakery (6949 S. 108th St.) and State Steel (13413 Centech Road) made notable expansions to their existing …

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Market ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsMultifamilyNebraska

Omaha’s Strong Apartment Fundamentals Draw National Attention of Investors

by Kristin Harlow

With an average occupancy rate of 96 percent at the end of 2016, coupled with a four percent growth in asking rental rates during 2016, Omaha’s apartment market continues to be a strong performer. According to apartment data research firm Reis, Omaha’s average asking rental rate has increased in every quarter for the past 23 quarters, and is expected to increase 3.6 percent in 2017. On the occupancy front, Reis expects the vacancy rate to finish 2017 slightly higher at 4.9 percent, which would still result in a projected healthy 95.1 percent occupancy rate. On a 10-year historical occupancy basis, Reis reports that the average occupancy over the past decade has been 95.3 percent. Meanwhile, the Institute of Real Estate Management (IREM) reports that the occupancy rate during the same period ranged from a low of 92 percent in 2008 to 96 percent in both 2013 and 2015. Since the beginning of 2007, the average annual increase in asking rental rates has been 2.7 percent, according to Reis. Over the past 23 quarters, the cumulative increase in asking rental rates has been 19.3 percent.   Investors take notice While Omaha may not have as robust rent growth as some East …

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Market ReportsMidwestMidwest Market ReportsRetailWisconsin

Flurry of New Development Fuels Retail Resurgence in Milwaukee

by Kristin Harlow

The Milwaukee-area apartment market wasn’t the only real estate sector to benefit from continued job growth and household formation in 2016. The optimistic employment outlook, together with an influx of millennials who, according to Gallup, are spending more on nonessentials, has benefitted the local retail market as well. It’s a trend that we expect to continue in 2017. Filling a retail void A market that historically has been largely underserved in terms of new retail development has essentially reversed its standing, with approximately 1.6 million square feet delivered in the last two years alone, according to CoStar Group. A more diversified economy less susceptible to the highs and lows of other markets, taken together with Milwaukee’s public-private partnerships and lower real estate taxes compared with neighboring states, has created a pro-development environment that appeals to retailers and developers alike. Known for its older stock of shopping centers, the region has seen a surge in redevelopment activity, particularly in the suburbs, where previously underutilized assets are being rebranded and reimagined. In November 2016, HSA Commercial acquired the 217,346-square-foot Brookfield Fashion Center in Brookfield, just west of Brookfield Square Mall. Built in 1986, the center houses stalwart tenants that have been retained …

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IndianaIndustrialMarket ReportsMidwestMidwest Market Reports

Greater Indianapolis Industrial Market Shatters Records

by Kristin Harlow

To say that the greater Indianapolis industrial market experienced a historical year in 2016 almost seems trite. By every measure, the city’s industrial records were shattered. Net absorption in 2016—8.3 million square feet—crushed that of previous years. Additionally, 11.2 million square feet of new leases were signed, which is more than the 2014 and 2015 totals combined. And, the market saw its lowest vacancy rate in 36 years at 3 percent – down from 5.8 percent at the end of 2015. Now that’s historic! The industrial market is on fire, and Indianapolis is among the brightest embers. While the city has always competed well with its peers, Indianapolis outpaced the competition in 2016. The city was ranked in the top 10 for industrial space absorbed last year, and it has a history of being “recession-resilient,” in that it is one of the few industrial markets that actually grew during the last recessionary period. The industrial market was tight heading into 2016 and tightened even further throughout the year as historic leasing demand dramatically outpaced new supply. After no new buildings were delivered in the third quarter of 2016, the fourth quarter produced four newly constructed industrial warehouses totaling 635,000 square …

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