Midwest Market Reports

Mid-America Real Estate’s annual Chicagoland Shopping Center Report shows construction completions totaled 2.4 million square feet in 2014, a slight uptick from the 2.26 million square feet completed in 2013. Looking ahead, 2015 should yield a little over 2 million square feet, which will likely prove to be within the normal range for development going forward. However, this is significantly less than the 8.3 million square feet completed in 2007. One of the primary causes of this decline is the demand for new shopping center space in the suburbs is primarily limited to single users, predominately grocery stores. While the demand for multi-tenant retail developments in urban markets remains high, the barriers to entry are significant. Consider, for example, that of the combined 26 new projects delivered in 2014 and planned for 2015, only one project, Regency Centers’ Shops on Main in Schererville, Indiana, is a suburban project built to accommodate more than one big-box retailer. Anchored by Gordmans, Shops on Main is also home to DSW, Home Goods, Ross, Pier 1 Imports and a planned Whole Foods. All of the remaining suburban projects are limited to single users such as Walmart/Sam’s Club, Target, Mariano’s or Meijer. The mid-sized boxes …

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The big story in the St. Louis office market is that available Class A space continues to become more scarce. As we watch the larger blocks of space being absorbed, and as Class A asking rates continue to increase, the probability for new development seems inevitable, leaving some property owners wondering if they should move forward and build. Although little new office construction is underway, the tightening market has undoubtedly prompted conversations. Expect projects to surface once developers land their first major tenant. The most likely submarkets for new development are in Clayton and West County, where many tenants requiring more than 25,000 contiguous square feet of office space are looking. You cannot have a full recovery for office occupancy until employment increases and the abundance of empty desks is absorbed. The local unemployment rate reached its peak of 10.9 percent in February 2010. The good news is that the unemployment rate hit a six-year low of 5.4 percent in October 2014. This significant drop can be attributed to the gain of over 11,000 jobs since January 2014 in the professional and business services sector. The St. Louis office market ended the year at a 10.5 vacancy rate, with Class …

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After a recession-induced lull, speculative construction is back in full swing in the St. Louis industrial sector. Record-setting absorption in 2014 drove vacancy rates to near record lows, and spurred speculative construction on both the Missouri and Illinois side of the Mississippi River. With activity on both fronts, it’s clear that the St. Louis industrial market is well past recovery mode and into growth mode. The St. Louis industrial market posted net absorption of 5.2 million square feet in 2014, passing the all-time record for annual absorption set back in 2005 by more than 20 percent. This is more than double the square feet absorbed in 2013, which itself was a banner year. The positive absorption figure has significantly affected the market’s overall industrial vacancy rate, dropping it to 6.3 percent — the lowest rate since 2005. The Class A vacancy dropped to an impressive 4.1 percent and modern bulk vacancy rate stands at 4.6 percent. Just as in 2006-2007 when nearly 5 million square feet of new construction was delivered, St. Louis is seeing a surge of new construction with these historic vacancy rates. The lack of available industrial space has drastically changed the landscape for tenants during the …

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Here’s the Chicago commercial real estate market’s big secret: the suburbs never went away. While it’s true that office vacancy rates hit the high 20s in 2008, the truth is that suburban absorption never faltered. In early 2014, Savills Studley reviewed all office leasing transactions from 2010 to 2013, a recessionary period for the sector. The analysis revealed that of the nearly 7.4 million square feet of deals tracked, nearly three-quarters of the moves (5 million square feet) involved tenants moving from one suburb to another. Compare that trend to the relocations from the suburbs to the city, which totaled approximately 1.8 million square feet during the same period. The exodus of companies like Hillshire Brands and Motorola Mobility from the suburbs made it seem like the city was the only place to be for high-growth firms. The analysis also showed that firms moving from out of town to the area went to the suburbs rather than the city by a factor of more than 2 to 1: 385,000 square feet versus 160,000 square feet. So, it’s no surprise that the suburban Chicago office market ended 2014 with the lowest vacancy rate since 2008. The 22.6 percent vacancy rate in …

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Omaha’s office market finds itself in a favorable position at the start of 2015. Local economic indicators are solid, absorption has been positive year over year, and vacancies across the board are declining. One big reason is that Omaha businesses are growing. The low vacancy rate of Class A space is driving an appropriate amount of new construction, and Omaha’s abundant supply of quality Class B office space is expected to accommodate demand. Class A Advantage As businesses compete for the best and brightest employees, office space becomes an important hiring tool, causing businesses to look for inviting buildings and spaces in locations with enhanced amenities. This trend has increased activity in Omaha’s Class A office market, driving down the vacancy rate and spurring new construction. Omaha’s Class A vacancy rate stood at 5 percent at the end of the third quarter of 2014. The average asking rent was $24.95 per square foot on a gross basis, up 4 percent since the start of 2014. The uptick in Class A rents is likely to continue Corporate headquarters and speculative buildings are spurring the Class A construction boom. Local businesses such as Millard Refrigerated Services, Tenaska, Gavilon, TD Ameritrade, NorthStar Financial …

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The Kansas City industrial market continues to be an incredibly strong performer. At the end of the third quarter of 2014, the industrial vacancy rate stood at a tight 6.1 percent. Absorption totaled more than 2.5 million square feet during the first nine months of the year, while new deliveries were slightly over 2.6 million square feet in the same period. Let’s examine some contributing factors that are encouraging new deliveries while still driving vacancy rates down and absorption up. Spec Is King The biggest story in the Kansas City industrial real estate market during the first three quarters of 2014 was the delivery of over 2.5 million square feet of Class A distribution facilities on a speculative basis. It can be argued that, in the past, many prospective tenants considered locating a distribution center in Kansas City, but they ultimately selected a different market based on a lack of available inventory and the inability of some companies to wait on the extended timetable for a build-to-suit project. Developers that took notice of this trend and reacted by delivering space to the local market are currently being rewarded for their actions. Much of the speculative development in 2014 centered around …

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Buoyed by a healthy economy, the Twin Cities industrial market has experienced strong demand for functional, 24- to 32-foot clear height space, with more companies expanding during the first three quarters of the year, according to Cushman & Wakefield | NorthMarq. The market posted nearly 1.3 million square feet of absorption in the first three quarters of 2014, a solid number. The overall vacancy rate for multi-tenant properties 20,000 square feet and above stood at 10.1 percent at the end of the third quarter, down from a high of 16.4 percent in 2010. The bulk/warehouse segment has posted the most leasing activity with 451,097 square feet of net absorption year-to-date, including 140,514 square feet in the third quarter, and a tight 9.2 percent vacancy rate. Office/warehouse absorption totaled 476,032 square feet year-to-date through the third quarter, and 391,676 square feet in the third quarter alone, lowering the vacancy rate in that segment to 9.6 percent. Office/showroom absorption totaled 359,687 square feet during the first three quarters of 2014, lowering the vacancy rate in that segment to 12.8 percent, the lowest since 2006 when it stood at 11.7 percent. The Northeast submarket posted 222,267 square feet of net absorption in the …

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The nickname for Indianapolis, “Naptown,” is quickly fading in the rearview mirror as the city receives an increasing amount of recognition as one of the best places to live and work in America. Thanks to a unique combination of Hoosier hospitality, pro-business environment and amenities such as the Cultural Trail, Indianapolis has been named “One of the best new boom towns in the U.S.” by Forbes magazine and the “No. 3 Downtown in the U.S.” by Livability.com. With $1 billion in new projects on the horizon, it’s no surprise that downtown Indianapolis is making headlines. Indygo’s $37 million Downtown Transit Center, in close proximity to the Cultural Trail and Bike Hub, will serve pedestrians, cyclists and bus riders. A $26 million investment in a new Science and Engineering Lab at Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis will continue to encourage life sciences and technology careers. Plans also are in the works to revamp downtown’s iconic Monument Circle with space for events, an ice skating rink, sidewalk cafes and more. On the residential front, investments in excess of $400 million over the past five years have resulted in new housing for 4,000 additional residents. Downtown Residential Boom According to public/private partnership Downtown Indy, …

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A blistering cold winter lingered into the late spring and left the commercial real estate market in the Grand Traverse region frozen. Businesses waited for the market and the temperatures to thaw, and a third-quarter surge has activity back on track. From Jan. 1 through Sept. 30, property sales totaled $10.3 million and 221,136 square feet, including 118,515 square feet of industrial/warehouse buildings, 79,463 square feet of professional/medical office space, and 23,158 square feet of retail/restaurant space. That‘s slightly ahead of last year’s pace. During the first three quarters of 2013, property sales totaled $9.9 million and 207,845 square feet, including 121,469 square feet of industrial/warehouse buildings, 44,160 square feet of professional/medical office space, and 42,216 square feet of retail/restaurant space. The office sector posted about a 9 percent increase in the average sales per square foot during the first three quarters of 2014, while the industrial warehouse market recorded an increase of approximately 5 percent. The retail/ restaurant sector saw a 9 percent drop in the average sales per square foot The reduction in the average sales price in the retail/restaurant market sector is mostly due to the lack of quality inventory. This lack of inventory in our market …

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Historically low vacancy combined with pent-up demand in the Columbus industrial real estate market is driving new speculative construction for the first time since the Great Recession. In fact, we expect delivery of 1.8 million square feet of spec construction by the end of this year. After a six-year drought, several speculative and build-to-suit buildings, ranging from 300,000 square feet to 700,000 square feet, are in the works. More than 1 million square feet of space already has been absorbed this year — the highest amount since before the recession. The vacancy rate stands at 7.4 percent, 320 basis points lower than the historical average. Average asking rents for modern bulk buildings have risen 7 percent since last year. Cargo Air Service Advantage Rickenbacker International Airport, one of the only cargo-dedicated airports in the world, is a huge growth driver. As an important part of the global, multi-modal logistics hub, Rickenbacker Inland Port moves air cargo to, from and within the United States and has routes to Singapore, Shanghai, Hong Kong and Shannon, Ireland. FedEx Air, FedEx Ground and UPS regional hubs also are on-site. According to the U.S. Department of Commerce’s International Trade Administration (ITA), Columbus was among the …

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