Midwest Market Reports

2017 Poised to Be Another Great Year for Chicagoland Industrial

by Kristin Harlow April 6, 2017

The Chicagoland industrial market has started 2017 with a full head of steam and doesn’t appear ready to cool down anytime soon. With historically low vacancy rates, high net absorption and strong tenant demand, the outlook is positive for new construction in the pipeline, even with the recent uptick in interest rates. Net absorption of industrial space topped 19.3 million square feet in 2016, outpacing the 18.2 million square feet of new product delivered, according to CoStar Group. The metro Chicago vacancy rate at the end of the year was 6.5 percent, a drop of about 50 basis points over the previous 12 months. As for 2017, we see increasing competition for well-located land sites, especially from speculative developers who see opportunity in the rising demand for state-of-the-art facilities equipped for today’s sophisticated users. The jungle effect We have seen strong activity from tenants ranging from global logistics providers to regional distributors. However, a large share of the total net absorption in 2016 came from one well-known and much sought-after tenant — Amazon. The retailing giant has been leasing warehouse/distribution space at a rapid pace, and it seems as though every other week we are reading about a new distribution method, business …

April 6, 2017

Hospitality Illinois Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports

Hotel Sector is on ‘Glidepath to Oversupply,’ But Chicago Could See a Soft Landing

by Kristin Harlow March 30, 2017

I am heartened to see that my projections for 2016 in the Midwest hotel marketplace — particularly Chicago, my home market — held up fairly well. In a column that I authored for Heartland Real Estate Business this time last year, I pointed out “the question of whether supply will outpace demand is changing from if to when in many of these markets.” That trend line has continued, although the momentum of it in some markets has, to some extent, delayed the inevitable. The demand side of the equation exceeded expectations in the fourth quarter of 2016 and so far in the first quarter of 2017. This has helped markets absorb the additional supply. I also wrote in last year’s column that “perhaps the single most important factor to watch with regard to the Chicago hotel market in 2016 is whether and to what extent strong leisure demand will continue to offset the influx of new hotel properties.” Sure enough, we saw strong leisure demand during the traditionally busy part of the year, and Chicago welcomed a record number of visitors during the first three quarters of 2016. Strong leisure and group segment performance during this period helped overall demand …

March 30, 2017

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Minnesota Multifamily

Stars Are Aligned for Twin Cities’ Apartment Market to Remain Strong

by Kristin Harlow March 23, 2017

Following the recession, demand for multifamily development took off in many areas of the country. We predicted it as significant economic and demographic changes were happening, spurring a shift from homeownership to renting. As a result, the multifamily sector experienced a resurgence that hadn’t been seen in decades. In some cities where an abundance of multifamily projects have been delivered, there is discussion of potential saturation. That’s not the case in the Twin Cities of Minneapolis and St. Paul, where demand for multifamily developments remains strong and the vacancy rate is an extremely low 2.6 percent. Based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau, at the end of 2016 the vacancy rate in the Twin Cities compared quite favorably with other metropolitan areas such as San Antonio, Texas (13.6 percent); Tampa, Fla., (11.6 percent); and Tulsa, Okla. (10.2 percent). Keep in mind that a 5 percent vacancy rate is considered to be a stabilized market. Healthy job growth Several economic factors continue to drive apartment demand in the Twin Cities, including job growth, low unemployment and a strong base for business expansion. Minnesota ranks third in the nation for number of Fortune 500 companies per capita. Prominent corporations with headquarters …

March 23, 2017

Industrial Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Wisconsin

New Industrial Supply Struggles to Keep Pace With Absorption in Milwaukee

by Kristin Harlow March 16, 2017

Metro Milwaukee’s industrial market continued to be a strong performer in 2016, and this strength should continue for the foreseeable future. We’re now seeing a healthy uptick in new industrial development, and even speculative development in select submarkets. While the demand for industrial space has continued to increase, the new supply has failed to keep pace. Sustained quarterly absorption without a sufficient corresponding increase in new product coming to market continues to keep vacancy rates hovering around 4 percent, near the record lows, according to Xceligent and CoStar. The new industrial construction that is occurring continues to be driven by users expanding, relocating or consolidating their existing facilities and by limited build-to-suit developments undertaking Milwaukee-based firms such as Wangard Partners Inc., Phoenix Investors LLC and Briohn Building Corp. Spec building returns Speculative development is still relatively rare, but developers such as Zilber, HSA Development and Interstate Partners are all venturing into the speculative realm and with favorable results so far. HSA, for example, recently completed a 214,000-square-foot speculative building in Waukesha, and Zilber continues to build and fill buildings in the I-94 South corridor. In late 2016, Zilber unveiled plans for a 163,716-square-foot facility in Franklin and a 72,324-square-foot facility …

March 16, 2017

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Office Wisconsin

Developers in Downtown Milwaukee Play With Hot Hand Due to Strong Demand

by Kristin Harlow March 9, 2017

Ben Franklin, one of our nation’s Founding Fathers, famously said, “Well done is better than well said.” Milwaukee has a long history of ideas that are well said. There is no shortage of opinions and sound ideas on how to attract companies to the city, how to improve the public transportation system and how to get more people to live in the city. But these well-intentioned ideas, more often than not, don’t get implemented. Finally, after a decade of virtually no new development, things are happening. In the August 2015 issue of this magazine, I wrote a column focusing on development in downtown Milwaukee titled “Proposed New Arena for Milwaukee Bucks Could Lead to a Development Run.” Indeed, that’s what is happening. After much debate, the arena is finally under construction. It will span 715,000 square feet and hold 17,500 people. Just as impressive is the ancillary development surrounding the arena, including the Froedtert & the Medical College of Wisconsin Sports Science Center that will serve as the new practice and training facility for the Milwaukee Bucks as well as a health center. The new Arena District will also be home to a “live block” comprised of four to five …

March 9, 2017

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Ohio

Millennials Flocking to Downtown Columbus, Ohio

by Kristin Harlow February 23, 2017

Millennials are the future, they’re concerned about the future and they’re bringing all of us into the future. This generation wants to live where they do their “living.” They want green space, bike paths, access to transit or shared transportation and an active neighborhood. In short, they want to live in downtown Columbus. Not the downtown of years ago, where the streets rolled up at 5 p.m. and you’d be hard-pressed to find a coffee shop open on the weekend. But the downtown of today, where green space is king, rooftops have followed, retail is popping up and there’s so much to do that sometimes it’s hard to decide what to choose. In 2002, the Columbus Downtown Development Corp. (CDDC) was formed and tasked with reshaping and revitalizing downtown Columbus into an urban hub. But would it work? Fifteen years later, we have the answer: the Millennials are coming, and they’re bringing everyone else with them. CDDC was created to lead game-changing city projects. Our ultimate goal is to give people and companies reasons to live, work and play downtown. We took an empty mall and turned it into an activated, mixed-use hub in the center of the city. We …

February 23, 2017

Illinois Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Multifamily

Apartment Construction Boom Will Test the Resilience of the Chicago Market

by Kristin Harlow February 16, 2017

Solid employment growth and the attractiveness of an urban lifestyle led to improvements in the multifamily market across metro Chicago in 2016. Although there was positive movement in the performance of key indices in both the city and the suburbs, corporate migration from the suburbs to the city brought young professionals and high-paying job opportunities, especially to the core. Millennials overwhelmingly favored renting over homeownership in 2016 and sought residence in urban centers offering walkability and a live-work-play lifestyle. In 2017, these trends are expected to continue. Job growth acts as catalyst Last year, Chicago employers hired 65,000 workers, representing a 1.4 percent workforce expansion metrowide. This healthy job growth helped boost the median household income to around $67,168 per year at the end of 2016. In 2017, job growth is expected to continue at a similar rate, and it is anticipated that Chicagoland employers will hire 70,000 new workers for a 1.5 percent employment gain over the course of this year. Employment gains last year were led by the professional and business services sectors, which expanded headcount by 2.6 percent with the creation of nearly 21,200 positions over the yearlong period that ended in September 2016. During the same …

February 16, 2017

Illinois Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Retail

Economic Incentives Combat Problem of ‘Grocery Deserts’ in South Suburban Chicago

by Kristin Harlow February 9, 2017

At a time when the development of new retail power centers across metro Chicago has been at a record low since chain store proliferation first started back in the early 1980s, south suburban Cook County has suddenly seen a turnaround with the addition of two new freestanding Walmart stores and one new Meijer store. These three openings occurred within months of each other in 2016 and represent approximately 560,000 square feet of the 1.36 million square feet of new retail construction that opened across the greater Chicago market last year. The historical challenges for retailers attempting to operate stores in south suburban Cook County are no secret: out of control property taxes, often double or triple that of locations in DuPage or Will counties; a high sales tax; a shrinking population base; and a shift in retail spending to other markets. The cumulative effect was the January of 2015 closure of the Lincoln Mall in Matteson, located about 30 miles south of downtown Chicago, and increased retail vacancy rates in the area. Full-service grocery stores in the Matteson area also have been on the decline following the closure of Jewel, Dominick’s, Cub Foods and Walmart all within five years starting …

February 9, 2017

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Ohio

Cincinnati, Dayton Closing the Gap: Why the Push to Merge the MSAs is a Winning Strategy

by Kristin Harlow February 2, 2017

The tale of two Ohio cities — Cincinnati and Dayton — is a story of growth. It takes less than an hour to travel between Cincinnati and Dayton. The two metros sit about 55 miles apart along Interstate 75, and that distance is slowly getting shorter. Since 2000, the cities have been growing together along the I-75 corridor, with significant growth over the past five years. The northern suburbs of Cincinnati have experienced exponential growth over the last 20 years stemming from the development of Union Centre Boulevard in 2000 in West Chester Township. Now, West Chester is the second largest community in the Cincinnati metropolitan statistical area (MSA). Only the City of Cincinnati is larger. Suburban growth is catalyst New developments continue to spur Cincinnati’s northern growth along I-75. In 2015, Liberty Center, a mixed-use retail, office and housing development, opened in Liberty Township north of the fast-expanding West Chester. The development is another example of a growing trend to bring urban-style amenities, such as live, work and play environments to the suburbs. Although much of the I-75 corridor is industrial, the growing suburbs led to the significant increase in the amount of office and retail space in the …

February 2, 2017

Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Missouri Multifamily

Vibrant Economy Underpins Healthy Apartment Market in Kansas City

by Kristin Harlow January 26, 2017

Without a doubt, 2016 was a year to remember for the Kansas City apartment market. Employers, builders, operators and investors all had an eye on the flourishing metropolitan area and contributed to its ongoing strength, leading to a 20-year high for apartment occupancy. But in order to assess if 2017 will be as fruitful, a review of how each of these groups fared in 2016 and an analysis of the current economic climate should be taken into account. Employers A healthy economy underscored by an active employment market generates a cyclical effect whereby employers seek talent, talent seeks housing, and developers seek residents. According to Moody’s Analytics, total nonfarm payroll employment in the Kansas City metropolitan area in 2016 expanded by 1.5 percent following a 1.3 percent increase in 2015. Virgin Mobile USA, to name one active area employer, relocated its corporate headquarters from Warren, N.J., to downtown Kansas City as part of the company’s re-launch of its new brand under Sprint. The long-term location for the new headquarters is undetermined, but temporarily at least 50 new employees now work out of the One Kansas City Place building at 12th and Main streets. By year-end 2017, Berkadia Research projects total …

January 26, 2017

Newer Posts

Older Posts